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ASSESSMENT OF SEDIMENT QUALITY AND SOURCES IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES Prepared for Alberta Environment and Water March 23, 2012 by Dr Micheal Stone Department of Geography and Environmental Management University of Waterloo, 200 University Avenue West, Waterloo, Ontario N2L 3G1 [email protected] Dr Adrian Collins Principal Scientist Head of Water Quality Science ADAS UK Ltd. Environment Group Woodthorne Wergs Road Wolverhampton WV6 8TQ UK [email protected]

Assessment of Sediment Quality and Sources in the North ... · ASSESSMENT OF SEDIMENT QUALITY AND SOURCES IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES Prepared for Alberta

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Page 1: Assessment of Sediment Quality and Sources in the North ... · ASSESSMENT OF SEDIMENT QUALITY AND SOURCES IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES Prepared for Alberta

ASSESSMENT OF SEDIMENT QUALITY AND SOURCES

IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER

AND ITS TRIBUTARIES

Prepared for

Alberta Environment and Water

March 23, 2012

by

Dr Micheal Stone

Department of Geography and Environmental Management

University of Waterloo, 200 University Avenue West,

Waterloo, Ontario

N2L 3G1

[email protected]

Dr Adrian Collins

Principal Scientist

Head of Water Quality Science

ADAS UK Ltd.

Environment Group

Woodthorne

Wergs Road

Wolverhampton WV6 8TQ

UK

[email protected]

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Executive Summary

Alberta Environment has identified water quality in the North Saskatchewan River (NSR) as a

major issue to be addressed in the North Saskatchewan Regional Plan (NSRP). Knowledge of

the source, transport and fate of sediment-associated contaminants in this watershed is

fundamental to understanding and managing anthropogenic impacts on water quality and

related ecosystem services. This report presents the results of a sediment quality and source

assessment study conducted for Alberta Environment and Water to provide information

regarding the following two research questions;

1) What are the physical (grain size distribution), geochemical (mineralogy, major

element composition) and contaminant (trace metals, PAH) characteristics of

sediment in the North Saskatchewan River and its tributaries?

2) What are the key spatial sources of sediment in the NSR?

Summary of findings:

1. NSR and tributary sediments consist of varying concentrations of silicates (quartz),

feldspars (albite, microcline), micaceous phyllo-silicates (chlorite, muscovite), carbonates

(dolomite, calcite), clay minerals (smectite) and amorphous groups.

2. NSR sediments consist mainly of SiO2, Al2O3, CaO and Fe2O3. The relative proportions of

mineralogical properties and major element composition vary as a function of the regional

and local geology, predominant soil types and differenetial weathering rates in the

sediment source areas.

3. Chromium and nickel exceeded the consensus based threshold effect concentration (TEC)

by 28% and 20% of the NSR and tributary samples analyzed, respectively. Contrary to

the results of previous studies on the distribution of metals in the NSR metal which report

that metal concentrations increase downstream, no downstream increases in metal levels

were observed in the present study. Metal speciation data indicate that the majority of Cr

is bound to the largely non-bioavailable silicate phase and may represent a natural

geological source.

4. PAHs are present in the NSR sediment but at concentrations well below the consensus

based threshold effect condition for the congeners evaluated in this study. There was no

downstream increase in PAH levels. With the exception of samples at the Drayton Valley

Bridge and the Baptiste River near the mouth, the data suggests that PAHs are

predominantly of pyrolytic rather than petrogenic origin.

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5. Sediment pressures continue to represent cause for concern with respect to the ecological

vitality and amenity value of riverine systems, including those in Canada. Given that the

sources of fine-grained sediment are typically diffuse in nature, it is essential to adopt a

catchment-wide perspective to corresponding management strategies and sediment source

tracing procedures have proved useful in assisting such planning. Against this context,

the work in the NSR provided an opportunity for further application and testing of a

recently refined statistical procedure for sediment source discrimination with composite

fingerprints. The revised statistical verification of composite signatures was combined

with numerical mass balance modeling using recent refinements including a range of

tracer weightings, both local and GA optimization and diagnostic uncertainty analysis.

Comparison of the local and GA optimization outputs increased confidence in the latter

and the goodness-of-fit for the predicted spatial source contributions using the optimum

composite signatures selected from the revised statistical testing ranged from 0.95 – 0.97.

Overall relative frequency-weighted average median spatial source contributions were

estimated to be 11% (Vermilion River), 19% (Sturgeon River), 6% (Brazeau River), 12%

(Baptiste River), 11% (Nordegg River), 14% (Clearwater River), 15% (Ram River), 4%

(Bighorn River), 4% (Cline River) and 4% (Siffleur River). The study provides further

evidence of the utility of sediment tracing using composite geochemical signatures for

elucidating spatial sediment provenance in river systems.

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Table of Content

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................... I

1. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1

2. METHODS ...................................................................................................................... 2

2.1. STUDY APPROACH.................................................................................................... 2

2.2. STUDY AREA DESCRIPTION ..................................................................................... 4

2.3. SAMPLE LOCATIONS................................................................................................. 4

2.4. METHODS PART 1: ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES ....................................................... 6

2.4.1. Major elements: ................................................................................................... 6

2.4.2. Mineralogy: ......................................................................................................... 6

2.4.3. Trace elements: .................................................................................................... 6

2.4.4. Hg analysis: ......................................................................................................... 7

2.4.5. Metal Fractionation: ........................................................................................... 7

2.4.6. PAHs: ................................................................................................................... 8

2.4.7. Particle size analysis, TC and TN: ...................................................................... 8

2.4.8. Sediment Quality Guidelines for Freshwater Ecosystems ................................... 9

2.5. METHODS PART 2: STATISTICAL DISCRIMINATION OF POTENTIAL TRIBUTARY SUB-

CATCHMENT SPATIAL SEDIMENT SOURCES ON THE NSR .................................................... 10

2.5.1. Numerical mass balance modeling of spatial sediment source contributions on

the NSR 17

3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ................................................................................... 20

3.1. PART 1 – SEDIMENT QUALITY ASSESSMENT .............................................. 20

3.1.1. Mineralogy ......................................................................................................... 20

3.1.2. Particle Size ....................................................................................................... 21

3.1.3. Major Element Composition .............................................................................. 25

3.1.4. Trace Elements .................................................................................................. 27

3.1.4.1. Total Metals .............................................................................................. 27

3.1.4.2. Metal Speciation in Sediment ................................................................... 32

3.1.5. PAHs .................................................................................................................. 34

3.1.5.1. Total PAHs ................................................................................................ 34

3.2. PART 2 – SEDIMENT SOURCE APPORTIONMENT ......................................... 39

4. CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................... 44

5. REFERENCES ............................................................................................................. 45

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List of Tables Table 1: Sediment sampling locations on the NSR and its tributaries ........................... 5

Table 2: The results of the Lilliefors test for Normality. ............................................. 12 Table 3: Geochemical fingerprint properties passing the mass conservation test. ...... 14 Table 4: Ranked KW test results. ................................................................................ 15 Table 5: Ranked property loadings provided by the outputs of the PCA. ................... 16 Table 6: The optimum composite signatures selected using KW and PCA. ............... 17

Table 7: Mineralogy of NSR and tributary sediment (% by weight) ........................... 20 Table 8: Particle size characteristics in NSR and tributary sediment. ........................ 22 Table 9: Specific surface area and textural composition of NSR and tributary sediment

...................................................................................................................................... 23

Table 10: Major element composition in NSR and tributary sediment. ...................... 25 Table 11: Total metal concentrations in NSR sediments (µg/g) .................................. 29 Table 12: Total metal concentrations in tributary sediments (µg/g) ............................ 29

Table 13: Summary of PAHs in NSR and tributary sediment (µg/kg) ........................ 34 Table 14: The goodness-of-fit (GOF) for the mixing model runs based on each

composite signature. .................................................................................................... 41 Table 15: Relative frequency-weighted average median spatial sediment source

contributions, based on each optimum composite fingerprint. .................................... 41 Table 16: Results of the diagnostic evaluation of the uncertainty associated with the

mass balance modelling for spatial sediment sources on the NSR. ............................. 42

List of Figures Figure 1: Statistical and numerical modeling components of the composite sediment

fingerprinting procedure. ............................................................................................. 11 Figure 2: Temporal downstream variation in grain size characteristics of NSR

sediments...................................................................................................................... 24

Figure 3: Downstream variation in SiO2, Fe2O3 and Al2O3. ........................................ 26 Figure 4: Downstream variation in MgO and CaO ...................................................... 27

Figure 5: Spatial and temporal variation in Co, Cr, Ni and Pb in NSR and tributary

sediments...................................................................................................................... 30 Figure 6: Inter-annual (2010 & 2011) and spatial variation in total metal concentration

of NSR sediment .......................................................................................................... 31

Figure 7: Inter-annual variation in Pb, Hg, Ni, Zn speciation in NSR sediment ......... 33 Figure 8: Spatial and temporal variation of total PAHs in NSR sediment .................. 35

Figure 9: Spatial and temporal variation of individual PAHs in NSR sediment ......... 36 Figure 10: Ratios of PHE:ANT and FLT:PYR for NSR and tributary sediments. ...... 38 Figure 11: Probability density functions (pdfs) for the predicted deviate median

relative contributions from each tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment source

identified for the NSR .................................................................................................. 40

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1. INTRODUCTION

Knowledge of the source, transport, fate and effect of sediment-associated contaminants in

rivers is fundamental to understanding and managing anthropogenic impacts on water quality

and ecosystem health. The North Saskatchewan River (NSR) receives inputs of a variety of

sediment and associated contaminants from multiple sources that include municipal and

industrial wastewater discharges, storm and combined sewer discharges, tributary inputs,

diffuse overland sources, direct erosion from banks and riparian areas and the erosion of river

bed deposits (AECOM, 2011; Donahue, 2009). However, the chemical, physical and

biological characteristics sediment in the NSR has not been fully elucidated and additional

information is required to assess their provenance, storage (short and long term), fate and

environmental impact (bioavailability and toxicity). Accordingly, a sediment quality

assessment program is required as a first step towards identifying areas containing probable

contamination and addresses the following three questions

1) What is the nature and spatial extent of chemical contaminants in NSR sediments

relative to appropriate upstream reference conditions and

2) What sediments have sufficiently high concentrations of chemical contaminants

that present unacceptable risks to humans or aquatic biota?

3) What are the primary tributary sources of sediment to the NSR?

To address these questions and more fully quantify the physical and chemical properties of

sediment in the NSR, this report presents the results of a sediment quality and source

assessment conducted for Alberta Environment and Water to 1) evaluate the physical (grain

size distribution), geochemical (mineralogy, major element composition) and contaminant

(trace metals, PAH) characteristics of sediment in the North Saskatchewan River and its

tributaries and 2) to reconstruct longer term sediment provenance originating from key spatial

source units using a sediment fingerprinting model. The geochemical and contaminant data

are presented and discussed in the context of their spatial (gradient from headwater sites to

downstream) and temporal (inter-annual) variation. An assessment for sediment quality

conditions in the NSR is provided by comparing the contaminant data (trace elements, PAHs)

to sediment quality guidelines (SQGs) that include the consensus based Threshold Effect

Concentration (TEC) and Probable Effect concentration (PEC) reported by MacDonald et al.,

(2000).

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Specific objectives of the study are to:

1) evaluate spatial and temporal variability of the geochemical (mineralogy, major

elements) and contaminant (trace elements, PAH) properties of archived sediment

samples collected in 2010 and 2011 at 20 sampling stations in the NSR and an

additional 10 composite samples collected at the confluence of key tributaries to the

NSR and

2) use a novel source apportionment framework combining statistical approaches for

discrimination and numerical mass balance modelling of sediment in the NSR.

2. METHODS

2.1. Study Approach

There is a paucity of data on the physical, chemical and biological properties of sediment in

the North Saskatchewan River (NSR). The approach taken in this study was to conduct a

sediment quality assessment along the main stem of the NSR and 10 of its tributaries to obtain

scientifically credible information that will allow improved description of baseline sediment

quality and its potential impact on aquatic biota in the NSR. The study was conducted in two

parts to 1) determine the geochemical and contaminant properties and 2) evaluate key spatial

sources of sediment in the NSR.

Part 1 of the study was designed to determine the geochemical and contaminant properties of

NSR and tributary sediment using archived sediment samples collected by Alberta

Environment and Water at 20 sampling stations along the main stem of the NSR in 2010 and

2011. An additional 10 composite samples were collected in 2011 at the confluence of key

tributaries to the NSR. Trace element (ICP/MS multi-element scan), mineralogy (XRD),

major element composition (XRF), PAH (16 congeners), total metals and metal speciation

(sequential leaching), total nitrogen and carbon and particle size distribution of the samples

were determined to evaluate spatial (downstream gradient) and temporal (inter-annual)

variation in the sediment parameters. The data are compared to consensus based sediment

quality guidelines for freshwater ecosystems (MacDonald et al., 2000).

Part 2 of the study was designed to provide information regarding sediment contributions

originating from key spatial source units in the NSR using a recently revised composite

fingerprinting procedure outlined in Collins et al. (2010a,b, in press). There is a growing

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requirement for implementing improved catchment management strategies aimed at

controlling sediment mobilisation and delivery to watercourses to help support the

maintenance of good water quality and ecological status. Excess sediment can degrade the

aquatic environment since elevated turbidity levels reduce light penetration through the water

column, decreasing the depth of the photic zone and impacting on levels of primary

production (Kiffney and Bull, 2000; Devlin et al., 2008). Well-documented specific impacts

of excess sediment as a stressor on aquatic ecology include, amongst others, the siltation of

fish spawning gravels and smothering of incubating progeny, gill clogging, histological

changes, reduced resistance to disease and suppressed feeding efficiency (Wood and

Armitage, 1997; Milner et al., 2003; Greig et al., 2005, Bilotta and Brazier, 2008). Further

deleterious impacts can be associated with the importance of sediment redistribution in the

transfer, dispersal and fate of harmful excess nutrients and contaminants (Warren et al., 2003;

Kronvang et al., 2003; Chalmers et al., 2007; Horowitz, 2008; Yakutina, 2011). Sediment is

therefore increasingly identified as a priority pollutant requiring improved management and

abatement.

Since water policy requires mitigation strategies to be introduced to tackle diffuse pollution

from agriculture and other key sources, there is a need to adopt a catchment-wide perspective

in developing sediment management plans, since off-site sediment problems reflect diffuse

inputs from across contributing areas. Deploying traditional measurement and monitoring

techniques on a spatially-distributed basis faces many logistical problems and issues of cost

and as a result, sediment source tracing procedures have been increasingly used to document

key sediment sources at catchment scale (Caitcheon, 1998; Foster and Lees, 2000; Motha et

al., 2004; Walling, 2005; Foster et al., 2007; Minella et al., 2008; Davis and Fox, 2009;

Wilkinson et al., 2009; Hatfield and Maher, 2009; Pittam et al., 2009; Bird et al., 2010;

Walling et al., 2011).

Against the context of the increasing application of sediment source tracing techniques, recent

work has exploited the scope for further refinements to the methodologies involved. For

example, recent efforts have focused on revising numerical mass balance models to

incorporate weightings for within-source property variation and tracer discriminatory power,

prior information on inputs from specific sources and the inclusion of Latin Hypercube

Sampling (LHS) to improve the efficiency of repeat iterations during Monte Carlo analysis

(Collins et al., 2010a). In addition, Monte Carlo frameworks for sediment mixing models

have recently been revised to include genetic algorithm (GA) optimization alongside more

conventional local search tools, to help assess confidence in mixing model outputs with

respect to predicting measured sediment geochemistry (Collins et al., 2010b). In addition,

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although less attention has been directed towards exploring the scope for refining the

statistical components of sediment source tracing methodologies, the need to verify

statistically, the selection and discriminatory efficiency of composite signatures remains of

paramount importance. Consequently, the recent work of Collins et al. (2012) has devised

and applied a sediment source fingerprinting procedure with a revised statistical component

for selecting and confirming the discriminatory efficiency of geochemical composite

signatures. This study extends that procedure further by including diagnostic uncertainty

analysis for the components of the numerical mass balance model.

2.2. Study Area Description

The source waters of the NSR originate from the Saskatchewan Glacier in Banff National

Park. The river flows east from the Rocky Mountains across Alberta to Saskatchewan. It has a

total length of about 1,000km and drains an area of approximately 55,000km2. Mean annual

discharge of the NSR at the Alberta Saskatchewan border is ~7 billion m3. The main

tributaries of the NSR in the headwaters are the Brazeau, Ram, and Clearwater rivers. The

Sturgeon and Vermillion rivers contribute flow downstream of Edmonton. Two dams

(Brazeau and Bighorn) were designed to regulate river discharge and are located in the upper

reaches of the NSR. During the winter, flows are low but increase dramatically in late spring

and early summer during snowmelt and rain events. Flow regulation and storage have altered

seasonal patterns and resulted in somewhat lower summer flows and higher winter flows. The

NSR basin drains a wide range of physiographic settings that differ in climate, geology, soils

and landscape, elevation and natural vegetation. The regions include the Rocky Mountain,

Foothills, Boreal Forest and Grassland regions but the majority of the drainage area is within

the Central Parkland Natural Region (AECOM, 2011; Donahue, 2009).

2.3. Sample Locations

Grab samples of fine grained river bed/bank sediment deposits were collected by an Alberta

Environment and Water team at 20 Long term river network (LTRN) monitoring sites along

the NSR from Rocky Mountain House to Lloydminister in 2010 and 2011. An additional 10

samples (fine-grained river bed/bank sediment) were collected at the confluence of 10

tributaries of the NSR to evaluate the source apportionment of sediment from key spatial

source units. A list of all sample locations and their distance downstream on the NSR is

provided in Table 1.

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Sediment samples were frozen and kept in storage until they were transported to Activation

Labs located in Ancaster, Ontario for physical, geochemical and contaminant analysis. All

methods reported below are standard analytical procedures. The accuracy of analyses for each

method is reported by comparing the analytical results with stated reference values. QA/QC

and method detection limits are provided for each analysis.

Table 1: Sediment sampling locations on the NSR and its tributaries

Site Latitude Longitude

Distance

(km)

Cline River u/s of Abraham Lake Tributary 521016 1162849 30

Siffleur River u/s confluence with NSR Tributary 520306 1162335 46

Bighorn River u/s confluence with NSR Tributary 522040 1161700 67

Ram River u/s confluence with NSR Tributary 522205 1152430 142

NSR at Rocky Mtn House Mainstem 522712 1145911 186

Clearwater River @ Rocky Mntn House Tributary 522040 1145610 191

NSR 1 km above Bapiste River Mainstem 533746 1150246 228

Baptiste River near the mouth Tributary 523952 1150434 229

Brazeau River at Brazeau Dam Tributary 530058 1154557 266

NSR at Drayton Valley Mainstem 531233 1145611 320

NSR at Tomahawk Mainstem 531911 1144434 346

NSR at Genesee Bridge Mainstem 532240 1141642 407

NSR at Genesee Bridge Mainstem 532238 1141651 407

NSR at Devon Mainstem 532221 1134422 449

NSR at Devon Mainstem 532215 1134422 449

NSR at Anthony Henday Mainstem 532743 1133649 471

NSR u/s of Qunesnell Br Mainstem 533020 1133402 482

NSR at Walterdale Br. Mainstem 533154 1133044 491

NSR at Beverly Bridge Mainstem 533404 1132242 505

NSR at Beverly Bridge Mainstem 533403 1132230 505

NSR 0.5 km u/s Horsehills Ck Mainstem 533741 1131915 516

NSR u/s Fort Sask at Hwy 15 Br Mainstem 534143 1131515 528

Sturgeon River at Hwy 825 Tributary 534714 1131324 539

NSR at Vinca Bridge Mainstem 535243 1130002 555

NSR at Vinca Bridge Mainstem 535209 1130228 555

NSR at Waskatenau Br. Mainstem 540331 1124631 583

NSR at Pakan Mainstem 535933 1122705 611

NSR at Pakan Mainstem 535927 1122711 611

NSR at Duvernay Mainstem 534723 1114204 687

NSR at Myrnam Mainstem 534514 1111360 722

NSR at Elk Point Mainstem 535136 1105319 747

Vermilion River confluence with NSR Tributary 533920 1102020 799

NSR at Lea Park Mainstem 533934 1102014 799

NSR at Lloydminister Ferry LB Mainstem 533603 1095948 830

NSR at Lloydminister Ferry RB Mainstem 533557 1100007 830

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2.4. Methods Part 1: Analytical Procedures

2.4.1. Major elements:

Concentrations of major elements (Al2O3, Fe2O3, MnO, MgO, CaO, Na2O, K2O, TiO2, P2O5,

Cr2O3, SiO2) and loss on ignition (LOI) were determined by X-ray fluorescence. Prior to

fusion, the loss on ignition (LOI), which includes H2O, CO2 , S and other volatiles, can be

determined from the weight loss after roasting the sample at 1050°C for 2 hours. The fusion

disk is made by mixing a 0.5 g equivalent of the roasted sample with 6.5 g of a combination

of lithium metaborate and lithium tetraborate with lithium bromide as a releasing

agent. Samples are fused in Pt crucibles using an automated crucible fluxer and automatically

poured into Pt molds for casting. Samples are analyzed on a Panalytical Axios Advanced

wavelength dispersive XRF. The intensities are then measured and the concentrations are

calculated against the standard G-16 provided by Dr. K. Norrish of CSIRO, Australia. Matrix

corrections were done by using the oxide alpha - influence coefficients provided also by Dr

K. Norrish. In general, the limit of detection is about 0.01 wt% for most of the elements.

2.4.2. Mineralogy:

Quantitative mineralogy of the NSR sediment was determined by X-ray diffraction (XRD).

Mineral identification is made by comparing diffraction patterns with a library of over 17,000

mineral patterns stored in the International Centre for Diffraction Data (ICDD). Detection

limits depend on the nature of the sample. It is estimated that the minerals present in less than

3% of the sample might not be detected. The samples for X-ray diffraction analysis are

ground or milled to a fine powder and then hand pressed into a 1cm3 sample holder.

2.4.3. Trace elements:

Concentrations of Al, As, Ba, Bi, Cd, Ce, Co, Cr, Cs, Cu, Dy, Er, Eu, Fe, Ga, Gd, Gd, Hf,

Ho, In, K, La, Li, Mg, Mn, Mo, Na, Nd, Ni, Pb, Pd, Pr, Rb, Sb, Sc, Sm, Sn, Sr, Tb, Ti, Tl, U,

V, Y, Yb, Zn, and Zr were measured using ICP-MS. A 0.5 g sample is digested in aqua regia

at 90°C in a microprocessor controlled digestion block for 2 hours. The solution is diluted and

analyzed by ICP/MS using a Perkin Elmer SCIEX ELAN 6000, 6100 or 9000 ICP/MS. One

blank is run for every 68 samples. An in-house control is run every 33 samples. Digested

standards are run every 68 samples. After every 15 samples, a digestion duplicate is analyzed

and the instrument is recalibrated every 68 samples. Certain elements (Ti, P and S) are

analyzed by ICP/OES using a Varian 735 ES. This extends the dynamic range for a number of

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elements as well. International certified reference materials USGS GXR-1, GXR-2, GXR-4

and GXR-6 are analyzed at the beginning and end of each batch of samples. Internal control

standards are analyzed every 10 samples and a duplicate is run for every 10 samples. This

digestion is not total and will not dissolve silicates some oxides and resistant minerals (e.g.,

zircon, monazite, sphene, etc.).

2.4.4. Hg analysis:

A 0.5 g sample is digested with aqua regia at 90ºC. The Hg in the resulting solution is

oxidized to the stable divalent form. Since the concentration of Hg is determined via the

absorption of light at 253.7 nm by Hg vapour, Hg (II) is reduced to the volatile free atomic

state using stannous chloride. Argon is bubbled through the mixture of sample and reductant

solutions to liberate and to transport the Hg atoms into an absorption cell. The cell is placed in

the light path of an Atomic Absorption Spectrophotometer. The maximum amount absorbed

(peak height) is directly proportional to the concentration of mercury atoms in the light path.

Measurement can be performed manually or automatically using a flow injection technique

(FIMS). Hg analysis is performed on a Perkin Elmer FIMS 100 cold vapour Hg analyzer.

Detection limit is 5 ppb.

2.4.5. Metal Fractionation:

To gain a better understanding of biological and geochemical processes, sequential extraction

techniques can be used to obtain information about the 'solid-speciation' of metals in soils and

aquatic sediments (Martin et al., 1987; Tessier and Campbell, 1988). The technique provides

data that should be interpreted as a gradient for the physicochemical association strength

between trace elements and solid particles (Martin et al., 19870. While some authors suggest

that the biological availability of metal can be estimated using these techniques (Tessier and

Campbell, 1988), sequential extraction data are used in this study primarily as a method to

provide information about the relative distribution of metals in various geochemical phases of

sediment in the NSR and its tributaries. Detailed information about the bioavailability and

toxicity of metals in the sediment samples would require additional analytical procedures not

conducted in this study.

Sediment samples undergo a sequential leaching process; starting with the weakest leach to

the strongest leach and the solutions are analyzed on a Perkin Elmer ELAN 6000, 6100 or

9000 ICP/MS. One matrix blank is analyzed per 49 samples. Two controls are run at the

beginning and end of the group of 49 samples. Duplicate samples are leached and run every

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10 samples. The sequential leaching method produces the following five operationally

defined metal fractions: Fraction 1: exchangeable metals are determined by leaching a 0.75 g

sample in a water matrix at 30°C for 1 hour. Two controls for every 49 samples are leached in

the same procedure; Fraction 2: exchangeable cations adsorbed by clay and elements co-

precipitated with carbonates are extracted with a sodium acetate leach at pH 5. Fraction 3:

Elements adsorbed by organic material (humic and fulvic components) are extracted with a

0.1M sodium pyrophosphate leach. Fraction 4: Amorphous and crystalline Fe oxides

and crystalline Mn oxides using a hot hydroxylamine leach and Fraction 5: a four acid

digestion is used to dissolve remnant silicate materials remaining. The sum of fractions 1 to 4

is subtracted from the total metal content to determine the residual metal content (Fraction 5).

2.4.6. PAHs:

Individual congeners for the standard list of 16 PAHs were extracted in sediment samples

(about 2 g) for 16 h with 100 ml acetone/dichloromethane/n-hexane (1:1:1, v/v/v) in Soxhlet

apparatus (U.S. EPA, 1996a). The concentrated extract was cleaned up using a florisil column

according to the EPA Standard Method 3620B (U.S. EPA, 1996b). Deuterated PAHs

[naphthalene-d8 (d8-Nap), acenaphthene-d10 (d10-Ace), phenanthrene-d10 (d10-Phe),

chrysened12 (d12-Chr) and perylene-d12 (d12-Per)] were used as internal standards for

quantification. The extracts were analyzed for PAHs using a Hewlett-Packard (HP) 6890N

gas chromatograph (GC) coupled with a HP-5973mass selective detector (MSD) and a 30

m×0.25 mm×0.25 μm DB-5 capillary column (J & W Scientific Co. Ltd., USA) using the

EPA Standard method 8270C (U.S. EPA, 1996c). Sixteen US EPA priority 2- to 6-ring PAHs

were detected by GC with mass spectrometry (GC-MS): Naphthalene (Nap), acenaphthylene

(Acy), acenaphthene (Ace), fluorine (Fl), phenanthrenes (Phe), anthracene (Ant), fluoranthene

(Flu), pyrene (Pyr), benzo(a)anthracene (BaA), chrysene (Chr), benzo(b)

fluoranthene+benzo(k)fluoranthene (B(b+k)F), benzo(a)pyrene (BaP), indeno(1,2,3-

c,d)pyrene (IcdP), dibenzo(a,h)anthracene (DBA), and benzo(g,h,i)perylene (BghiP).

Benzo(b)fluoranthene and benzo(k) fluoranthene co-eluted and therefore were quantified

together.

2.4.7. Particle size analysis, TC and TN:

Particle size distributions and specific surface area (SSA) were measured using a Malvern

Mastersizer 2000. The median diameter (D50) and the diameter for the 10th and 90

th % of each

size distribution (D10, D90) are presented.

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Total carbon (volatile organic carbon species) was determined by heating a 0.1 g sample in a

pure oxygen environment at 380 o

C. The carbon (TC) is measured as carbon dioxide in an IR

cell.

2.4.8. Sediment Quality Guidelines for Freshwater Ecosystems

Numerical sediment quality guidelines (SQGs; including sediment quality criteria, sediment

quality objectives, and sediment quality standards) have been developed by various federal,

state and provincial agencies in North America for both freshwater and marine ecosystems.

SQGs are used in numerous applications, including designing monitoring programs,

interpreting historical data, evaluating the need for detailed sediment quality assessments,

conducting remedial investigations and ecological risk assessments, and developing sediment

quality remediation objectives (Long and MacDonald 1998). Numerical SQGs have also been

used to identify contaminants of concern in aquatic ecosystems and to rank areas of concern

on a regional or national basis (US EPA 1997a). When used in combination with other tools,

such as sediment toxicity tests, SQGs represent a useful approach to assess sediment quality

in freshwater and marine environments (Mac-Donald et al. 1992; US EPA 1992, 1996, 1997a;

Adams et al. 1992; Ingersoll et al. 1996, 1997).

In North America, SQGs have been developed using a variety of approaches. The approaches

selected by individual jurisdictions depend on the receptors that are to be considered (e.g.,

sediment-dwelling organisms, wildlife, or humans), the degree of protection that is to be

afforded, the geographic area to which the values are intended to apply (e.g., site-specific,

regional, or national), and their intended uses (e.g., screening tools, remediation objectives,

identifying toxic and not-toxic samples, bioaccumulation assessment). Guidelines for

assessing sediment quality relative to the potential for adverse effects on sediment-dwelling

organisms in freshwater systems have been derived using a combination of theoretical and

empirical approaches, primarily including the equilibrium partitioning approach (EqPA; Di

Toro et al. 1991; NYSDEC 1994; US EPA 1997a), screening level concentration approach

(SLCA; Persaud et al. 1993), effects range approach (ERA; Long and Morgan 1991; Ingersoll

et al. 1996), effects level approach (ELA; Smith et al. 1996; Ingersoll et al. 1996), and

apparent effects threshold approach (AETA; Cubbage et al. 1997). Application of these

methods has resulted in the derivation of numerical SQGs for many chemicals of potential

concern in freshwater sediments.

An evaluation of consensus-based SQGs was conducted by MacDonald et al., (2000) to

provide a basis for determining the ability of these tools to predict the presence, absence, and

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frequency of sediment toxicity in field-collected sediments from various locations across the

United States. They conclude that consensus-based SQGs can be used to identify hot spots

with respect to sediment contamination, determine the potential for and spatial extent of

injury to sediment-dwelling organisms, evaluate the need for sediment remediation, and

support the development of monitoring programs to further assess the extent of contamination

and the effects of contaminated sediments on sediment-dwelling organisms. Accordingly,

consensus based Threshold Effect Conditions (TECs) proposed by MacDonald et al., (2000)

for metals and PAHs are often used to identify hot spots with respect to sediment

contamination and determine the potential for and spatial extent of injury to sediment-

dwelling organisms in the NSR. In this report, consensus based Threshold Effect Conditions

(TECs) are used to assess the level of metal and PAH contamination in NSR and tributary

sediments.

2.5. Methods Part 2: Statistical discrimination of potential tributary sub-

catchment spatial sediment sources on the NSR

For the purpose of this work, spatial sediment sources on the NSR were classified on the basis

of ten individual tributary sub-catchments, namely; the Vermilion River, Sturgeon River,

Brazeau River, Baptiste River, Nordegg River, Clearwater River, Ram River, Bighorn River,

Cline River and Siffleur River. Sediment sourcing therefore aimed to assess the relative

inputs from these ten spatial sources to the channel bed sediment samples collected along the

main stem of the NSR. The need to verify statistically the discriminatory power of composite

signatures remains of paramount importance for the robust application of sediment source

tracing. Use of a range of statistical techniques and tests to confirm affinities between

replicate source samples on the basis of fingerprint properties, to test the discriminatory

power of those properties and to confirm robust composite fingerprints has been reported in

the literature.

Many studies have used the two-stage procedure combining either the Mann-Whitney U-test

or Kruskal-Wallis H-test with Discriminant Function Analysis (DFA) proposed by Collins et

al. (1997) or dérivatives thereof (Walling et al., 1999; Owens et al., 1999; Bottrill et al., 2000;

Owens et al., 2000; Carter et al., 2003; Walling et al., 2006, 2008; Minella et al., 2008;

Hughes et al., 2009; Bird et al., 2010). Alternatively, meaningful combinations of properties

have been selected using analysis of variance (ANOVA) combined with DFA (Motha et al.,

2004), ANOVA coupled with cluster analysis (Walling and Woodward, 1995), principal

components analysis (PCA) followed by DFA (Foster et al., 2007), hierarchical cluster

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analysis (de Boer and Crosby, 1995), multivariate cluster analysis using the Pattern Analysis

Package (PATN) (Yu and Oldfield, 1989), R- and Q-mode factor analysis (Jenns et al., 2002)

or the Mann-Whitney U-test on its own (Stott, 1986).

More recently, fuzzy clustering has been used as an alternative to hierarchical or k-means

analysis to demonstrate the use of fingerprint property ratio data for source discrimination

(Hatfield et al., 2008). As the above experience has continued to be disseminated by the

sediment research community, some tracing studies have used combinations of properties

selected a priori (Olley et al., 1993; Caitcheon, 1993; Walling and Amos, 1999; Oldfield et

al., 1999; Wallbrink et al., 2003; Walling et al., 2003; Wilkinson et al., 2010). Whilst a priori

selection can generally be justified on the basis of wider experience, it remains important to

demonstrate that a suite of properties reliably distinguishes the set of source samples being

used and that the individual members of a composite signature each contribute robustly to

discrimination.

Figure 1: Statistical and numerical modeling components of the composite sediment

fingerprinting procedure.

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Figure 1 above summarizes the refined statistical procedure (Collins et al., 2012) applied

during this study on the NSR. It was considered important to test for Normality prior to

proceeding with the selection of metrics for fingerprint property parameter location and scale

(Arcones and Wang, 2006). Accordingly, the Lilliefors test (Lilliefors, 1969; Henderson,

2006) was used to assess the Normality of the fingerprint property dataset for the tributary

sub-catchment spatial sediment sources on the NSR. The Lilliefors test represents an

adaptation of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and provides a two-sided goodness-of-fit

procedure in situations where the fully specified null population for each fingerprint property

is unknown, thereby requiring the estimation of its parameters using the significance of

comparison at p = 0.05. During the application of the Lilliefors test, the sample mean and

standard deviation were used to represent the corresponding values for the benchmark

population against which the measured fingerprint property data were compared. Table 2

shows that the majority of the fingerprint properties used to characterize the tributary sub-

catchment spatial sediment sources failed the Lilliefors test, thereby confirming that the data

were non-uniform in distribution.

The revised statistical verification of composite signatures (Collins et al., 2012) explored the

use of genetic algorithm-driven Discriminant Function Analysis (GA-DFA), the Kruskal-

Table 2: The results of the Lilliefors test for Normality.

Property P value Property P value Property P value

Li 0.140 As 0.035* Th 0.500

Na 0.245 Rb 0.454 U 0.076

Mg 0.001* Y 0.401 SiO2 0.183

Al 0.093 Sr 0.184 Al2O3 0.103

K 0.028* Zr 0.039* Fe2O3(T) 0.430

Ca 0.001* Nb 0.004* MnO 0.500

V 0.013* Ba 0.379 MgO 0.001*

Cr 0.095 La 0.500 CaO 0.001*

Mn 0.009* Ce 0.500 Na2O 0.500

Fe 0.017* Pr 0.500 K2O 0.472

Hf 0.141 Nd 0.500 TiO2 0.038*

Ni 0.187 Sm 0.500 P2O5 0.500

Er 0.106 Gd 0.354 Cr2O3 0.001*

Be 0.008* Tb 0.001* V2O5 0.5

Ho 0.072 Dy 0.042* Zn 0.001*

Cs 0.251 Cu 0.015* Ga 0.017*

Co 0.500 Ge 0.001* Tl 0.232

Eu 0.500 Tm 0.001* Pb 0.500

Bi 0.014* Yb 0.111

Se 0.001* Re 0.001*

* statistically significant values at p = 0.05

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On the basis of the results for the Lilliefors test, tracer parameter distributions were defined

using the measured median and robust scaling estimator nQ proposed by Rousseeuw and

Croux (1993) as an alternative to the median absolute deviation (MAD):

)(; kjin jixxdQ [1]

where d is a constant factor (1.0483), ji xx is the pairwise distances and k =

2

n

4/2

nwhere 1

2

nh is roughly half the number of the observations. The same

procedure was applied for defining the fingerprint property tracer distributions for the

sediment samples collected at the outlet of the study area on the basis of measured data. In

situations where the fingerprint property data satisfy the Lilliefors test, tracer parameter

distributions would be defined using conventional location (mean) and scale (standard

deviation) estimators (Figure 1). The ranges of the fingerprint property values (derived using

the values measured on the single composite sample from each tributary confluence, plus an

assumed 20% CV) for each tributary sub-catchment spatial source category (with corrections

described in the subsequent section on mass balance modeling) were used to define parameter

space for a mass conservation test (Figure 1; Table 3) and only those properties for which the

main stem sediment sample ranges were located in the mixing polygon were entered into the

statistical analysis for spatial sediment source discrimination (cf. Collins et al., 2010b) Wallis

H-test (KW) and Principal Components Analysis (PCA). The sample numbers available for

this project did not permit the GA-DFA to be used to identify optimum signatures, but this

particular procedure was deployed to confirm the discriminatory power of both the individual

properties and the composite signatures selected using the KW test and PCA.

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Table 3: Geochemical fingerprint properties passing the mass conservation test.

Li Bi Ge

Na Zn Yb

Mg Ga Tl

Al As Pb

K Rb Th

Ca Y U

V Sr SiO2

Cr Zr Al2O3

Mn Ba Fe2O3(T)

Fe La MnO

Hf Ce MgO

Ni Pr CaO

Er Nd Na2O

Be Sm K2O

Ho Gd TiO2

Cs Tb P2O5

Co Dy V2O5

Eu Cu

During the application of the KW test, the Chi-square and p-value associated with each

property passing the mass conservation test was ranked (Table 4) and an optimum composite

signature identified using the highest ranked properties (Table 5). Each individual property

comprising the composite fingerprint, as well as the property set in its entirety, was passed

through the GA-DFA to calculate the tracer discriminatory weightings and the total

discriminatory efficiency of the set of properties (Table 5). On this basis, the KW selected

optimum composite fingerprint correctly classified 80% of the tributary sub-catchment spatial

source samples. The error associated with this discrimination should be borne in mind when

interpreting the results of the corresponding numerical modeling.

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Table 4: Ranked KW test results.

Property H Value p Property H Value p

Li 25.03 0.003 Zr 24.13 0.004

Na 27.69 0.001 Ba 25.80 0.002

Mg 26.81 0.002 La 24.18 0.004

Al 25.63 0.002 Ce 23.88 0.004

K 18.53 0.029 Pr 23.85 0.005

Ca 27.63 0.001 Nd 23.61 0.005

V 25.50 0.002 Sm 23.96 0.004

Cr 26.85 0.001 Gd 23.48 0.005

Mn 21.55 0.010 Tb 22.37 0.008

Fe 23.83 0.005 Dy 23.09 0.006

Hf 26.27 0.002 Cu 25.90 0.002

Ni 23.25 0.006 Ge 25.28 0.003

Er 24.88 0.003 Yb 25.96 0.002

Be 22.97 0.006 Tl 24.31 0.004

Ho 22.53 0.007 Pb 20.54 0.015

Cs 24.57 0.003 Th 25.02 0.003

Co 18.09 0.034 U 21.99 0.009

Eu 24.90 0.003 SiO2 22.63 0.007

Bi 26.39 0.002 Al2O3 24.50 0.004

Zn 24.54 0.004 Fe2O3(T) 24.45 0.004

Ga 22.65 0.007 MnO 21.84 0.009

As 26.41 0.002 MgO 27.23 0.001

Rb 22.75 0.007 CaO 27.68 0.001

Y 24.64 0.003 Na2O 27.84 0.001

Sr 27.18 0.001 K2O 21.53 0.011

P2O5 21.60 0.010 TiO2 24.29 0.004

V2O5 25.63 0.002

An alternative robust optimum composite fingerprint was identified using PCA by selecting

the properties with the highest ranked loadings (Table 4 and Table 5). Two components were

consistently sufficient for explaining between 95.5-99.2% of the variance. For consistency,

the individual properties and the entire property set associated with this optimum signature

were passed through the GA-DFA to calculate tracer discriminatory weightings and to assess

the percentage of the spatial source samples classified into the correct category by this

alternative composite fingerprint. Table 6 illustrates that the optimum signature selected

using PCA correctly distinguished 75% of the tributary sub-catchment spatial source samples.

The error associated with this discrimination of the tributary sub-catchment samples should

be borne in mind when interpreting the results of the corresponding mass balance modelling.

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Table 5: Ranked property loadings provided by the outputs of the PCA.

Property PC-1a Property PC-2

b

SiO2 0.9047 CaO 0.883684

CaO 0.4090 SiO2 0.419824

MgO 0.0857 MgO 0.189926

Al2O3 0.0672 Ca 0.058102

Ca 0.0235 Mg 0.039984

Al 0.0222 K 0.022739

Na2O 0.0179 Al 0.02178

Mg 0.0178 Fe 0.014483

Fe2O3(T) 0.0172 K2O 0.014138

Na 0.0159 Na2O 0.012077

K2O 0.0082 Na 0.010509

TiO2 0.0029 Fe2O3(T) 0.010341

K 0.0017 Al2O3 0.005974

Fe 0.0015 P2O5 0.001898

Ba 0.0008 MnO 0.000586

Sr 0.0002 Ba 0.000372

P2O5 0.0001 TiO2 0.000263

MnO 0.0001 Mn 0.000135

V2O5 0.0000 V2O5 0.000102

Cr 0.0000 Sr 0.0000

Zr 0.0000 Rb 0.0000

Mn 0.0000 Ce 0.0000

Rb 0.0000 Li 0.0000

Li 0.0000 Zn 0.0000

V 0.0000 Zr 0.0000

Zn 0.0000 La 0.0000

Cu 0.0000 Ni 0.0000

Ga 0.0000 Cu 0.0000

Ce 0.0000 Nd 0.0000

Ni 0.0000 V 0.0000

Y 0.0000 Y 0.0000

Pb 0.0000 Th 0.0000

Nd 0.0000 Pb 0.0000

As 0.0000 Co 0.0000

Sm 0.0000 Ga 0.0000

Dy 0.0000 Pr 0.0000

Gd 0.0000 Sm 0.0000

Be 0.0000 Cs 0.0000

Ge 0.0000 Gd 0.0000

Pr 0.0000 U 0.0000

Th 0.0000 Cr 0.0000

Hf 0.0000 Dy 0.0000

Er 0.0000 Hf 0.0000

Yb 0.0000 Er 0.0000

Cs 0.0000 Yb 0.0000

Eu 0.0000 Be 0.0000

Co 0.0000 As 0.0000

Tl 0.0000 Ho 0.0000

Tb 0.0000 Eu 0.0000

Ho 0.0000 Tl 0.0000

La 0.0000 Bi 0.0000

Bi 0.0000 Ge 0.0000

U 0.0000 Tb 0.0000

VE% 95.50 3.70

a Principal Component 1; b Principal Component 2; VE % variance explained

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Table 6: The optimum composite signatures selected using KW and PCA.

KW PCA

Property %1 TDW

2 Property %

1 TDW

2

Ba 57 1.89 Al 40 1.20

Bi 40 1.33 Al2O3 43 1.30

Ca 60 2.00 Ba 57 1.70

CaO 67 2.22 Ca 60 1.80

Cr 47 1.56 CaO 67 2.00

Eu 37 1.22 Fe 50 1.50

Ge 40 1.33 Fe2O3T 40 1.20

Hf 33 1.11 K 47 1.40

Ho 30 1.00 K2O 37 1.10

K 47 1.56 Mg 60 1.80

Mg 60 2.00 MgO 67 2.00

MgO 67 2.22 MnO 37 1.10

MnO 37 1.22 Na 63 1.90

Na 63 2.11 Na2O 53 1.60

Na2O 53 1.78 P2O5 33 1.00

Sr 57 1.89 SiO2 47 1.40

V2O5 37 1.22 Sr 57 1.70

Yb 33 1.11 TiO2 40 1.20

Zn 57 1.89 V2O5 37 1.10

Total3 80 Total

3 75

1 % tributary sub-catchment spatial source samples classified correctly by individual properties

2 tracer discriminatory weighting used in the mass balance modeling

3 % tributary sub-catchment spatial source samples classified correctly by composite signature

2.5.1. Numerical mass balance modeling of spatial sediment source contributions

on the NSR

The relative contributions of the ten tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment sources to the channel

bed sediment samples collected along the main stem of the NSR were quantified using the mass

balance mixing model described by Collins et al. (2010a). In short, the model seeks to solve a set of

linear equations for each composite signature by minimizing the sum of squares of the weighted

relative errors:

i

n

i

isisssi

m

s

si WCSVOZSPC

2

1 1

/

[2]

where: iC = deviate median concentration of fingerprint property i in NSR main stem bed sediment

samples; sP = the optimized percentage contribution from tributary sub-catchment spatial source s ;

siS = deviate median concentration of fingerprint property i in tributary sub-catchment spatial source

s ; Z = particle size correction factor for tributary sub-catchment spatial source s ; O = organic

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matter content correction factor for tributary sub-catchment spatial source s ; siSV = weighting

representing the potential within-source variation of fingerprint property i in tributary sub-catchment

spatial source category s ; iW = tracer discriminatory weighting; n = number of fingerprint

properties comprising the optimum composite fingerprint; m = number of tributary sub-catchment

spatial sediment sources

Corrections for particle size and organic matter content are used to take account of the role of

selective delivery and enrichment in compromising direct comparisons of sediment sample

geochemistry. The within-source variation weighting is incorporated in the mixing model to ensure

that those properties with smaller variance exert more influence on the mathematical solutions

generated. The estimation of this weighting was based on the variance of the geochemical properties

across the population of individual tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment sources. Since use of the

inverse of the standard deviation generated disproportionately large weightings for some tracers, the

inverse of the coefficient of variation was used as an alternative basis for the calculations. The tracer

discriminatory power weighting is based on the relative outputs of the GA-DFA for the individual

properties comprising each composite fingerprint (Collins et al., 2010a).

The uncertainties in characterizing the input median tracer values for the model on the basis of

relatively few tributary spatial source and NSR main stem sediment samples were quantified

explicitly using the scaling of the parameter distributions based on nQ and a Monte Carlo approach.

Stratified repeat mixing model iterations (10000 for each composite fingerprint identified for each bed

sediment sampling period) using Latin Hypercube Sampling generated deviate predicted median

relative contributions from each tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment source. The pdfs generated

on this basis were used to estimate relative frequency-weighted average median inputs (R) from the

individual spatial sediment sources, viz.:

n

i

ii FvR1

[3]

where n is the number of intervals for the predicted deviate relative contribution, scaled between 0

and 1; and v and F are the mid-value and the relative frequency for the ith interval, respectively. Use

of the frequency-weighted approach provided a convenient means of summarizing the average median

spatial sediment source contributions on the basis of a single number, whilst still taking into account

the full range of the predicted deviates generated using the Monte Carlo analysis. The convergence of

the mixing model solutions and their reproducibility was interrogated by calculating 95% confidence

limits about the average median inputs, using 10 sets of 10000 repeat iterations for the composite

signatures selected using the KW-H test and PCA.

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The Monte Carlo framework included both local and global (genetic algorithm; GA) optimization of

the mixing model repeat solutions (Collins et al., 2010b). Genetic algorithms evolve a population of

candidate solutions to an optimization problem using iterative application of the evolutionary

processes of selection, crossover and mutation (Goldberg, 1989; Savic et al., 2011). Repeat model

iteration creates a generation of individual solutions that on average are fitter than the previous ones

as measured by the minimization of the objective function. GA-driven mass balance modeling was

initiated with the output from the non-GA (local) optimization as the starting point. An alternative

would be to initiate the GA-driven source apportionment using a random set of source proportions (cf.

Collins et al., 2010b). Non-GA and GA-driven modeling was compared using the minimization of the

objective function and the corresponding goodness-of-fit based on the relative error between predicted

and measured bed sediment tracer values for the main stem of the NSR.

In an extension to recent work using the above refined sediment tracing procedure, an uncertainty

budget was calculated for the mass balance modeling component. The analysis of the uncertainty

budget included consideration of the importance of the variability associated with the measured

tributary spatial source and NSR main stem sediment tracer properties, plus that associated with the

corrections and weightings used in the revised objective function. 5000 repeat iterations were used

during the mixing model runs to estimate the uncertainty budgets for the mass balance modeling for

each optimum composite signature (i.e. the signatures identified using KW and PCA). The outputs of

this analysis were ranked to identify the most important factors contributing to the gross uncertainty

associated with the mixing model predictions of the spatial sources of channel bed sediment collected

along the main stem of the NSR.

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3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

3.1. PART 1 – SEDIMENT QUALITY ASSESSMENT

3.1.1. Mineralogy

Quantitative mineralogy was used to examine spatial and temporal patterns in mineralogical

composition of NSR and tributary sediment. Both sediment source types consist of varying

concentrations silicates (quartz), feldspars (albite, microcline), micaceous phyllosilicates (chlorite

muscovite), carbonates (dolomite, calcite), clay minerals (smectiite) and amorphous groups (Table 7).

Median concentrations of quartz, albite, dolomite and calcite were lower in NSR sediment compared

to tributary sediment. The relative mineralogical composition of the NSR sediment varies in relation

to the regional and local geology, textural composition and soil type and weathering rates in the

sediment source areas. The mineralogy is further influence by the grain size characteristics of each

sample.

Table 7: Mineralogy of NSR and tributary sediment (% by weight)

The mineralogical composition of tributary sediment was more variable (standard deviation) than

NSR sediments. This variation is due to the unique geochemical composition of tributary inputs that

results from the regional and local geology and soil type in the sediment source areas. The variation in

particle size and the dilution of geochemical signatures in the NSR is related to 1) the effect of flow

on sediment sorting based on particle size and density and 2) the type of sediment sampling method

Qu

artz

Alb

ite

Mic

rocl

ine

Mu

sco

vite

Ch

lori

te

Do

lom

ite

Cal

cite

Sme

ctit

e

Am

orp

ho

us

NSR Sites

average 33.8 11.2 4.4 10.6 2.3 12.7 7.1 3.0 16.3

median 32.7 11.3 4.5 10.7 2.2 11.8 7.0 3.0 17.6

stdev 4.5 2.3 1.1 1.8 0.5 3.5 1.3 0.9 4.4

max 47.2 15.5 6.9 15.4 3.8 20.9 10.6 5 25.9

min 27.6 4.8 2.1 6.5 1.4 4.7 4.3 2 5.6

Tributary sites

average 38.0 10.7 3.5 8.9 1.7 16.4 14.4 2.0 13.4

median 37.4 12.3 3.7 9.1 1.4 13.5 8.1 2.0 16.4

stdev 14.5 5.9 1.8 2.7 1.0 14.5 13.2 0.0 7.8

max 68.4 18.3 5.6 13.3 3.1 38.4 35.5 2 23.6

min 18.6 1 0.6 2.7 0.6 3.2 1.5 2 1.4

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used in this study. For example, calcite levels in the Bighorn (36%), Cline (34%) and Stiffler River

(24%) sediments were elevated by a factor of ~4 to 5 compared to the calcite levels in the NSR.

Concentrations of dolomite were also elevated in the Bighorn (34%), Cline (31%) and Stiffler River

(38%). In contrast, quartz levels in sediment from these tributaries were markedly lower than in the

NSR. The data indicate that the Bighorn, Cline and Stiffler Rivers drain primarily calcareous parent

materials that are abundant at their confluence with the NSR. Because grab samples of cohesive bed

and bank deposits were used in this study, the variation in grain size is much higher than if suspended

solids samples would have been collected passively with time integrating sediment samplers.

Accordingly, the sediment sampling protocol will have a strong influence on the geochemical

properties of sediment.

Concentrations of carbon and nitrogen measured as a percent were low in the NSR and its tributaries

relative to data reported in the literature. The median TC concentration for NSR sediments was 0.81%

(± 0.28) compared to 0.44 (± 0.31) in tributary sediments. The median TN concentration for NSR

sediments was 0.07% (± 0.06) compared to 0.08 (± 0.07) in tributary sediments.

3.1.2. Particle Size

Particle size characteristics of NSR and tributary sediment are summarized in Table 8 and Table 9 and

inter-annual (2011 and 2012) variation in grain size characteristics of fine sediment deposits in the

NSR and its main tributaries are presented in Figure 2. Despite the intent of this project to sample

cohesive sediment deposits (bed and bank), the percentage of clay and silt in each sample was highly

variable and several samples consisted mainly of sand fractions. For example, tributary sediments all

consisted of > 75% sand and samples from the Duvernay Bridge and Anthony Henday Bridge were

comprised of > 85% sand. Alternative approaches to selectively sample cohesive sediment in the

water column during a range of flow events might be a useful consideration for future sediment

quality assessments in the NSR. For example, centrifuge samplers or less expensive time-integrating

samplers (Phillips et al. 2000) could be deployed in a longitudinal gradient along the river to passively

collect, composite samples of suspended solids. This type of sampler is routinely used to collect

sufficiently large sample mass for laboratory analyses in fingerprinting studies (Collins and Walling

2006; Walling et al. 2006, 2008; Collins et al. 2010b). The sampler is made of PVC pipe (98 mm

internal diameter, 1 m length) with two end caps containing a central inlet/outlet pipe (4 mm internal

diameter) as described by (Phillips et al. 2000) and provides a simple pragmatic means of capturing

the natural variation in sediment properties during snowmelt and storm events.

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The average median diamater (D50) of NSR sediment was 90 µm compared to 228 µm for tributary

sediments. In 2010, D10 and D50 of NSR sediment was remarkably consistent downstream (Figure 2).

The D50 was relatively constant from Devon to the Pakham Bridge but inter-annual differences in

particle size properties (D10 and D90) are apparent. The data suggest inputs of coarse grained sediment

to the NSR at the Drayton Valley Bridge and Duvernay Bridge. Compared to other NSR sites, finer

sediment was observed at the Tomahwk Bridge, Beverly Bridge and Mrynam Bridge in 2010 and

these trends were more pronounced in 2011 (Figure 2). In 2011, the particle size range increased and

the D90 was larger than in 2010 samples. Sediment fining was observed at the Baptiste River

confluence, Tomahwk Bridge amd Elk Point Bridge sample locations.

Table 8: Particle size characteristics in NSR and tributary sediment.

Location D10 (μm) D50 (μm) D90 (μm)

North Saskatchewan River

average 23 90 262

median 17 86 232

min 3 17 66

max 121 273 487

stdev 20 46 115

Tributaries

average 34 228 530

median 27 235 496

min 12 62 221

max 78 360 921

stdev 21 101 219

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Table 9: Specific surface area and textural composition of NSR and tributary sediment

SS

A (

m2/g

)

% c

lay

% s

ilt

% s

an

d

NSR 2010 Mean 0.287 3.51 36.43 63.57

Median 0.266 3.16 32.38 67.62

Max 0.596 7.87 70.31 85.59

Min 0.123 1.34 14.41 29.69

NSR 2010 Mean 0.252 3.02 33.75 66.25

Median 0.218 2.41 28.57 71.43

Max 0.908 13.41 75.76 96.03

Min 0.047 0.36 3.97 24.24

Tributaries Mean 0.161 2.01 18.98 81.02

Median 0.147 1.87 16.29 83.71

Max 0.285 3.78 47.03 94.82

Min 0.049 0.32 5.18 52.97

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Figure 2: Temporal downstream variation in grain size characteristics of NSR sediments.

The potential of stream sediments to bind and concentrate pollutants such as metals is related to

physical (e.g. grain size, surface area, surface charge) and chemical (e.g. composition, cation

exchange capacity) properties of sediment (Horowitz and Elrick, 1987). These properties are related

and as grain size decreases, surface area and the concentration of many trace element concentrating

geochemical phases such as Fe and Mn oxides and hydroxides, organic carbon and clay minerals

typically increase (Forstner and Whitman, 1981). Surface area is an important factor controlling

sediment trace element concentrations and variability because most processes involved in sediment-

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trace element interactions are governed by surface reactions or surface chemistry. Accordingly,

sediment with large surface areas have an increased number of binding sites and therefore tend to

concentrate and transport metals and other sediment-bound pollutants. Specific surface areas (m2/g) of

NSR and tributary sediments are summarized in Table 9. The median SSA of NSR sediment was

0.266 and 0.218 m2/g for 2010 and 2011, respectively. Median SSA for tributary sediment 0.147 m

2/g

and five sites had a SSA < 0.1 m2/g indicating that these samples were very coarse grained. Sampler

locations with the highest SSA were Tomahawk Bridge (0.908 m2/g), Lea Park Bridge (0.596 m

2/g)

and Baptiste River Confluence (0.528 m2/g).

3.1.3. Major Element Composition

Major element composition of NSR and tributary sediments are sumarrized in Table 10 and their

downstream inter-annual variation are illustrated in Figures 3 and 4. NSR sediments consist mainly of

SiO2, Al2O3, CaO and Fe2O3 but the geochemical composition by site was highly variable depending

upon source area geology and particle size characteristics. Compared to the NSR sediments, the

percent SiO2 was elevated in the upper five tributaries but lower in the bottom two tributaries (Figure

3). The bottom two tributaries of the NSR (Vermillion River and Sturgeon River) have the lowest the

lowest SiO2, Fe2O3 and Al2O3 concnetrations in the data set.

Table 10: Major element composition in NSR and tributary sediment.

SiO

2

Al 2

O3

Fe

2O

3

Mn

O

Mg

O

Ca

O

Na

2O

K2O

TiO

2

P2O

5

Cr 2

O3

LO

I

% % % % % % % % % % % %

North Saskatchewan River

Average 62.46 8.49 2.94 0.06 2.64 7.19 1.18 1.61 0.43 0.15 0.01 12.01

Median 62.33 8.51 2.94 0.06 2.56 7.10 1.23 1.63 0.43 0.16 0.01 12.08

Max 75.84 10.92 3.84 0.09 4.11 10.72 1.47 1.98 0.52 0.19 0.04 16.80

Min 54.60 5.72 2.02 0.04 1.34 4.43 0.64 1.21 0.25 0.11 0.01 5.46

StDev 4.40 0.92 0.35 0.01 0.53 1.24 0.20 0.12 0.05 0.02 0.01 2.31

Tributaries

Average 60.70 6.57 2.36 0.05 2.88 10.66 0.97 1.41 0.29 0.12 0.01 13.38

Median 67.17 6.72 2.38 0.05 1.81 6.22 0.93 1.31 0.31 0.12 0.01 10.04

Max 86.80 9.15 3.57 0.06 6.42 27.74 1.81 1.76 0.40 0.19 0.02 28.85

Min 29.28 3.99 1.57 0.03 0.31 0.86 0.22 1.10 0.17 0.08 0.01 2.49

StDev 19.96 2.10 0.66 0.01 2.25 10.31 0.55 0.28 0.09 0.03 0.00 10.07

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Figure 3: Downstream variation in SiO2, Fe2O3 and Al2O3.

Spatial and inter-annual variation in MgO and CaO in NSR and tributary sediment are shown in

Figure 4. Lower concentrations of CaO and MgO are present in the upper five tributary sediments

compared to the bottom two tributaries. The major element data indicate the strong influence of local

and regional geology on the major element composition of sediment in the NSR. The data suggest that

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the upper tributaries drain predominantly igneous and metamorphic substrates and that the lower

portions of the NSR receive higher inputs of carbonate rich materials from tributaries.

Figure 4: Downstream variation in MgO and CaO

3.1.4. Trace Elements

3.1.4.1. Total Metals

Metals enter aquatic environments from a variety of sources that include naturally occurring metals

through biogeochemical cycles (Garrett, 2000) and metals anthropogenic sources (Forstner and

Wittman, 1981). The transport behavior and bioavailability of metals is controlled by a variety of

environmental factors that govern the partitioning of metal ions between aqueous and particulate

phases (Salomons and Forstner, 1984; Horowitz, 1991). Sediments are the primary vector for metal

transport in aquatic systems (Horowitz, 1999) and once deposited (either short or long term) can

represent potential secondary sources of metal contamination in freshwater aquatic systems

(Salomons and Forstner, 1984). Changes in environmental conditions (e.g., variations in pH, redox

potential, metal concentrations in solution, and complexation) can influence the mobility and toxicity

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of metals in sediments thus posing an environmental risk to aquatic biota and human health (Calmano

et al., 1993). Accordingly, these conditions influence the association of metals with sediments which

bind to sediment in various geochemical phases (Tessier et al., 1979).

Total metal concentrations in NSR and tributary sediments are presented in Tables 11 and 12. For

NSR sediments, Cr and Ni exceeded the consensus based threshold effect concentration (TEC) by

28% and 3% of the samples analyzed, respectively. Twenty percent of the tributary sediments

exceeded the Cr TEC (Table 12). Chromium levels were generally higher in 2011 than 2010 (Figure

5) and maximum concentrations were observed in a section of the NSR from the Waskatenau Bridge

to the Duvernay Bridge (Figure 6). Manganese levels were elevated and may be related to legacy of

wildfires in the province of Alberta. Contrary to other assessments of metals in the NSR (AECOM,

2011), no downstream increases in metal concentrations were observed on the data set.

Understanding the factors affecting the distribution of sediment-associated metals in the NSR is

complex and influenced by land use and a range of physical and biogeochemical processes that

influence metal source, mobility and fate. No longitudinal trends in metals were found in the data set.

This in part may be attributed to the variation in grain size of the sediment samples examined.

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Table 11: Total metal concentrations in NSR sediments (µg/g)

Metal

Consensus

based TEC Mean

Med

ian

Ma

xim

um

Min

imu

m

Sta

nd

ard

Dev

iati

on

% of

samples

>TEC

As 9.79 2.79 2.55 5.50 1.50 1.00 0

Cd 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0

Cr 43.4 37.05 35.55 84.00 16.90 14.95 28

Co N/A 3.85 3.78 4.80 2.37 0.47 N/A

Cu 31.6 7.42 6.87 18.71 3.34 2.46 0

Pb 35.8 5.94 6.00 6.90 4.30 0.60 0

Mn N/A 260.14 262.55 332.05 195.45 30.32 N/A

Hg 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.18 0.12 0.02 0

Ni 22.7 13.36 12.25 37.22 6.50 4.73 3

Zn 121 35.50 34.66 60.00 18.94 8.93 0

Table 12: Total metal concentrations in tributary sediments (µg/g)

Metal

Consensus

based TEC Mean

Med

ian

Ma

xim

um

Min

imu

m

Sta

nd

ard

Dev

iati

on

% of

samples

>TEC

As 9.79 3.00 2.60 6.80 1.60 1.49 0

Cd 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0

Cr 43.4 30.91 29.40 54.40 13.80 14.14 20

Co N/A 3.26 3.18 4.05 2.70 0.53 N/A

Cu 31.6 6.34 6.36 10.20 3.74 1.89 0

Pb 35.8 5.03 4.75 6.60 3.80 0.95 0

Mn N/A 228.24 227.16 310.49 150.79 52.27 N/A

Hg 0.18 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.01 0

Ni 22.7 10.30 9.90 16.30 5.54 2.78 0

Zn 121 27.26 24.97 58.30 17.30 11.75 0

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Figure 5: Spatial and temporal variation in Co, Cr, Ni and Pb in NSR and tributary sediments

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Figure 6: Inter-annual (2010 & 2011) and spatial variation in total metal concentration of NSR

sediment

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3.1.4.2. Metal Speciation in Sediment

In sediment assessment studies, total metal concentration in sediment is often determined and

compared to reference sites as a first synoptic step to evaluate the degree of metal contamination in an

aquatic system (Singh et al., 2005). While a variety of other more detailed approaches are used to

evaluate sediment quality and their environmental impact on aquatic biota (whole sediment toxicity

testing, spiked sediment toxicity testing, interstitial water toxicity approach, tissue residue approach,

documentation of the structure of benthic macroinvertebrate communities through the taxonomic

identification and threshold effect concentration approaches), these approaches to evaluate sediment

quality in the NSR and its environmental impact are beyond the scope of this sediment assessment

study.

A second and often used approach to evaluate sediment quality in aquatic systems is to determine the

sediment associated metal phases using sequential extraction methods (Franco et al 2007). The

advantages of sequential metal speciation over total metal extraction include: 1) assessment of the

source of a particular metal (i.e., natural or anthropogenic), 2) determination of the relative toxicities

to aquatic biota and 3) developing a better understating of metal-sediment interactions (Jain, 2004).

Since the mobility of a metal and its bioavailability also depend on its speciation, considerable

attention has been directed in sediment assessment studies towards employing a five-step sequential

metal extraction procedure to evaluate metal pollution. Metal speciation data for the NSR and

tributary sediments are presented in Figure 7.

Because Cr and Ni are the only two metals that exceeded the consensus based threshold effect

concentration (TEC), the association of only these two metals with various geochemical phases will

be discussed below. The sequential extraction data indicate that Cr is predominantly bound to silicates

(~92%, 83%) and to a lesser extent (~7%, 10%) to Fe and Mn oxides in NSR and tributary sediments,

respectively. Ni was predominantly bound to Fe and Mn oxides (63%, 43%) and silicates 31% and

21%), respectively. The data suggest a strong geological control on metal inputs to the NSR but that

metal levels likely increase when receiving inputs from industrial effluent and urban runoff.

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Figure 7: Inter-annual variation in Pb, Hg, Ni, Zn speciation in NSR sediment

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3.1.5. PAHs

3.1.5.1. Total PAHs

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are a group of more than 100 organic compounds with

fused aromatic carbon rings. They are widely distributed in the environment and because of their

carcinogenic and mutagenic properties; the USEPA has classified 16 PAHs as priority pollutants

(Gremm and Frimmel, 1994). PAHs can originate from geologic deposits (petrogenic origin, e.g., in

bitumen) but are mainly derived by processes such as combustion (pyrogenic origin) or microbial

degradation (diagenic origin). Because PAHs are hydrophobic, they preferentially bind to organic

matter and small particles in the water column and deposited sediments in aquatic systems.

A summary of PAHs and percentage of samples exceeding the TEC in NSR and tributary sediment

are presented in Table 13. The data show that PAHs are present but at concentrations well below the

consensus based threshold effect condition defined by MacDonald et al (2000). The total PAH

concentration (sum of the 15 congeners) ranged from varied from 7 to 40 µg/kg and the levels of total

PAH there was inter-annual and longitudinal variation in the data (Figure 8 and Figure 9) in PAH

congeners. For example, in 2010 the highest total PAH concentrations were measured in the

uppermost three NSR sites but these levels decreased in 2011. There was no increasing trend in PAH

concentration downstream.

Table 13: Summary of PAHs in NSR and tributary sediment (µg/kg)

Compund TEC Aromatic

Ring Mean Median Max Min StDev % of samples

>TEC

Napthalene 176 2 5.72 4.25 22.54 0.86 4.84 0

Acenaphthylene 3 0.53 0.50 1.81 0.50 0.19

Fluorene 77.4 3 0.62 0.50 3.11 0.50 0.43 0

Phenanthrene 204 3 2.34 1.59 21.34 0.50 3.67 0

Anthracene 57.2 3 0.54 0.50 2.43 0.50 0.27 0

Fluoranthene 423 4 0.74 0.50 3.82 0.50 0.57 0

Pyrene 195 4 0.81 0.50 4.42 0.50 0.67 0

Benzo(a)anthracene 108 4 0.55 0.50 2.35 0.50 0.28 0

Chrysene 166 4 0.65 0.50 3.85 0.50 0.55 0

Benzo(b)fluoranthene 5 0.82 0.50 8.83 0.50 1.22

Benzo(k)fluoranthene 5 0.55 0.50 2.86 0.50 0.33

Benzo(a)pyrene 150 5 0.67 0.50 5.09 0.50 0.73 0

Indeno(123-cd)pyrene 5 0.52 0.50 1.30 0.50 0.11

Dibenzo(ah)anthracene 33 6 0.60 0.50 3.26 0.50 0.45 0

Benzo(ghi)pyrene 6 0.68 0.50 6.36 0.50 0.88

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Figure 8: Spatial and temporal variation of total PAHs in NSR sediment

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Figure 9: Spatial and temporal variation of individual PAHs in NSR sediment

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The relative abundance of PAHs to two- and three-ring hydrocarbons can be used to help distinguish

between petrogenic and pyrogenic sources (Robertson, 1998). For example, phenanthrene:anthracene

(PHE/ANT) and fluoranthene:pyrene (FLT:PYR) ratios have been widely used to distinguish between

PAHs of diverse origin (Gschwend and Hites, 1981; Sicre et al., 1987; Colombo et al., 1989;

Budzinsky et al., 1997). Simultaneous study of these two ratios can allow the definition of two

different classes of sediments: PHE:ANT and FLT:PYR for petrogenic inputs and PHE:ANT and

FLT:PYR for the dominance of pyrolitic sources (Budzinsky et al., 1997). Robertson (1998)

demonstrated that the relative abundance of two- and three-ring hydrocarbons can be used to

distinguish between petrogenic and pyrogenic sources. For example, phenanthrene:anthracene

(PHE/ANT) and fluoranthene:pyrene (FLT:PYR) ratios have been widely used to distinguish between

PAHs of diverse origin (Gschwend and Hites, 1981; Sicre et al., 1987; Colombo et al., 1989;

Budzinsky et al., 1997). Simultaneous study of these two ratios can allow the definition of two

different classes of sediments: PHE:ANT and FLT:PYR for petrogenic inputs and PHE:ANT and

FLT:PYR for the dominance of pyrolitic sources (Budzinsky et al., 1997).

Ratios of PAH compounds can be used to define different classes of sediments: PHE:ANT > 10 for

petrogenic inputs and PHE:ANT < 10 for the dominance of pyrolytic sources (Budzinsky et al., 1997).

Sicre et al., (1987) reported that PHE:ANT was less than 15 for the incomplete combustion of organic

matter such as coal or crude oils (Benner et al., 1990). Before combustion petroleum products often

have much lower ratios and Williams et al. (1986) report values range from 4 to 10 for gas-oils. For

crude oils, PHE/ANT ratios are approximately 14 (Benner et al., 1990). When FLT:PYR ratios are

greater than 1 they are considered to be of pyrolytic origin and are mainly due to mining and

combustion fossil fuels and some industrial discharges (Sicre et al., 1987).

Raoux, (1991) suggested that ratios of PHE/ANT and FLT:PYR should be examined jointly because

this approach provides information about PAH sources. Variation in PHE:ANT vs FLT:PYR are

plotted in Figure 10 for all NSR and tributary sediments. The figure demonstrates that the majority of

PAHs are of pyrolytic origin (likely due to mining and combustion of fossil fuels and some industrial

discharges). Two exceptions in the data set are Drayton Valley Bridge (PHE/ANT 42.68) and Baptiste

River near the mouth (PHE/ANT 33.02). PAHs at these two sites are likely of petrogenic origin from

sources such as petroleum, crude oil and its refined products. Some PAH natural sources include

forest fires and natural erosion from coal or bitumen seams.

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Figure 10: Ratios of PHE:ANT and FLT:PYR for NSR and tributary sediments.

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3.2. Part 2 – SEDIMENT SOURCE APPORTIONMENT

Local optimisation using the different optimum composite signatures consistently performed better

than the GA-driven searches, increasing confidence in the selection of the former sets of mixing

model solutions. Previous work has shown that the comparison of local and global optimisation for

sediment source fingerprinting must be undertaken on a dataset specific basis (Collins et al., 2010b, in

press). Figure 11 presents the probability density functions (pdfs) for the predicted deviate median

contributions from the individual tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment sources, using each (KW

and PCA derived) composite signature. These pdfs summarise feasible solutions generated using the

Monte Carlo repeat iterations. Since the signatures selected using both KW and PCA yielded highly

acceptable GOF estimates (Table 14), the source apportionment estimates provided by both were

taken to be equally acceptable. The 95% confidence limits about the predicted average median spatial

source proportions generated using the repeat sets of Monte Carlo analysis, indicated convergence of

the model solutions and their reproducibility within ±1%. As a means of summarising the mixing

model output pdfs, the relative frequency-weighted average median spatial sediment source

contributions provided by each of the KW and PCA optimum composite signatures, the Q1-Q3 ranges

in the corresponding output pdfs (Figure 11) and the overall average relative frequency-weighted

median inputs from each of the ten tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment sources are presented in

Table 15. Overall relative frequency-weighted average median spatial source contributions were

estimated to be 11% (Vermilion River), 19% (Sturgeon River), 6% (Brazeau River), 12% (Baptiste

River), 11% (Nordegg River), 14% (Clearwater River), 15% (Ram River), 4% (Bighorn River), 4%

(Cline River) and 4% (Siffleur River)

.

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Figure 11: Probability density functions (pdfs) for the predicted deviate median relative contributions from each tributary sub-catchment spatial sediment source identified

for the NSR

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Table 14: The goodness-of-fit (GOF) for the mixing model runs based on each composite signature.

Composite signature for discriminating the spatial sediment sources GOF

KW-H 0.95

PCA 0.97

Table 15: Relative frequency-weighted average median spatial sediment source contributions, based

on each optimum composite fingerprint.

Composite

signature Vermilion River

Sturgeon

River

Brazeau

River

Baptiste

River

Nordegg

River

KW 9 23 5 12 12

Q1-Q3 range 0-15 14-33 0-7 1-20 0-20

PCA 13 15 7 13 10

Q1-Q3 range 2-21 7-22 0-11 5-20 0-17

Overall average 11 19 6 12 11

Composite

signature

Clearwater

River Ram River

Bighorn

River Cline River Siffleur River

KW 14 13 4 4 5

Q1-Q3 range 6-23 5-20 0-5 0-4 0-7

PCA 15 17 4 4 4

Q1-Q3 range 5-23 12-24 0-5 0-4 0-5

Overall average 14 15 4 4 4

Table 16 presents the results of the diagnostic uncertainty analysis for the numerical mass balance

modeling. The r values quantify the correlation between the objective function solutions and the

variability associated with tracer values for tributary sub-catchment or NSR main stem sediment, or

the corrections and weightings used in the modelling. In the case of the optimum composite signature

selected using the KW test, the greatest contributions to the uncertainty budget for the objective

function solutions were generated by the NSR main stem sediment values for Mg (r = -0.38) and Ca (r

= -0.23) and the tracer property discriminatory weighting for Ca (r = 0.22). For the optimum

composite fingerprint identified using PCA, the most important contributions to the uncertainty

budget for the objective function solutions were generated by the NSR main stem sediment values for

Mg (r = -0.53) and Ca (r = -0.35) and the tracer property discriminatory weighting for Ca (r = 0.25).

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Table 16: Results of the diagnostic evaluation of the uncertainty associated with the mass

balance modelling for spatial sediment sources on the NSR.

KW signature PCA signature

Variable r Variable r

Sed_Mg -0.38 Sed_Mg -0.53

Sed_Ca -0.23 Sed_Ca -0.35

Pdis_Ca 0.22 Pdis_Ca 0.25

Sed_Ge -0.21 Pdis_Mg 0.21

Sed_Cr -0.16 Source_Siffleur_Ca 0.16

Pdis_Mg 0.16 Source_Cline_Mg 0.15

Sed_Bi -0.13 Source_Cline_Ca 0.15

Sed_CaO -0.11 Source_Bighorn_Ca 0.13

Source_Cline_Ca 0.11 Pdis_CaO 0.12

Source_Siffleur_Ca 0.10 Sed_CaO -0.12

Source_Siffleur_Mg 0.10 Source_Siffleur_CaO 0.11

Pdis_CaO 0.10 Source_Siffleur_Mg 0.11

Source_Bighorn_Mg 0.10 Source_Bighorn_Mg 0.11

Source_Bighorn_CaO 0.08 Source_Bighorn_CaO 0.10

Sed_Hf -0.07 Source_Cline_CaO 0.09

Source_Bighorn_Ca 0.07 Pdis_MnO 0.08

Source_Brazeau_Cr 0.06 Sed_TiO2 0.07

Source_Cline_Mg 0.06 Source_Bighorn_MgO 0.07

Source_Cline_CaO 0.06 Pdis_MgO 0.06

Source_Nordegg_Cr 0.06 Sed_MgO -0.06

Pdis_Cr 0.05 Pdis_Ba 0.06

Source_Nordegg_Ca 0.05 Source_Siffleur_MgO 0.06

Source_Nordegg_CaO 0.05 Source_Nordegg_CaO 0.05

Source_Brazeau_Ca 0.05 Source_Clearwater_Mg 0.05

Source_Cline_CaO 0.05 Source_Cline_MgO 0.05

Pdis_Bi 0.05 Source_Clearwater_Ca 0.05

Sed_Sr -0.04 Source_Brazeau_CaO 0.05

Pdis_Eu 0.04 Source_Cline_K 0.05

Source_Vermilion_Ge 0.04 Source_Bighorn_P2O5 -0.05

Source_Ram_Mg 0.04 Sed_Fe2O3T 0.05

Source_Ram_Hf 0.04 Source_Vermilion_Ca 0.05

Source_Sturgeon_Eu -0.04 Source_Sturgeon_Fe2O3T 0.05

Pdis_Ge 0.04 Pdis_Sr 0.05

Source_Bighorn_MgO 0.04 Source_Brazeau_Ca 0.05

Pdis_MnO -0.04 Source_Ram_TiO2 -0.05

Source_Clearwater_Ge -0.04 Source_Sturgeon_SiO2 0.05

Sed_XX: tracer property for NSR main stem sediment where XX is the geochemical property

Source_XX_YY: tracer property for source XX indicates the tributary sub-catchment spatial source category

and YY indicates the geochemical property

Pdis_XX: tracer property discriminatory weighting factor where XX is the geochemical property

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A number of potential limitations should be taken into consideration when interpreting the findings of

this investigation. The mixing model estimates represent relative, as opposed to absolute,

contributions. Bed sediment loadings across the NSR will vary temporally (e.g. seasonally) and the

representativeness of the sample set should therefore be borne in mind. Some previous sediment

tracing work has coupled source apportionment with measurements of sediment pressure to provide

the magnitude of the inputs from specific sources (cf. Collins et al., 2010a). Whilst the findings

suggest that sediment mitigation planning in the study area needs to target the Sturgeon River,

Baptiste River, Clearwater River and Ram River tributary sub-catchments in particular, management

strategies for combating diffuse pollution, including sediment, need to consider detrimental impacts

on aquatic ecology such as fish and macroinvertebrates. Further work could therefore be undertaken

to explore source apportionment for the sediment fractions most responsible for damaging ecology

and influencing the transfer of harmful excess nutrients and contaminants (very fine clays and

colloids), as opposed to the bulk <63 µm fraction. The practicality of such work is now greatly

enhanced by newly developing laboratory equipment for the analysis of bulk sediment samples.

Equally, the sourcing work could be expanded to include investigation of the contributions from

sediment source types (e.g. forests, agricultural land, urban areas, channel banks) in the most

important tributary sub-catchments identified by this spatial sourcing exercise. Whereas this sourcing

exercise focused primarily on the inorganic fraction of the available sediment samples from the NSR,

future work could also examine the key sources of the organic fractions harmful to freshwater ecology

on account of their influence on sediment oxygen demand in the aquatic environment.

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4. CONCLUSIONS

1. NSR and tributary sediments consist of varying concentrations silicates (quartz),

feldspars (albite, microcline), micaceous phyllosilicates (chlorite muscovite), carbonates

(dolomite, calcite), clay minerals (smectiite) and amorphous groups). However, the

relative mineralogical composition of the NSR sediment varies in relation to the regional

and local geology, textural composition and soil type and weathering rates in the

sediment source areas. The mineralogy is further influence by the grain size

characteristics of each sample.

2. NSR sediments consist mainly of SiO2, Al2O3, CaO and Fe2O3 but the geochemical

composition by site was highly variable depending upon source area geology and

particle size characteristics. Only Cr and Ni exceeded the ISQG.

3. PAHs predominantly of pyrolytic origin were detected below ISQG levels across the NSR.

4. A recently refined geochemical composite fingerprinting procedure incorporating a new

approach for identifying statistically robust signatures has been successfully used to

apportion contemporary channel bed sediment sources in the NSR. By combining

composite signatures verified using KW and PCA, with GA-DFA, the revised statistical

component of the methodology provided a basis for extracting maximum value from the

available geochemical datasets. Future work could usefully present the spatial source

proportions using the different optimum signatures to catchment stakeholders with a

view to coupling source apportionment estimates with consensus building founded on

local knowledge and experience.

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