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130/08/2017 1
Network Losses Dissemination Event
London7 June 2017
Barry Hatton – Director of Asset Management, UK Power Networks
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2
About UK Power Networks
Measure Data % of industry
End customers 8.2m 28%Population served c.20m -New metered connections* 46,000 32%
Distributed generation connected 8.5GW 31%
ED1 totex allowance (2012/13 prices) £6,029m 25%
Energy distributed 84.8TWh 28%Peak demand 16GW N/A
Three distribution networks:• London• East of England• South East of England
* Average per annum 2010/11-2014/15
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The safestThe best employer
The most reliableThe best service
The most innovative
The lowest cost
…and consistently best performing DNO 2015 – 2018/9
0.05 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.2 0.25
0.47
0
0.5
UKPN DNO 1 DNO 2 DNO 3 DNO 4 DNO 5 DNO 6
The safest
Lost time incidents/100 employees
4
An employer of choice
The most innovative
Our performance – A strong track record
69 39
78
30
-
50
100
The most reliable
CI CML CML
7.6 8.1 8.4 8.5
6.08.010.0
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
A good service provider
Ofgem broad measure
76 81 84 87 89 105
0
100
200
UKPN NPG ENWL WPD SSE SPEN
The lowest cost
2015/16 average domestic distribution costs (£ 2015/16 prices)
Growth inElectric Vehicles
• Over 300 electric buses in London by 2020
• 100k Plug-in vehicles sold in the UK (56%YoY growth)
• 12k charge points
Storage Market Boom
• Over 800MW of accepted storage offers
• 13GW of enquiries
Growth in DG
• 8.5GW of DG connected, doubled in the last 5 years
• First Solar / Storage schemes with no subsidy support
Pace and scale of change is increasing
We are adapting to meet the changing market needs
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We expect the growth in intermittent generation to continue
1% 10%
25%
3%
3%
8%
7%
14%
28%
11%
10%
5%
30%19%
37% 30%21%
11% 14% 13%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2011 2015 2030Solar Storage Wind Nuclear Coal Gas Other
GB installed generation capacity by type
Source: 2016 National Grid Future Energy Scenarios and 2016 Digest of UK Energy Statistics
86%
14%2011 -% of generation connected
Transmission Distribution
86%
58%42%
2030 -% of generation connected
Transmission Distribution
58%
Electricity Distribution will require attractive levels of investment to connect and manage this DG
14%
42%
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The Transmission System Operator (TSOs) will increasingly rely on Distribution connected resources to manage the system
The impact of these changes is being felt nowUK energy from coal hits zero for first time in over 100 years
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“The UK could save £17-40 bn across the electricity system from now to 2050 by deploying flexibility technologies”
Imperial College London, November 2016
Distribution networks are key to delivering cost effective decarbonisation in the UK market
UK Power Networks’ response is targeted at maximising our share of this value
“Three innovations will help us deliver this –interconnection, storage, and demand flexibility – which have the potential to displace part of the need for new generating capacity, to save money for businesses and domestic consumers and help the UK meet its climate reduction targets. The saving could be as large as £8 billion a year by 2030.”
National Infrastructure Commission, March 2016
© 2017. UK Power Networks. All rights reserved 9
The distributed energy world in 2030Distribution networks acting as a facilitator for a wide range of energy resources and market models
The UKPN world in 2030
~4 GW of storage
~13 GW of solar
~1.2 - 2m electric vehicles
Order of magnitude increase in risk, complexity and cost
Enabled by:
• Smart meters
• Distributed Generation
• Storage
• Micro Grids
• Community Energy and peer-to-peer
• Electric Vehicles
• Smart appliances
• Market and regulatory reform
• Demand flexibility
Transitioning from DNO to DSO Distribution System Operator roles
1. SO requests demand turn up or down from DSO
2. DSO contracts with generator to deliver
response to SO without constraining its network
= Distributed Energy Resources / Aggregators
Overall effect is to deliver SO service efficiently while maintaining reliabilitySO
DSO
Keeping the lights on
Fair and cost
effective grid access
Efficient and economic network
development
Supporting whole system
optimisation
Enablingmarkets
2
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Transitioning from DNO to
DSO
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• Using data from previous Innovation projects such as Low Carbon London, Flexible Plug and Play and Smarter Network Storage we are understanding how the DSO transition will affect losses.
Understanding the DSO transition
• Keeping costs down by managing losses.Efficient and
economic network development
• The increasingly active relationship between the DSO, distribution network customers and the GBSO requires additional coordination between the GBSO and DSO to ensure a beneficial whole system approach to managing the local and national electricity networks. This coordinated approach should reveal the locational value of DER, help to optimise losses, and provide the means to keep the system secure, doing so in a cost-effective manner.
Supporting whole system
optimisation
Network losses in the DSO transition
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Key components of our strategy
Building organisational capability
Losses Programme of Work
(LDR & Strategy)
Stakeholder engagement
LDR learning transferred back into business activities and processes
Our losses programme objectives
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• We have a strong track record of performance and will apply the same focus to network losses
• We plan to build on the success of the first LDR determination
• We aim to lead the wider national and international community in the development and implementation of loss management techniques
• We are committed to continual improvement of current approaches as our knowledge increases
• We endeavour to develop concepts and approaches that are original and innovative (Contact voltage losses for example)
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