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The role of aviation safety information in accident prevention Aviation safety information Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

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Page 1: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

The role of aviation safety

information in accident

prevention

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 2: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Contents

• How safe is aviation in this day and age?

• Aviation safety information and accident prevention

• Challenges in aviation safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 3: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Contents

• How safe is aviation in this day and age?

• Aviation safety information and accident prevention

• Challenges in aviation safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 4: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Fatal airliner accidents and moving ten-year average

1st generation

Widebodies

4th generation 2nd generation

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

3rd generation

Page 5: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Fatal airliner accidents per 1,000,000 departures

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 6: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

2013 – at 1973 accident rate

6446 fatalities

214 accidents

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

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Page 7: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

2013 – at 1993 accident rate

2225 fatalities

99 accidents

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

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Page 8: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

2013

265 fatalities

29 accidents 16 Passenger

8 Cargo

4 Ferry

1 Training

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

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Page 9: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Contents

• How safe is aviation in this day and age?

• Aviation safety information and accident prevention

• Challenges in aviation safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 10: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Harro Ranter / 16 April 2014

Safety information

March 1989

•Fokker F-28

• Dryden, Ontario, Canada

• 24 dead

Page 11: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Harro Ranter / 16 April 2014

Safety information

March 1992

•Fokker F-28

•New York-La Guardia

• 27 dead

Page 12: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Accident Incident Occurrences

ICAO Annex 13

Page 13: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Accidents

Incidents

Occurrences

Heinrich Pyramid

Page 14: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

False glideslope report

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 15: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

False glideslope report

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 16: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

False glideslope report

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 17: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

False glideslope report

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 18: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Contents

• How safe is aviation in this day and age?

• Aviation safety information and accident prevention

• Challenges in aviation safety information

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 19: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenges

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Spectrum of Safety model (adapted) from J. Burin, FSF

Page 20: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 1 – use of data available

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

NTSB online database

Search: Fokker F-28

Page 21: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 2 – data entry

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

NTSB online database

Search: Fokker F-28

8 found

Quality of data entry

Page 22: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 2 – data entry

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

NTSB online database

Search: Fokker 28

41 found

Quality of data entry

Page 23: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 3 – taxonomies vs mapping

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Do we need a common taxonomy or a common mapping?

Page 24: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 3 – human vs system

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Systems & taxonomies have to adapt to their users, not the other way around

Page 25: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 4 – formal reports

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

No easily accessible/searchable repository of formal investigation reports

Page 26: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 4 – formal reports

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Not all formal reports in an ICAO language

Page 27: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 5 – level of investigation

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Funding and available manpower determine number of investigations

Page 28: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 6 – transparency

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Availability of accident information for research

Page 29: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 7 – timeliness

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Media and public demand immediate incident information

Page 30: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Harro Ranter / 16 April 2014

Challenge 8 – safety oversight

Investigation

Final report with

Conclusion & Recommendations Interim Safety

Recommendations

• (Emergency) Airworthiness Directives

• Changes in regulations

• Service Bulletins

Page 31: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 8 – safety oversight

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

How sharing accident and incident information results in a.o. AD's and

effectiveness also depends on country's EI.

Page 32: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenge 9 – Safety Recommendations

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Safety recommendations of previous investigations regarding safety information

AF447 report

Page 33: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

More information:

http://aviation-safety.net

Or follow us on:

@AviationSafety

@harro

facebook.com/AviationSafetyNetwork

Aircraft accident prevention

Harro Ranter / 16 April 2014

Thank you

Page 34: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 35: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

Visualisation missing airliners

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 36: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Aircraft accident prevention

2013 – accident locations

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Page 37: Aircraft accident prevention · Contents • How safe is aviation in this day and age? • Aviation safety information and accident prevention • Challenges in aviation safety information

Challenges

Aviation safety information

Harro Ranter / 15 October 2014

Bird Strike Bowtie from

CGE Risk Management Solutions