184
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 1 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

Annual Eppo 2554

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Thailand Annual Eppo 2554

Citation preview

  • EPPO final P.1-10.indd 1 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    2 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554

    1.2

    2553 30.2

    (.)

    .

    .

    2554

    .

    .

    (LPG)

    (NGV)

    .

    90

    20

    .

    .

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 2 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 3 1

    .

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 3 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    4 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Thailand relies on imported energy, of which the

    volume has grown continuously. In 2011, the country

    spent a total of 1.2 trillion baht on energy imports,

    an increase of 30.2% from the value registered in

    2010. Realizing that the countrys economy cannot

    avoid impacts of the fluctuation of energy price in the

    world market, Energy Policy and Planning Office works

    to develop policies and measures to administer the

    countrys energy affairs.

    The government has set a framework and direction

    of the countrys energy policy which focuses on energy

    security to ensure national energy independence and

    stability by encouraging energy development, and energy

    price control to ensure that the domestic energy price is

    suitable and fair for consumers in all sectors. The price

    must also reflect the real cost. The policy also aims to

    promote production, consumption, and research and

    development of renewable and alternative energy.

    Fullscale energy conservation is another area that

    receives a strong push by the government policy.

    As a key function under Ministry of Energy, Energy

    Policy and Planning Office (EPPO) takes responsibility

    for giving advice and formulating policies and measures

    to drive the countrys energy development. EPPO is

    also in charge of translating the government policies

    into actions to ensure sufficient availability of energy

    and energy efficiency, which should well respond to the

    countrys situation amid the energy price fluctuation in

    the world market.

    EPPO regularly makes its performance on energy

    affairs known in its annual report. This issue of annual

    report features the performance of the 2011 fiscal

    year. This is considered another channel to reveal the

    governments information to the public, stakeholders,

    and those who are EPPOs contacts. The information

    also demonstrates good governance in the manage-ment of energy affairs and integration of policies, plans,

    and measures involving energy affairs, i.e. petroleum,

    electricity, renewable energy, and energy conservation,

    to make sure that they are driven towards the same

    direction. Part of EPPOs performance last year involved

    some essential and urgent tasks to soften the effects

    of the rapidly increasing energy price on the public.

    This was in line with the governments urgent policy

    to cushion impacts of the high oil price as well as its

    attempts to solve the LPG and NGV problems in the

    transport sector.

    In addition to those urgent issues, other vital

    energy policies and measures were carried out. This

    includes promotion of the use of gasohol, reduction

    Message from DirectorGeneralEnergy Policy and Planning Office

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 4 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 5 1

    of electricity charge for households with power

    consumption not exceeding 90 units per month,

    improvement of measures supporting electricity

    generation from renewable energy, review and

    formulation of Thailand Power Development Plan

    to enhance national energy security in response

    to the countrys situation. In this regard, EPPO

    is in charge of the search and development

    of energy and electricity sources both within and

    beyond the countrys border. EPPOs responsibilities also

    include the formulation of the 20Year Energy Efficiency

    Development Plan and promotion of the development

    of renewable energy and energy conservation, e.g.

    promotion of biogas technology, as well as some

    other social contribution activities. Moreover, EPPO

    has arranged for the integration of information and

    cooperation among government agencies in charge

    of the promotion of energy conservation in order to

    highten awareness of energy saving and energy

    efficiency in all sectors.

    On behalf of the management of EPPO, I would

    like to thank all staff for their efforts and dedication in

    turning energy policies into real practice for the benefit

    of the country and the people. I also wish to pass on

    my gratitude to the various agencies both in the public

    and private sectors and all related organizations both

    in and outside the country for their cooperation in

    complying with the policies and measures related to

    energy affairs. This includes the good cooperation

    that EPPO always receives in mitigating impacts of the

    fluctuation of energy price in the world market. Similarly,

    I would like to thank all the Thai people for realizing

    the need to use energy efficiently, which is important

    for the countrys energy stability and sustainability.

    I strongly hope that the implementation of all policies

    and measures will be successful and will help enhance

    the national energy security; the need for energy

    imports could thus be reduced. This will consequently

    result in the lower trade deficit and inflation caused

    by the higher production cost, which is a key factor

    to drive the countrys economy to achieve growth and

    sustainable development while raising the peoples

    standard of living and livelihood.

    Most importantly, I would like to take this

    opportunity to express my sincere gratitude for the

    support from all parties continuously offered to EPPO.

    Mr. Suthep Liumsirijarern

    DirectorGeneral

    Energy Policy and Planning Office

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 5 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    6 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    / Message from DirectorGeneral 2

    1/ Part 1 / Organization overview 11

    / Vision, mission, and strategic issues 12

    / 13

    Values and corporate culture

    / 14

    Management members

    / Organizational structure 20

    / Workforce structure of Energy Policy and Planning Office 21

    2 / Part 2 2554 2555 / 23

    Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012

    3 / Part 3 2554 / Fuel price in 2011 57

    4 / Part 4 2554 / 2011 outstanding performance 77

    1. .. 2554 / 78

    Performance assessed against the performance contract for fiscal year 2011

    Content

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 6 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 7 1

    2. 89

    /

    Strategic Map of EPPO and Linkage with The Government's Energy Policies

    /

    Main policies under the Energy Policy & Planning Office (EPPO)

    / Petroleum

    1. / 93

    Allevation of impact of high oil price on the society

    2. (LPG) / Solutions to LPG problem 95

    3. NGV / NGV price policy 97

    4. / Promotion of Gasohol 98

    / Electricity

    1. 90 / / 99

    Measures to reduce electricity charge for households with electricity consumption

    not exceeding 90 units per month

    2. / 100

    Improvement of measures for promoting power generation from renewable energy

    Feed in Tariff / 101

    Progress of studying the Feed in Tariff measure

    / Energy Conservation

    20 (.. 2554 2573) /

    20Year Energy Efficiency Development Plan (2011 2030) 105

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 7 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    8 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554 /

    Implementation outcomes of the Energy Policy 2011

    / Petroleum

    1. (NG) / 110

    A review of natural gas pricing structure (NG)

    2. (LPG) / 114

    Increase in the capacity for import, distribution and transport system of liquefied

    petroleum gas (LPG)

    3. LPG / 117

    LPG supply from local refineries to substitute for imports

    / Electricity

    1. .. 2553 2573 / 119

    Thailand's Power Development Plan 2010 2030

    2. / 121

    Power purchase from neighbouring countries

    3. / 122

    Proposals of Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) under

    Ministry of Energy

    4. / 124

    Promotion of Power Generation from Renewable Energy

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 8 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • 9 1

    5. (SPP) Cogeneration / 131

    The electricity purchase from SPPs using the cogeneration system

    6. / 133

    The policy on power price structure

    7. / 136

    The Emergency Plan for Electricity Crisis

    /

    Energy conservation and renewable energy

    1. / The Biogas Technology Promotion 139

    2554 / 139

    The project on biogas technology promotion for 2011

    / 141

    The project on biogas technology promotion from food waste in prisons

    1 / 142

    The project on biogas technology promotion in chicken farms, phase 1

    2. / 143

    Creative Social and Energy Promotion Activities

    5 / Part 5 2554 / 157

    Financial report and note to the financial report 2011

    6 / Part 6 .. 2540 / 179

    Results of the Implementation of Official Information Act B.E. 2540

    EPPO final P.1-10.indd 9 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • EPPO final P.1-10.indd 10 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM

  • Vision,mission,andstrategicissues Valuesandcorporateculture Managementmembers Organizationstructureandworkforce

    1/Part 1Organization overview

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 11 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    12 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    6

    1.

    2.

    3.

    4.

    5.

    6.

    5

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    (Strengthening EPPO)

    Vision The Energy Policy and Planning Office

    (EPPO) is apivotal agency in the formulationand administration of energy policies and planning for thenationalsustainability.

    Mission EPPO is entrusted with the following six missions:

    1. Recommend energy pol ic ies and integrate/review energymanagement plans of the

    country;

    2. Recommendnationalstrategiesforenergy conservationandalternativeenergypromotion;

    3. Recommendmeasurestosolveandprevent oilshortageinbothshortandlongterms;

    4. Supervise, monitor and evaluate the effectivenessofnationalenergypolicyandenergy

    managementplans;

    5. Administertheinformationandcommuni-cationtechnology(ICT)withregardtoenergyissues ofthecountry;and

    6. Enhance EPPO to become a strategic organization.

    Strategic Issues InordertopursuetheforegoingVisionand Mission,fivestrategiesarelaiddown:

    Strategy 1: Formulate energy policies and administerenergyplanningofthecountry;

    Strategy 2: Promoteanddevelopalternativeenergyandcleanenergy;

    Strategy 3: Promote and develop energyconservationandefficientuseofenergyinallsocial

    segments;

    Strategy 4: Develop the national energy informationandcommunicationtechnology(ICT);and

    Strategy 5: StrengtheningEPPOtobecome anorganizationofexcellenceinenergyadministration.

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 12 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 13 1

    (.)

    "

    The Energy Policy and PlanningOffice (EPPO) has established the following organi-zational core valuesandculturewitha view

    tosettingabenchmarkofdutyexecutionand

    creatingtheunityamongitspersonnel,which

    isuniquetotheoffice,forgovernmentofficials

    andotherstaffmemberstocontinuallyadhere

    toasguidelinesontheirdutyexecutionandto

    effectivelytranslatethemintopracticalactions

    soastofosterandsustaintheorganizational

    cultureofhighqualityperformance:

    EXCELLENCE, PARTNERSHIP,

    PUBLIC INTEREST, OWNERSHIP EPPO

    Values and corporate culture

    Excellence

    Partnership

    PublicInterest

    Ownership

    Underlyingtheeffectivenessofdutyexecution,includingperformancedevelopment toexcellencewhichrespondstothegoalsandmissionoftheorganization.

    (Network)

    Emphasizingstrategicpartnership incollaborationwithvarioustasksnetworks soastosuccessfullyachievethedesignatedgoals.

    Focusingondutyexecutionforthebenefitsandinresponsetotheneedsofthe

    generalpublic.

    Givingimportancetoteamwork,concertedefforts,unityandsharedaccountability

    fortheoutcomesofdutyexecution.

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 13 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    14 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    1.

    Mr.SuthepLiumsirijarern

    DirectorGeneral

    EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice

    Management members

    3.

    Mr.SamerjaiSuksumek

    DeputyDirectorGeneral

    EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice

    2.

    Mr.NatieTabmanie

    DeputyDirectorGeneral

    EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 14 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 15 1

    5.

    Ms.ChanananBuakhiew

    Specialist,EnergyConservationandRenewable

    EnergyPolicyandPlan

    4.

    Specialist,EnergyStrategyPlanning

    6.

    Ms.DowtipVanichanont

    DirectorofAdministrativeSystemDevelopmentGroup

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 15 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    16 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    7.

    Ms.SomsriKitcharoenwong

    DirectorofInternalAuditGroup

    9.

    Ms.ChirapapornLaima

    DirectorofEnergyPolicyandPlanningDivision

    8.

    Mrs.PattamavadeeJerangsawatti

    DirectorofGeneralAdministrationBureau

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 16 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 17 1

    10.

    Mrs.EmornCheepsumol

    DirectorofEnergyForecastandInformation

    TechnologyCenter

    12.

    DirectorofPowerPolicyBureau

    11.

    Mr.SuchaleeSumamal

    DirectorofPetroleumandPetrochemicalPolicyBureau

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 17 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    18 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    (122549172554)

    Mr.VirapholJirapraditkul

    DirectorGeneral

    (12December200617March2011)

    (24282554)

    Mr.BoonsongKerdklang

    InspectorGeneralofMinistryofEnergy

    ActingDirectorGeneral,

    EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice

    (24March28April2011)

    (19255032555)

    Mr.ChavalitPichalai

    DeputyDirectorGeneral

    (19March20073January2012)

    (1255332554) Mr.SupanSangthong

    DeputyDirectorGeneral

    (1November20103March2011)

    2554Management members in the 2011 fiscal year

    13.

    Mr.SittichodWantawin

    DirectorofEnergyConservationandRenewable

    EnergyPolicyBureau

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 18 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 19 1

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 19 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    20 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Internal Audit Group

    Organizational structure

    DirectorGeneral

    Deputy DirectorGeneral

    Chief Change Officer: CCO

    Chief Gender Equality Officer; CGEO

    Specialist, Energy Strategy Planning

    Administrative System Development Group

    Energy Policy and

    Planning Division

    General Affairs Unit

    Energy Strategy Development Group

    Energy Strategy Management Group

    Monitoring and Evaluation Group

    General Affairs Unit

    Personnel

    Management Group

    Coordination and

    Public Relations

    Group

    Finance Group

    Energy Fund Group

    General Affairs Unit

    Petroleum Pricing

    Group

    Petroleum Business

    Group

    Petrochemical

    Industry Group

    General Affairs Unit

    Power Tariff and

    Service Quality

    Group

    Power Industry

    Competition

    Promotion Group

    Power Supply

    Planning Group

    General Affairs Unit

    Energy Information

    Technology Develop

    ment Group

    Energy Analysis and

    Forecast Group

    Computer System

    Development Group

    General Affairs Unit

    Energy Conservation

    Group

    Renewable Energy

    Group

    Capacity Building and

    Public Communication

    on Energy Conservation

    Group

    Energy Conservation and

    Renewable Energy

    Policy Bureau

    General

    Administrative

    Bureau

    Petroleum and

    Petrochemical Policy

    Bureau

    Power Policy

    Bureau

    Energy Forecast

    and Information Technology Center

    Specialist, Energy Conservation and

    Renewable Energy Policy and Plan

    Deputy DirectorGeneral

    Chief Information Officer: CIO

    Chief Knowledge Officer; CKO

    232555

    Dataasof23April2012

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 20 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 21 1

    Workforce structure of Energy Policy and Planning Office

    2554 166

    9010

    41 25

    The Energy Policy and Planning Office is

    committed to developing stable and sustainable energy for the country. Being committed to the

    aforementioned obligation, it is necessary to

    be wellequipped with knowledge and sufficient personnel. In 2011, the total number of person-nel was 166, divided into 90 civil servants, 10 permanentstaff,41governmentalemployees,and25

    temporarystaff. Inprinciple,thehumanresources must be sufficiently and effectively distributed to

    leadtheorganizationtowardssuccess,asstatedin

    theorganizationmission.

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 21 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    22 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    : / unit : person

    No.

    Organization

    Civil

    servant

    Permanent

    staff

    Governmental

    employee

    Temporary

    staff Total

    1 CentralManagement

    5 5

    2 AdministrativeSystem

    DevelopmentGroup

    2 2 4

    3 InternalAuditGroup

    2 1 1 4

    4 GeneralAdministration

    Bureau

    22 10 16 22 70

    5 EnergyPolicyand PlanningDivision

    12 3 1 16

    6

    EnergyForecastand InformationTechnology Center

    10 3 13

    7 PetroleumandPetrochemical PolicyBureau

    13 7 20

    8 PowerPolicyBureau

    11 6 17

    9 EnergyConservationand

    RenewableEnergyPolicy

    Bureau

    13 3 1 17

    Total

    90 10 41 25 166

    232555

    Dataasof23May2012

    EPPO final P.11-22.indd 22 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM

  • 23 1

    2/Part 2 2554 2555Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 23 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    24 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554 2555

    (.)

    25540.1 3.2

    Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012

    ThailandsGDPgrowthratein2011,asreported

    byNationalEconomicandSocialDevelopmentBoard

    (NESDB),wasat0.1%.Duringthefirstthreequarters,

    theGDPgrowthratewas3.2%;despitetheimpactof

    JapaneseearthquakeandtsunamiincidentsinMarch

    onThailandsindustrialsectorinthesecondquarter,

    theeconomycouldberecoveredinthethirdquarter.

    Unfortunately,attheendofthethirdquarterand

    throughoutthefourthquarteroftheyear,Thailand

    hadtofaceadisastrousfloodsituationwhichheavily affectedthemanufacturingsector,bothagriculturaland

    industrialsectors,especiallytheindustrialestates inPhraNakhonSiAyutthayaandPathumThani provincesincludingthetourist industry.These

    factorsgreatlyaffectedtheoverallenergydemand

    ofthecountrywhichcanbesummarizedasfollows.

    Consumption, Production and Import of Primary Commercial Energy

    : / Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent

    2553

    20102554

    20112553 / 2010 2554 / 2011

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Consumption1,783 1,845 1,780 1,807 1,765 1,780 1,868 1,890 1,858 1,763

    Production989 1,018 979 1,002 987 990 1,051 1,012 1,034 977

    ()

    Import(Net)1,001 1,017 991 1,082 916 1,015 1,040 1,097 1,031 903

    /(%)

    Import/Consumption(%)56 55 56 60 52 57 56 58 55 51

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 24 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 25 2

    2553

    20102554

    2011

    2553 / 2010 2554 / 2011

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    Consumption7.2 3.5 10.4 6.7 6.9 5.2 5.0 4.6 5.3 1.0

    Production10.6 2.9 10.0 11.2 12.4 8.6 7.4 1.0 4.8 1.3

    ()

    Import(Net)8.5 1.6 11.0 13.4 2.7 12.7 5.0 1.4 12.6 11.0

    GDP (%) 7.8 0.1 12.0 9.2 6.6 3.8 3.2 2.7 3.7 9.0

    2554 3.52553

    1,845

    44 3.3

    373.3

    3.4

    3.848.5

    . 2

    6152554 2554

    (LNG)

    2554

    Primary Energy Consumption. Thetotalprimary

    energyconsumptionin2011increasedby3.5%from thatin2010,beingatalevelof1,845thousand barrelsperday(KBD)ofcrudeoilequivalent.Naturalgas accountedforthelargestshareoftheconsumption,

    i.e.44%,accountingforanincreaseof3.3%.Oil consumptionwasthesecondlargest,holdingashareof 37%,oranincreaseof3.3%.Theconsumptionof importedcoaldecreasedmoderatelyby3.4%,butlignite

    increasedby3.8%.Asforhydropowerandimported

    electricity,thedemandsharplyroseby48.5%dueto

    increasedgenerationbyhydropowerplantsaswell

    asadditionalpowerpurchasefromLaoPDR.Import

    of615MWofelectricityfromNamNgum2projectin

    LaoPDRcommencedinMarch2011tocompensate

    naturalgassupplyshortageduringtheendofJuneto

    earlyAugust2011,causedbyleakageofthenatural gastransmissionpipelineintheGulfofThailand. Furthermore,aroundyearend,therewasplentiful supplyofwaterindomesticdamreservoirsresulting

    fromtheoccurrenceoffivestormsaltogetherpassing bythecountry.Inaddition,Thailandfirstimported liquefiednaturalgas(LNG)inMay2011.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 25 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    26 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Growth Rate of Primary Commercial Energy Consumption

    :

    Unit : KBD of crude oil equivalent

    2553

    20102554

    20112553 / 2010 2554 / 2011

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Total Consumption1,783 1,845 1,780 1,807 1,765 1,783 1,868 1,890 1,858 1,763

    Oil652 674 681 643 629 658 689 681 663 662

    NaturalGas784 810 750 793 796 798 817 847 817 761

    Coal211 204 209 227 216 195 208 209 214 186

    Lignite99 102 98 103 92 102 109 109 101 90

    /

    Hydro/ImportedElec.36 54 43 42 32 28 45 44 62 63

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2010 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2011

    211815129630

    369

    1215

    (%)

    GDP

    /

    Oil Natural Gas Coal/Lignite

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 26 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 27 2

    Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy

    :

    Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent

    2,0001,800

    1,600

    1,4001,2001,000

    800

    600

    400200

    0

    /Hydro/Imported Electricity

    /Coal/Lignite

    Natural Gas

    Oil

    3%

    17%

    44%

    36%

    2551 2552 2553 2554

    66%

    Domestic

    79%Domestic

    Domestic 15%

    Import 21%

    Domestic 34%

    Import 34%

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    Import

    66%

    Import

    85%

    25542553138,807(1,810,871 1,946,678)7.7 / 10.4,42.11.7

    2.6

    0.4

    Expenditure on Energy. In2011,atotalof

    THB1,946.68billionwasspentonenergyconsump-tion,anincreaseofTHB138.81billionor7.7%when

    comparedwithTHB1,810.88billionin2010.Thevalue

    ofoilconsumptionincreasedby10.4%andthatof

    naturalgasandlignite/coalincreasedby42.1%and 1.7%respectively;whilethatofrenewableenergyand electricitydroppedby2.6%and0.4%.

    Consumption

    Oil

    Natural Gas

    /

    Coal/Lignite

    Electricity

    Total

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)3.3 3.3 0.8 48.5 3.5

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 27 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    28 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2011

    /

    Million Baht

    1,200,000

    1,000,000

    800,000

    600,000

    400,000

    200,000

    0

    1,946,678

    Total Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption: THB 1,946.68 billion

    PetroleumProductsElectricityNaturalGasLignite/CoalRenewableEnergy

    2554

    1,237,3362553950,300

    287,036

    30.2 79

    2.

    2554 (LNG) 2554 NGV

    Value of Energy Imports. The total energy importin2011wasworthTHB1,237.34billion,increasing byTHB287.04billionor30.2%fromTHB950.30 billionin2010.Thevalueofcrudeoilimportaccounted

    forthelargestshareof79%;itsimportvalueincreased

    duetopricehikesintheworldmarketresultingfrom

    internalunrestofmanyoilproducingcountries.The

    valueofelectricityimportincreasedinaccordancewith

    theincreasedvolumeofpowerpurchasefromanew

    supplyresource,i.e.NamNgum2DaminLaoPDR,

    startinginMarch2011.Similarly,thevalueofnatural

    gasimportsalsoincreasedduetotheLNGimports,

    startinginMay2011,foruseasfuelinthepower generationsectorandinthetransportationsector(asNGV).

    Petroleum

    Products

    Electricity

    Natural Gas

    /

    Lignite/Coal

    Renewable

    Energy

    Total

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)10.4 0.4 42.1 1.7 2.6 7.7

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 28 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 29 2

    Value of Energy Import

    1,200,000

    1,000,000

    800,000

    600,000

    400,000

    200,000

    0

    2551255225532554

    2554

    1,237,336

    +L

    NG

    1,000,000

    800,000

    600,000

    400,000

    200,000

    0

    2008200920102011

    MillionBaht

    Total Value of Energy Import : THB 1,237.33 billion

    ValueofEnergyImport

    Crud

    e Oil

    Coal

    Electr

    icity

    Petro

    leum

    Produ

    cts

    Natur

    al Ga

    s

    Year 2011

    2554

    321,3092553262,058

    59,251

    22.6

    318,17223.3

    Value of Energy Exports. In2011,thetotalvalueofenergyexportwasTHB321.31billion,increasingby

    THB59.25billionor22.6%fromTHB262.06billionin

    2010.Theexportsofcrudeoilandpetroleumproducts

    wereworthTHB318.17billionintotal,oranincrease

    of23.3%.

    Crude Oil

    Petroleum

    Products

    +LNG

    Natural Gas

    Coal

    Electricity

    Total

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)30.1 41.1 10.7 7.6 69.9 30.2

    Million Baht

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 29 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    30 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554Value of Energy Export in 2011

    Million Baht

    CrudeOilPetroleumProductsElectricity

    Crude Oil

    Petroleum Products

    Electricity

    Total

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)52.9 20.0 23.2 22.6

    300,000

    250,000

    200,000

    150,000

    100,000

    50,000

    0

    321,309

    Total Value of Energy Export: THB 321.31 billion

    2554 7942.7 30.1977,374 38.730.72

    79.472553

    110.192554

    ENERGY SITUATION BY ENERGY TYPE

    Crude Oil. Crudeoilimportsin2011wasatarate of794KBD,decreasingby2.7%;however,theimports

    valueincreasedtoTHB977.37billion,oranincreaseof

    30.1%,asthecrudeoilpricehadincreasedby38.7%

    orUS$30.72abarrel,fromanaverageimportprice

    atUS$79.47abarrelin2010toUS$110.19abarrel in2011.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 30 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 31 2

    2.7%Crude Oil Import Decreased by 2.7%

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    (/)

    Quantity (KBD) 804 812 803 816 794 1.0 1.6 2.7

    ($US/)

    Average Price ($US/barrel)70.54 101.44 61.90 79.47 110.19 39.0 28.4 38.7

    ()

    Value (Billion THB) 716 1,003 623 751 977 37.9 20.6 30.1

    2554

    25533.4

    LPG( )3.8,7.77.7 1.1 6.0

    Petroleum Products. Comparedwith2010,the

    totalpetroleumproductconsumptionin2011increased

    by3.4%.Thedemandfordieselincreasedby3.8%; jetpetroleumdemandincreasedby7.7%;andLPG demand(excludingtheuseinthepetrochemicalindustry) increasedatthehighestrateof7.7%.However, thedemandforgasolineandfueloilwasdownby1.1%

    and6.0%respectively.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 31 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    32 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Petroleum Product Consumption

    : / Unit: KBD

    Product

    25512008

    2552

    2009

    2553

    20102554

    2011

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    Gasoline122 130 128 126 2.9 5.6 1.4 1.1

    91

    Regular 91 74 74 78 85 8.4 0.4 5.0 9.4

    Premium 48 56 50 41 7.0 15.0 10.0 17.6

    -

    - Gasohol 42 53 49 40 62.5 23.8 7.3 16.8

    - 95

    - ULG 95 6 3 1 0.7 69.1 48.0 56.7 45.6

    Kerosene0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 13.7 12.5 13.5 14.9

    Diesel303 318 318 331 5.7 4.6 0.1 3.8

    Jet Petroleum 80 76 81 87 5.9 4.4 6.3 7.7

    Fuel Oil 56 47 45 42 22.1 16.9 4.2 6.0

    LPG** 117 119 131 141 17.4 0.9 10.0 7.7

    TOTAL679 690 704 728 3.6 1.3 1.9 3.4

    **LPGFeedstocks

    **Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 32 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 33 2

    Monthly Gasoline Consumption

    Million Litres/Day

    2222212120201919181817

    22212019

    18

    17

    ..

    ..

    ..

    .

    .

    .

    .

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    .

    .

    ..

    2554/

    ..50

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..51

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..52

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..53

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..54

    ..

    ..

    ..

    Jan07

    Apr07

    Jul0

    7

    Oct0

    7

    Jan08

    Apr08

    Jul0

    8

    Oct0

    8

    Jan09

    Apr09

    Jul0

    9

    Oct0

    9

    Jan10

    Apr10

    Jul10

    Oct10

    Jan11

    Apr11

    Jul11

    Oct11

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar Apr

    May Jun Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov Dec

    Flood Impact

    2011

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    20.1Ave. 20.1

    19.5Ave. 19.5

    20.6Ave. 20.6

    20.3Ave. 20.3

    20.1Ave. 20.1

    MillionLitres/Day

    2554

    12620.1

    1.12553 NGV 6791 914225 3395

    95 132

    Gasoline Theaverageconsumptionof gasolinein2011wasatalevelof126KBDor20.1million litresperday,adecreaseof1.1%comparedwiththat

    in2010.Thevolumeofgasolineconsumptionduring

    OctoberNovember2011droppedtothelowestlevel

    intheyearduetotheimpactofdomesticfloodcrisis, alongwiththeswitchtoNGVbyanumberofcarusers. Regulargasolineconsumptionaccountedforashare of67%whichcanbefurtherdividedinto:42%octane 91gasoline(Gasoline91orULG91)and25%octane 91gasohol(Gasohol91)andpremiumgasoline consumptionaccountedfortheremaining33%further dividedinto:1%octane95gasoline(Gasoline95or

    ULG95)and32%octane95gasohol(Gasohol95).

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 33 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    34 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554

    Growth Rate in 2011

    Growth (%)..

    Jan

    .

    Feb

    ..

    Mar

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    May

    ..

    Jun..

    Jul

    ..

    Aug

    ..

    Sep

    ..

    Oct

    ..

    Nov

    ..

    Dec

    ....

    JanDec

    53 54

    Compared with

    corresponding

    period in 2010

    4.3 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.0 0.9 3.8 2.3 1.0 6.6 12.1 1.0 1.2

    54

    Compared with

    previous month

    5.0 4.5 6.8 3.8 4.2 5.3 4.8 3.4 1.9 7.5 0.2 14.6

    2554

    58

    12.02553

    11.53.9

    272554

    9591 8.027.17

    312554

    Gasohol Ofthetotalgasolineconsumptionin2011,gasoholaccountedforthelargestshare,i.e.

    58%.Thedemandvolume,however,decreasedfrom

    12.0millionlitresperdayin2010to11.5millionlitresper

    daythisyear,ora3.9%decrease,duetotheimpact offloodcrisisandalsothegovernmentmeasure suspendingthecollectionofcontributionstotheOilFund toalleviateconsumersburden,effectiveon27August

    2011,resultinginretailpricereductionforGasoline95

    by8.02BahtperlitreandGasoline91by7.17Baht perlitre.Thus,asfromAugust,alargenumberof

    consumersturnedtousegasolineinsteadofgasohol.

    Although,on31August2011,theratesofcontribution

    toandsubsidyfromtheOilFundwerereviewedand

    adjustedtoincreasethepricegapbetweengasoline

    andgasohol,thenewpriceswerenotattractiveenough

    toinduceconsumerstousegasoholasbefore.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 34 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 35 2

    Monthly Gasohol Consumption

    Million Litres/Day

    2554

    Growth Rate in 2011

    Growth (%)..

    Jan

    .

    Feb

    ..

    Mar

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    May

    ..

    Jun..

    Jul

    ..

    Aug

    ..

    Sep

    ..

    Oct

    ..

    Nov

    ..

    Dec

    ....

    JanDec

    53 54

    Compared with

    corresponding

    period in 2010

    5.5 5.0 6.0 7.8 8.3 5.3 2.4 0.8 16.0 25.2 30.3 14.0 3.9

    54

    Compared with

    previous month

    3.7 4.4 4.8 5.2 4.0 3.7 2.4 3.8 16.5 12.4 2.0 27.8

    91

    14

    12

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    Government promotion of Gasohol 91 application to motorcycles

    95 (E10) 25545.8121.2

    7.37

    9595(E10)

    9.91

    4.72

    In2011,thedemandforGasohol95(E10)wasat

    5.81millionlitresperday,decreasedby21.2%from7.37 millionlitresperdayin2010.Theaveragepricegap betweenGasoline95andGasohol95(E10)was

    9.91BahtperlitrebeforeAugustandthenadjusted

    to4.72BahtperlitreafterAugust.

    Jan07

    Apr07

    Jul0

    7

    Oct0

    7

    Jan08

    Apr08

    Jul0

    8

    Oct0

    8

    Jan09

    Apr09

    Jul0

    9

    Oct0

    9

    Jan10

    Apr10

    Jul10

    Oct10

    Jan11

    Apr11

    Jul11

    Oct11

    25502007

    4.8Ave. 4.8

    25522009

    12.2Ave. 12.2

    25512008

    9.2Ave. 9.2

    25532010

    12.0Ave. 12.0

    25542011

    11.5Ave. 11.5

    Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reducedby the government and Flood impact at year end

    95 91

    Demand increased due to much lower price than gasoline

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 35 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    36 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    95 (E10) Monthly Gasohol 95 (E10) Consumption

    2554

    Growth Rate in 2011

    Growth (%)..

    Jan

    .

    Feb

    ..

    Mar

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    May

    ..

    Jun..

    Jul

    ..

    Aug

    ..

    Sep

    ..

    Oct

    ..

    Nov

    ..

    Dec

    ....

    JanDec

    53 54

    Compared with

    corresponding

    period in 2010

    7.8 8.3 8.3 7.2 8.1 10.9 14.7 16.9 40.9 48.6 49.8 33.3 21.2

    54

    Compared with

    previous month

    6.2 2.7 7.7 3.4 5.8 3.4 4.1 5.4 29.1 15.2 2.2 33.5

    9125545.1019.92553

    4.25

    9191(E10) 7.12 3.02

    AsforGasohol91,thedemandin2011wasat 5.10millionlitresperday,increasedby19.9%from thatin2010,whichwasat4.25millionlitresperday. TheaveragepricegapbetweenGasoline91and Gasohol91(E10)was7.12BahtperlitrebeforeAugust

    and3.02BahtperlitreafterAugust.

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec

    9

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    8765432

    / 2554

    95 91

    Year 2011

    Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reduced by the government and Flood impact at year end

    MillionLitres/Day

    Million Litres/Day

    .

    .50

    Jan07

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .51

    Jan08

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .52

    Jan09

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .53

    Jan10

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .54

    Jan11

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    4.16Ave. 4.16

    6.66Ave. 6.66

    20.1Ave. 20.1

    7.37Ave. 7.37

    5.81Ave. 5.81

    25502007

    25542011

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 36 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 37 2

    91 (E10) Monthly Gasohol 91 (E10) Consumption

    2554

    Growth Rate in 2011

    Growth (%)..

    Jan

    .

    Feb

    ..

    Mar

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    May

    ..

    Jun..

    Jul

    ..

    Aug

    ..

    Sep

    ..

    Oct

    ..

    Nov

    ..

    Dec

    ....

    JanDec

    53 54

    Compared with

    corresponding

    period in 2010

    26.8 25.0 25.7 27.4 29.8 27.1 24.8 23.9 17.9 7.5 2.9 9.7 19.9

    54

    Compared with

    previous month

    0.4 5.9 1.3 6.8 2.2 4.2 1.0 2.6 3.9 10.0 4.3 21.4

    255495

    (E20)8302553 54295(E85)

    1038

    Attheendof2011,theexpansionofGasohol

    95(E20)servicestationnetworkwasexpectedtoreach

    830stations,increasingfromonly542stationsin

    2010,andthatofGasohol95(E85)servicestations,to

    38stationsfromonly10stationsinthepreviousyear.

    Million Litres/Day

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

    2554

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2.

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    .

    JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec

    /

    95 91

    Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reduced by the government and Flood impact at year end

    Year 2011

    MillionLitres/Day

    .

    .50

    Jan07

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .51

    Jan08

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .52

    Jan09

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .53

    Jan10

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    .

    .54

    Jan11

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    Jul

    .

    .Oct

    0.67Ave. 0.67

    2.52Ave. 2.52

    3.88Ave. 3.88

    4.25Ave. 4.25

    4.25Ave. 4.25

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 37 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    38 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    255452.63.9

    29.99 2554

    272554 3.00

    2554

    2554 2554 12554 100 35 22554 5

    Diesel In2011,dieselconsumptionwasat

    anaverageof52.6millionlitresperday,anincrease

    of3.9%,astheretailpriceofdieselhadbeenfixed

    at29.99Bahtperlitrebythegovernmentsincethe

    beginningoftheyear;moreover,thegovernments reliefmeasuresuspendingcontributioncollectiontothe

    OilFund,effectivesince27August2011,resultedina

    furtherreductionofretaildieselpriceby3.00Bahtper

    litre,whichinducedgreateruseofdiesel.Inaddition,

    duringthefloodcrisis,particularlyfromNovemberto

    December2011,dieselconsumptionhighlyincreased

    asitwasusedforpumpingwateroutandpushingits

    flowincriticallyfloodedareas.

    Withregardtobiodiesel,sinceearly2011the

    blendingratioofbiodiesel(B100)inhighspeeddiesel

    (HSD)hadbeenadjustedseveraltimes.Earlyinthe

    year,therewasaproblemofcrudepalmoilshort-age,makingitnecessarytoreducetheratioofB100

    blendinginHSDfromformerlyavailabletwogrades

    with3%and5%ofB100blendingtoonlyonegrade

    with2%B100blending,effectivesince1February

    2011,andsincemid2011,biodieselhasbeenrevised

    touseonlyonegrade,comparedtoseveralgrades

    inthepast,butnotover5%.Thispolicypurposedto allocateascarcityofpalmoilwhenitisoutofseason.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 38 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 39 2

    Monthly Diesel Consumption

    2554

    Growth Rate in 2011

    Growth (%)..

    Jan

    .

    Feb

    ..

    Mar

    ..

    Apr

    ..

    May

    ..

    Jun..

    Jul

    ..

    Aug

    ..

    Sep

    ..

    Oct

    ..

    Nov

    ..

    Dec

    ....

    JanDec

    53 54

    Compared with

    corresponding

    period in 2010

    3.7 3.5 1.0 7.1 6.2 6.5 0.3 7.3 6.9 4.5 0.6 7.5 3.9

    54

    Compared with

    previous month

    2.5 1.8 3.2 0.5 1.6 1.6 8.4 1.0 0.9 3.3 8.4 10.2

    60

    55

    50

    45

    40

    35

    2550

    51.12007

    Ave. 51.1

    2551

    48.22008

    Ave. 48.2

    2552

    50.62009

    Ave. 50.6

    2553

    50.62010

    Ave. 50.6

    2554

    52.62011

    Ave. 52.6

    ..50

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..51

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..52

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..53

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..54

    ..

    ..

    ..

    Jan07

    Apr

    Jul

    Oct

    Jan08

    Apr

    Jul

    Oct

    Jan09

    Apr

    Jul

    Oct

    Jan10 Apr

    Jul

    Oct

    Jan11

    Apr

    Jul

    Oct

    Million Litres/Day 2554

    /

    60

    55

    50

    45

    40

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    ..

    JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec

    Year 2011MillionLitres/Day

    Demand increased due to start of harvest and tourist

    season rising demand for water pumping during the flood

    Demand dropped due to end of harvest time

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 39 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    40 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    LPG 2554

    35.018.9 255315.9 39

    9.1 36 34.213

    35.3

    LPG11.20

    10

    7.8

    LPG

    13

    42554

    2192554

    12554

    LPG, Propane and Butane Thedemandof

    theseproductsin2011wasat35.0millionlitresper

    day,anincreaseof15.9%from2010.Thehousehold

    consumptionaccountedforthelargestshareofthe

    totaldemand,i.e.39%,withagrowthrateof9.1%.Next

    toitwastheuseasfeedstockinthepetrochemical

    industry,holdingashareof36%,growingby34.2%.

    Theuseasfuelforvehiclesaccountedforashareof

    13%,growingby35.3%resultingfromthestabilization

    ofLPGpriceforthetransportationsectoratalow

    level,i.e.11.20Bahtperlitre.Onthecontrary,theuse

    intheindustrialsectoraccountedforashareof10%,

    decreasingby7.8%becausethegovernmenthadseta

    policytoincreasetheretailLPGpriceforthissectorto

    reflecttheactualcost.Thepriceincreasewillbemade

    quarterly,at3Bahtperkgperquarter,forfourtimes

    altogether;in2011thepriceadjustmentweremade

    twicethefirsttimeon19July2011andthesecond

    oneon1October2011.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 40 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 41 2

    LPG

    LPG, Propane and Butane Demand

    2554

    Demand in 2011

    Household

    Industry

    Automobile

    Petrochemical

    Own Use

    Total

    ()

    Demand Volume

    (Million Litres/Day)

    35.0 13.5 3.6 12.5 1.8 35.0

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%) 9.1 7.8 35.3 34.2 38.5 15.9

    353025201510502551255225532554

    24.426.5

    30.335.0

    / Own Use

    3%

    23%

    16%14%

    44%

    5%4%

    30%

    12%13%

    41% 39%

    10%13%

    36%

    2%

    36%

    13% 10%

    39%

    2%

    28%

    13%11%

    43%

    2554

    2008200920102011

    Own Use

    PetrochemicalPetrochemical

    Automobile

    AutomobileIndustryIndustry

    Household

    Household

    Million Litres/DayShare in 2011

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 41 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    42 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Petroleum Consumption in the Land Trans-port. In2011,thedemandvolumewasat65.5millionlitresofcrudeoilequivalentperday,accountingfor

    anincreaseof5.7%comparedwiththepreviousyear.

    Dieselconsumptionheldthelargestshareof58%;

    nexttoitwastheconsumptionforgasoline,NGVand LPGasfuelforvehicles,holdingashareof27%, 10%and5%respectively.

    TheuseofLPGasfuelforvehiclesremarkably increasedby35.3%astheLPGpriceforthetrans-portationsectorwasfixedat11.20Bahtperlitre.As

    attheendof2011,theaccumulatednumberofLPG vehicles, includingdualfuelvehiclesusingLPG togetherwithgasolineordiesel,increasedfrom666,155

    unitsin2010to832,882unitsandthenumberofLPG refuelingstationsnationwidewas1,037.

    NGV(orCNG)demandincreasedatahighrate

    of27.5%duetothegovernmentpolicypromotingNGV

    utilization,byfixingNGVpriceat8.50Bahtperkgas

    anincentive,inducinganumberofvehicleownersto

    havetheirenginesmodifiedtorunonNGV.Moreover,

    automobilecompaniesstartedmanufacturingmany

    modelsofNGV(orCNG)vehicleswhicharenowon

    themarket.Asattheendof2011,theaccumulated

    numberofNGVvehicleswasexpectedtoreach300,581

    units,increasingfrom225,668unitsin2010,whichwill

    helpreducegasolineanddieseldemandby16.4%and

    5.1%respectively.ThenumberofNGVservicestations

    nationwidewas469,increasingfrom428stationsin

    2010ofthis,236stationsareinBangkokandits

    vicinitiesand233stationsinotherprovinces.

    2554

    65.52553

    5.7 5827 LPGNGV 510

    LPG35.3

    LPG 11.202554

    LPGLPG

    832,8822553666,155

    LPG1,037

    NGV27.5 NGVNGV 8.50

    NGV

    CNG2554 NGV300,581 2553225,668

    16.45.1

    NGV

    4282553469

    236 233

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 42 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 43 2

    Petroleum Consumption in the Land Transport

    Million Litres/Day of

    2551 2552 2553 2554 2008 2009 2010 2011

    25544,1432553

    4,039

    2.6

    (LPG)33.0

    6

    800

    25532554

    (NGV)19.2

    27.5 9.3

    Natural Gas Consumption. In2011,thedemand

    fornaturalgaswasatalevelof4,143millionstandard

    cubicfeetperday(MMSCFD),increasingby2.6%from

    4,039MMSCFDin2010.Theuseofnaturalgasas

    feedstockinthepetrochemicalindustryandothers

    increasedby33.0%astheGasSeparationPlant(GSP)

    Unit6,withageneratingcapacityof800MMSCFD,

    cameonstreamattheendof2010andhadrunona

    commercialscalethroughouttheyear2011.Naturalgas

    demandintheindustrialsectorandforuseasfuelfor

    vehicles(NGV)increasedby19.2%and27.5%respec-tively,whilethedemandforpowergenerationdropped

    by9.3%duetothedecreaseinpowerdemandthisyear.

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Crude oil equivalent

    NGV 10%LPG 5%

    58%

    27%

    Share

    Diesel

    Gasoline

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    Gasoline

    DieselLPG NGV

    Total

    2552 / 2009 5.7 5.6 14.1 85.2 7.7

    2553 / 2010 1.4 0.5 2.1 26.6 0.9

    2554 / 2011 1.1 3.1 34.5 26.9 5.7

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 43 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    44 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Natural Gas Consumption by Sector

    2550 2551 2552 2553 2554 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%) NGV

    2552 / 2009 0.2 2.5 6.9 84.2 3.2

    2553 / 2010 12.0 8.9 23.5 26.8 13.3

    2554 / 2011 9.3 33.0 19.2 27.5 2.6

    Lignite/Coal Consumption. In2011,lignite/ coalconsumptiontotaled35milliontonnes,decreasing

    by1.1%fromthepreviousyear(basedontheheating

    value),dividedintoconsumptionofligniteat19million

    tonnesandimportedcoalat16milliontonnes.Ofthe

    totalligniteconsumption,17milliontonneswasused

    forpowergenerationbyEGAT;theremaining2million

    tonneswasmainlyusedforcementmanufacturing.

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

    0

    MMSCFD

    / 35

    25542553()1.1

    16

    19.

    172

    / ShareNGV 5%

    / Industry 14%

    / GSP 21%

    60%Power Generation

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 44 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 45 2

    255431,447

    255330,920

    527

    48(IPP)

    (SPP) 38,77

    (GrossPeakLoad) 24255414.00. 24,518Peak2553

    24,630112 0.52554

    .2554162,343

    25530.8

    67/19

    75

    1

    2554148,855 0.3

    7

    460.3

    2.7 1.311.5

    Electricity

    Installed Capacity. Thailandsinstalledcapacity

    in2011wasat31,447MW,anincreaseof527MWfrom

    30,920MWin2010.TheElectricityGeneratingAuthority

    ofThailand(EGAT)heldthelargestshareof48%.Next

    toitwasIndependentPowerProducers(IPP),holding

    ashareof38%;thenSmallPowerProducers(SPP),

    7%;andpowerpurchasefromforeignsources,7%. Gross Peak Load. Thepeakloadoccurredon

    Tuesday,24May2011,at14.00hrs,reaching24,518

    MWwhichwas112MWlowerthanthe2010peak

    load(24,630MW),oradecreaseof0.5%,because

    inearly2011theweatherwasstillcold,coupledwith

    earlyrainfallinsummer,makingthetemperaturein

    thepastsummerlowerthanthatinthepreviousyear.

    Power Generation. Theamountofpowergen-eration,togetherwithpowerpurchasebyEGAT,in2011

    totaled162,343gigawatthour(GWh),decreasingby 0.8%comparedwiththatin2010.Theshareofindividual fueltypesusedforpowergenerationwasasfollows:

    naturalgas,67%;lignite/coal,19%;importedelectricity,

    7%;hydropower,5%;oil,1%;andrenewableenergy,1%. Power Demand. In2011,powerdemandtotaled

    148,855GWh,adecreaseof0.3%fromthatin2010

    becauseoflingeringcoldweatheratthebeginningof theyearandmorethanusualrainfallinThailand, coupledwiththeimpactoftheearthquakeandtsunami incidentsinJapanontheindustrialandcommercial

    sectorsinThailand.Moreover,attheendofthe

    year,thedomesticfloodcrisisbadlyaffectedseven industrialestatesinPhraNakhonSiAyutthayaandPathum

    Thaniprovinces,creatingconsiderableimpactonthe industrial,householdandagriculturalsectors.Power

    demandintheindustrialsector(holdingthelargest

    shareof46%ofthetotaldemand)increasedby0.3%

    inthecommercial,increasedby2.7%andthatinthe

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 45 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    46 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2554Power Demand in 2011

    Overall DemandQ1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    ()

    Demand Volume (GWh)35,817 38,319 39,579 35,140 148,855

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%) 0.1 1.7 3.6 3.1 0.3

    2554

    44,1951.9

    5.5

    0.8

    2554102,9470.5

    0.20.8

    11.5

    householdandagriculturalsectorsalsodecreasedby

    1.3%and11.5%respectively.Thailandspowerdemand

    canbedividedintothedemandinmetropolitanareas

    andthatinprovincialareas,asdetailedbelow.

    Metropolitan Areas Thetotaldemandin2011

    was44,195GWh,adecreaseof1.9%.Powerconsumption

    inthehouseholdsectordecreasedby5.5%andthatin

    thecommercial&industrialsectordecreasedby0.8%. Provincial Areas The total demand in 2011was102,947GWh,anincreaseof0.5%.Power consumptioninthecommercial&industrialsector

    slightlyincreasedby0.2%,andthatinthehousehold sectorincreasedby0.8%,whiletheconsumptionin

    theagriculturalsectordecreasedby11.5%.

    Direct customerEGAT

    1,713 GWh1%

    MEA44,195 GWh

    30%

    PEA102,947 GWh

    69%

    Total: 148,855 GWh

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 46 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 47 2

    Power Demand by Sector. Powerdemandof

    eachmajorclusterintheindustrialandcommercial

    sectorinthefirstthreequartersof2011wasonarising trend.DespitetheimpactofJapanesedisasterson

    Thailandinthesecondquarter,thedemandrebounded

    inthethirdquarter.However,inthelastquarter, Thailandwasbadlyshatteredbythedomesticflood

    crisis,whichcausedshutdownsofanumberof industrial factoriesandbusinesses,particularly electronics,automobile,textileandplastic,asthey

    areintheindustrialestateslocatedinfloodaffected

    areas,henceasubstantialdecreaseinpowerdemand. Inaddition,majorbusiness,suchashotels,retailshops

    andconstructionbusiness,hadtoshutdownduring

    thatperiodaswellduetotheflood.Moreover,some

    foreigncountriesissuedawarningtotheircitizensto

    avoidtravellingtoThailandduringtheflooding.

    The Automatic Tariff Adjustment Mechanism

    (Ft). In2011,thenewpowertariffstructurewasputinto

    effect,startinginthemonthofJuly2011,resultingin

    severalrevisionsoftheFtchargeasfollows:

    Thefirstrevision:fortheroundofJanuary

    April2011,theFtratewasat0.8688Bahtperunit,

    decreasingby0.0567Bahtperunit.

    Thesecondrevision:fortheroundofMay

    August2011,theFtratewasat0.9581Bahtperunit,

    increasingby0.0893Bahtperunit.

    Thethirdrevision:fortheroundofSeptember

    December2011,theFtratewasat0.06Bahtperunit,

    resultingfromthepowertariffstructurereformthe

    FtratefortheroundofMayAugust2011,i.e.0.9581 Bahtperunit,wasincludedintheretailpowertariff structurewhichhasbeeninusesinceOctober2005.

    TheFtrateturnedouttobeaminusfigurebecause

    thecallbackmoneyfromthethreePowerutilities,

    astheirinvestmentsduring20082010couldnotbe

    2554

    2554

    2554

    1:2554 86.885.67

    2:255495.818.93

    3:2554 6.00

    255495.81

    2548

    25512553 6

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 47 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    48 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2555

    (.)2555

    5.56.5

    2554

    1051102554

    106.03

    2555

    2555

    1,937

    25544.8

    3.3

    7.4LNG

    NGV/2.8

    2554/ 1.9

    materializedasplanned,wasusedasFtreduction

    forpowerconsumersforaperiodofsixmonths.

    TREND OF ENERGY SITUATION IN 2012

    Accordingtotheeconomicforecastmadeby

    theNationalEconomicandSocialDevelopmentBoard

    (NESDB),itisexpectedthattheGDPgrowthratein2012

    willbearound5.56.5%,givensuchmajordriving

    forcesasgovernmentexpendituresandinvestments

    aswellasaccelerationofinvestmentinrehabilitation

    programstorecoverbusinessesaffectedbytheflood

    duringtheendof2011,includingtheaveragecrudeoil

    priceinthisyear,projectedtobeinarangeofUS$

    105110abarrel,whichishigherthanUS$106.03 abarrelin2011.TheEnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice

    (EPPO)has,therefore,developedaforecastofenergy

    demandbasedontheforegoingassumptions.The

    trendofenergysituationin2012canbesummarized

    asfollows.

    Primary Commercial Energy Demand. The demandin2012isforecasttobeatalevelof1,937

    KBDofcrudeoilequivalent, increasingby4.8% comparedwiththatin2011.Oildemandwillincreaseby

    3.3%,andnaturalgasdemandwillincreaseby7.4% (resultingfromgrowingdemandforimportedLNGfor

    powergenerationandNGV).Demandforlignite/coal

    willgrowby2.8%asGHECOOneIPPcoalfiredpower

    planthasbeenonstreamsincetheendof2011,while

    demandforhydropower/importedelectricitywillgrow

    by1.9%.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 48 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 49 2

    Forecast of Primary Commercial Energy Demand

    : / Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent

    2550 2007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    Demand1,604 1,618 1,663 1,783 1,845 1,937

    Oil 667 634 643 652 674 696

    NaturalGas 615 648 682 784 810 870

    /

    Lignite/Coal 279 301 303 310 306 316

    /

    Hydro/ImportedElec. 43 36 35 36 54 55

    (%)

    GrowthRate(%)

    Demand 3.8 0.9 2.8 7.2 3.5 4.8

    Oil 1.0 5.0 1.4 1.5 3.3 3.3

    NaturalGas 6.2 5.4 5.2 15.0 3.3 7.4

    /

    Lignite/Coal 12.8 7.7 0.7 2.4 1.1 2.8

    /

    Hydro/ImportedElec. 2.5 17.4 1.1 2.8 48.5 1.9

    f

    f:Forecastdata

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 49 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    50 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Petroleum Products. In2012,demandforoverallgasolineisprojectedtoincreaseonlyslightly

    by0.9%becausegasoholdemandisexpectedtobe

    increasingwhilethedistributionofGasoline91willbe

    abolishedasfrom1October2012onwardspursuantto

    thegovernmentpolicy.Dieseldemandwillincreaseby

    2.9%moderatelyandJetpetroleumwillincrease4.8%

    astourismisbeingrecoveredafterthefloodimpact

    lastyear.LPGdemandisexpectedtoincreaseby11.2%

    becausetheuseinthehouseholdandtransportation sectorswillstillbegrowing,althoughthedemandinthe industrialsectortendstodrop.Fueloildemand,how-ever,isforecasttodecreaseby17.6%asitsutilization

    intheindustrialsectorandforpowergenerationispro-jectedtodecrease.Hence,theoverallannualdemand

    ofpetroleumproductsisforecasttoincreaseby3.3%.

    Forecast of Petroleum Product Demand

    : / Unit: Million Litres

    Product Type

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    / Gasoline 7,337 7,121 7,524 7,417 7,332 7,398 1.4 1.1 0.9

    / Diesel 18,710 17,643 18,465 18,480 19,192 19,749 0.1 3.8 2.9

    /Jet Petroleum 4,932 4,637 4,432 4,712 5,076 5,302 6.3 7.7 4.8

    / Fuel Oil 4,222 3,287 2,731 2,615 2,456 2,024 4.2 6.0 17.6

    LPG* 5,812 6,828 6,894 7,587 8,178 9,094 10.0 7.7 11.2

    / Total 41,013 39,516 40,046 40,811 42,235 43,585 1.9 3.4 3.3

    * LPG Feed stocks

    *Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry

    f / Forecast data

    2555 0.9 91 1

    2555 2.9

    4.8 LPG 11.2

    17.6

    3.3

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 50 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 51 2

    LPG, Propane and Butane Thedemandof

    theseproductsin2012isestimatedtoreach7,961

    thousandtonnes,accountingforanincreaseof16.3%,

    resultingfromincreasingdemandinthehousehold

    sectorandthepetrochemicalindustry.Thehousehold

    demandwillincreaseby8.2%,whichisstillconsidered

    ahighrate,duetothegovernmentpolicyfixingtheLPG

    priceforthissectoruntiltheendof2012.Theuseas

    feedstockinthepetrochemicalindustryisprojectedto

    highlyincreaseby35.0%,from2,419thousandtonnes

    in2011to3,266thousandtonnesin2012,whereas

    thedemandintheindustrialsectorisexpectedtoslow

    downbecausethegovernmenthasintroducedapolicy

    toquarterlyincreaseLPGpriceforindustrialuseby 3Bahtperquarter,forfourtimesaltogether.In2011,

    theLPGpricewasincreasedtwicealready;in2012

    theothertwopricesadjustmentwillbemadeon

    1January2012and1April2012.LPGdemandinthe

    transportationsectorisprojectedtoincreaseby5.8%,

    butatalowergrowthratethanthatin2011asthe

    governmenthasapolicytoincreaseLPGpriceforthe

    transportationsectorasfrom16January2012onwards,

    bygraduallyincreasingthepriceatarateof0.41Baht

    perlitrepermonth(0.75Bahtperkgpermonth),for 12times.Bythismeans,theLPGpricewillincrease

    from11.20Bahtperlitreto16.12Bahtperlitre.Moreover,

    sincetheendof2011,thegovernmenthaslaunched

    aprojectonenginemodification,freeofcharge,for

    20,000LPGruntaxistoswitchtouseNGVinstead.

    LPG 2555

    7,961

    16.3

    8.2

    LPG2555 35.02,41925543,266

    2555

    LPG 342554

    225552 112555

    5.82554

    LPG16

    25550.41 (0.75.)12

    LPG11.20

    16.12 LPGNGV20,000 2554

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 51 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    52 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    LPG Forecast of LPG, Propane and Butane Consumption, Production and Import

    : / Unit : Thousand Tonnes

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    -

    - Consumption4,116 4,788 5,208 5,943 6,890 7,961

    Household1,884 2,124 2,231 2,435 2,656 2,874

    Industry 611 665 593 778 718 727

    Automobile 572 776 666 680 920 973

    Petrochemical Feedstock 968 1,093 1,478 1,846 2,419 3,266

    Own Use 81 130 240 213 131 122

    -

    - Production4,469 4,355 4,467 4,416 5,422 5,477

    -

    - Import 452 753 1,591 1,437 2,211

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    -

    - Consumption 17.0 16.3 8.8 14.1 15.9 16.3

    Household 9.5 12.7 5.0 9.2 9.1 8.2

    Industry17.4 8.8 10.8 31.3 7.8 1.2

    Automobile24.7 35.6 14.1 2.1 35.3 5.8

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 52 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 53 2

    Natural Gas. Itisanticipatedthatnaturalgas

    demandin2012willgrowby6.1%comparedwiththat

    in2011.Theuseofnaturalgasforpowergeneration

    willincreaseby3.1%;theuseasfeedstockinthe petrochemicalindustryandotherswillincreaseby

    6.1%,andtheuseasfuelintheindustrialsector

    willincreaseby9.1%.NaturalgasdemandforNGV

    vehicleswillhighly increaseby31.4%duetothe

    governmentpolicypromotinggreateruseofNGV,

    whichincludestheprojectswitching20,000LPGrun

    taxistoNGVruntaxisfreeofchargeandtheEnergy

    CreditCardprojectforNGVusers,alreadylaunched

    beforetheincreaseinNGVprice,starting16January 2012,atarateof0.50Bahtperkgpermonth,for12

    times;hence,theNGVpricewilleventuallyincrease from8.50Bahtperkgto14.50Bahtperkg.

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    Petrochemical Feedstock26.2 12.9 35.2 24.9 31.0 35.0

    Own Use65.3 61.8 84.2 11.5 38.5 7.2

    f / Forecast data

    255525546.1

    3.1

    6.1

    9.1

    NGV

    31.4NGV NGVLPG 20,000NGV NGV 1625550.50 .12NGV

    8.50.14.50 .

    : / Unit: Thousand Tonnes

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 53 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    54 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Forecast of Natural Gas Demand, by Sector

    : / Unit: MMSCFD

    Sector

    25502007

    25512008

    25522009

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    (%)

    Growth Rate (%)

    25532010

    25542011

    2555f

    2012f

    Power Gen.2,346 2,423 2,435 2,728 2,476 2,553 12.0 9.3 3.1

    GSP 572 583 599 652 867 920 8.9 33.0 6.1

    Industry 347 361 387 478 569 621 23.5 19.2 9.1

    NGV 24 77 143 181 231 304 26.8 27.5 31.4

    Total3,288 3,444 3,564 4,039 4,143 4,397 13.3 2.6 6.1

    :11,000

    Remarks: Heating Value :1 cubic foot = 1,000 BTU

    f / Forecast data

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 54 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 55 2

    2555

    5.7

    4(..25552558)

    2554

    2555

    7

    2555.LNG140

    (1.0)

    PDP20102555

    SPP(CoGen)704SPP(Renewable) 65VSPP162

    29

    .220

    Electricity. Powerdemandin2012isforecast

    toincreaseby5.7%asthegovernmenthasapolicyto

    promotepublicinvestmentandexpenditurestoboost

    theeconomyduringthegovernments4yearPublic

    AdministrationManagementPlan(20122015),andto

    accelerateinvestmentinrehabilitationprogramsto

    recoverthecountryfromthedamageresultingfrom

    thefloodcrisisattheendof2011.Inthefirstquarter

    of2012,powerdemandinthecommercialsectorand

    largescaleindustries,especiallythoseintheseven

    floodaffectedindustrialestates,willbelowasthe affectedfacilitieswillnotbeabletoresumetheir operationbythen.However,fromthesecondquarter onwards,itisexpectedthattheiroperationcanresume,

    whichwillresultingrowingpowerdemand.Asforpower

    generation,naturalgaswillremainthemajorfuel,

    comparedwithotherfuelsources.PTThasplannedto

    importLNGatavolumeof140MMSCFD(1.0million tonne).Inaddition,accordingtothePDP2010,additional supplytothegridfromthefollowingpowerplantswill

    beonstreamin2012:704MWfromSPPs(CoGen);

    65MWfromSPPs(Renewable);and162MWfrom VSPPs.Moreover,therewillbeatotalsupplyof29

    MWfromdomesticdamsand220MWwillbeimported

    fromTheunHinboun(extension)projectinLaoPDR.

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 55 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    56 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    Forecast of Power Generation

    : / Unit: Thousand Tonnes

    Year

    GWh

    Difference

    GWh

    (%)

    Percentage (%)

    25502007

    147,026 5,107 3.6

    25512008

    148,221 1,195 0.8

    25522009

    184,364 143 0.1

    25532010

    163,668 15,305 10.3

    25542011

    162,343 1,325 0.8

    2555f

    2012f171,597 9,254 5.7

    f / Forecast data

    :2555

    Remark : Forecast data as in August 2012

    EPPO final P.23-56.indd 56 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM

  • 3/Part 3 2554

    Fuel price in 2011

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 57 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    58 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    1.

    1

    100.9094.53

    4255316.59

    9.45

    Supply Disruption

    (North Atlantic

    Treaty Organization: NATO)

    12 18

    3

    2

    110.63 102.22

    9.73

    7.69

    1. CRUDE OIL PRICE

    The first quarter:TheaveragepricesofDubaiand

    WestTexascrudewereUS$100.90perbarreland

    US$94.53perbarrelrespectively.Dubaispricerose

    US$16.59perbarrelwhilethatofWestTexasrose

    US$9.45perbarrelfromthefourthquarterof2010. This wasmainly due to the concern over supply disruptionamongoilproducingcountriesasaresult

    ofthecontinuingviolentunrestinLibya.NorthAtlantic

    TreatyOrganizationagreeduponjointmilitaryopera-tionsinLibyatoprovideassistanceandprotection forLibyannationalsaccordingtoaresolutionfromthe

    UnitedNations.TheUSalsodecidedtodeploytroops

    toattacktheLibyangovernmenttoseektheremoval

    ofColonelMuammarGaddafi.Analystspredictedthat

    itwouldtakeapproximately1218monthstorestore

    the oil producing infrastructure. Meanwhile, the

    domesticsituationinYemenalsoaffectedcrudeoil

    productionafteremployeesofforeignoilcompanies

    startedtofleethecountry.Therewasalsoagrowing anxiety over the explosions at the nuclear power

    plant in Japan and possible radioactive leakage. Ifthesituationbecamemoreserious,itwouldcreate a severe impact on economic recovery of Japan,

    whichisthethirdlargestoilconsumerintheworld.

    The second quarter :TheaveragepricesofDubai

    andWestTexascrudewereatUS$110.63perbarrel

    andUS$102.22perbarrel,increasingbyUS$9.73per

    2554

    Fuel price in 2011

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 58 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 59 3

    JeanClaude Trichet

    2.7 ( 1.4 )

    5NorthDakota

    (307,000/)

    25542.8286,000

    /

    3 107.09 89.52

    3.54

    12.70

    ReutersSurvey 255430.25

    /3

    2554 10.30 /

    Majnoon

    2554 75,000 / 400,000/2554

    barrelandUS$7.69perbarrelrespectivelyfromthe

    previousquarter.Thiswasmainlybecauseinvestors

    wereincreasinglyconfidentaftertheGreekparliament had approved details of austeritymeasureswhile

    JeanClaude Trichet, chairpersonof theEuropean

    CentralBank,signaledinameetingtoraiseinterest rates. These two factors contributed to the euro appreciationagainstthedollar,luringmoreinvestors to invest in the oil market. The USA commercial

    crudeoilreservesalsodecreased2.7millionbarrels (analystspredictedat1.4millionbarrels).Inaddition, theclimatechangeandfloodsalsoclosedfiveoil

    production platforms in North Dakota of the USA

    (withaproductioncapacityof307,000barrelsper

    day).VietnamscrudeoilproductioninJune2011was

    estimatedtodrop2.8%to286,000barrelsperday.

    Nigerian guerrillaswho had earlier surrendered to

    theirgovernmentthreatenedtoattacktheirnational

    oilpipelinesincethegovernmentfailedtograntan

    amnestyaspromised.

    The third quarter :TheaveragepricesofDubai

    andWestTexascrudewereUS$107.09perbarrel

    andUS$89.52perbarrel,droppingbyUS$3.54per barrel and US$12.70 per barrel respectively from

    thepreviousquarter.Thiswasaresultofconcern

    over theeconomies in theUSAandEuropewhich

    causedaselloffamonginvestorsinthestockand commoditymarkets.ReutersSurveyreportedOPECs

    crude oil export of 30.25million barrels per day September2011thehighestratesinthreeyears

    due to Iraqs export increase and Libya export

    resumption.Russiascrudeoilproductionwasalso

    boostedto10.30barrelsperdayinSeptember2011,

    whichwasRussiashighestproductionlevelafterthe

    collapseoftheUSSR.InIraq,crudeproductionfrom

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 59 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    60 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    4 106.50

    0.59

    2555

    0.10/

    1.1/State OilMarketingOrganization 2554 1.9

    2.175/ NationalOil

    Company

    RasLanuf (220,000/) 1

    94.07

    4.55

    27 (International

    MonetaryFund: IMF) 1.5

    EuroZone17 2554

    1.6 3.8

    2554 106.3295.01

    28.22 15.52

    theMajnoonoilfieldinAugust2011wasincreased to75,00barrelsperday,andIraqplannedtoincrease

    itsproductioncapacityto400,000barrelsperday

    bytheendof2011.

    The fourth quarter :TheaveragepriceofDubai

    crudewasUS$106.50perbarrel,droppingUS$0.59

    perbarrelfromthepreviousquarter.Thisfollowed

    OPECS forecast that world oil demand growth in

    2012woulddecreaseby0.10millionbarrelsperday

    fromthepreviousforecastto1.1millionbarrelsper

    day. The chairperson of Iraqi State Oil Marketing Organizationreportedanincreaseincrudeoilexport

    level in December 2011 from 1.0 to 2.175 million barrelsperday. Inaddition,NationalOilCompany

    ofLibyaannouncedthesuspensionoftheoperation

    ofRasLanufrefinery(220,000barrelsperday)for

    onemonthsincethecrudeoilfieldwasnotreadyfor

    production.TheaveragepriceofWestTexascrude

    wasUS$94.07perbarrel,increasingbyUS$4.55per

    barrelfromthepreviousquarter.Thiswastheresult

    ofatelephonemeetingamong27financeministers

    oftheEuropeanUnionwhichapprovedanadditional subsidy worth 1.5 billion Euro to International MonetaryFund(IMF)forassisting17countriesinthe

    EuroZone.Theoilmarketwasalsobackedupby

    theUSAeconomicdatawhichshowedstrength.New

    homesalesinNovember2011increased1.6%while

    durablegoodssalesincreased3.8%.Theinformation

    assuredtheUSAeconomyisrecovering.

    2011 :Inconclusion,theaveragepricesofDubai

    andWestTexascrudewereUS$106.32perbarreland

    US$95.01perbarrel,risingbyUS$28.22perbarrel

    andUS$15.52perbarrelrespectivelyfromlastyear.

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 60 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 61 3

    2.

    1 95, 92 113.49, 111.38

    119.30

    4255318.49,18.4421.97

    210,000

    LibyanNational Oil Company Arbitrage

    Rotterdam

    (386,000/)BP2

    2 95

    92 124.89, 122.28

    130.05

    11.40,10.9110.75

    32554250,000

    /

    1.52554

    Ramadan

    1.30

    UmmAlNar (85,000

    /) Boiler GS Caltex 870,000/ Korea National Oil Corp.

    2. REFINED OIL PRICE IN SINGAPORE' SPOT MARKET

    The first quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane 95, 92 and diesel were US$113.49,

    US$111.38, and US$119.30 per barrel, rising from

    US$18.49, US$18.44, and US$21.97 per barrel respectively from the fourth quarter of 2010 in line with the crude oil price. The ship containing

    210,000barrelsofgasolinehiredbyLibyanNational

    OilCompanywashijackedresultinginashortageof

    supplyforgasolineinLibya.Gasolinearbitragewas

    reportedlyfoundfromIndiatotheWest.Therewas

    alsoan increase indemandforgasoline inJapan

    forelectricitygenerationafterthecountrywashitby

    thetsunami.Moreover,refinerieslocatedinvarious regions were shut down on their maintenance schedule.BPsRotterdamRefinery(386,000barrels per day), which is the second largest refinery in

    Europe, also halted is operation without reason. DemandforgasolineinIndiaroseduetoanincrease

    intransportandconstructionactivities,aswellas

    heavieruseofairconditionersduringsummer.

    The second quarter : The average prices of

    gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$124.89,

    US$122.28,andUS$130.05perbarrel.Theprices

    roseUS$11.40,US$10.91,andUS$10.75perbarrel respectively from the previous quarter. Analysts predictedthatdemandforgasolineinIndonesiain

    thethirdquarterof2011couldreach250,000barrels perday.SaudiArabiasSaudiAramcoimported1.5

    million barrels of oil in July 2011 as reserves for Ramadan inAugust. Japansdemand for gasoline

    reached1.30millionbarrelssincethetouristseason

    was approaching while refineries were still unable

    to operate following the earthquake. UmmAl Nar RefineryoftheUnitedArabEmirates(85,000barrels

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 61 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    62 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    82554

    3 95, 92

    124.45, 121.74

    124.69

    0.44,0.555.36

    American

    Petroleum Institute (API)

    2554

    9.1/1.3

    NingxiaPetroChina(100,000/)

    (CrudeDistillationUnit)

    5/200,000/

    2554

    2554 13 15 4

    4 95, 92

    116.13,114.10124.31

    8.32,7.640.38

    ARA222554 0.2 3.4 5.7 LankaIOC(LIOC) 2555 Vietnam National Petroleum ImportExport Corp.

    (Petrolimex)

    12555

    4 2554 1 2554

    perday)wastemporarilyshutdownasaresultof afireaccidentattheboiler.Anotherfactorcontributing totheoilpriceincreasewastherequestfromSouth

    KoreasGSCaltexfor870,000barrelsperdayofdiesel fromKoreanNationalOilCorp.sreserveafterdomestic demandhadskyrocketedbeforetheretailpricewas

    raisedon8August2011.

    The third quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane95,92anddieselwereUS$124.45,US$121.74, and US$124.69 per barrel. The prices dropped

    US$0.44, US$0.55, and US$5.36 per barrel respectively from thepreviousquarter In linewith thecrudeoilprice.AmericanPetroleumInstitute(API)

    oftheUSAreportedtheUSAdemandforgasolinein

    August2011was9.1millionbarrelsperday,adecrease of 1.3%. Ningxia Refinery of PetroChina (100,000

    barrelsperday)expandeditscruderefiningcapacity to5milliontonnesperyearorapproximately200,000 barrelsperday.Therefinerywasexpectedtoresume

    itsoperationbytheendofOctober2011.SouthKorea's

    dieselexportinAugust2011was13millionbarrels, anincreaseof15%.Severeworldeconomicrecession,

    moreover,resultedinadeclineindemandfordiesel

    especiallyinthefourthquarter.EuroZonedebtcrisis

    alsocausedadeclineindemandfordieselinEurope

    althoughthecontinentwasinthemiddleofwinter.

    The fourth quarter : The average prices of

    gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$116.13,

    US$114.10, and US$124.31 per barrel. The prices

    droppedUS$8.32,US$7.64,andUS$0.38perbarrel respectivelyfromthepreviousquarterinaccordance

    withtheEuropeancommercialgasolineoilreserve

    aroundARAfortheweekendingon22December2011,

    whichincreased0.2millionbarrels,or3.4%,to5.7 millionbarrels.SriLankasLankaIOC(LIOC),moreover, banned imported gasoline in January 2012 while

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 62 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 63 3

    2554 95,

    92119.77,117.40

    124.56

    31.36,31.1735.00

    3.

    1 95, 91,95E10,E20,E85,91

    B5 45.31,

    40.45, 35.95, 32.55, 21.22, 33.45, 29.98

    29.8542553

    3.91,4.17,3.47,2.72,1.91,2.79,0.79

    1.66

    2 95, 91,

    95E10,E20,E85,91

    48.28,42.93,38.03,34.63,

    22.45,35.5329.99

    2.97, 2.48, 2.08, 2.08,

    1.23,2.080.01

    3 95, 91,

    95E10,E20,E85,91

    45.02,40.12,37.17,33.28,

    22.10,34.4929.17

    3.26,2.81,0.86,1.35,0.35,

    1.040.82

    Vietnam National Petroleum ImportExport Corp.

    (Petrolimex)expectedthatthedemandforgasoline

    forsaleatitsservicesstationsinthefirstquarterof

    2012wouldbelowerthanthoseofthefirstandfourth

    quarter2011.DieseloiltransportedfromtheEastto

    theWestwasalsosuspendedduetoadeclineina

    demandinthewesternregion.

    2011 : In conclusion, the average prices of

    gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$119.77,

    US$117.40, and US$124.56 per barrel. The prices

    roseUS$31.36,US$31.17,andUS$35.00perbarrel

    respectivelyfromthepreviousyear.

    3. RETAIL PRICE

    The first quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,gasohol91, aswellashighspeeddieselandhighspeeddiesel

    B5were45.31,40.45,35.95.32.55,21.22,33.45,

    29.98,and29.85Bahtperlitre.Thepricesrosefrom thefourthquarterof2010by3.91,4.17,3.47,2.72,

    1.91,2.79,0.79,and1.66Bahtperlitrerespectively.

    The second quarter : The average prices of

    gasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,

    gasohol91,andhighspeeddieselwere48.28,42.93,

    38.03.34.63,22.45,35.53,and29.99Bahtper

    litre.Thepricesrosefromthepreviousquarterby

    2.97,2.48,2.08,2.08,1.23,2.08,and0.01Baht

    perlitrerespectively.

    The third quarter : Theaveragepricesofgasoline

    octane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,gasohol

    91,andhighspeeddieselwere45.02,40.12,37.17,

    33.28,22.10,34.49,and29.17Bahtperlitre.The

    pricesdroppedfromthepreviousquarterby3.26,

    2.81,0.86,1.35,0.35,1.04,and0.82Bahtperlitre

    respectively.

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 63 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    64 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2551 2554

    Average fuel price during 2008 2011

    2551

    2008

    2552

    2009

    2553

    2010

    2554 2011

    2554

    2011

    average

    average

    average

    average

    1

    1st quarter 2

    2nd quarter

    3

    3rd quarter

    4

    4th quarter

    ( : ) / Crude oil price (unit : US$ per barrel)

    Dubai

    94.18 61.91 78.10 106.32 100.90 110.63 107.09 106.50

    Brent

    97.83 62.05 79.89 111.26 105.79 116.86 113.16 109.43

    WestTexas

    100.11 61.92 79.49 95.01 94.53 102.22 89.52 94.07

    ( : ) / Refined oil price in Singapore spot market

    (unit : US$ per barrel)

    95

    GasolineOctane95

    103.27 70.38 88.40 119.77 113.49 124.89 124.45 116.13

    4 95, 91,

    95E10,E20,E85,91

    39.42,35.31,34.61,31.28,

    21.21,32.2828.61

    5.60,4.81,2.56,2.00,0.89,

    2.210.56

    2554 95,91,

    95E10,E20,E85,91,

    B544.49,39.69,

    36.44,32.93,21.75,33.94,29.4429.88

    3.34,3.61,

    4.10,2.98,2.54,3.10,0.762.33

    The fourth quarter : The average prices ofgasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,

    gasohol91,andhighspeeddieselwere39.42,35.31,

    34.61,31.28,21.21,32.28,and28.61Bahtperlitre.

    The prices dropped from the previous quarter by

    5.60,4.81,2.56,2.00,0.89,2.21,and0.56Baht

    perlitrerespectively.

    2011 : In conclusion, the average prices ofgasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,

    gasohol91,aswellashighspeeddieselandhigh

    speeddieselB5were44.49,39.69,36.44,32.93,

    21.75,33.94,29.44,and29.88Bahtperlitre.The

    prices rose from thepreviousyearby3.34,3.61,

    4.10,2.98,2.54,3.10,0.76,and2.33Bahtperlitre

    respectively.

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 64 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 65 3

    2551

    2008

    2552

    2009

    2553

    2010

    2554 2011

    2554

    2011

    average

    average

    average

    average

    1

    1st quarter 2

    2nd quarter

    3

    3rd quarter

    4

    4th quarter

    ( : ) / Refined oil price in Singapore spot market

    (unit : US$ per barrel)

    92

    GasolineOctane92

    101.95 68.18 86.23 117.40 111.38 122.28 121.74 114.10

    HighSpeedDiesel

    120.25 69.13 89.56 124.56 119.30 130.05 124.69 124.31

    ( : ) / Retail prices in Thailand (unit : Baht per litre)

    95

    GasolineOctane95

    35.47 37.97 41.15 44.49 45.31 48.28 45.02 39.42

    91

    GasolineOctane91

    33.42 31.36 36.08 39.69 40.45 42.93 40.12 35.31

    95E10

    Gasohol95E10

    28.96 27.52 32.34 36.44 35.95 38.03 37.17 34.61

    91

    Gasohol91

    28.16 26.72 30.84 33.94 33.45 35.53 34.49 32.28

    95E20

    Gasohol95E20

    27.34 25.41 29.95 32.93 32.55 34.63 33.28 31.28

    95E85

    Gasohol95E85

    18.70 18.99 19.21 21.75 21.22 22.45 22.10 21.21

    HighSpeedDiesel

    31.29 24.80 28.68 29.44 29.98 29.99 29.17 28.61

    B5

    HighSpeedDieselB5

    30.36 22.74 27.55 29.88 29.99

    2551 2554

    Average Petroleum Product prices during 2008 2011

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 65 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    66 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    2551 2554

    Oil traders' average marketing margin during 2008 2011

    :/unit:Bahtperlitre

    2551

    2008

    2552

    2009

    2553

    2010

    2554 2011

    2554

    2011

    average

    average

    average

    average

    1

    1st quarter 2

    2nd quarter

    3

    3rd quarter

    4

    4th quarter

    95

    GasolineOctane95

    2.85 5.55 4.89 5.41 4.86 5.45 5.49 5.82

    91

    GasolineOctane91

    1.83 1.62 1.50 1.87 1.51 1.71 1.83 2.41

    95E10

    Gasohol95E10

    2.37 1.58 1.52 1.38 1.28 1.59 1.38 1.26

    91

    Gasohol91

    2.32 1.81 1.75 1.55 1.45 1.78 1.54 1.43

    95E20

    Gasohol95E20

    1.98 2.32 2.62 2.38 1.98 2.79 2.32 2.45

    95E85

    Gasohol95E85

    4.77 5.06 8.26 5.60 8.80 9.03 9.55

    HighSpeedDiesel

    1.37 1.49 1.51 1.27 1.11 1.25 1.28 1.45

    Total Average

    1.63 1.65 1.56 1.40 1.12 1.38 1.38 1.60

    ( : ) / Oil traders' refining margin (unit : Baht per litre)

    Average

    1.9323 0.8563 1.1101 1.5654 1.57 1.59 1.68 1.43

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 66 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 67 3

    2553 2554

    Average contribution to the Oil Fund during 2010 2011

    :/unit:Bahtperlitre

    2553

    2010

    average

    2554

    2011

    average

    1

    at the end

    of the

    1st quarter

    2

    at the end

    of the

    2nd quarter

    3

    at the end

    of the

    3rd quarter

    4

    at the end

    of the

    4th quarter

    95

    GasolineOctane95

    7.50 4.89 7.50 7.50 4.65 0.00

    91

    GasolineOctane91

    6.65 4.37 6.70 6.70 4.15 0.00

    95E10

    Gasohol95E10

    2.71 1.87 2.40 2.40 2.06 0.64

    91

    Gasohol91

    1.32 0.41 0.10 0.10 0.41 1.40

    95E20

    Gasohol95E20

    0.48 1.81 1.30 1.30 1.81 2.80

    95E85

    Gasohol95E85

    11.12 13.50 13.50 13.50 13.50 13.50

    HighSpeedDiesel

    0.66 0.59 3.17 0.42 1.19 0.00

    LPG

    (/)

    LPGforhouseholdsector

    (Baht/kilogramme)

    0.6107 1.1370 1.1142 1.1966 1.2169 1.0203

    LPG

    (/)

    LPG for industrial sector

    (Baht/kilogramme)

    5.4783 4.0492 6.6278

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 67 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61

    68 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e

    29 2554

    Oil price structure as of 29 December 2011

    :/unit:Bahtperlitre

    95

    Gasoline

    95

    91

    Gasoline

    91

    95 E10

    Gasohol

    95 E10

    91

    Gasohol

    91

    95 E20

    Gasohol

    95 E20

    95 E85

    Gasohol

    95 E85

    High

    Speed

    Diesel

    Exrefineryprice

    23.3696 22.9519 23.3258 23.1291 23.1945 21.4744 25.1836

    Excisetax

    7.0000 7.0000 6.3000 6.3000 5.6000 1.0500 0.0050

    Municipalitytax

    0.7000 0.7000 0.6300 0.6300 0.5600 0.1050 0.0005

    OilFund

    0.0000 0.0000 0.2000 1.4000 2.8000 13.5000 0.0000

    EnergyConservation

    PromotionFund

    0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500

    ()

    VAT(wholesale)

    2.1924 2.1631 2.1494 2.0236 1.8763 0.6566 1.7807

    Totalwholesale

    33.5120 33.0650 32.8552 30.9327 28.6808 10.0360 27.2198

    Marketingmargin

    5.0542 1.7803 0.7802 0.9414 2.1114 10.1720 1.5609

    ()

    VAT(retail)

    0.3538 0.1246 0.0546 0.0659 0.1478 0.7120 0.1093

    Totalretail

    38.92 34.97 33.69 31.94 30.94 20.92 28.89

    EPPO final P.57-76.indd 68 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM

  • 69 3

    4. LPG

    1 LPG62.67

    860.33

    LPG

    2554AbuDhabiGas

    LPG40,000 17

    2554

    2 LPG49.33

    909.67

    LPG

    LPG

    LPG

    925 935 855 90

    2554

    LPG9.8%

    TEPCO

    3 LPG74.33

    835.33 Bharat PetroleumCorp.Ltd.LPG 100,0002554 LPG

    2554 1 4 3 /. Vietnams Saigon Pressurized LPG

    2,700 26 28 2554

    4. LPG

    The first quarter : The average price of LPGroseUS$62.67pertonnefromthepreviousquarter reachingUS$860.33pertonneaccordingtocrudeoil

    priceaswellasthecoldandtoughweatherwhichled

    toanincreaseindemandforLPGamongAmerican

    countries.Majoroilcompanies intheMiddleEast

    alsoshutdowntheiroperationsformaintenancefrom

    FebruaryMarch2011.Inaddition,AbuDhabiGas

    sold40,000tonnesofLPGscheduledfordelivery

    during17April2011.

    The second quarter : TheaveragepriceofLPGroseUS$49.33pertonnefromthepreviousquarter reachingUS$909.67pertonnesincetheJapanese

    government decided to make use of LPG in its

    legal reserve topreventLPGshortageasa result

    ofthetsunami.TherewasahugedemandforLPG

    forwarminginJapan.Algeria,inaddition,settheir

    propaneprice,scheduledtobedeliveredinApril,at

    US$925pertonneandbutaneatUS$935pertonne

    whileSaudiAramcosetitspropanepriceforJune atUS$855pertonne,whichdecreasedbyUS$90

    pertonnefromMay2011.Thepetrochemicalsector

    in Germany reportedly consumed 9.8%more LPG

    thaninthepreviousyear.Therefounddemandfor

    LPGinJapaneseTEPCOelectricitycompanyaswell.

    The third quarter : The average price of LPGdropped US$74.33 per tonne from the previous

    quarter to US$835.33 per tonne. Indian Bharat PetroleumCorp.Ltd.cancelleditsJuly2011sorder

    for 100,000tonnesofLPG.Thailandintr