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Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada Challenges & Opportunities 1 – 2 – 3 Canada’s Rapid AutoTech Evolution Ross McKenzie, Managing Director Waterloo Centre for Automotive Research

Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Page 1: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019

Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada Challenges & Opportunities 1 – 2 – 3 Canada’s Rapid AutoTech Evolution

Ross McKenzie, Managing Director Waterloo Centre for Automotive Research

Page 2: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

University of Waterloo 1. Largest Engineering School in Canada

2. Largest Mathematics Faculty in the World

3. Largest Co-operative Education Program in the World

4. Creator-owns Intellectual Property (IP) Policy

5. uWaterloo Velocity – Largest free business incubator in the World

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Page 3: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Page 4: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Water loo Centre for Automot ive Research

• 125 Professors • 415 Campus Researchers

uwaterloo.ca/watcar

Page 5: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada

Page 6: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Variety of Vehicles

• OEM Sourced

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Page 7: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Variety of Vehicles

• OEM Sourced Solo

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Page 8: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Variety of Vehicles

• OEM Sourced Solo OEM Partner

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Page 9: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Partner Shif ts

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Page 10: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Partner Shif ts

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Page 11: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Partner Shif ts

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Page 12: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Partner Shif ts

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Source: KNVX-TV Phoenix, Arizona

Page 13: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Partner Shif ts

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Page 14: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Project Titan

• OS or Vehicle?

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Page 15: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Project Titan

• OS or Vehicle?

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Page 16: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

AI in an AV

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Page 17: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

AI in an AV

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Page 18: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Highly Automated

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Page 19: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Highly Automated

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Page 20: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Waymo Pacif ica

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Page 21: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Autonomous Vehicles Challenges & Opportunities

Page 22: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Developing an Autonomous Vehicle

Canada’s first autonomous vehicle Autonomoose

Page 23: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Developing an Autonomous Vehicle

Canada’s first autonomous vehicle Autonomoose

Page 24: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Developing an Autonomous Vehicle

Radar

GPS Navigation Connectivity

Page 25: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Developing an Autonomous Vehicle

LiDAR

Radar

GPS Navigation

Localization and Mapping

Camera Vision

Connectivity

Detection, Tracking and Prediction

Motion Planning and Control

Page 26: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Developing an Autonomous Vehicle

LiDAR

Radar

GPS Navigation

Localization and Mapping

Power Management Safety

Camera Vision

Connectivity

Detection, Tracking and Prediction

Motion Planning and Control

Mobile Security Machine Learning

Page 27: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Canadian technology on an AV Platform

Page 28: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Canadian technology on an AV Platform

Page 29: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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5 Levels of Driving Automation

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Source: SAE Graphic: Intel

Page 30: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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AV Development / Functional Operation

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Source: SAE Graphic: Intel

Expectation – August 2016

75 % Development 25 % Operation

Page 31: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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AV Development / Functional Operation

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Source: SAE Graphic: Intel

Expectation – August 2016

75 % Development 25 % Operation

Result – August 2018

40 % Development 60 % Operation

Page 32: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Autonomous Vehicle Platform

Page 33: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Autonomous Vehicle Platform

Page 34: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Autonomous Vehicle Platform

Page 35: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Autonomous Vehicle Platform

Page 36: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Autonomous Vehicle 1 – 2 – 3

Page 37: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Required to Drive an Autonomous Vehicle

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1. Connected Infrastructure

Source: Library of Parliament, Canada

Page 38: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Required to Drive an Autonomous Vehicle

1. Connected Infrastructure 2. Automated Vehicle

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Page 39: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

1. Connected Infrastructure 2. Automated Vehicle 3. 3D Map

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Required to Drive an Autonomous Vehicle

Page 40: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

1. Connected Infrastructure 2. Automated Vehicle 3. 3D Map

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Required to Drive an Autonomous Vehicle

Source: Velodyne

Page 41: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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Open 3D Mapping

Page 42: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Autoonomous Vehicles Canada’s Rapid AutoTech Evolution

Page 43: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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CANADA’S AUTOMOTIVE CLUSTER AUTOMOTIVE OEMs

• 260 miles/415 km corridor

• 700+ supplier companies • 13 assembly lines • 5 powertrain facilities

Page 44: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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CANADA’S AUTOMOTIVE CLUSTER AUTOMOTIVE OEMs

• 260 miles/415 km corridor

• 700+ supplier companies • 13 assembly lines • 5 powertrain facilities • 3 OEM R&D centres

Page 45: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

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CANADA’S AUTOMOTIVE & IT CLUSTERS AUTOMOTIVE OEMs

• 260 miles/415 km corridor

• 700+ supplier companies • 13 assembly lines • 5 powertrain facilities • 9 OEM R&D centres

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (IT)

• 60 miles/110 km corridor • 15,000+ tech companies

ONLY NORTH AMERICA REGION WITH

OVERLAYING AUTO & IT CLUSTERS

500 km/310 miles to Waterloo

Page 46: Autonomous Vehicles... · 2019-01-14 · Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019 Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada . Challenges & Opportunities . 1 – 2 – 3

Automotive Outlook Conference January 13, 2019

Autonomous Vehicles Market Review USA/Canada Challenges & Opportunities 1 – 2 – 3 Canada’s Rapid AutoTech Evolution

Ross McKenzie, Managing Director Waterloo Centre for Automotive Research

uwaterloo.ca/watcar