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Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Page 1: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

Advanced Power Strips (APS)Planning UES Measure Proposal

Regional Technical ForumAugust 20, 2013

Page 2: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Presentation Outline

• Measure Overview• Staff Highlighted Areas• Presentation of Measure Documents– UES Analysis and Results– Research Plan

• RTF Staff Recommendations• Proposed Decision

Page 3: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Measure Overview

• Review the Measure Properties section on the “Summary” tab of the proposed measure workbook.

Measure Developers Bonneville and SBWTechnical Subcommittee Review NoResearch & Evaluation Core Group Review

Yes; feedback received from research and evaluation group is included in final research plan.

Notes A provisional measure for residential “smart power strips” expired in April, 2011.

Page 4: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Staff Highlighted Areas

• Measure lifetime– Need RTF to weigh in on appropriate lifetime for

this measure (currently set at 10 years)• Research plan sample size– Current sample size (185 sites) may be insufficient

to reach 80/20– Should we oversample to have a higher confidence

in reaching 80/20 or use the current sample size and see what level of confidence and precision we get?

Page 5: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Measure UES Analysis and Results

• Review the following sections on the “Summary” tab of the proposed measure workbook:– Energy Savings Estimation Method, Parameters

and Data Sources– Presentation tab (show savings, cost, and TRC B/C

results table)

Page 6: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Measure Research Plan• Review the following sections in the proposed

research plan:– Sample Design

– Collaboration Strategy

– Analysis and Data Collection Plan

– Budget (if available)

Page 7: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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RTF Staff Recommendations• RTF staff recommendation on the UES estimate:

– Overall, savings methodology fine for planning UES measure.– 10-year lifetime may be unreasonable given that measure can

be easily moved and removed; equipment changes over time• 2-3 years may be more reasonable

– UES estimate currently assumes no removal rate (e.g., due to dissatisfaction); staff suggests adding a non-zero rate of removal

– Tier 2 IR savings estimate (321 kWh) could be over-stated given that the APS’s in the study recorded when device would have been shut off.• This misses instances when the TV would have been turned

back on; however, it would be difficult to estimate this effect.

Page 8: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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RTF Staff Recommendations• RTF staff recommendation on research plan:

– The pre/post methodology is reasonable, given that a control group scenario would be practically difficult to implement.

– Cautions on sample size:• Current sample size of 185 to sample proposed scenarios

(on slide 7).• Invalid sites (see Section 4.2 of Research Plan) could

require greater than 185 total metered installations.• Current CV estimate (0.96) based on direct-install studies

may be understated for self-installs; therefore greater than 185 sites may be needed to ensure 80/20 confidence and precision.

Page 9: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Decision

“I _________ move that the RTF approve the UES measure Residential Advanced Power Strips to:

• Planning category;

• Active status;

• a sunset date of August 31, 2015;

• a measure lifetime of ___ years; and

• a research plan which includes a sample size of _____ sites.”

Page 10: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Additional Slides For Reference

Page 11: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

UES – Tier 1 Master/peripheral load sensing

• Applications are assumed to be home entertainment or home office

• Weighted average UES for owner-installed– 61% home entertainment– 39% home office

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Christian
Question from Nick: Does this track with the research plan? I couldn't tell if the analysis in the workbook was using saturations from the entire RBSA sample vs. the 100+ homes they are metering where these will be installed. You would need to use that weighting to determine potential resource, unless you designed the pilot to target so many installations of each. (which you could do since you will be adding houses to the sample)
Page 12: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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“Typical” home office and home entertainment devices are selected – analyst assumptions, with saturation data from various sources

Power draw in Standby, Ready, and Active states is estimated for each device from various sources

Hours of use for each device in each state are estimated based on in-home metering studies and phone survey reports

Savings occur in master device off-hours• State of peripheral during master off-hours is based on

analyst assumptions

UES – Tier 1 Master/peripheral (cont)

Page 13: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

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Planning UES is the average of field trials of Embertec IR-sensing APS 19 households in Australia – population skewed towards

high income/high electronics ownership– Avg savings: 760 kWh/yr.– “Normalized” by govt agencies to 436 kWh/yr.

15 households in South Africa – similar device ownership to other developed countries– Avg savings: 420 kWh/yr.

19 households in Santa Cruz, CA – recruited from rowing club– Avg savings: 258 kWh/yr.

UES – Tier 2 IR Sensing

Page 14: Advanced Power Strips (APS) Planning UES Measure Proposal Regional Technical Forum August 20, 2013

UES – Tier 2 Motion Sensing

• Products are marketed for computer environments

• After set period like 30 minutes, power to controlled devices is shut off

• Greatest savings occur in monitor

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