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Thailand Annual Eppo 2554
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EPPO final P.1-10.indd 1 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
2 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554
1.2
2553 30.2
(.)
.
.
2554
.
.
(LPG)
(NGV)
.
90
20
.
.
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 2 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
3 1
.
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 3 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
4 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Thailand relies on imported energy, of which the
volume has grown continuously. In 2011, the country
spent a total of 1.2 trillion baht on energy imports,
an increase of 30.2% from the value registered in
2010. Realizing that the countrys economy cannot
avoid impacts of the fluctuation of energy price in the
world market, Energy Policy and Planning Office works
to develop policies and measures to administer the
countrys energy affairs.
The government has set a framework and direction
of the countrys energy policy which focuses on energy
security to ensure national energy independence and
stability by encouraging energy development, and energy
price control to ensure that the domestic energy price is
suitable and fair for consumers in all sectors. The price
must also reflect the real cost. The policy also aims to
promote production, consumption, and research and
development of renewable and alternative energy.
Fullscale energy conservation is another area that
receives a strong push by the government policy.
As a key function under Ministry of Energy, Energy
Policy and Planning Office (EPPO) takes responsibility
for giving advice and formulating policies and measures
to drive the countrys energy development. EPPO is
also in charge of translating the government policies
into actions to ensure sufficient availability of energy
and energy efficiency, which should well respond to the
countrys situation amid the energy price fluctuation in
the world market.
EPPO regularly makes its performance on energy
affairs known in its annual report. This issue of annual
report features the performance of the 2011 fiscal
year. This is considered another channel to reveal the
governments information to the public, stakeholders,
and those who are EPPOs contacts. The information
also demonstrates good governance in the manage-ment of energy affairs and integration of policies, plans,
and measures involving energy affairs, i.e. petroleum,
electricity, renewable energy, and energy conservation,
to make sure that they are driven towards the same
direction. Part of EPPOs performance last year involved
some essential and urgent tasks to soften the effects
of the rapidly increasing energy price on the public.
This was in line with the governments urgent policy
to cushion impacts of the high oil price as well as its
attempts to solve the LPG and NGV problems in the
transport sector.
In addition to those urgent issues, other vital
energy policies and measures were carried out. This
includes promotion of the use of gasohol, reduction
Message from DirectorGeneralEnergy Policy and Planning Office
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 4 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
5 1
of electricity charge for households with power
consumption not exceeding 90 units per month,
improvement of measures supporting electricity
generation from renewable energy, review and
formulation of Thailand Power Development Plan
to enhance national energy security in response
to the countrys situation. In this regard, EPPO
is in charge of the search and development
of energy and electricity sources both within and
beyond the countrys border. EPPOs responsibilities also
include the formulation of the 20Year Energy Efficiency
Development Plan and promotion of the development
of renewable energy and energy conservation, e.g.
promotion of biogas technology, as well as some
other social contribution activities. Moreover, EPPO
has arranged for the integration of information and
cooperation among government agencies in charge
of the promotion of energy conservation in order to
highten awareness of energy saving and energy
efficiency in all sectors.
On behalf of the management of EPPO, I would
like to thank all staff for their efforts and dedication in
turning energy policies into real practice for the benefit
of the country and the people. I also wish to pass on
my gratitude to the various agencies both in the public
and private sectors and all related organizations both
in and outside the country for their cooperation in
complying with the policies and measures related to
energy affairs. This includes the good cooperation
that EPPO always receives in mitigating impacts of the
fluctuation of energy price in the world market. Similarly,
I would like to thank all the Thai people for realizing
the need to use energy efficiently, which is important
for the countrys energy stability and sustainability.
I strongly hope that the implementation of all policies
and measures will be successful and will help enhance
the national energy security; the need for energy
imports could thus be reduced. This will consequently
result in the lower trade deficit and inflation caused
by the higher production cost, which is a key factor
to drive the countrys economy to achieve growth and
sustainable development while raising the peoples
standard of living and livelihood.
Most importantly, I would like to take this
opportunity to express my sincere gratitude for the
support from all parties continuously offered to EPPO.
Mr. Suthep Liumsirijarern
DirectorGeneral
Energy Policy and Planning Office
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 5 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
6 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
/ Message from DirectorGeneral 2
1/ Part 1 / Organization overview 11
/ Vision, mission, and strategic issues 12
/ 13
Values and corporate culture
/ 14
Management members
/ Organizational structure 20
/ Workforce structure of Energy Policy and Planning Office 21
2 / Part 2 2554 2555 / 23
Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012
3 / Part 3 2554 / Fuel price in 2011 57
4 / Part 4 2554 / 2011 outstanding performance 77
1. .. 2554 / 78
Performance assessed against the performance contract for fiscal year 2011
Content
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 6 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
7 1
2. 89
/
Strategic Map of EPPO and Linkage with The Government's Energy Policies
/
Main policies under the Energy Policy & Planning Office (EPPO)
/ Petroleum
1. / 93
Allevation of impact of high oil price on the society
2. (LPG) / Solutions to LPG problem 95
3. NGV / NGV price policy 97
4. / Promotion of Gasohol 98
/ Electricity
1. 90 / / 99
Measures to reduce electricity charge for households with electricity consumption
not exceeding 90 units per month
2. / 100
Improvement of measures for promoting power generation from renewable energy
Feed in Tariff / 101
Progress of studying the Feed in Tariff measure
/ Energy Conservation
20 (.. 2554 2573) /
20Year Energy Efficiency Development Plan (2011 2030) 105
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 7 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
8 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554 /
Implementation outcomes of the Energy Policy 2011
/ Petroleum
1. (NG) / 110
A review of natural gas pricing structure (NG)
2. (LPG) / 114
Increase in the capacity for import, distribution and transport system of liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG)
3. LPG / 117
LPG supply from local refineries to substitute for imports
/ Electricity
1. .. 2553 2573 / 119
Thailand's Power Development Plan 2010 2030
2. / 121
Power purchase from neighbouring countries
3. / 122
Proposals of Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) under
Ministry of Energy
4. / 124
Promotion of Power Generation from Renewable Energy
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 8 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
9 1
5. (SPP) Cogeneration / 131
The electricity purchase from SPPs using the cogeneration system
6. / 133
The policy on power price structure
7. / 136
The Emergency Plan for Electricity Crisis
/
Energy conservation and renewable energy
1. / The Biogas Technology Promotion 139
2554 / 139
The project on biogas technology promotion for 2011
/ 141
The project on biogas technology promotion from food waste in prisons
1 / 142
The project on biogas technology promotion in chicken farms, phase 1
2. / 143
Creative Social and Energy Promotion Activities
5 / Part 5 2554 / 157
Financial report and note to the financial report 2011
6 / Part 6 .. 2540 / 179
Results of the Implementation of Official Information Act B.E. 2540
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 9 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
EPPO final P.1-10.indd 10 12/27/55 BE 11:11 AM
Vision,mission,andstrategicissues Valuesandcorporateculture Managementmembers Organizationstructureandworkforce
1/Part 1Organization overview
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 11 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
12 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
6
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
5
1
2
3
4
5
(Strengthening EPPO)
Vision The Energy Policy and Planning Office
(EPPO) is apivotal agency in the formulationand administration of energy policies and planning for thenationalsustainability.
Mission EPPO is entrusted with the following six missions:
1. Recommend energy pol ic ies and integrate/review energymanagement plans of the
country;
2. Recommendnationalstrategiesforenergy conservationandalternativeenergypromotion;
3. Recommendmeasurestosolveandprevent oilshortageinbothshortandlongterms;
4. Supervise, monitor and evaluate the effectivenessofnationalenergypolicyandenergy
managementplans;
5. Administertheinformationandcommuni-cationtechnology(ICT)withregardtoenergyissues ofthecountry;and
6. Enhance EPPO to become a strategic organization.
Strategic Issues InordertopursuetheforegoingVisionand Mission,fivestrategiesarelaiddown:
Strategy 1: Formulate energy policies and administerenergyplanningofthecountry;
Strategy 2: Promoteanddevelopalternativeenergyandcleanenergy;
Strategy 3: Promote and develop energyconservationandefficientuseofenergyinallsocial
segments;
Strategy 4: Develop the national energy informationandcommunicationtechnology(ICT);and
Strategy 5: StrengtheningEPPOtobecome anorganizationofexcellenceinenergyadministration.
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 12 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
13 1
(.)
"
The Energy Policy and PlanningOffice (EPPO) has established the following organi-zational core valuesandculturewitha view
tosettingabenchmarkofdutyexecutionand
creatingtheunityamongitspersonnel,which
isuniquetotheoffice,forgovernmentofficials
andotherstaffmemberstocontinuallyadhere
toasguidelinesontheirdutyexecutionandto
effectivelytranslatethemintopracticalactions
soastofosterandsustaintheorganizational
cultureofhighqualityperformance:
EXCELLENCE, PARTNERSHIP,
PUBLIC INTEREST, OWNERSHIP EPPO
Values and corporate culture
Excellence
Partnership
PublicInterest
Ownership
Underlyingtheeffectivenessofdutyexecution,includingperformancedevelopment toexcellencewhichrespondstothegoalsandmissionoftheorganization.
(Network)
Emphasizingstrategicpartnership incollaborationwithvarioustasksnetworks soastosuccessfullyachievethedesignatedgoals.
Focusingondutyexecutionforthebenefitsandinresponsetotheneedsofthe
generalpublic.
Givingimportancetoteamwork,concertedefforts,unityandsharedaccountability
fortheoutcomesofdutyexecution.
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 13 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
14 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
1.
Mr.SuthepLiumsirijarern
DirectorGeneral
EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice
Management members
3.
Mr.SamerjaiSuksumek
DeputyDirectorGeneral
EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice
2.
Mr.NatieTabmanie
DeputyDirectorGeneral
EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 14 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
15 1
5.
Ms.ChanananBuakhiew
Specialist,EnergyConservationandRenewable
EnergyPolicyandPlan
4.
Specialist,EnergyStrategyPlanning
6.
Ms.DowtipVanichanont
DirectorofAdministrativeSystemDevelopmentGroup
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 15 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
16 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
7.
Ms.SomsriKitcharoenwong
DirectorofInternalAuditGroup
9.
Ms.ChirapapornLaima
DirectorofEnergyPolicyandPlanningDivision
8.
Mrs.PattamavadeeJerangsawatti
DirectorofGeneralAdministrationBureau
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 16 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
17 1
10.
Mrs.EmornCheepsumol
DirectorofEnergyForecastandInformation
TechnologyCenter
12.
DirectorofPowerPolicyBureau
11.
Mr.SuchaleeSumamal
DirectorofPetroleumandPetrochemicalPolicyBureau
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 17 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
18 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
(122549172554)
Mr.VirapholJirapraditkul
DirectorGeneral
(12December200617March2011)
(24282554)
Mr.BoonsongKerdklang
InspectorGeneralofMinistryofEnergy
ActingDirectorGeneral,
EnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice
(24March28April2011)
(19255032555)
Mr.ChavalitPichalai
DeputyDirectorGeneral
(19March20073January2012)
(1255332554) Mr.SupanSangthong
DeputyDirectorGeneral
(1November20103March2011)
2554Management members in the 2011 fiscal year
13.
Mr.SittichodWantawin
DirectorofEnergyConservationandRenewable
EnergyPolicyBureau
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 18 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
19 1
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 19 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
20 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Internal Audit Group
Organizational structure
DirectorGeneral
Deputy DirectorGeneral
Chief Change Officer: CCO
Chief Gender Equality Officer; CGEO
Specialist, Energy Strategy Planning
Administrative System Development Group
Energy Policy and
Planning Division
General Affairs Unit
Energy Strategy Development Group
Energy Strategy Management Group
Monitoring and Evaluation Group
General Affairs Unit
Personnel
Management Group
Coordination and
Public Relations
Group
Finance Group
Energy Fund Group
General Affairs Unit
Petroleum Pricing
Group
Petroleum Business
Group
Petrochemical
Industry Group
General Affairs Unit
Power Tariff and
Service Quality
Group
Power Industry
Competition
Promotion Group
Power Supply
Planning Group
General Affairs Unit
Energy Information
Technology Develop
ment Group
Energy Analysis and
Forecast Group
Computer System
Development Group
General Affairs Unit
Energy Conservation
Group
Renewable Energy
Group
Capacity Building and
Public Communication
on Energy Conservation
Group
Energy Conservation and
Renewable Energy
Policy Bureau
General
Administrative
Bureau
Petroleum and
Petrochemical Policy
Bureau
Power Policy
Bureau
Energy Forecast
and Information Technology Center
Specialist, Energy Conservation and
Renewable Energy Policy and Plan
Deputy DirectorGeneral
Chief Information Officer: CIO
Chief Knowledge Officer; CKO
232555
Dataasof23April2012
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 20 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
21 1
Workforce structure of Energy Policy and Planning Office
2554 166
9010
41 25
The Energy Policy and Planning Office is
committed to developing stable and sustainable energy for the country. Being committed to the
aforementioned obligation, it is necessary to
be wellequipped with knowledge and sufficient personnel. In 2011, the total number of person-nel was 166, divided into 90 civil servants, 10 permanentstaff,41governmentalemployees,and25
temporarystaff. Inprinciple,thehumanresources must be sufficiently and effectively distributed to
leadtheorganizationtowardssuccess,asstatedin
theorganizationmission.
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 21 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
22 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
: / unit : person
No.
Organization
Civil
servant
Permanent
staff
Governmental
employee
Temporary
staff Total
1 CentralManagement
5 5
2 AdministrativeSystem
DevelopmentGroup
2 2 4
3 InternalAuditGroup
2 1 1 4
4 GeneralAdministration
Bureau
22 10 16 22 70
5 EnergyPolicyand PlanningDivision
12 3 1 16
6
EnergyForecastand InformationTechnology Center
10 3 13
7 PetroleumandPetrochemical PolicyBureau
13 7 20
8 PowerPolicyBureau
11 6 17
9 EnergyConservationand
RenewableEnergyPolicy
Bureau
13 3 1 17
Total
90 10 41 25 166
232555
Dataasof23May2012
EPPO final P.11-22.indd 22 12/27/55 BE 1:25 PM
23 1
2/Part 2 2554 2555Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 23 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
24 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554 2555
(.)
25540.1 3.2
Energy overview for 2011 and outlook for 2012
ThailandsGDPgrowthratein2011,asreported
byNationalEconomicandSocialDevelopmentBoard
(NESDB),wasat0.1%.Duringthefirstthreequarters,
theGDPgrowthratewas3.2%;despitetheimpactof
JapaneseearthquakeandtsunamiincidentsinMarch
onThailandsindustrialsectorinthesecondquarter,
theeconomycouldberecoveredinthethirdquarter.
Unfortunately,attheendofthethirdquarterand
throughoutthefourthquarteroftheyear,Thailand
hadtofaceadisastrousfloodsituationwhichheavily affectedthemanufacturingsector,bothagriculturaland
industrialsectors,especiallytheindustrialestates inPhraNakhonSiAyutthayaandPathumThani provincesincludingthetourist industry.These
factorsgreatlyaffectedtheoverallenergydemand
ofthecountrywhichcanbesummarizedasfollows.
Consumption, Production and Import of Primary Commercial Energy
: / Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
2553
20102554
20112553 / 2010 2554 / 2011
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Consumption1,783 1,845 1,780 1,807 1,765 1,780 1,868 1,890 1,858 1,763
Production989 1,018 979 1,002 987 990 1,051 1,012 1,034 977
()
Import(Net)1,001 1,017 991 1,082 916 1,015 1,040 1,097 1,031 903
/(%)
Import/Consumption(%)56 55 56 60 52 57 56 58 55 51
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 24 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
25 2
2553
20102554
2011
2553 / 2010 2554 / 2011
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
Consumption7.2 3.5 10.4 6.7 6.9 5.2 5.0 4.6 5.3 1.0
Production10.6 2.9 10.0 11.2 12.4 8.6 7.4 1.0 4.8 1.3
()
Import(Net)8.5 1.6 11.0 13.4 2.7 12.7 5.0 1.4 12.6 11.0
GDP (%) 7.8 0.1 12.0 9.2 6.6 3.8 3.2 2.7 3.7 9.0
2554 3.52553
1,845
44 3.3
373.3
3.4
3.848.5
. 2
6152554 2554
(LNG)
2554
Primary Energy Consumption. Thetotalprimary
energyconsumptionin2011increasedby3.5%from thatin2010,beingatalevelof1,845thousand barrelsperday(KBD)ofcrudeoilequivalent.Naturalgas accountedforthelargestshareoftheconsumption,
i.e.44%,accountingforanincreaseof3.3%.Oil consumptionwasthesecondlargest,holdingashareof 37%,oranincreaseof3.3%.Theconsumptionof importedcoaldecreasedmoderatelyby3.4%,butlignite
increasedby3.8%.Asforhydropowerandimported
electricity,thedemandsharplyroseby48.5%dueto
increasedgenerationbyhydropowerplantsaswell
asadditionalpowerpurchasefromLaoPDR.Import
of615MWofelectricityfromNamNgum2projectin
LaoPDRcommencedinMarch2011tocompensate
naturalgassupplyshortageduringtheendofJuneto
earlyAugust2011,causedbyleakageofthenatural gastransmissionpipelineintheGulfofThailand. Furthermore,aroundyearend,therewasplentiful supplyofwaterindomesticdamreservoirsresulting
fromtheoccurrenceoffivestormsaltogetherpassing bythecountry.Inaddition,Thailandfirstimported liquefiednaturalgas(LNG)inMay2011.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 25 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
26 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Growth Rate of Primary Commercial Energy Consumption
:
Unit : KBD of crude oil equivalent
2553
20102554
20112553 / 2010 2554 / 2011
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Total Consumption1,783 1,845 1,780 1,807 1,765 1,783 1,868 1,890 1,858 1,763
Oil652 674 681 643 629 658 689 681 663 662
NaturalGas784 810 750 793 796 798 817 847 817 761
Coal211 204 209 227 216 195 208 209 214 186
Lignite99 102 98 103 92 102 109 109 101 90
/
Hydro/ImportedElec.36 54 43 42 32 28 45 44 62 63
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2010 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011
211815129630
369
1215
(%)
GDP
/
Oil Natural Gas Coal/Lignite
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 26 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
27 2
Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy
:
Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
2,0001,800
1,600
1,4001,2001,000
800
600
400200
0
/Hydro/Imported Electricity
/Coal/Lignite
Natural Gas
Oil
3%
17%
44%
36%
2551 2552 2553 2554
66%
Domestic
79%Domestic
Domestic 15%
Import 21%
Domestic 34%
Import 34%
2008 2009 2010 2011
Import
66%
Import
85%
25542553138,807(1,810,871 1,946,678)7.7 / 10.4,42.11.7
2.6
0.4
Expenditure on Energy. In2011,atotalof
THB1,946.68billionwasspentonenergyconsump-tion,anincreaseofTHB138.81billionor7.7%when
comparedwithTHB1,810.88billionin2010.Thevalue
ofoilconsumptionincreasedby10.4%andthatof
naturalgasandlignite/coalincreasedby42.1%and 1.7%respectively;whilethatofrenewableenergyand electricitydroppedby2.6%and0.4%.
Consumption
Oil
Natural Gas
/
Coal/Lignite
Electricity
Total
(%)
Growth Rate (%)3.3 3.3 0.8 48.5 3.5
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 27 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
28 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption in 2011
/
Million Baht
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
1,946,678
Total Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption: THB 1,946.68 billion
PetroleumProductsElectricityNaturalGasLignite/CoalRenewableEnergy
2554
1,237,3362553950,300
287,036
30.2 79
2.
2554 (LNG) 2554 NGV
Value of Energy Imports. The total energy importin2011wasworthTHB1,237.34billion,increasing byTHB287.04billionor30.2%fromTHB950.30 billionin2010.Thevalueofcrudeoilimportaccounted
forthelargestshareof79%;itsimportvalueincreased
duetopricehikesintheworldmarketresultingfrom
internalunrestofmanyoilproducingcountries.The
valueofelectricityimportincreasedinaccordancewith
theincreasedvolumeofpowerpurchasefromanew
supplyresource,i.e.NamNgum2DaminLaoPDR,
startinginMarch2011.Similarly,thevalueofnatural
gasimportsalsoincreasedduetotheLNGimports,
startinginMay2011,foruseasfuelinthepower generationsectorandinthetransportationsector(asNGV).
Petroleum
Products
Electricity
Natural Gas
/
Lignite/Coal
Renewable
Energy
Total
(%)
Growth Rate (%)10.4 0.4 42.1 1.7 2.6 7.7
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 28 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
29 2
Value of Energy Import
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
2551255225532554
2554
1,237,336
+L
NG
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
2008200920102011
MillionBaht
Total Value of Energy Import : THB 1,237.33 billion
ValueofEnergyImport
Crud
e Oil
Coal
Electr
icity
Petro
leum
Produ
cts
Natur
al Ga
s
Year 2011
2554
321,3092553262,058
59,251
22.6
318,17223.3
Value of Energy Exports. In2011,thetotalvalueofenergyexportwasTHB321.31billion,increasingby
THB59.25billionor22.6%fromTHB262.06billionin
2010.Theexportsofcrudeoilandpetroleumproducts
wereworthTHB318.17billionintotal,oranincrease
of23.3%.
Crude Oil
Petroleum
Products
+LNG
Natural Gas
Coal
Electricity
Total
(%)
Growth Rate (%)30.1 41.1 10.7 7.6 69.9 30.2
Million Baht
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 29 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
30 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554Value of Energy Export in 2011
Million Baht
CrudeOilPetroleumProductsElectricity
Crude Oil
Petroleum Products
Electricity
Total
(%)
Growth Rate (%)52.9 20.0 23.2 22.6
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
321,309
Total Value of Energy Export: THB 321.31 billion
2554 7942.7 30.1977,374 38.730.72
79.472553
110.192554
ENERGY SITUATION BY ENERGY TYPE
Crude Oil. Crudeoilimportsin2011wasatarate of794KBD,decreasingby2.7%;however,theimports
valueincreasedtoTHB977.37billion,oranincreaseof
30.1%,asthecrudeoilpricehadincreasedby38.7%
orUS$30.72abarrel,fromanaverageimportprice
atUS$79.47abarrelin2010toUS$110.19abarrel in2011.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 30 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
31 2
2.7%Crude Oil Import Decreased by 2.7%
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
25522009
25532010
25542011
(/)
Quantity (KBD) 804 812 803 816 794 1.0 1.6 2.7
($US/)
Average Price ($US/barrel)70.54 101.44 61.90 79.47 110.19 39.0 28.4 38.7
()
Value (Billion THB) 716 1,003 623 751 977 37.9 20.6 30.1
2554
25533.4
LPG( )3.8,7.77.7 1.1 6.0
Petroleum Products. Comparedwith2010,the
totalpetroleumproductconsumptionin2011increased
by3.4%.Thedemandfordieselincreasedby3.8%; jetpetroleumdemandincreasedby7.7%;andLPG demand(excludingtheuseinthepetrochemicalindustry) increasedatthehighestrateof7.7%.However, thedemandforgasolineandfueloilwasdownby1.1%
and6.0%respectively.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 31 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
32 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Petroleum Product Consumption
: / Unit: KBD
Product
25512008
2552
2009
2553
20102554
2011
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
Gasoline122 130 128 126 2.9 5.6 1.4 1.1
91
Regular 91 74 74 78 85 8.4 0.4 5.0 9.4
Premium 48 56 50 41 7.0 15.0 10.0 17.6
-
- Gasohol 42 53 49 40 62.5 23.8 7.3 16.8
- 95
- ULG 95 6 3 1 0.7 69.1 48.0 56.7 45.6
Kerosene0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 13.7 12.5 13.5 14.9
Diesel303 318 318 331 5.7 4.6 0.1 3.8
Jet Petroleum 80 76 81 87 5.9 4.4 6.3 7.7
Fuel Oil 56 47 45 42 22.1 16.9 4.2 6.0
LPG** 117 119 131 141 17.4 0.9 10.0 7.7
TOTAL679 690 704 728 3.6 1.3 1.9 3.4
**LPGFeedstocks
**Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 32 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
33 2
Monthly Gasoline Consumption
Million Litres/Day
2222212120201919181817
22212019
18
17
..
..
..
.
.
.
.
..
..
..
..
..
.
.
..
2554/
..50
..
..
..
..51
..
..
..
..52
..
..
..
..53
..
..
..
..54
..
..
..
Jan07
Apr07
Jul0
7
Oct0
7
Jan08
Apr08
Jul0
8
Oct0
8
Jan09
Apr09
Jul0
9
Oct0
9
Jan10
Apr10
Jul10
Oct10
Jan11
Apr11
Jul11
Oct11
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov Dec
Flood Impact
2011
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
20.1Ave. 20.1
19.5Ave. 19.5
20.6Ave. 20.6
20.3Ave. 20.3
20.1Ave. 20.1
MillionLitres/Day
2554
12620.1
1.12553 NGV 6791 914225 3395
95 132
Gasoline Theaverageconsumptionof gasolinein2011wasatalevelof126KBDor20.1million litresperday,adecreaseof1.1%comparedwiththat
in2010.Thevolumeofgasolineconsumptionduring
OctoberNovember2011droppedtothelowestlevel
intheyearduetotheimpactofdomesticfloodcrisis, alongwiththeswitchtoNGVbyanumberofcarusers. Regulargasolineconsumptionaccountedforashare of67%whichcanbefurtherdividedinto:42%octane 91gasoline(Gasoline91orULG91)and25%octane 91gasohol(Gasohol91)andpremiumgasoline consumptionaccountedfortheremaining33%further dividedinto:1%octane95gasoline(Gasoline95or
ULG95)and32%octane95gasohol(Gasohol95).
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 33 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
34 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554
Growth Rate in 2011
Growth (%)..
Jan
.
Feb
..
Mar
..
Apr
..
May
..
Jun..
Jul
..
Aug
..
Sep
..
Oct
..
Nov
..
Dec
....
JanDec
53 54
Compared with
corresponding
period in 2010
4.3 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.0 0.9 3.8 2.3 1.0 6.6 12.1 1.0 1.2
54
Compared with
previous month
5.0 4.5 6.8 3.8 4.2 5.3 4.8 3.4 1.9 7.5 0.2 14.6
2554
58
12.02553
11.53.9
272554
9591 8.027.17
312554
Gasohol Ofthetotalgasolineconsumptionin2011,gasoholaccountedforthelargestshare,i.e.
58%.Thedemandvolume,however,decreasedfrom
12.0millionlitresperdayin2010to11.5millionlitresper
daythisyear,ora3.9%decrease,duetotheimpact offloodcrisisandalsothegovernmentmeasure suspendingthecollectionofcontributionstotheOilFund toalleviateconsumersburden,effectiveon27August
2011,resultinginretailpricereductionforGasoline95
by8.02BahtperlitreandGasoline91by7.17Baht perlitre.Thus,asfromAugust,alargenumberof
consumersturnedtousegasolineinsteadofgasohol.
Although,on31August2011,theratesofcontribution
toandsubsidyfromtheOilFundwerereviewedand
adjustedtoincreasethepricegapbetweengasoline
andgasohol,thenewpriceswerenotattractiveenough
toinduceconsumerstousegasoholasbefore.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 34 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
35 2
Monthly Gasohol Consumption
Million Litres/Day
2554
Growth Rate in 2011
Growth (%)..
Jan
.
Feb
..
Mar
..
Apr
..
May
..
Jun..
Jul
..
Aug
..
Sep
..
Oct
..
Nov
..
Dec
....
JanDec
53 54
Compared with
corresponding
period in 2010
5.5 5.0 6.0 7.8 8.3 5.3 2.4 0.8 16.0 25.2 30.3 14.0 3.9
54
Compared with
previous month
3.7 4.4 4.8 5.2 4.0 3.7 2.4 3.8 16.5 12.4 2.0 27.8
91
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
Government promotion of Gasohol 91 application to motorcycles
95 (E10) 25545.8121.2
7.37
9595(E10)
9.91
4.72
In2011,thedemandforGasohol95(E10)wasat
5.81millionlitresperday,decreasedby21.2%from7.37 millionlitresperdayin2010.Theaveragepricegap betweenGasoline95andGasohol95(E10)was
9.91BahtperlitrebeforeAugustandthenadjusted
to4.72BahtperlitreafterAugust.
Jan07
Apr07
Jul0
7
Oct0
7
Jan08
Apr08
Jul0
8
Oct0
8
Jan09
Apr09
Jul0
9
Oct0
9
Jan10
Apr10
Jul10
Oct10
Jan11
Apr11
Jul11
Oct11
25502007
4.8Ave. 4.8
25522009
12.2Ave. 12.2
25512008
9.2Ave. 9.2
25532010
12.0Ave. 12.0
25542011
11.5Ave. 11.5
Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reducedby the government and Flood impact at year end
95 91
Demand increased due to much lower price than gasoline
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 35 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
36 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
95 (E10) Monthly Gasohol 95 (E10) Consumption
2554
Growth Rate in 2011
Growth (%)..
Jan
.
Feb
..
Mar
..
Apr
..
May
..
Jun..
Jul
..
Aug
..
Sep
..
Oct
..
Nov
..
Dec
....
JanDec
53 54
Compared with
corresponding
period in 2010
7.8 8.3 8.3 7.2 8.1 10.9 14.7 16.9 40.9 48.6 49.8 33.3 21.2
54
Compared with
previous month
6.2 2.7 7.7 3.4 5.8 3.4 4.1 5.4 29.1 15.2 2.2 33.5
9125545.1019.92553
4.25
9191(E10) 7.12 3.02
AsforGasohol91,thedemandin2011wasat 5.10millionlitresperday,increasedby19.9%from thatin2010,whichwasat4.25millionlitresperday. TheaveragepricegapbetweenGasoline91and Gasohol91(E10)was7.12BahtperlitrebeforeAugust
and3.02BahtperlitreafterAugust.
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
8765432
/ 2554
95 91
Year 2011
Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reduced by the government and Flood impact at year end
MillionLitres/Day
Million Litres/Day
.
.50
Jan07
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.51
Jan08
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.52
Jan09
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.53
Jan10
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.54
Jan11
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
25512008
25522009
25532010
4.16Ave. 4.16
6.66Ave. 6.66
20.1Ave. 20.1
7.37Ave. 7.37
5.81Ave. 5.81
25502007
25542011
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 36 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
37 2
91 (E10) Monthly Gasohol 91 (E10) Consumption
2554
Growth Rate in 2011
Growth (%)..
Jan
.
Feb
..
Mar
..
Apr
..
May
..
Jun..
Jul
..
Aug
..
Sep
..
Oct
..
Nov
..
Dec
....
JanDec
53 54
Compared with
corresponding
period in 2010
26.8 25.0 25.7 27.4 29.8 27.1 24.8 23.9 17.9 7.5 2.9 9.7 19.9
54
Compared with
previous month
0.4 5.9 1.3 6.8 2.2 4.2 1.0 2.6 3.9 10.0 4.3 21.4
255495
(E20)8302553 54295(E85)
1038
Attheendof2011,theexpansionofGasohol
95(E20)servicestationnetworkwasexpectedtoreach
830stations,increasingfromonly542stationsin
2010,andthatofGasohol95(E85)servicestations,to
38stationsfromonly10stationsinthepreviousyear.
Million Litres/Day
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2554
6
5
4
3
2.
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
.
JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec
/
95 91
Contribution rates of ULG95 & ULG91 to the Oil Fund reduced by the government and Flood impact at year end
Year 2011
MillionLitres/Day
.
.50
Jan07
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.51
Jan08
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.52
Jan09
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.53
Jan10
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
.
.54
Jan11
..
Apr
..
Jul
.
.Oct
0.67Ave. 0.67
2.52Ave. 2.52
3.88Ave. 3.88
4.25Ave. 4.25
4.25Ave. 4.25
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 37 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
38 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
255452.63.9
29.99 2554
272554 3.00
2554
2554 2554 12554 100 35 22554 5
Diesel In2011,dieselconsumptionwasat
anaverageof52.6millionlitresperday,anincrease
of3.9%,astheretailpriceofdieselhadbeenfixed
at29.99Bahtperlitrebythegovernmentsincethe
beginningoftheyear;moreover,thegovernments reliefmeasuresuspendingcontributioncollectiontothe
OilFund,effectivesince27August2011,resultedina
furtherreductionofretaildieselpriceby3.00Bahtper
litre,whichinducedgreateruseofdiesel.Inaddition,
duringthefloodcrisis,particularlyfromNovemberto
December2011,dieselconsumptionhighlyincreased
asitwasusedforpumpingwateroutandpushingits
flowincriticallyfloodedareas.
Withregardtobiodiesel,sinceearly2011the
blendingratioofbiodiesel(B100)inhighspeeddiesel
(HSD)hadbeenadjustedseveraltimes.Earlyinthe
year,therewasaproblemofcrudepalmoilshort-age,makingitnecessarytoreducetheratioofB100
blendinginHSDfromformerlyavailabletwogrades
with3%and5%ofB100blendingtoonlyonegrade
with2%B100blending,effectivesince1February
2011,andsincemid2011,biodieselhasbeenrevised
touseonlyonegrade,comparedtoseveralgrades
inthepast,butnotover5%.Thispolicypurposedto allocateascarcityofpalmoilwhenitisoutofseason.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 38 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
39 2
Monthly Diesel Consumption
2554
Growth Rate in 2011
Growth (%)..
Jan
.
Feb
..
Mar
..
Apr
..
May
..
Jun..
Jul
..
Aug
..
Sep
..
Oct
..
Nov
..
Dec
....
JanDec
53 54
Compared with
corresponding
period in 2010
3.7 3.5 1.0 7.1 6.2 6.5 0.3 7.3 6.9 4.5 0.6 7.5 3.9
54
Compared with
previous month
2.5 1.8 3.2 0.5 1.6 1.6 8.4 1.0 0.9 3.3 8.4 10.2
60
55
50
45
40
35
2550
51.12007
Ave. 51.1
2551
48.22008
Ave. 48.2
2552
50.62009
Ave. 50.6
2553
50.62010
Ave. 50.6
2554
52.62011
Ave. 52.6
..50
..
..
..
..51
..
..
..
..52
..
..
..
..53
..
..
..
..54
..
..
..
Jan07
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan08
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan09
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan10 Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan11
Apr
Jul
Oct
Million Litres/Day 2554
/
60
55
50
45
40
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
JulFebJan AugMar SepApr OctMay NovJun Dec
Year 2011MillionLitres/Day
Demand increased due to start of harvest and tourist
season rising demand for water pumping during the flood
Demand dropped due to end of harvest time
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 39 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
40 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
LPG 2554
35.018.9 255315.9 39
9.1 36 34.213
35.3
LPG11.20
10
7.8
LPG
13
42554
2192554
12554
LPG, Propane and Butane Thedemandof
theseproductsin2011wasat35.0millionlitresper
day,anincreaseof15.9%from2010.Thehousehold
consumptionaccountedforthelargestshareofthe
totaldemand,i.e.39%,withagrowthrateof9.1%.Next
toitwastheuseasfeedstockinthepetrochemical
industry,holdingashareof36%,growingby34.2%.
Theuseasfuelforvehiclesaccountedforashareof
13%,growingby35.3%resultingfromthestabilization
ofLPGpriceforthetransportationsectoratalow
level,i.e.11.20Bahtperlitre.Onthecontrary,theuse
intheindustrialsectoraccountedforashareof10%,
decreasingby7.8%becausethegovernmenthadseta
policytoincreasetheretailLPGpriceforthissectorto
reflecttheactualcost.Thepriceincreasewillbemade
quarterly,at3Bahtperkgperquarter,forfourtimes
altogether;in2011thepriceadjustmentweremade
twicethefirsttimeon19July2011andthesecond
oneon1October2011.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 40 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
41 2
LPG
LPG, Propane and Butane Demand
2554
Demand in 2011
Household
Industry
Automobile
Petrochemical
Own Use
Total
()
Demand Volume
(Million Litres/Day)
35.0 13.5 3.6 12.5 1.8 35.0
(%)
Growth Rate (%) 9.1 7.8 35.3 34.2 38.5 15.9
353025201510502551255225532554
24.426.5
30.335.0
/ Own Use
3%
23%
16%14%
44%
5%4%
30%
12%13%
41% 39%
10%13%
36%
2%
36%
13% 10%
39%
2%
28%
13%11%
43%
2554
2008200920102011
Own Use
PetrochemicalPetrochemical
Automobile
AutomobileIndustryIndustry
Household
Household
Million Litres/DayShare in 2011
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 41 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
42 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Petroleum Consumption in the Land Trans-port. In2011,thedemandvolumewasat65.5millionlitresofcrudeoilequivalentperday,accountingfor
anincreaseof5.7%comparedwiththepreviousyear.
Dieselconsumptionheldthelargestshareof58%;
nexttoitwastheconsumptionforgasoline,NGVand LPGasfuelforvehicles,holdingashareof27%, 10%and5%respectively.
TheuseofLPGasfuelforvehiclesremarkably increasedby35.3%astheLPGpriceforthetrans-portationsectorwasfixedat11.20Bahtperlitre.As
attheendof2011,theaccumulatednumberofLPG vehicles, includingdualfuelvehiclesusingLPG togetherwithgasolineordiesel,increasedfrom666,155
unitsin2010to832,882unitsandthenumberofLPG refuelingstationsnationwidewas1,037.
NGV(orCNG)demandincreasedatahighrate
of27.5%duetothegovernmentpolicypromotingNGV
utilization,byfixingNGVpriceat8.50Bahtperkgas
anincentive,inducinganumberofvehicleownersto
havetheirenginesmodifiedtorunonNGV.Moreover,
automobilecompaniesstartedmanufacturingmany
modelsofNGV(orCNG)vehicleswhicharenowon
themarket.Asattheendof2011,theaccumulated
numberofNGVvehicleswasexpectedtoreach300,581
units,increasingfrom225,668unitsin2010,whichwill
helpreducegasolineanddieseldemandby16.4%and
5.1%respectively.ThenumberofNGVservicestations
nationwidewas469,increasingfrom428stationsin
2010ofthis,236stationsareinBangkokandits
vicinitiesand233stationsinotherprovinces.
2554
65.52553
5.7 5827 LPGNGV 510
LPG35.3
LPG 11.202554
LPGLPG
832,8822553666,155
LPG1,037
NGV27.5 NGVNGV 8.50
NGV
CNG2554 NGV300,581 2553225,668
16.45.1
NGV
4282553469
236 233
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 42 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
43 2
Petroleum Consumption in the Land Transport
Million Litres/Day of
2551 2552 2553 2554 2008 2009 2010 2011
25544,1432553
4,039
2.6
(LPG)33.0
6
800
25532554
(NGV)19.2
27.5 9.3
Natural Gas Consumption. In2011,thedemand
fornaturalgaswasatalevelof4,143millionstandard
cubicfeetperday(MMSCFD),increasingby2.6%from
4,039MMSCFDin2010.Theuseofnaturalgasas
feedstockinthepetrochemicalindustryandothers
increasedby33.0%astheGasSeparationPlant(GSP)
Unit6,withageneratingcapacityof800MMSCFD,
cameonstreamattheendof2010andhadrunona
commercialscalethroughouttheyear2011.Naturalgas
demandintheindustrialsectorandforuseasfuelfor
vehicles(NGV)increasedby19.2%and27.5%respec-tively,whilethedemandforpowergenerationdropped
by9.3%duetothedecreaseinpowerdemandthisyear.
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Crude oil equivalent
NGV 10%LPG 5%
58%
27%
Share
Diesel
Gasoline
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
Gasoline
DieselLPG NGV
Total
2552 / 2009 5.7 5.6 14.1 85.2 7.7
2553 / 2010 1.4 0.5 2.1 26.6 0.9
2554 / 2011 1.1 3.1 34.5 26.9 5.7
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 43 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
44 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Natural Gas Consumption by Sector
2550 2551 2552 2553 2554 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
(%)
Growth Rate (%) NGV
2552 / 2009 0.2 2.5 6.9 84.2 3.2
2553 / 2010 12.0 8.9 23.5 26.8 13.3
2554 / 2011 9.3 33.0 19.2 27.5 2.6
Lignite/Coal Consumption. In2011,lignite/ coalconsumptiontotaled35milliontonnes,decreasing
by1.1%fromthepreviousyear(basedontheheating
value),dividedintoconsumptionofligniteat19million
tonnesandimportedcoalat16milliontonnes.Ofthe
totalligniteconsumption,17milliontonneswasused
forpowergenerationbyEGAT;theremaining2million
tonneswasmainlyusedforcementmanufacturing.
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
MMSCFD
/ 35
25542553()1.1
16
19.
172
/ ShareNGV 5%
/ Industry 14%
/ GSP 21%
60%Power Generation
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 44 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
45 2
255431,447
255330,920
527
48(IPP)
(SPP) 38,77
(GrossPeakLoad) 24255414.00. 24,518Peak2553
24,630112 0.52554
.2554162,343
25530.8
67/19
75
1
2554148,855 0.3
7
460.3
2.7 1.311.5
Electricity
Installed Capacity. Thailandsinstalledcapacity
in2011wasat31,447MW,anincreaseof527MWfrom
30,920MWin2010.TheElectricityGeneratingAuthority
ofThailand(EGAT)heldthelargestshareof48%.Next
toitwasIndependentPowerProducers(IPP),holding
ashareof38%;thenSmallPowerProducers(SPP),
7%;andpowerpurchasefromforeignsources,7%. Gross Peak Load. Thepeakloadoccurredon
Tuesday,24May2011,at14.00hrs,reaching24,518
MWwhichwas112MWlowerthanthe2010peak
load(24,630MW),oradecreaseof0.5%,because
inearly2011theweatherwasstillcold,coupledwith
earlyrainfallinsummer,makingthetemperaturein
thepastsummerlowerthanthatinthepreviousyear.
Power Generation. Theamountofpowergen-eration,togetherwithpowerpurchasebyEGAT,in2011
totaled162,343gigawatthour(GWh),decreasingby 0.8%comparedwiththatin2010.Theshareofindividual fueltypesusedforpowergenerationwasasfollows:
naturalgas,67%;lignite/coal,19%;importedelectricity,
7%;hydropower,5%;oil,1%;andrenewableenergy,1%. Power Demand. In2011,powerdemandtotaled
148,855GWh,adecreaseof0.3%fromthatin2010
becauseoflingeringcoldweatheratthebeginningof theyearandmorethanusualrainfallinThailand, coupledwiththeimpactoftheearthquakeandtsunami incidentsinJapanontheindustrialandcommercial
sectorsinThailand.Moreover,attheendofthe
year,thedomesticfloodcrisisbadlyaffectedseven industrialestatesinPhraNakhonSiAyutthayaandPathum
Thaniprovinces,creatingconsiderableimpactonthe industrial,householdandagriculturalsectors.Power
demandintheindustrialsector(holdingthelargest
shareof46%ofthetotaldemand)increasedby0.3%
inthecommercial,increasedby2.7%andthatinthe
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 45 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
46 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2554Power Demand in 2011
Overall DemandQ1 Q2 Q3 Q4
()
Demand Volume (GWh)35,817 38,319 39,579 35,140 148,855
(%)
Growth Rate (%) 0.1 1.7 3.6 3.1 0.3
2554
44,1951.9
5.5
0.8
2554102,9470.5
0.20.8
11.5
householdandagriculturalsectorsalsodecreasedby
1.3%and11.5%respectively.Thailandspowerdemand
canbedividedintothedemandinmetropolitanareas
andthatinprovincialareas,asdetailedbelow.
Metropolitan Areas Thetotaldemandin2011
was44,195GWh,adecreaseof1.9%.Powerconsumption
inthehouseholdsectordecreasedby5.5%andthatin
thecommercial&industrialsectordecreasedby0.8%. Provincial Areas The total demand in 2011was102,947GWh,anincreaseof0.5%.Power consumptioninthecommercial&industrialsector
slightlyincreasedby0.2%,andthatinthehousehold sectorincreasedby0.8%,whiletheconsumptionin
theagriculturalsectordecreasedby11.5%.
Direct customerEGAT
1,713 GWh1%
MEA44,195 GWh
30%
PEA102,947 GWh
69%
Total: 148,855 GWh
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 46 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
47 2
Power Demand by Sector. Powerdemandof
eachmajorclusterintheindustrialandcommercial
sectorinthefirstthreequartersof2011wasonarising trend.DespitetheimpactofJapanesedisasterson
Thailandinthesecondquarter,thedemandrebounded
inthethirdquarter.However,inthelastquarter, Thailandwasbadlyshatteredbythedomesticflood
crisis,whichcausedshutdownsofanumberof industrial factoriesandbusinesses,particularly electronics,automobile,textileandplastic,asthey
areintheindustrialestateslocatedinfloodaffected
areas,henceasubstantialdecreaseinpowerdemand. Inaddition,majorbusiness,suchashotels,retailshops
andconstructionbusiness,hadtoshutdownduring
thatperiodaswellduetotheflood.Moreover,some
foreigncountriesissuedawarningtotheircitizensto
avoidtravellingtoThailandduringtheflooding.
The Automatic Tariff Adjustment Mechanism
(Ft). In2011,thenewpowertariffstructurewasputinto
effect,startinginthemonthofJuly2011,resultingin
severalrevisionsoftheFtchargeasfollows:
Thefirstrevision:fortheroundofJanuary
April2011,theFtratewasat0.8688Bahtperunit,
decreasingby0.0567Bahtperunit.
Thesecondrevision:fortheroundofMay
August2011,theFtratewasat0.9581Bahtperunit,
increasingby0.0893Bahtperunit.
Thethirdrevision:fortheroundofSeptember
December2011,theFtratewasat0.06Bahtperunit,
resultingfromthepowertariffstructurereformthe
FtratefortheroundofMayAugust2011,i.e.0.9581 Bahtperunit,wasincludedintheretailpowertariff structurewhichhasbeeninusesinceOctober2005.
TheFtrateturnedouttobeaminusfigurebecause
thecallbackmoneyfromthethreePowerutilities,
astheirinvestmentsduring20082010couldnotbe
2554
2554
2554
1:2554 86.885.67
2:255495.818.93
3:2554 6.00
255495.81
2548
25512553 6
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 47 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
48 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2555
(.)2555
5.56.5
2554
1051102554
106.03
2555
2555
1,937
25544.8
3.3
7.4LNG
NGV/2.8
2554/ 1.9
materializedasplanned,wasusedasFtreduction
forpowerconsumersforaperiodofsixmonths.
TREND OF ENERGY SITUATION IN 2012
Accordingtotheeconomicforecastmadeby
theNationalEconomicandSocialDevelopmentBoard
(NESDB),itisexpectedthattheGDPgrowthratein2012
willbearound5.56.5%,givensuchmajordriving
forcesasgovernmentexpendituresandinvestments
aswellasaccelerationofinvestmentinrehabilitation
programstorecoverbusinessesaffectedbytheflood
duringtheendof2011,includingtheaveragecrudeoil
priceinthisyear,projectedtobeinarangeofUS$
105110abarrel,whichishigherthanUS$106.03 abarrelin2011.TheEnergyPolicyandPlanningOffice
(EPPO)has,therefore,developedaforecastofenergy
demandbasedontheforegoingassumptions.The
trendofenergysituationin2012canbesummarized
asfollows.
Primary Commercial Energy Demand. The demandin2012isforecasttobeatalevelof1,937
KBDofcrudeoilequivalent, increasingby4.8% comparedwiththatin2011.Oildemandwillincreaseby
3.3%,andnaturalgasdemandwillincreaseby7.4% (resultingfromgrowingdemandforimportedLNGfor
powergenerationandNGV).Demandforlignite/coal
willgrowby2.8%asGHECOOneIPPcoalfiredpower
planthasbeenonstreamsincetheendof2011,while
demandforhydropower/importedelectricitywillgrow
by1.9%.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 48 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
49 2
Forecast of Primary Commercial Energy Demand
: / Unit: KBD of crude oil equivalent
2550 2007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
Demand1,604 1,618 1,663 1,783 1,845 1,937
Oil 667 634 643 652 674 696
NaturalGas 615 648 682 784 810 870
/
Lignite/Coal 279 301 303 310 306 316
/
Hydro/ImportedElec. 43 36 35 36 54 55
(%)
GrowthRate(%)
Demand 3.8 0.9 2.8 7.2 3.5 4.8
Oil 1.0 5.0 1.4 1.5 3.3 3.3
NaturalGas 6.2 5.4 5.2 15.0 3.3 7.4
/
Lignite/Coal 12.8 7.7 0.7 2.4 1.1 2.8
/
Hydro/ImportedElec. 2.5 17.4 1.1 2.8 48.5 1.9
f
f:Forecastdata
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 49 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
50 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Petroleum Products. In2012,demandforoverallgasolineisprojectedtoincreaseonlyslightly
by0.9%becausegasoholdemandisexpectedtobe
increasingwhilethedistributionofGasoline91willbe
abolishedasfrom1October2012onwardspursuantto
thegovernmentpolicy.Dieseldemandwillincreaseby
2.9%moderatelyandJetpetroleumwillincrease4.8%
astourismisbeingrecoveredafterthefloodimpact
lastyear.LPGdemandisexpectedtoincreaseby11.2%
becausetheuseinthehouseholdandtransportation sectorswillstillbegrowing,althoughthedemandinthe industrialsectortendstodrop.Fueloildemand,how-ever,isforecasttodecreaseby17.6%asitsutilization
intheindustrialsectorandforpowergenerationispro-jectedtodecrease.Hence,theoverallannualdemand
ofpetroleumproductsisforecasttoincreaseby3.3%.
Forecast of Petroleum Product Demand
: / Unit: Million Litres
Product Type
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
/ Gasoline 7,337 7,121 7,524 7,417 7,332 7,398 1.4 1.1 0.9
/ Diesel 18,710 17,643 18,465 18,480 19,192 19,749 0.1 3.8 2.9
/Jet Petroleum 4,932 4,637 4,432 4,712 5,076 5,302 6.3 7.7 4.8
/ Fuel Oil 4,222 3,287 2,731 2,615 2,456 2,024 4.2 6.0 17.6
LPG* 5,812 6,828 6,894 7,587 8,178 9,094 10.0 7.7 11.2
/ Total 41,013 39,516 40,046 40,811 42,235 43,585 1.9 3.4 3.3
* LPG Feed stocks
*Excluding LPG use as feedstock in the petrochemical industry
f / Forecast data
2555 0.9 91 1
2555 2.9
4.8 LPG 11.2
17.6
3.3
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 50 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
51 2
LPG, Propane and Butane Thedemandof
theseproductsin2012isestimatedtoreach7,961
thousandtonnes,accountingforanincreaseof16.3%,
resultingfromincreasingdemandinthehousehold
sectorandthepetrochemicalindustry.Thehousehold
demandwillincreaseby8.2%,whichisstillconsidered
ahighrate,duetothegovernmentpolicyfixingtheLPG
priceforthissectoruntiltheendof2012.Theuseas
feedstockinthepetrochemicalindustryisprojectedto
highlyincreaseby35.0%,from2,419thousandtonnes
in2011to3,266thousandtonnesin2012,whereas
thedemandintheindustrialsectorisexpectedtoslow
downbecausethegovernmenthasintroducedapolicy
toquarterlyincreaseLPGpriceforindustrialuseby 3Bahtperquarter,forfourtimesaltogether.In2011,
theLPGpricewasincreasedtwicealready;in2012
theothertwopricesadjustmentwillbemadeon
1January2012and1April2012.LPGdemandinthe
transportationsectorisprojectedtoincreaseby5.8%,
butatalowergrowthratethanthatin2011asthe
governmenthasapolicytoincreaseLPGpriceforthe
transportationsectorasfrom16January2012onwards,
bygraduallyincreasingthepriceatarateof0.41Baht
perlitrepermonth(0.75Bahtperkgpermonth),for 12times.Bythismeans,theLPGpricewillincrease
from11.20Bahtperlitreto16.12Bahtperlitre.Moreover,
sincetheendof2011,thegovernmenthaslaunched
aprojectonenginemodification,freeofcharge,for
20,000LPGruntaxistoswitchtouseNGVinstead.
LPG 2555
7,961
16.3
8.2
LPG2555 35.02,41925543,266
2555
LPG 342554
225552 112555
5.82554
LPG16
25550.41 (0.75.)12
LPG11.20
16.12 LPGNGV20,000 2554
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 51 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
52 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
LPG Forecast of LPG, Propane and Butane Consumption, Production and Import
: / Unit : Thousand Tonnes
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
-
- Consumption4,116 4,788 5,208 5,943 6,890 7,961
Household1,884 2,124 2,231 2,435 2,656 2,874
Industry 611 665 593 778 718 727
Automobile 572 776 666 680 920 973
Petrochemical Feedstock 968 1,093 1,478 1,846 2,419 3,266
Own Use 81 130 240 213 131 122
-
- Production4,469 4,355 4,467 4,416 5,422 5,477
-
- Import 452 753 1,591 1,437 2,211
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
-
- Consumption 17.0 16.3 8.8 14.1 15.9 16.3
Household 9.5 12.7 5.0 9.2 9.1 8.2
Industry17.4 8.8 10.8 31.3 7.8 1.2
Automobile24.7 35.6 14.1 2.1 35.3 5.8
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 52 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
53 2
Natural Gas. Itisanticipatedthatnaturalgas
demandin2012willgrowby6.1%comparedwiththat
in2011.Theuseofnaturalgasforpowergeneration
willincreaseby3.1%;theuseasfeedstockinthe petrochemicalindustryandotherswillincreaseby
6.1%,andtheuseasfuelintheindustrialsector
willincreaseby9.1%.NaturalgasdemandforNGV
vehicleswillhighly increaseby31.4%duetothe
governmentpolicypromotinggreateruseofNGV,
whichincludestheprojectswitching20,000LPGrun
taxistoNGVruntaxisfreeofchargeandtheEnergy
CreditCardprojectforNGVusers,alreadylaunched
beforetheincreaseinNGVprice,starting16January 2012,atarateof0.50Bahtperkgpermonth,for12
times;hence,theNGVpricewilleventuallyincrease from8.50Bahtperkgto14.50Bahtperkg.
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
Petrochemical Feedstock26.2 12.9 35.2 24.9 31.0 35.0
Own Use65.3 61.8 84.2 11.5 38.5 7.2
f / Forecast data
255525546.1
3.1
6.1
9.1
NGV
31.4NGV NGVLPG 20,000NGV NGV 1625550.50 .12NGV
8.50.14.50 .
: / Unit: Thousand Tonnes
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 53 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
54 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Forecast of Natural Gas Demand, by Sector
: / Unit: MMSCFD
Sector
25502007
25512008
25522009
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
(%)
Growth Rate (%)
25532010
25542011
2555f
2012f
Power Gen.2,346 2,423 2,435 2,728 2,476 2,553 12.0 9.3 3.1
GSP 572 583 599 652 867 920 8.9 33.0 6.1
Industry 347 361 387 478 569 621 23.5 19.2 9.1
NGV 24 77 143 181 231 304 26.8 27.5 31.4
Total3,288 3,444 3,564 4,039 4,143 4,397 13.3 2.6 6.1
:11,000
Remarks: Heating Value :1 cubic foot = 1,000 BTU
f / Forecast data
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 54 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
55 2
2555
5.7
4(..25552558)
2554
2555
7
2555.LNG140
(1.0)
PDP20102555
SPP(CoGen)704SPP(Renewable) 65VSPP162
29
.220
Electricity. Powerdemandin2012isforecast
toincreaseby5.7%asthegovernmenthasapolicyto
promotepublicinvestmentandexpenditurestoboost
theeconomyduringthegovernments4yearPublic
AdministrationManagementPlan(20122015),andto
accelerateinvestmentinrehabilitationprogramsto
recoverthecountryfromthedamageresultingfrom
thefloodcrisisattheendof2011.Inthefirstquarter
of2012,powerdemandinthecommercialsectorand
largescaleindustries,especiallythoseintheseven
floodaffectedindustrialestates,willbelowasthe affectedfacilitieswillnotbeabletoresumetheir operationbythen.However,fromthesecondquarter onwards,itisexpectedthattheiroperationcanresume,
whichwillresultingrowingpowerdemand.Asforpower
generation,naturalgaswillremainthemajorfuel,
comparedwithotherfuelsources.PTThasplannedto
importLNGatavolumeof140MMSCFD(1.0million tonne).Inaddition,accordingtothePDP2010,additional supplytothegridfromthefollowingpowerplantswill
beonstreamin2012:704MWfromSPPs(CoGen);
65MWfromSPPs(Renewable);and162MWfrom VSPPs.Moreover,therewillbeatotalsupplyof29
MWfromdomesticdamsand220MWwillbeimported
fromTheunHinboun(extension)projectinLaoPDR.
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 55 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
56 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
Forecast of Power Generation
: / Unit: Thousand Tonnes
Year
GWh
Difference
GWh
(%)
Percentage (%)
25502007
147,026 5,107 3.6
25512008
148,221 1,195 0.8
25522009
184,364 143 0.1
25532010
163,668 15,305 10.3
25542011
162,343 1,325 0.8
2555f
2012f171,597 9,254 5.7
f / Forecast data
:2555
Remark : Forecast data as in August 2012
EPPO final P.23-56.indd 56 12/27/55 BE 11:28 AM
3/Part 3 2554
Fuel price in 2011
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 57 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
58 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
1.
1
100.9094.53
4255316.59
9.45
Supply Disruption
(North Atlantic
Treaty Organization: NATO)
12 18
3
2
110.63 102.22
9.73
7.69
1. CRUDE OIL PRICE
The first quarter:TheaveragepricesofDubaiand
WestTexascrudewereUS$100.90perbarreland
US$94.53perbarrelrespectively.Dubaispricerose
US$16.59perbarrelwhilethatofWestTexasrose
US$9.45perbarrelfromthefourthquarterof2010. This wasmainly due to the concern over supply disruptionamongoilproducingcountriesasaresult
ofthecontinuingviolentunrestinLibya.NorthAtlantic
TreatyOrganizationagreeduponjointmilitaryopera-tionsinLibyatoprovideassistanceandprotection forLibyannationalsaccordingtoaresolutionfromthe
UnitedNations.TheUSalsodecidedtodeploytroops
toattacktheLibyangovernmenttoseektheremoval
ofColonelMuammarGaddafi.Analystspredictedthat
itwouldtakeapproximately1218monthstorestore
the oil producing infrastructure. Meanwhile, the
domesticsituationinYemenalsoaffectedcrudeoil
productionafteremployeesofforeignoilcompanies
startedtofleethecountry.Therewasalsoagrowing anxiety over the explosions at the nuclear power
plant in Japan and possible radioactive leakage. Ifthesituationbecamemoreserious,itwouldcreate a severe impact on economic recovery of Japan,
whichisthethirdlargestoilconsumerintheworld.
The second quarter :TheaveragepricesofDubai
andWestTexascrudewereatUS$110.63perbarrel
andUS$102.22perbarrel,increasingbyUS$9.73per
2554
Fuel price in 2011
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 58 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
59 3
JeanClaude Trichet
2.7 ( 1.4 )
5NorthDakota
(307,000/)
25542.8286,000
/
3 107.09 89.52
3.54
12.70
ReutersSurvey 255430.25
/3
2554 10.30 /
Majnoon
2554 75,000 / 400,000/2554
barrelandUS$7.69perbarrelrespectivelyfromthe
previousquarter.Thiswasmainlybecauseinvestors
wereincreasinglyconfidentaftertheGreekparliament had approved details of austeritymeasureswhile
JeanClaude Trichet, chairpersonof theEuropean
CentralBank,signaledinameetingtoraiseinterest rates. These two factors contributed to the euro appreciationagainstthedollar,luringmoreinvestors to invest in the oil market. The USA commercial
crudeoilreservesalsodecreased2.7millionbarrels (analystspredictedat1.4millionbarrels).Inaddition, theclimatechangeandfloodsalsoclosedfiveoil
production platforms in North Dakota of the USA
(withaproductioncapacityof307,000barrelsper
day).VietnamscrudeoilproductioninJune2011was
estimatedtodrop2.8%to286,000barrelsperday.
Nigerian guerrillaswho had earlier surrendered to
theirgovernmentthreatenedtoattacktheirnational
oilpipelinesincethegovernmentfailedtograntan
amnestyaspromised.
The third quarter :TheaveragepricesofDubai
andWestTexascrudewereUS$107.09perbarrel
andUS$89.52perbarrel,droppingbyUS$3.54per barrel and US$12.70 per barrel respectively from
thepreviousquarter.Thiswasaresultofconcern
over theeconomies in theUSAandEuropewhich
causedaselloffamonginvestorsinthestockand commoditymarkets.ReutersSurveyreportedOPECs
crude oil export of 30.25million barrels per day September2011thehighestratesinthreeyears
due to Iraqs export increase and Libya export
resumption.Russiascrudeoilproductionwasalso
boostedto10.30barrelsperdayinSeptember2011,
whichwasRussiashighestproductionlevelafterthe
collapseoftheUSSR.InIraq,crudeproductionfrom
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 59 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
60 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
4 106.50
0.59
2555
0.10/
1.1/State OilMarketingOrganization 2554 1.9
2.175/ NationalOil
Company
RasLanuf (220,000/) 1
94.07
4.55
27 (International
MonetaryFund: IMF) 1.5
EuroZone17 2554
1.6 3.8
2554 106.3295.01
28.22 15.52
theMajnoonoilfieldinAugust2011wasincreased to75,00barrelsperday,andIraqplannedtoincrease
itsproductioncapacityto400,000barrelsperday
bytheendof2011.
The fourth quarter :TheaveragepriceofDubai
crudewasUS$106.50perbarrel,droppingUS$0.59
perbarrelfromthepreviousquarter.Thisfollowed
OPECS forecast that world oil demand growth in
2012woulddecreaseby0.10millionbarrelsperday
fromthepreviousforecastto1.1millionbarrelsper
day. The chairperson of Iraqi State Oil Marketing Organizationreportedanincreaseincrudeoilexport
level in December 2011 from 1.0 to 2.175 million barrelsperday. Inaddition,NationalOilCompany
ofLibyaannouncedthesuspensionoftheoperation
ofRasLanufrefinery(220,000barrelsperday)for
onemonthsincethecrudeoilfieldwasnotreadyfor
production.TheaveragepriceofWestTexascrude
wasUS$94.07perbarrel,increasingbyUS$4.55per
barrelfromthepreviousquarter.Thiswastheresult
ofatelephonemeetingamong27financeministers
oftheEuropeanUnionwhichapprovedanadditional subsidy worth 1.5 billion Euro to International MonetaryFund(IMF)forassisting17countriesinthe
EuroZone.Theoilmarketwasalsobackedupby
theUSAeconomicdatawhichshowedstrength.New
homesalesinNovember2011increased1.6%while
durablegoodssalesincreased3.8%.Theinformation
assuredtheUSAeconomyisrecovering.
2011 :Inconclusion,theaveragepricesofDubai
andWestTexascrudewereUS$106.32perbarreland
US$95.01perbarrel,risingbyUS$28.22perbarrel
andUS$15.52perbarrelrespectivelyfromlastyear.
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 60 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
61 3
2.
1 95, 92 113.49, 111.38
119.30
4255318.49,18.4421.97
210,000
LibyanNational Oil Company Arbitrage
Rotterdam
(386,000/)BP2
2 95
92 124.89, 122.28
130.05
11.40,10.9110.75
32554250,000
/
1.52554
Ramadan
1.30
UmmAlNar (85,000
/) Boiler GS Caltex 870,000/ Korea National Oil Corp.
2. REFINED OIL PRICE IN SINGAPORE' SPOT MARKET
The first quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane 95, 92 and diesel were US$113.49,
US$111.38, and US$119.30 per barrel, rising from
US$18.49, US$18.44, and US$21.97 per barrel respectively from the fourth quarter of 2010 in line with the crude oil price. The ship containing
210,000barrelsofgasolinehiredbyLibyanNational
OilCompanywashijackedresultinginashortageof
supplyforgasolineinLibya.Gasolinearbitragewas
reportedlyfoundfromIndiatotheWest.Therewas
alsoan increase indemandforgasoline inJapan
forelectricitygenerationafterthecountrywashitby
thetsunami.Moreover,refinerieslocatedinvarious regions were shut down on their maintenance schedule.BPsRotterdamRefinery(386,000barrels per day), which is the second largest refinery in
Europe, also halted is operation without reason. DemandforgasolineinIndiaroseduetoanincrease
intransportandconstructionactivities,aswellas
heavieruseofairconditionersduringsummer.
The second quarter : The average prices of
gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$124.89,
US$122.28,andUS$130.05perbarrel.Theprices
roseUS$11.40,US$10.91,andUS$10.75perbarrel respectively from the previous quarter. Analysts predictedthatdemandforgasolineinIndonesiain
thethirdquarterof2011couldreach250,000barrels perday.SaudiArabiasSaudiAramcoimported1.5
million barrels of oil in July 2011 as reserves for Ramadan inAugust. Japansdemand for gasoline
reached1.30millionbarrelssincethetouristseason
was approaching while refineries were still unable
to operate following the earthquake. UmmAl Nar RefineryoftheUnitedArabEmirates(85,000barrels
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 61 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
62 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
82554
3 95, 92
124.45, 121.74
124.69
0.44,0.555.36
American
Petroleum Institute (API)
2554
9.1/1.3
NingxiaPetroChina(100,000/)
(CrudeDistillationUnit)
5/200,000/
2554
2554 13 15 4
4 95, 92
116.13,114.10124.31
8.32,7.640.38
ARA222554 0.2 3.4 5.7 LankaIOC(LIOC) 2555 Vietnam National Petroleum ImportExport Corp.
(Petrolimex)
12555
4 2554 1 2554
perday)wastemporarilyshutdownasaresultof afireaccidentattheboiler.Anotherfactorcontributing totheoilpriceincreasewastherequestfromSouth
KoreasGSCaltexfor870,000barrelsperdayofdiesel fromKoreanNationalOilCorp.sreserveafterdomestic demandhadskyrocketedbeforetheretailpricewas
raisedon8August2011.
The third quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane95,92anddieselwereUS$124.45,US$121.74, and US$124.69 per barrel. The prices dropped
US$0.44, US$0.55, and US$5.36 per barrel respectively from thepreviousquarter In linewith thecrudeoilprice.AmericanPetroleumInstitute(API)
oftheUSAreportedtheUSAdemandforgasolinein
August2011was9.1millionbarrelsperday,adecrease of 1.3%. Ningxia Refinery of PetroChina (100,000
barrelsperday)expandeditscruderefiningcapacity to5milliontonnesperyearorapproximately200,000 barrelsperday.Therefinerywasexpectedtoresume
itsoperationbytheendofOctober2011.SouthKorea's
dieselexportinAugust2011was13millionbarrels, anincreaseof15%.Severeworldeconomicrecession,
moreover,resultedinadeclineindemandfordiesel
especiallyinthefourthquarter.EuroZonedebtcrisis
alsocausedadeclineindemandfordieselinEurope
althoughthecontinentwasinthemiddleofwinter.
The fourth quarter : The average prices of
gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$116.13,
US$114.10, and US$124.31 per barrel. The prices
droppedUS$8.32,US$7.64,andUS$0.38perbarrel respectivelyfromthepreviousquarterinaccordance
withtheEuropeancommercialgasolineoilreserve
aroundARAfortheweekendingon22December2011,
whichincreased0.2millionbarrels,or3.4%,to5.7 millionbarrels.SriLankasLankaIOC(LIOC),moreover, banned imported gasoline in January 2012 while
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 62 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
63 3
2554 95,
92119.77,117.40
124.56
31.36,31.1735.00
3.
1 95, 91,95E10,E20,E85,91
B5 45.31,
40.45, 35.95, 32.55, 21.22, 33.45, 29.98
29.8542553
3.91,4.17,3.47,2.72,1.91,2.79,0.79
1.66
2 95, 91,
95E10,E20,E85,91
48.28,42.93,38.03,34.63,
22.45,35.5329.99
2.97, 2.48, 2.08, 2.08,
1.23,2.080.01
3 95, 91,
95E10,E20,E85,91
45.02,40.12,37.17,33.28,
22.10,34.4929.17
3.26,2.81,0.86,1.35,0.35,
1.040.82
Vietnam National Petroleum ImportExport Corp.
(Petrolimex)expectedthatthedemandforgasoline
forsaleatitsservicesstationsinthefirstquarterof
2012wouldbelowerthanthoseofthefirstandfourth
quarter2011.DieseloiltransportedfromtheEastto
theWestwasalsosuspendedduetoadeclineina
demandinthewesternregion.
2011 : In conclusion, the average prices of
gasolineoctane95,92anddieselwereUS$119.77,
US$117.40, and US$124.56 per barrel. The prices
roseUS$31.36,US$31.17,andUS$35.00perbarrel
respectivelyfromthepreviousyear.
3. RETAIL PRICE
The first quarter :Theaveragepricesofgasoline octane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,gasohol91, aswellashighspeeddieselandhighspeeddiesel
B5were45.31,40.45,35.95.32.55,21.22,33.45,
29.98,and29.85Bahtperlitre.Thepricesrosefrom thefourthquarterof2010by3.91,4.17,3.47,2.72,
1.91,2.79,0.79,and1.66Bahtperlitrerespectively.
The second quarter : The average prices of
gasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,
gasohol91,andhighspeeddieselwere48.28,42.93,
38.03.34.63,22.45,35.53,and29.99Bahtper
litre.Thepricesrosefromthepreviousquarterby
2.97,2.48,2.08,2.08,1.23,2.08,and0.01Baht
perlitrerespectively.
The third quarter : Theaveragepricesofgasoline
octane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,gasohol
91,andhighspeeddieselwere45.02,40.12,37.17,
33.28,22.10,34.49,and29.17Bahtperlitre.The
pricesdroppedfromthepreviousquarterby3.26,
2.81,0.86,1.35,0.35,1.04,and0.82Bahtperlitre
respectively.
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 63 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
64 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2551 2554
Average fuel price during 2008 2011
2551
2008
2552
2009
2553
2010
2554 2011
2554
2011
average
average
average
average
1
1st quarter 2
2nd quarter
3
3rd quarter
4
4th quarter
( : ) / Crude oil price (unit : US$ per barrel)
Dubai
94.18 61.91 78.10 106.32 100.90 110.63 107.09 106.50
Brent
97.83 62.05 79.89 111.26 105.79 116.86 113.16 109.43
WestTexas
100.11 61.92 79.49 95.01 94.53 102.22 89.52 94.07
( : ) / Refined oil price in Singapore spot market
(unit : US$ per barrel)
95
GasolineOctane95
103.27 70.38 88.40 119.77 113.49 124.89 124.45 116.13
4 95, 91,
95E10,E20,E85,91
39.42,35.31,34.61,31.28,
21.21,32.2828.61
5.60,4.81,2.56,2.00,0.89,
2.210.56
2554 95,91,
95E10,E20,E85,91,
B544.49,39.69,
36.44,32.93,21.75,33.94,29.4429.88
3.34,3.61,
4.10,2.98,2.54,3.10,0.762.33
The fourth quarter : The average prices ofgasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,
gasohol91,andhighspeeddieselwere39.42,35.31,
34.61,31.28,21.21,32.28,and28.61Bahtperlitre.
The prices dropped from the previous quarter by
5.60,4.81,2.56,2.00,0.89,2.21,and0.56Baht
perlitrerespectively.
2011 : In conclusion, the average prices ofgasolineoctane95,91,gasohol95E10,E20,E85,
gasohol91,aswellashighspeeddieselandhigh
speeddieselB5were44.49,39.69,36.44,32.93,
21.75,33.94,29.44,and29.88Bahtperlitre.The
prices rose from thepreviousyearby3.34,3.61,
4.10,2.98,2.54,3.10,0.76,and2.33Bahtperlitre
respectively.
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 64 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
65 3
2551
2008
2552
2009
2553
2010
2554 2011
2554
2011
average
average
average
average
1
1st quarter 2
2nd quarter
3
3rd quarter
4
4th quarter
( : ) / Refined oil price in Singapore spot market
(unit : US$ per barrel)
92
GasolineOctane92
101.95 68.18 86.23 117.40 111.38 122.28 121.74 114.10
HighSpeedDiesel
120.25 69.13 89.56 124.56 119.30 130.05 124.69 124.31
( : ) / Retail prices in Thailand (unit : Baht per litre)
95
GasolineOctane95
35.47 37.97 41.15 44.49 45.31 48.28 45.02 39.42
91
GasolineOctane91
33.42 31.36 36.08 39.69 40.45 42.93 40.12 35.31
95E10
Gasohol95E10
28.96 27.52 32.34 36.44 35.95 38.03 37.17 34.61
91
Gasohol91
28.16 26.72 30.84 33.94 33.45 35.53 34.49 32.28
95E20
Gasohol95E20
27.34 25.41 29.95 32.93 32.55 34.63 33.28 31.28
95E85
Gasohol95E85
18.70 18.99 19.21 21.75 21.22 22.45 22.10 21.21
HighSpeedDiesel
31.29 24.80 28.68 29.44 29.98 29.99 29.17 28.61
B5
HighSpeedDieselB5
30.36 22.74 27.55 29.88 29.99
2551 2554
Average Petroleum Product prices during 2008 2011
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 65 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
66 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
2551 2554
Oil traders' average marketing margin during 2008 2011
:/unit:Bahtperlitre
2551
2008
2552
2009
2553
2010
2554 2011
2554
2011
average
average
average
average
1
1st quarter 2
2nd quarter
3
3rd quarter
4
4th quarter
95
GasolineOctane95
2.85 5.55 4.89 5.41 4.86 5.45 5.49 5.82
91
GasolineOctane91
1.83 1.62 1.50 1.87 1.51 1.71 1.83 2.41
95E10
Gasohol95E10
2.37 1.58 1.52 1.38 1.28 1.59 1.38 1.26
91
Gasohol91
2.32 1.81 1.75 1.55 1.45 1.78 1.54 1.43
95E20
Gasohol95E20
1.98 2.32 2.62 2.38 1.98 2.79 2.32 2.45
95E85
Gasohol95E85
4.77 5.06 8.26 5.60 8.80 9.03 9.55
HighSpeedDiesel
1.37 1.49 1.51 1.27 1.11 1.25 1.28 1.45
Total Average
1.63 1.65 1.56 1.40 1.12 1.38 1.38 1.60
( : ) / Oil traders' refining margin (unit : Baht per litre)
Average
1.9323 0.8563 1.1101 1.5654 1.57 1.59 1.68 1.43
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 66 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
67 3
2553 2554
Average contribution to the Oil Fund during 2010 2011
:/unit:Bahtperlitre
2553
2010
average
2554
2011
average
1
at the end
of the
1st quarter
2
at the end
of the
2nd quarter
3
at the end
of the
3rd quarter
4
at the end
of the
4th quarter
95
GasolineOctane95
7.50 4.89 7.50 7.50 4.65 0.00
91
GasolineOctane91
6.65 4.37 6.70 6.70 4.15 0.00
95E10
Gasohol95E10
2.71 1.87 2.40 2.40 2.06 0.64
91
Gasohol91
1.32 0.41 0.10 0.10 0.41 1.40
95E20
Gasohol95E20
0.48 1.81 1.30 1.30 1.81 2.80
95E85
Gasohol95E85
11.12 13.50 13.50 13.50 13.50 13.50
HighSpeedDiesel
0.66 0.59 3.17 0.42 1.19 0.00
LPG
(/)
LPGforhouseholdsector
(Baht/kilogramme)
0.6107 1.1370 1.1142 1.1966 1.2169 1.0203
LPG
(/)
LPG for industrial sector
(Baht/kilogramme)
5.4783 4.0492 6.6278
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 67 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
2 5 5 42 3 4 5 61
68 E n e r g y P o l i c y a n d P l a n n i n g O ffi f i c e
29 2554
Oil price structure as of 29 December 2011
:/unit:Bahtperlitre
95
Gasoline
95
91
Gasoline
91
95 E10
Gasohol
95 E10
91
Gasohol
91
95 E20
Gasohol
95 E20
95 E85
Gasohol
95 E85
High
Speed
Diesel
Exrefineryprice
23.3696 22.9519 23.3258 23.1291 23.1945 21.4744 25.1836
Excisetax
7.0000 7.0000 6.3000 6.3000 5.6000 1.0500 0.0050
Municipalitytax
0.7000 0.7000 0.6300 0.6300 0.5600 0.1050 0.0005
OilFund
0.0000 0.0000 0.2000 1.4000 2.8000 13.5000 0.0000
EnergyConservation
PromotionFund
0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500
()
VAT(wholesale)
2.1924 2.1631 2.1494 2.0236 1.8763 0.6566 1.7807
Totalwholesale
33.5120 33.0650 32.8552 30.9327 28.6808 10.0360 27.2198
Marketingmargin
5.0542 1.7803 0.7802 0.9414 2.1114 10.1720 1.5609
()
VAT(retail)
0.3538 0.1246 0.0546 0.0659 0.1478 0.7120 0.1093
Totalretail
38.92 34.97 33.69 31.94 30.94 20.92 28.89
EPPO final P.57-76.indd 68 12/27/55 BE 11:29 AM
69 3
4. LPG
1 LPG62.67
860.33
LPG
2554AbuDhabiGas
LPG40,000 17
2554
2 LPG49.33
909.67
LPG
LPG
LPG
925 935 855 90
2554
LPG9.8%
TEPCO
3 LPG74.33
835.33 Bharat PetroleumCorp.Ltd.LPG 100,0002554 LPG
2554 1 4 3 /. Vietnams Saigon Pressurized LPG
2,700 26 28 2554
4. LPG
The first quarter : The average price of LPGroseUS$62.67pertonnefromthepreviousquarter reachingUS$860.33pertonneaccordingtocrudeoil
priceaswellasthecoldandtoughweatherwhichled
toanincreaseindemandforLPGamongAmerican
countries.Majoroilcompanies intheMiddleEast
alsoshutdowntheiroperationsformaintenancefrom
FebruaryMarch2011.Inaddition,AbuDhabiGas
sold40,000tonnesofLPGscheduledfordelivery
during17April2011.
The second quarter : TheaveragepriceofLPGroseUS$49.33pertonnefromthepreviousquarter reachingUS$909.67pertonnesincetheJapanese
government decided to make use of LPG in its
legal reserve topreventLPGshortageasa result
ofthetsunami.TherewasahugedemandforLPG
forwarminginJapan.Algeria,inaddition,settheir
propaneprice,scheduledtobedeliveredinApril,at
US$925pertonneandbutaneatUS$935pertonne
whileSaudiAramcosetitspropanepriceforJune atUS$855pertonne,whichdecreasedbyUS$90
pertonnefromMay2011.Thepetrochemicalsector
in Germany reportedly consumed 9.8%more LPG
thaninthepreviousyear.Therefounddemandfor
LPGinJapaneseTEPCOelectricitycompanyaswell.
The third quarter : The average price of LPGdropped US$74.33 per tonne from the previous
quarter to US$835.33 per tonne. Indian Bharat PetroleumCorp.Ltd.cancelleditsJuly2011sorder
for 100,000tonnesofLPG.Thailandintr