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ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Tropical Oscillations
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Introduction
• MJO is an intraseasonal oscillation– Longer than synoptic-scale (2-5 days), shorter
than a season (~90 days)– Generally have periods of 7-70 days
• MJO is the primary intraseasonal oscillation in the tropics– Others have been identified
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Real-time MJO Monitoring
http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/matw/maproom/OLR_modes/amaps.all.50to20.gif
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Introduction
• Early 1970’s: Roland Madden and Paul Julian (NCAR) discovered a 40-50 day oscillation in the tropical zonal wind
• MJO (as it came to be known) is an easterly propagating wave in the atmosphere
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Characteristics of the MJO
• Wavenumber 1– Symmetrical and circular in shape
• Amplitude varies as wave travels around the globe– Has been observed to extend as much as 20°-30° away from the
equator
• Can be identified by a maximum in the upper level divergence field (200 mb)
• Frequently accompanied by convection– East of the Dateline, convection becomes uncoupled from the
wave
• Average phase speed = 10 m/s– Moves slower (5 m/s) between 60°E and the Dateline
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Characteristics of the MJO
• Dipole of upper level divergence between Indian Ocean (60°E - 120°E) and the central Pacific/SPCZ region
• Upper level divergence field moves around the globe– Convection tends to maximize in the Indian
Ocean, dissipate, then reform near 160°E
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Schematic of OLR evolution for 28-72 day time scales. A cycle of cloudiness goes from 1 to 2 to 3 to 4 to 1. OLR anomalies at 1/3 and 2/4 tend to be out-of-phase (From Weickmann et al. 1985 – Copyright American Meteorological Society)
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Observed Structure of MJO
• As wave approaches, easterly trades enhanced
• After passage of convection, westerly wind anomalies weaken or reverse easterly trades
• Convection dissipates over Pacific
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Example of MJO passage in OLR
Time-longitude section of the OLR anomalies for the MJO-filtered band averaged for the latitudes from 10°S to 2.5°N. The zero contour has been omitted. Light shading for positive anomalies and dark shading for negative anomalies (From Wheeler and Kiladis 1999 – Copyright American Meteorological Society
~40 day spacingbetween waves
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Importance of MJO
• Affects weather across the tropics– wind, SST, cloudiness, rainfall, oceanic
effects
• Has been connected to enhanced or suppressed times for tropical cyclogenesis, esp. in the eastern Pacific
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
MJO and Tropical Cyclones
• Maloney and Hartmann (2001) found that tropical cyclone formation in the EPAC was enhanced during the westerly wind phase of the MJO– Positive phase (westerly 850 mb zonal wind
anomalies
• Strength of EPAC tropical cyclones was also higher during the MJO positive phase
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Negative phasePositive phase
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
MJO and Tropical Cyclones
• Why are TCs enhanced during positive MJO phase?– Enhanced cyclonic vorticity north of westerly
wind anomalies– Enhanced convective activity– Enhanced low-level convergence– Near zero vertical wind shear
• Easterly MJO phase creates enhanced low-level divergence and higher shear
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Maloney and Hartmann (2000) Journal of Climate
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Enhanced convective activity
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Enhanced Low-level Convergence
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Enhanced Cyclonic Vorticity
Note anomalous cycloniccirculation
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Zero shear line farther south duringnegative MJO phase
Less north-south shear gradient in negative MJO phase (shown to be more unfavorable for genesis)
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Creation of Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE) by MJO phase (Maloney and Hartmann 2001)Allows for growth of disturbances
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
MJO and North American Monsoon
June – September precipitation in normally arid regions
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
MJO and North American Monsoon
• Lorenz and Hartmann (2006) found that positive zonal wind anomalies (more westerly) lead to above-normal precipitation in northwest Mexico and Arizona up to a week later
• MJO contributes moisture surges up Gulf of California– Westerly MJO phase amplifies easterly waves
off coast of Mexico
ATMS 373 C.C. Hennon, UNC Asheville
Simulation of MJO in Climate Models
• Previous climate models (Community Climate Model 3 (CCM3)) could only simulate a weak MJO that moved in the opposite direction– Weakness in convective scheme?
• Recent research (Zhang and Mu 2005) has resulted in a more accurate simulation– zonal wind, precipitation, OLR match closely– Period of oscillation shorter (~30 days) than observed
MJO (30-60 day)