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Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

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Page 1: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic

Problems

Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic

Problems

Page 2: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Macroeconomic ObjectivesMacroeconomic Objectives

Distinction between microeconomics and macroeconomics

The major macroeconomic issues economic growth

unemployment

inflation

balance of payments and exchange ratesbalance of payments deficits and surpluses

exchange rate movements

Distinction between microeconomics and macroeconomics

The major macroeconomic issues economic growth

unemployment

inflation

balance of payments and exchange ratesbalance of payments deficits and surpluses

exchange rate movements

Page 3: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Page 4: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Page 5: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Economic growth (average % per annum), Unemployment (average %), Inflation (average % per annum)

Page 6: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

The inner flow The inner flow

Page 7: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Factorpayments

Factorpayments

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

The circular flow of incomeThe circular flow of income

Firms

Households

Page 8: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

Withdrawals

net saving

net taxes

import expenditure

Injections

investment

government expenditure

export expenditure

Withdrawals

net saving

net taxes

import expenditure

Injections

investment

government expenditure

export expenditure

Page 9: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Factorpayments

Factorpayments

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Investment (I)Investment (I)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Exportexpenditure (X)

Exportexpenditure (X)

BANKS, etc

Netsaving (S)

Netsaving (S)

GOV.

Nettaxes (T)

Nettaxes (T)

ABROAD

Importexpenditure (M)

Importexpenditure (M)

The circular flow of incomeThe circular flow of income

WITHDRAWALS

INJECTIONS

Page 10: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them

The relationship between injections and withdrawals the links between them

Page 11: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Factorpayments

Factorpayments

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Investment (I)Investment (I)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Exportexpenditure (X)

Exportexpenditure (X)

BANKS, etc

Netsaving (S)

Netsaving (S)

GOV.

Nettaxes (T)

Nettaxes (T)

ABROAD

Importexpenditure (M)

Importexpenditure (M)

The circular flow of incomeThe circular flow of income

WITHDRAWALS

INJECTIONS

Page 12: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

Page 13: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

Equilibrium in the circular flow

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

Equilibrium in the circular flow

Page 14: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Factorpayments

Factorpayments

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Investment (I)Investment (I)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Exportexpenditure (X)

Exportexpenditure (X)

BANKS, etc

Netsaving (S)

Netsaving (S)

GOV.

Nettaxes (T)

Nettaxes (T)

ABROAD

Importexpenditure (M)

Importexpenditure (M)

The circular flow of incomeThe circular flow of income

WITHDRAWALS

INJECTIONS

Page 15: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The Circular Flow of IncomeThe Circular Flow of Income

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

Equilibrium in the circular flow

The circular flow and the four macroeconomic objectives

The relationship between injections and withdrawals

the links between them

planned injections may not equal planned withdrawals

Equilibrium in the circular flow

The circular flow and the four macroeconomic objectives

Page 16: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Factorpayments

Factorpayments

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Consumption ofdomestically

produced goodsand services (Cd)

Investment (I)Investment (I)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Governmentexpenditure (G)

Exportexpenditure (X)

Exportexpenditure (X)

BANKS, etc

Netsaving (S)

Netsaving (S)

GOV.

Nettaxes (T)

Nettaxes (T)

ABROAD

Importexpenditure (M)

Importexpenditure (M)

The circular flow of incomeThe circular flow of income

WITHDRAWALS

INJECTIONS

Page 17: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

Page 18: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The circular flow of national income and expenditureThe circular flow of national income and expenditure

Page 19: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The circular flow of national income and expenditureThe circular flow of national income and expenditure

(1) Production(1) Production

(2) Incomes(2) Incomes (3) Expenditure(3) Expenditure

Page 20: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach

Page 21: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

Page 22: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 mMining, energy and water supply £41 378 m

Manufacturing£153 132 m

Construction £47 327 m

Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £106 766 m

Hotels and restaurants £29 359m

Transport and communication £70 252 m

Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m

Letting of property £209 839 m

Public administration and defence £42 096 m

Education, health and social work £114 069 m

Other services £45 101 m

UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001

Page 23: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 mMining, energy and water supply £41 378 m

Manufacturing£153 132 m

Construction £47 327 m

Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £106 766 m

Hotels and restaurants £29 359m

Transport and communication £70 252 m

Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m

Letting of property £209 839 m

Public administration and defence £42 096 m

Education, health and social work £114 069 m

Other services £45 101 m

Total GVA £874 227 m

UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001

Page 24: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0.94.7

17.5

5.4

12.2

3.4

8.0

0.8

24.0

4.8

13.0

5.2

100.0

Agriculture, forestry and fishing £8 241 mMining, energy and water supply £41 378 m

Manufacturing£153 132 m

Construction £47 327 m

Wholesale and retail trade; repairs £106 766 m

Hotels and restaurants £29 359m

Transport and communication £70 252 m

Banking, finance, insurance, etc. £6 667 m

Letting of property £209 839 m

Public administration and defence £42 096 m

Education, health and social work £114 069 m

Other services £45 101 m

Total GVA £874 227 m

Percen

tage o

f GV

A

UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001UK GVA (product-based measure): 2001

Page 25: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach

Page 26: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Compensation of employees (wages and salaries)

£556 371 m

Operating surplus(gross profit, rent and interest of firms

government and other institutions)£238 625 m

Mixed incomes£60 073 m

Tax less subsidies on production(other than those on products) plusstatistical discrepancy £19 158m

UK GVA by category of income: 2001UK GVA by category of income: 2001

Page 27: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Compensation of employees (wages and salaries)

£556 371 m

Operating surplus(gross profit, rent and interest of firms

government and other institutions)£238 625 m

Mixed incomes£60 073 m

Tax less subsidies on production(other than those on products) plusstatistical discrepancy £19 158m

Total GVA £874 227m

UK GVA by category of income: 2001UK GVA by category of income: 2001

Page 28: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

63.6

27.3

6.9

2.2

100.0

Compensation of employees (wages and salaries)

£556 371 m

Operating surplus(gross profit, rent and interest of firms

government and other institutions)£238 625 m

Mixed incomes£60 073 m

Tax less subsidies on production(other than those on products) plusstatistical discrepancy £19 158m

Total GVA £874 227m

UK GVA by category of income: 2001UK GVA by category of income: 2001

Percen

tage o

f GV

A

Page 29: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach From GVA to GDP

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach From GVA to GDP

Page 30: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £874 227m

UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001

Page 31: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £874 227m

plus Taxes on products £120 499m

UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001

Page 32: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £874 227m

plus Taxes on products £120 499m

less Subsidies on products £6 712m

UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001

Page 33: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

GVA (gross value added at basic prices) £874 227m

plus Taxes on products £120 499m

less Subsidies on products £6 712m

GDP (at market prices) £988 014m

UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001UK GDP (product-based measure): 2001

Page 34: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach The expenditure approach

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach The expenditure approach

Page 35: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

£million

Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) 655 265

Government final consumption (G) 190 663

Gross capital formation (I) 164 048

Exports of goods and services (X) 268 451

less Imports of goods and services (M) 290 912

Statistical discrepancy 499

Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices) 988 014

UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001

Page 36: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach from GVA to GDP

From GDP to net national income (NNY)

GDP: the measure of national income Methods of measuring GDP

the product approach the income approach the expenditure approach

The product approach measuring GVA

The income approach from GVA to GDP

From GDP to net national income (NNY)

Page 37: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

£million

Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) 655 265

Government final consumption (G) 190 663

Gross capital formation (I) 164 048

Exports of goods and services (X) 268 451

less Imports of goods and services (M) 290 912

Statistical discrepancy 499

Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices) 988 014

plus Net income from abroad 5 756

Gross national income (GNY) 993 770

UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001

Page 38: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

£million

Consumption expenditure of households and NPISH (C) 655 265

Government final consumption (G) 190 663

Gross capital formation (I) 164 048

Exports of goods and services (X) 268 451

less Imports of goods and services (M) 290 912

Statistical discrepancy 499

Gross domestic product (GDP) (at market prices) 988 014

plus Net income from abroad 5 756

Gross national income (GNY) 993 770

less Capital consumption (depreciation) 111 275

Net national income (NNY) 882 495

UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001UK GDP by category of expenditure, GNY and NNY: 2001

Page 39: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Measuring national incomeMeasuring national income

GDP as a measure of social welfare

benefits of using GDP

weaknesses

The Human Development Index (HDI)

GDP as a measure of social welfare

benefits of using GDP

weaknesses

The Human Development Index (HDI)

Page 40: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 41: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 42: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 43: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 44: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 45: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 46: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 47: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 48: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)Human Development Index (HDI) for selected countries (2000)

Page 49: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

Page 50: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Nat

iona

l out

put

Time

Potential output

The business cycleThe business cycle

Actualoutput

Page 51: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential output

Economic growth and the business cycle

fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

Growth in actual and potential output

Economic growth and the business cycle

fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 52: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Nat

iona

l out

put

Time

Potential output

Actualoutput

1

2

3

4

1

2

34

The business cycleThe business cycle

Page 53: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential output

Economic growth and the business cycle

fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

trend growth

Growth in actual and potential output

Economic growth and the business cycle

fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

trend growth

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 54: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Nat

iona

l out

put

Time

Potential output

Actualoutput

Trendoutput

The business cycleThe business cycle

Page 55: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 56: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 57: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

the length of the phases

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

the length of the phases

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 58: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

the length of the phases

the magnitude of the phases

Growth in actual and potential growth

Economic growth and the business cycle fluctuations in actual growth

the phases of the business cycle

long-term output trend

the business cycle in practice the irregularity of the cycle

the length of the phases

the magnitude of the phases

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 59: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Causes of fluctuations in actual growth

aggregate demand

aggregate demand relative to potential output

Actual growth in practice

experience since 1970

Causes of fluctuations in actual growth

aggregate demand

aggregate demand relative to potential output

Actual growth in practice

experience since 1970

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 60: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Page 61: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 62: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 63: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 64: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France

Germany

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 65: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France

Germany

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 66: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France USA

Germany

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 67: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France USA

Germany

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 68: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France USA

GermanyJapan

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 69: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Ann

ual g

row

th r

ate

(%)

UK

France USA

GermanyJapan

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Growth rates in selected industrial countriesGrowth rates in selected industrial countries

Page 70: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Causes of potential growth increases in the quantity of factors

capital labour land and raw materials the problem of diminishing returns

increases in factor productivity

Policies to achieve growth demand-side and supply-side policies market-orientated and interventionist

policies

Causes of potential growth increases in the quantity of factors

capital labour land and raw materials the problem of diminishing returns

increases in factor productivity

Policies to achieve growth demand-side and supply-side policies market-orientated and interventionist

policies

Growth and the Business CycleGrowth and the Business Cycle

Page 71: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

The meaning of 'unemployment'

The costs of unemployment

Official measures of unemployment

claimant unemployment

do claimant statistics give a true picture of unemployment?

standardised unemployment (ILO / OECD)

The meaning of 'unemployment'

The costs of unemployment

Official measures of unemployment

claimant unemployment

do claimant statistics give a true picture of unemployment?

standardised unemployment (ILO / OECD)

Page 72: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

UK

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

Page 73: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 74: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

UK

France

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 75: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

UK

France

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 76: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

UK

France

Germany

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 77: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

mpl

oym

ent (

% o

f wor

kfor

ce)

UK

France

Germany

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 78: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

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ent (

% o

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UK

France USA

Germany

Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 79: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

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Page 80: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

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12

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

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% o

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Germany Japan

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Page 81: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

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France USA

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Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 82: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

France USA

Germany Japan

OECD

0

2

4

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Une

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oym

ent (

% o

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kfor

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Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 83: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

France USA

Germany Japan

OECD

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

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ent (

% o

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kfor

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Unemployment rates in selected industrial countriesUnemployment rates in selected industrial countries

Page 84: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Page 85: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Page 86: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Page 87: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Standardised unemployment rates in different sectors of the labour market (2002)

Page 88: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

Page 89: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Qe

Disequilibrium unemploymentDisequilibrium unemployment

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ASL

ADL

We

Page 90: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

disequilibrium unemployment

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

disequilibrium unemployment

Page 91: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ASL

ADL

We

W2

Disequilibrium unemploymentDisequilibrium unemployment

Q2 Q1

B A

Page 92: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

disequilibrium unemployment

equilibrium unemployment

Unemployment and the labour market

the aggregate demand and supply of labour

equilibrium in the model

disequilibrium unemployment

equilibrium unemployment

Page 93: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Equilibrium unemploymentEquilibrium unemployment

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ADL

We

ASL

e

Qe

Page 94: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Q2QeO

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ASL

ADL

We

N

e d

Equilibrium unemploymentEquilibrium unemployment

Page 95: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemploymentEquilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ADL

We

e

Qe

ASL

Page 96: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ASL

ADL

We

W2

b a

e

Disequilibriumunemployment

Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemploymentEquilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment

Page 97: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Ave

rag

e (r

ea

l) w

ag

e ra

te

No. of workers

ASL

ADL

We

W2

b a

e

N

c

Equilibriumunemployment

Disequilibriumunemployment

Equilibrium and disequilibrium unemploymentEquilibrium and disequilibrium unemployment

Page 98: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

Disequilibrium unemployment

real-wage (classical) unemployment

demand-deficient (cyclical) unemployment

unemployment arising from a growth in the labour supply

Disequilibrium unemployment

real-wage (classical) unemployment

demand-deficient (cyclical) unemployment

unemployment arising from a growth in the labour supply

Page 99: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UnemploymentUnemployment

Equilibrium unemployment

frictional (search) unemployment

structural unemployment

changing pattern of demand

technological unemployment

regional unemployment

seasonal unemployment

Equilibrium unemployment

frictional (search) unemployment

structural unemployment

changing pattern of demand

technological unemployment

regional unemployment

seasonal unemployment

Page 100: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve The aggregate demand curve

Page 101: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 102: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

Page 103: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

Page 104: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 105: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

Page 106: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 107: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

Page 108: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 109: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve

The aggregate demand curve

Why aggregate demand curves slope downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve

Page 110: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 111: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally

slope upwards

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards

import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally

slope upwards

Page 112: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 113: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally

slope upwards

Equilibrium

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards import effect

interest-rate effect

savings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why aggregate supply curves generally

slope upwards

Equilibrium

Page 114: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD

Pe

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 115: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD

Pe

P2

ab

Aggregate demand and aggregate supplyAggregate demand and aggregate supply

Page 116: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Aggregate Demand and SupplyAggregate Demand and Supply

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards import effect interest-rate effectsavings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why AS curves generally slope upwards

Equilibrium Effect of a shift in the AD curve

The aggregate demand curve Why aggregate demand curves slope

downwards import effect interest-rate effectsavings effect

The aggregate supply curve Why AS curves generally slope upwards

Equilibrium Effect of a shift in the AD curve

Page 117: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Defining inflation

The costs of inflation

redistribution

uncertainty

balance of payments

resources used to cope with inflation

Experience of inflation since 1965

Defining inflation

The costs of inflation

redistribution

uncertainty

balance of payments

resources used to cope with inflation

Experience of inflation since 1965

Page 118: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

-2

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 119: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

-2

0

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14

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18

20

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26

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 120: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

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16

18

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

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ices

)

UK

EU 15

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 121: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

2

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)

UK

EU 15

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 122: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

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26

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)

UK

EU 15

USA

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 123: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

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6

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18

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22

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26

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)

UK

EU 15

USA

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 124: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

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crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)

UK

EU 15 Japan

USA

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 125: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

-2

0

2

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6

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16

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

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reta

il pr

ices

)

UK

EU 15 Japan

USA

Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 126: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

EU 15 Japan

USAOECD

-2

0

2

4

6

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18

20

22

24

26

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 127: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

UK

EU 15 Japan

USAOECD

-2

0

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20

22

24

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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Infla

tion

(% in

crea

se in

reta

il pr

ices

)Inflation rates in selected industrial countriesInflation rates in selected industrial countries

Page 128: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull

Types of inflation demand pull

Page 129: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Demand-pull inflationDemand-pull inflation

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD1

P1

Q1

Page 130: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD1

P1

Q1

AD2

Demand-pull inflationDemand-pull inflation

Page 131: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS

AD1

P1

Q1

AD2

P2

Q2

Demand-pull inflationDemand-pull inflation

Page 132: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

Page 133: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage push

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage push

Page 134: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push

Page 135: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

Page 136: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

Cost-push inflationCost-push inflation

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD

P1

Q1

Page 137: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD

P1

Q1

AS2

Cost-push inflationCost-push inflation

Page 138: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD

P1

Q1

AS2

P2

Q2

Cost-push inflationCost-push inflation

Page 139: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull

cost push

wage push

profit push

import-price push

the interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation

Types of inflation demand pull

cost push

wage push

profit push

import-price push

the interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation

Page 140: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflationThe interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD1

P1

Page 141: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD1

P1

AS2

AD2

P2

The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflationThe interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation

Page 142: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

O

Pri

ce le

vel

National output

AS1

AD1

P1

AD2

P2

AS3

AD3

P3

AS2

The interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflationThe interaction of demand-pull and cost-push inflation

Page 143: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift)

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift)

Page 144: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Page 145: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation

Page 146: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies

Page 147: Aggregate Demand and Supply and Macroeconomic Problems

InflationInflation

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies supply-side policies

Types of inflation demand pull cost push

wage pushprofit push import-price push

structural (demand shift) expectations and inflation

Policies to tackle inflation demand-side policies supply-side policies