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ARE INTEREST RATE SPREADS IN JAMAICA TOO LARGE? VIEWS FROM WITHIN THEFINANCIAL SECTORAuthor(s): David TennantSource: Social and Economic Studies, Vol. 55, No. 3 (September 2006), pp. 88-111Published by: Sir Arthur Lewis Institute of Social and Economic Studies, University of the WestIndiesStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/27866472 .
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Social and Economic Studies 55:3 (2006): 88-111 ISSN: 0037-7651
ARE INTEREST RATE SPREADS IN
JAMAICA TOO LARGE? VIEWS FROM
WITHIN THE FINANCIAL SECTOR
David Tennant
ABSTRACT
The size of interest rate spreads, particularly for Jamaican commercial
banks, has been heavily debated in the media. This paper explores the issue
by highlighting results of a comprehensive survey analysis of key stakeholders in the Jamaican financial sector, as to whether interest rate
spreads are too large, reasons for the size of the spreads, and suggestions
for reducing them. It also seeks to ascertain whether the views highlighted can be validated by financial and economic data. It was found that while
most financial institution managers argue that the spreads are justified by current economic, regulatory and social conditions, a few others, along with the regulators and policy-advisors, are insistent that the spreads are
fuelled by inefficiency and greed. Greater macroeconomic stability, reduced
government borrowing on the local market, heightened competition within
the financial sector, and increased operational efficiency by financial institutions have been advocated.
The size of interest rate spreads, particularly for Jamaican commercial banks, has been heavily debated in the media. This
debate is, however, part of a broader analysis as to the importance of financial institutions' operational efficiency to a country's economic growth. It is generally accepted in the literature that a
more efficient financial system benefits the real economy by
allowing 'higher expected returns for savers with a financial
surplus, and lower borrowing costs for investing in new projects that need external finance' (Quaden 2004: 2). The spread between a
financial institution's lending and deposit rates is therefore a key indicator of that institution's efficiency, and, more importantly, of its
potential impact on economic growth.1 If this spread is large, it will
1 Ngugi (2001: 1) illustrates by noting that under perfect competition the interest
rate spread is narrower, composed only of the transaction cost, while in an
imperfect market, the spread is wider, reflecting inefficiency in market operation.
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Are Interest Rate Spreads In Jamaica Too Large? 89
discourage potential savers due to low returns on deposits, limit
financing for potential borrowers, and will reduce feasible investment opportunities, thus limiting future growth potential
(Ndung'u and Ngugi 2000). The size of the interest rate spread is therefore a critical
consideration for developing countries, many of which have
experienced low or stagnating economic growth rates in the past few decades. This is even more so, as Chirwa and Mlachila (2004:
98) note that interest rate spreads in developing countries have been
persistently high. Ngugi (2001:1) argues that this is because of two
pervasive features of LDC financial sectors ? high administrative
costs and low competition ? both of which are incentives for
financial institutions to unduly increase lending rates. Prominent
political and private sector stakeholders in the Jamaican economy have recently been expressing such concerns, and forcefully argue that the interest rate spreads of major financial institutions
operating in Jamaica are not justified by current economic
conditions, and are much larger than those of counterpart institutions in other countries.
A cross-country comparison of interest rate spreads seems to
provide some support for this view. In Table 1 (see Appendix), IFS
data was used to calculate the average interest rate spreads in 15
countries for the period 1986-2003. The countries examined include
Caribbean territories, other small open economies, emerging market economies, and industrialized countries. The figures clearly show that Jamaica's average interest rate spread of 12.08% is
significantly higher than the spreads of any of the other countries.
In fact, Jamaica was the only country with a double-digit average interest rate spread, as the country with the next largest spread was
Trinidad and Tobago (7.83%). A comparison of average interest rate spreads across types of
institutions within Jamaica also reveals interesting results. Table 2
shows that Jamaican building societies and credit unions were both
able to maintain significantly lower interest rate spreads (3.94% and
4.23%, respectively) than commercial banks (23.73%) and FIA
Institutions2 (25.93%), in the same economic environment. While it
may be argued that commercial banks are disadvantaged in this
respect because of their obligation to meet liquid asset reserve
2 Merchant banks, finance houses and trust companies.
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90 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
requirements, one must question whether this can justify their
spread being approximately six times larger than that of building societies and credit unions.
Such data fuels the argument that the relatively high interest rate spreads of the dominant lending institutions in the Jamaican financial sector has had a stifling impact on real sector activities.
Barnes and Stewart (1996: 18) note that the resultant high cost of
loanable funds "presented an obstacle to productive investments
and is partly responsible for the poor performance of the productive sectors of the Jamaican economy." This, however, is only one side
of the story, as many financial institution managers have publicly
argued that their spreads are justified and should not be compared with those of financial institutions in other countries, as there are
numerous factors unique to the business environment in Jamaica that must be considered. While popular, this view is not
unanimously held even within the financial sector, as there are
some managers, who, along with the regulators and policy-makers, believe that unduly high levels of inefficiency and greed are
responsible for the current size of the interest rate spreads. This paper explores the issue further by highlighting the
results of a comprehensive survey analysis of the views of
managers, regulators and policy advisors in the Jamaican financial
sector, as to whether the interest rate spreads are indeed too large, the reasons for the size of the spreads, and their suggestions for
reducing the spreads in Jamaica. It also seeks to ascertain whether
the views highlighted can be validated by relevant data. The next
section provides the contextual background to this study by briefly
outlining the basic stages in the evolution of Jamaica's financial
sector and the corresponding changes in the interest rate structure.
This will be followed by a brief description of the methodology used. The analysis of the data will then be highlighted in three
sections: the managers' views about and explanations of the size of
interest rate spreads in Jamaica will be presented first; the
managers' suggestions for reducing the spreads will be highlighted next; and finally the views and responses of regulators and the
policy advisors to the Minister of Finance and Planning will be
summarized.
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Are Interest Rate Spreads In Jamaica Too Large? 91
Interest Rate Spreads and the Evolution of Jamaica's Financial
Sector
The Jamaican financial sector has undergone five distinct phases in
its development ?
pre-liberalization, liberalization, post-liberaliza
tion/pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis (Kirkpatrick and Tennant 2002:
1934). In each of these phases there were changes in the interest
rates being applied by the major financial institutions, as
determined by either the prevailing legislation or market
conditions. In the pre-liberalization phase, between the 1970s and early
1980s, financial repression was strong in Jamaica. The financial
system operated within a highly regulated environment aimed at
constraining the growth of the money supply (McBain 1997: 145). The average interest rate spread for commercial banks during this
period was therefore a relatively small 7.43% (See Table 3). This
figure, however, almost doubled (to 14.22%) during the years in
which the financial sector was being liberalized, as savings rates
were totally deregulated, with the commercial banks now being authorised to set their own rates (Lim 1991:12 & 38).
In the period immediately following financial liberalization in
Jamaica, there was 'rapid asset expansion and deepening within the
financial sector, with the operations of commercial banks and non
bank financial institutions (NBFIs) increasing significantly'
(Kirkpatrick and Tennant 2002: 1935).3 This expansion did not,
however, lead to a proportionate increase in competition in the
sector, because of the continued dominance of a few institutions,4 and the emergence of large financial conglomerates.5 The
combination of low competition and high demand for credit in the
3 The number of commercial bank branches increased from 154 in 1985 to 201 in
1993 (Peart 1995: 13), and their asset portfolio grew by an average 48.5% in the
early 19$0s (Stennett et al 1998:11). Additionally, the number of NBFIs increased from 8 in 1985 to 25 in 1993, with their assets increasing in nominal terms from
J$1.4 billion in 1986 to J$11.4 billion in 1993 (Peart 1995:15). 4 At the end of 1997, the assets of commercial banks totalled J$142.4 billion,
representing 50% of the total assets of the financial sector, and of this amount,
three large banks accounted for J$106.8 billion or 75% (Stennett et al 1998: 11).
5 These conglomerates were usually composed of a merchant bank, a commercial
bank, a building society, an insurance company and other business firms. They often had complex structures of inter-company share holdings, interlocking boards of directors, common management and extensive inter-group transactions
(Stennett et al 1998:12).
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92 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
post-liberalization era fuelled further increases in the commercial
banks' interest rate spread, which averaged 36.22% between 1992
and 1995.
The inefficiencies in the financial sector eventually resulted in
illiquidity and insolvency problems for numerous financial
institutions. The consequent financial sector crisis of the mid to late
1990s, and government intervention to prevent a collapse of the
system, did not, however, immediately result in major changes to
the commercial banks' average interest rate spread. Between 1996
and 1997, the rate only marginally declined to 34.21%. More
significant reductions in the commercial banks' interest rate spreads were eventually realized in the post-crisis period, after the
government, through the Financial Sector Adjustment Company (FINSAC), introduced measures to restructure and consolidate the
sector. Between 1998 and 2002, commercial banks' average interest
rate spread declined to 20.96%. Questions, however, still remain as
to whether or not the spreads have now fallen to reasonable levels, or whether the calls for further reductions are justified.
Methodology The information used in the survey analysis was extracted from a
broader study on the impact of financial sector intermediation on
economic performance (Tennant 2004). Key stakeholders in the
Jamaican financial sector were interviewed. The target population consisted of managers and regulators of commercial banks, FIA
institutions, building societies, credit unions and life insurance
companies, and the policy-advisors to the Minister of Finance and
Planning (who has overall responsibility for the financial sector).
Attempts were made to interview the person with the highest position in each of the targeted institutions, as they have decision
making powers in the institutions and so would influence the path taken by the entities.
For all the institutions except credit unions, the need for
sampling was obviated, as it was possible to conduct the survey on
the entire population. The response rate was high (87.5%), with
interviews being conducted with highly-ranked managers in all the
commercial banks and building societies, five of the six life
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 93
insurance companies,6 three of the five FIA Institutions,7 and all the senior regulators and policy-advisors approached.8
Sampling was therefore only needed for credit unions, as with 55 registered credit unions scattered across the island, a census
survey was not possible. In selecting the sample for this study a
crucial criterion was the potential influence that the credit unions
could have on the broader economy, as represented by the breadth
of their membership. Credit union data clearly shows that the
distribution of the number of members across credit unions is
heavily skewed, with the largest three credit unions having 41.5% of
total membership as at December 2002. This is because many of the
small credit unions are bonded to serve very limited groups of
people in small organizations or communities. As such, a decision was taken to select from the sampling frame9 only those credit
unions with more than one branch office. This use of purposive
sampling limited the number of credit unions in the sample to seven
institutions.10 A 100% response rate was achieved, and in terms of
membership, the sample selected represented 46.83% of the total
number of credit union members.11
A total of 27 interviews were conducted with the most
influential stakeholders in the Jamaican financial sector. In
managing the data garnered from these interviews, processing errors were minimized by ensuring accuracy in recording the
respondents' responses, and by exercising extreme care in
analyzing these responses. The answers to each question were
carefully coded, and SPSS was used to analyze the data. Data entry was independently verified so as to ensure accuracy.
6 Which currently offer life insurance products.
7 The manager of one of these FIA institutions is also the manager of the
commercial bank within the group of companies, and he noted that the
operations of the merchant bank were basically subsumed under that of the
commercial bank, even though the merchant bank is still registered with the BOJ. As such, the responses of only two FIA institution managers will be reported.
8 Table 4 outlines the number of persons interviewed from each type of institution.
9 The Yellow Pages Listing in the national telephone directory.
10 The use of purposive sampling for the credit unions precludes the traditional
tests of significance, and implies that the study is limited in terms of its ability to
precisely represent the population of credit union managers.
11 Figures were taken from The Jamaica Co-Operative Credit Union League Ltd.
Annual Report (2002), and the St. Ann Co-Operative Credit Union Ltd. Annual
Report (2003).
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94 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
Attempts were also made to ascertain whether any claims
made by the respondents could be validated by relevant data.
Whenever factors were highlighted by the respondents for which
reliable data was available, such data was analyzed and conclusions
made as to the veracity of the claims. The Bank of Jamaica's Statistical Digest was the primary source for data on financial and
macroeconomic indicators.
Managers' Views About and Explanations of the Size of Interest
Rate Spreads in Jamaica
The interest rate spreads of financial institutions has recently been
a heavily debated topic in Jamaican society. The Minister of Finance
and Planning and the Head of the Jamaica Manufacturers'
Association have repeatedly called for financial institutions to
reduce their spreads, but many managers of such institutions feel
that this is an unreasonable request. The controversy surrounding this issue is highlighted when the managers' views as to whether
the interest rate spreads in Jamaica are indeed too large, are
summarized (see Table 5). Whilst 25% of the managers believe that
the spreads, while not large for all institutions, are generally too
large in the sector as a whole, an equal number of managers hold
the opposite view, insisting that the spreads are not too large. Almost half (45.8%) of the managers however, have taken the
middle ground by asserting that while large, the spreads are
justifiable. When the reasons given for the Jamaican financial institutions'
relatively large spreads are broadly categorized (see Table 6), it is
interesting to note that 70.8% of the managers believe that the
financial institutions' spreads are simply a reflection of a plethora of
factors that increase the cost and risk of their operations, and a
further 25% identify various regulatory costs as factors
necessitating the large spreads. Only 20.8% of the managers
(representing three credit unions, one building society and one
commercial bank) accepted that the size of the spreads is reflective
of the operational inefficiency and at times excessive profits by financial institutions.
In fact, when the managers' more specific explanations for the
relatively large spreads are detailed (see Table 7), the most popular
explanation is that it is more expensive and risky to do business in
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 95
Jamaica than in some other countries. It was noted that costs have
been increasing, many of which the financial institutions do not
have complete control over. These costs include security (because of the crime and violence prevalent in Jamaica), utilities (because of
the rising price of oil), and wages (because of the unionized environment in which financial institutions operate).
Some managers (29.2%) also argued that spreads have to be
large so as to protect financial institutions from risks associated
with operating in an unstable macroeconomic environment. Many
specifically identified volatility of interest rates as a factor which
forces them to maintain large spreads, as they are never completely sure of the direction being taken by the Central Bank. The added
cost of high reserve requirements was also highlighted by 25% of the managers as one of the reasons for the large interest rate
spreads. This was, however, rejected as a non-issue by a commercial
bank manager and a building society manager, who both noted that
the reserve requirements are now much lower than they were in the
past. This seems to be supported by figures extracted from the Bank
of Jamaica's Statistical Digest, which show that commercial banks'
cash reserve ratio fell significantly from a maximum of 25%
between 1992 and 1997, to 10% in 2002, as did the liquid asset ratio,
from 50% between 1992 and 1994, to 27% in 2002 (see Table 8). The other controversial and relatively unpopular reasons
given for the large spreads include excessive profiteering by some
financial institutions (12.5%), and the high levels of operational
inefficiency within some financial institutions (12.5%). The issue of
operational efficiency was investigated further, as managers were
specifically questioned as to whether operational costs have been
increasing. All but two of the managers noted that such costs have
increased, but in spite of this, 37.5% of the institutions reported
improved efficiency/productivity ratios. It was noted that the types of costs that have been increasing are varied, but amongst the most
prevalent are staff and administrative costs (identified by 45.8% of
managers), and utilities (29.2%). A few other managers, however,
identified reasons for the relative inefficiency of Jamaican financial
institutions that were completely out of their control, including the
lack of economies of scale (caused by the small market size), the
customers' demand for inefficient services (such as passbooks and
personalized service), and the absence of infrastructure to aid in the
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96 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
efficient assessment of loan applications (particularly credit
bureaus).
Managers7 Suggestions for Reducing Interest Rate Spreads in
Jamaica
The reasons for the size of interest rate spreads that were identified
by the managers have led to numerous suggestions as to how they should be reduced. When broadly categorized these suggestions are instructive as to who the managers believe should bear the
responsibility for reducing the spreads in Jamaica (see Table 9). Over two-thirds (70.8%) of the managers noted that if interest rate
spreads in Jamaica are to be narrowed, the government would first have to reduce a variety of costs associated with the regulations and
regulatory framework, the macroeconomic environment, and
taxation. Interestingly though, a fairly large number of managers
(62.5%), although reluctant to admit much responsibility for the size
of the spreads, accepted that the reduction of the spreads would
also require increased operational efficiency by and competition
amongst financial institutions. A few managers further noted that
the customers would have to bear some of the responsibility for the
eventual lowering of the interest rate spreads in Jamaica. When the more detailed breakdown of the managers' specific
suggestions was examined (Table 10), it was evident that the
solution most commonly identified (by 45.8% of the managers) was
for the government to take measures to improve the
macroeconomic environment. This included reducing its borrowing on the local market, lowering interest and inflation rates, and
ensuring stability of the major macroeconomic variables. An
examination of a few key macroeconomic variables for Jamaica (see Table 11) confirms that the country's domestic debt to GDP ratio has
been increasing and was almost 100% in 2002. It, however, was also
evident that exchange rates have been reasonably stable in the past few years, and, more importantly, that Treasury Bill and inflation
rates have been consistently and significantly reduced since 1995.
Commercial bank managers would argue though that they have
decreased their spreads in line with the reductions in the Treasury Bill rates, as between 1995 and 2002, commercial bank interest rate
spreads declined by 57%, while Treasury Bill rates fell by 55%. This
would seem to support the managers' argument that a further
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 97
lowering of interest rates would foster greater narrowing of their
spreads.
It, however, does not provide an adequate explanation as to
why, in an environment of relative macroeconomic stability and low
interest cost of funds, the commercial banks' average lending rate is
consistently much higher than the governments' Treasury Bill rate.
Between 1995 and 2002, the commercial banks' lending rate was on
average 17.05 percentage points higher than the governments'
Treasury Bill rate (see Table 12). It must be noted though that this
difference has also been trending downwards, ranging from a
maximum of 30.01% in 1996 to a minimum of 9.36% in 2002.
Another popular suggestion for reducing interest rate spreads
(identified by 41.7% of the managers) was that financial institutions
should make efforts to improve their own efficiency, particularly by
seeking technological means of reducing costs. In this respect, the
measures already being utilized by some of the managers include
encouraging increased usage of ATMs and e-financial services so as
to cut down on staff costs, and using the intranet and emails so as
to reduce telephone and stationery costs. The utilization of
technology has also been useful in facilitating cost reductions
through rationalization of facilities, practices and service delivery methods. Here a few of the managers noted that cash points (ATMs) were used to replace full service branches in areas where the
customer base was not large enough to justify continued operations, and certain functions (such as accounting) were centralized so as to
preclude the need for each branch to have their own specialized staff. One manager however cautioned that institutions should
resist the temptation of going overboard with this, as there will be
serious economic and social implications if technology is used to
replace significant numbers of staff in a labour-abundant society. It was also argued (by 25% of the managers) that increased
operational efficiency would automatically result from heightened
competition amongst the financial institutions, especially if more
international players enter the market. Such competition would
force the institutions to reduce costs by employing a number of
cost-containing and cost-reducing measures. In this regard, almost
half of the managers noted that they were already taking the basic
step of carefully monitoring expenses and reducing wastage. One
manager however insisted that this measure will only yield sustained positive results if conscientiously applied to all expenses.
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98 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
A mistake commonly made is to focus only on the large items of
expenditure, but it was argued that simple things such as
conserving on electricity and stationery, and cutting canteen
expenses can yield significant results. It was also noted that for any of these measures to be successful the commitment of the staff was
essential. In order to ensure that the staff implemented the planned measures, productivity-based salary incentives and profit-share schemes were seen as essential, as was an effective communication
system. Other innovative means by which operational efficiency can
be improved included the attempts by some managers to achieve
economies of scale by merging with other institutions thereby
making the customer base bigger, outsourcing parts of the business
to independent service providers so as to reduce administrative
costs, and the appointment of a conservation officer/committee to
focus solely on identifying areas in which costs can be reduced.
A quarter of the managers also strongly argued for a reduction
of the reserve requirement as a means of reducing the interest rate
spread, noting that financial institutions have a history of reducing their interest rates when the requirements were previously
dropped. The data however suggests that this rate of reduction is
less than proportional, as even though between 1995 and 2002 the
cash reserve and liquid assets ratios fell by 60% and 43%,
respectively, the commercial banks' interest rate spread declined by
only 57%.
A few managers also noted that their customers could
contribute to the lowering of the interest rate spreads by shopping around for better rates instead of blindly continuing with the
traditional institutions, and by accepting financial institutions that
offer quality low-cost services without the 'extra frills' (such as posh branch offices and large numbers of tellers) that are now
commonplace in Jamaica. It was also argued that the customers
could contribute to the lowered cost of assessing loan applications
by familiarizing themselves with the standard loan requirements. Also important in this respect is the need to have the proper infrastructure (such as credit bureaus) to aid in assessing loan
applications, thereby improving the efficiency of the sector and
reducing the need to maintain large spreads to buffer against the
risks of bad debt and fraud.
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Are Interest Rate Spreads In Jamaica Too Large? 99
Views and Responses of the Regulators and Policy-Advisors
The regulators and policy-advisors all firmly hold the view that interest rate spreads charged by many local financial institutions are too high and do not reflect the downward trending inflation rates. They either rejected or minimized the significance of all the
justifications highlighted by the managers, and insisted that the
spreads should be reduced. For example, one* respondent within
this group noted that volatility in the economy has been high, but
argued that it can only explain a small percentage of the margins, while another insisted that such volatility has long since been
reduced and should no longer be a factor. The regulators and policy advisors were also adamant that the managers' argument that the
spreads are high because of high reserve requirements is critically weakened by the fact that even though these requirements had been
significantly reduced, spreads were not appreciably impacted. Furthermore, while they concede that the cost of doing business in
Jamaica may be relatively high and is exacerbated by the lack of
economies of scale, they note that this can only explain a small
portion of the spreads being charged. One respondent within the regulatory and advisory group
instead argued that the large spreads are being driven by administrative inefficiencies, largely caused by the huge wage and
salary bills incurred by many institutions. It was noted that the ratio
of administration costs to total assets for some Jamaican financial
institutions is considerably higher than their counterparts elsewhere in the world. This respondent did not agree with the
view that the financial institutions are making super-profits, but
confirmed that they are viable, and asserted that their means of
achieving that viability without having improved their operational
efficiency is by charging high lending rates. Other regulators and
policy advisors, however, were not as charitable and insisted that
greed and the desire to make excessive profits was also one of the
factors driving the size of the spreads. The regulators and policy advisors were therefore unwavering
in their insistence that the Jamaican borrowers are being
overcharged. Their suggestions for reducing the spread included
the need for financial institutions to reduce their administrative
costs (particularly wages and salaries), and for heightened
competition in the sector (which has to be balanced with the need
for ensuring the safety of depositors' funds).
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100 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
Conclusion
There is wide divergence between the views of some of the financial
institution managers, and the regulators and policy advisors on the issue of interest rate spreads in Jamaica. Whilst most managers
strongly argue that the spreads being applied are justified by current economic, regulatory and social conditions, a few others,
along with the regulators and policy advisors, are insistent that the
spreads are being fuelled by inefficiency and greed. The most
common justifications given for the commercial banks' relatively
large interest rate spreads include the uniquely high costs and risks
associated with conducting business in Jamaica, macroeconomic
instability, and high reserve requirements. These factors, however, are downplayed by a few managers, and regulators and policy advisors as being exaggerated or simply irrelevant.
This study has shown that whereas there is no imminent
resolution to the debate as to whether or not interest rate spreads in
Jamaica are justifiable, there is agreement on some of the measures
that can be taken to reduce these spreads. Most respondents
suggested that greater macroeconomic stability, reduced
government borrowing on the local market, heightened
competition within the financial sector, and increased operational
efficiency by the respective financial institutions, should be
pursued. More innovative means of reducing interest rate spreads were also suggested. These include the introduction of a credit
bureau to reduce risks and costs associated with bad debt and
fraud, and concerted efforts to increase public acceptance of
financial institutions that offer core services, without added costly frills.
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St. Ann Co-Operative Credit Union Ltd. (2003). Annual Report, St. Ann Co
operative Credit Union Ltd: St. Ann.
Stennett, Robert R., Batchelor, Pauline M. and Foga, Camille S. (1998). "Stabilization and the Jamaican Financial Sector 1991-1997." Mimeo, Bank of Jamaica.
Tennant, David (2004). "The effect of financial sector intermediation on economic growth: The case of Jamaica (1986-2002)." PhD Thesis,
unpublished.
World Bank (2003). "Jamaica: The road to sustained growth ?
Country Economic Memorandum." Washington DC: World Bank.
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102 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
Appendix
Table 1: Average Interest Rate Spreads (1986 - 2003)
Country Interest Rate Spread (%)
Jamaica 12.08
Barbados 5.31
Caribbean Countries Belize 6.60
Guyana 6.74 Trinidad and Tobago 7.83
Cyprus 2.72
Other Small Open Economies Ireland 5.23
Singapore 3.34
Chile 5.61 China 1.75
Emerging Markets EgvP* 5.26
Hungary 4.96
South Africa 4.14
Canada 1.66
Industrialized Countries Germany 5.95
Japan 2.45
(1) Hungary: 1989-2003
(2) Germany: 1986 - 2002
Source: Computed by author from data in: IMF International Financial
Statistics (Various Issues)
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 103
Table 2: Comparison of Interest Rate Spreads Across Financial Institutions in Jamaica
Type of Institution Average Interest Rate Spread (%)
Commercial Banks (1986 -
2002) 23.73 FIA Institutions (1989 -1998) 25.93
Building Sodeties (1986 -1996) 3.94 Credit Unions (1994
- 2002) 4.23
Sources: Computed by author from data in:
Bank of Jamaica Statistical Digest (Various Issues),
Jamaica Cooperative Credit Union League,
Building Sodeties Association of Jamaica Handbook
Table 3: Commercial Banks' Average Interest Rate Spread at Different Stages in the Evolution of Jamaica's Financial Sector
Phases Average Interest Rate Spread (%)
Pre-Liberalization (1977 -1985) 7.43 Liberalization (1986
- 1991) 14.22
Post Liberalization/Pre-Crisis (1992 -1995) 36.22 Crisis (1996 -1997) 34.21 Post-Crisis (1998
- 2002) 20.96
Source: Computed by author from data in: Bank of Jamaica Statistical Digest (Various Issues)
Table 4: Number of Persons Interviewed by Type of Institution
Type of Institution #s Interviewed
Commercial Banks 6 FIA Institutions 2
Building Societies 4 Life Insurance Companies 5 Credit Unions 7
Regulators and Policy Advisors 3
Total 27
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g co >
Table 5: Views as to whether Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica are Too Large
o g D
Views
Com Bnk
FIA Inst
Bldg Soc
Cred
Un
LI Co
%
%
%
%
Total
#
/ /
Too Large
Large but
with
Justification
Not too Large
Other
16.7 33.3
33.3 16.7
0 0.0 1 50.0
1 50.0
0 0.0
1 25.0 2 50.0 1 25.0 0 0.0
4 57.1
1 14.3 2 28.6
0 0.0
0 0.0 5 100.0 0 0.0 0 0.0
6 25.0 11 45.8
6 25.0 1 4.2
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Table 6: Broadly Categorized Reasons for Jamaica's Relatively Large Interest Rate Spread
> ? en ) ? 3" CO q a ? 3 * ?
* E <3 -
Reasons
Com Bnk
FIA Inst
Bldg Soc
Cred
Un
LI Co
%
%
%
%
%
Total
%
Factors that Increase the Cost
& Risk of
Fin Insts' Operations
Regulatory Costs
Inefficiency &/or Excess
Profits by Financial Insts Erroneous Calculations
Other
No
Response
6 3 1 1 2 0
100.0 50.0 16.7 16.7 33.3
CO
100.0
0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
3 2 1 0 1 0
75.0 50.0
25.0 0.0
25.0 0.0
42.9 0.0 42.9
0.0 0.0
14.3
60.0 20.0
0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0
17 70.8 6 25.0 20.8 4.2
16.7 4.2
Columns do not total 100% because multiple responses were selected
s
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Table 7: More Specific Reasons for Jamaica's Relatively Large Interest Rate Spread
to 8 > r? > m 2
Reasons
ComBnk FIA Inst BldgSoc CredUn
LI Co
%
%
%
%
Total %
Cost & Risk of Doing Business
in Jamaica
Macroeconomic Instability & Volatility
of the Interest Rate
Reserve Requirement Inefficiency of Fin. Insts.
Excess Profits by Fin. Insts. Lack of Economies of Scale
Customers' Demand for Inefficient
Services e.g. passbooks
Cost of Deposit Insurance Erroneous Cale, of Spreads Lack Infrastructure to efficiently
assess Loan Applications
Other
No Response
2 3 1 0 2 2 0 1 0 2 0
66.7 33.3 50.0 16.7 0.0
33.3 33.3 0.0
16.7 0.0 33.3 0.0
1 50.0
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
50.0 0.0 0.0
1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0
50.0 25.0
50.0 25.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 25.0
0.0 0.0 25.0
0.0
1 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
28.6 14.3 0.0
14.3 42.9
0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
20.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0
0.0
10 41.7
7 6 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 4 1
29.2 25.0
12.5 12.5
8.3 8.3 4.2 4.2 4.2
16.7 4.2
Columns do not total 100% because multiple responses were selected
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 107
Table 8: Reserve Requirements Jamaican Commercial Banks
Year
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Cash Reserve Ratio
(%)
20.00
20.00
20.00
19.00
19.50
19.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
25.00
21.00
17.00
14.00
11.00
10.00
Liquid Asset Ratio
(%)
44.00
35.00
25.00
20.00
32.50
20.00
50.00
50.00
50.00
47.00
47.00
47.00
43.00
35.00
32.00
29.00
27.00
Source: BOJ Statistical Digest (Various Issues)
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Table 9: Broadly Categorized Suggestions for Reducing Interest Rate Spreads
Suggestions
ComBnk FIA Inst BldgSoc
CredUn LI Co
Total
# % # %
% # % # % # %
Reduce Costs Associated with Regulations,
Regulatory Framework,
Macroecon Env & Taxes Increased Efficiency by &
Competition Among Fin. Insts. Customers to contribute to
Improved Efficiency
Other
4 66.7 1 50.0 4 100.0 3 42.9 5 100.0 17 70.8 4 66.7 1 50.0 2 50.0 6 85.7 2 40.0 15 62.5
1 16.7 1 50.0 0 0.0 1 14.3 0 0.0 3 12.5 2 33.3 1 50.0 1
25.0
0 0.0 1 20.0 5 20.8
Columns do not total 100% because multiple responses were selected
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Table 10: More Specific Suggestions for Reducing Interest Rate Spreads
Suggestions
ComBnk FIA Inst Bldg Soc CredUn
LI Co
Total
/ /
%
%
%
#
/ /
%
Govt to reduce borrowing, lower
int rates, reduce inflation &
Ensure macroeconomic stability Improve Efficiency of Fin Insts &
Increase Use of Technology
Reduce Reserve Rqmt
Increase Competition among Fin. Insts.
Encourage customers to seek
better rates & educate themselves
wrt the rqmts for loans
Get proper Infrastructure to aid in
assessing loans & Protection from Fraud
Improve quality of Graduates from
Education system
Reduce government taxes
Get customers to accept no-frills Banks
Reduce Crime & Violence
Other
33.3 50.0 33.3 33.3 0 0.0 1
16.7 16.7 0.0
16.7 0.0
16.7
0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
50.0 0.0
0.0
50.0 1 50.0 0 0.0
50.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0 0 0 0 1
75.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 1 25.0 0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
0.0 25.0
28.6 71.4 14.3
14.3 1 14.3 0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
60.0 20.0 40.0
20.0 0 0.0 1 20.0 0.0 40.0 0.0 20.0 20.0
11 45.8 10 41.7 6 25.0 6 25.0 2 8.3 2 8.3
2 2 1 1 3
8.3 8.3 4.2 4.2 12.5
Columns do not total 100% because multiple responses were selected
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110 SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC STUDIES
Table 11: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators (1986 - 2002)
Year Domestic Inflation Exchange Rate Treasury Bill Debt/GDP (%) Rate (%) (J$ per US$) Rates (%)
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
42.90
44.80
44.80
36.10
28.20
19.60
22.50
21.20
27.90
32.10
35.30
42.10
47.20
64.10
61.10
88.20
96.20
10.4
8.4
8.5
17.2
29.8
80.2
40.2
30.1
26.8
25.6
15.8
9.2
7.9
6.8
6.1
8.8
7.3
5.48
5.49
5.49
5.75
7.18
12.85
23.01
25.68
33.35
35.54
37.02
35.58
36.68
39.33
43.32
46.19
48.73
15.93
19.61
18.00
23.59
28.65
35.06
23.22
39.36
26.95
34.97
25.21
24.63
21.31
18.68
18.32
15.70
15.68
Sources: Debt Management Unit (Ministry of Finance and Planning) BOJ Statistical Digest (Various Issues)
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Are Interest Rate Spreads in Jamaica Too Large? 111
Table 12: Difference Between Commercial Banks'
Average Lending Rates and Treasury Bill Rates
Year
1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Average Lending Rates (%) (B)
25.36
25.24
25.10
31.00
36.03
40.12
46.39
61.32
56.14
55.27
55.22
44.17
38.80
33.92
31.67
26.79
25.04
Treasury Bill Rates (%) (A)
15.93
19.61
18.00
23.59
28.65
35.06
23.22
39.36
26.95
34.97
25.21
24.63
21.31
18.68
18.32
15.70
15.68
Difference (B-A)
9.43
5.63
7.10
7.41
7.38
5.06
23.17
21.96
29.19
20.30
30.01
19.54
17.49
15.24
13.35
11.09
9.36
Source: BOJ Statistical Digest (Various Issues)
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