Accuracy Prediction for Directional MWD

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    2 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    individuals established following the SPWLA Topical Conference on

    MWD held in Kerrville, Texas in late 1995. The Group’s broad

    objective is “to produce and maintain standards for the Industry relating

    to wellbore survey accuracy”. Much of the content of this paper, and

    specifically the details of the basic MWD error model, had its genesis in

    the Group’s meetings, which were distinguished by their open and co-

    operative discussions.

    Four Company Worki ng Group. The ISCWSA being too large a

    forum to undertake the detailed mathematical development of an error 

     propagation model, this was completed by a small working group from

    Sysdrill Ltd., Statoil, Baker Hughes INTEQ and BP Exploration. The

    mathematical model created by the group and described below has been

    made freely available for use by the Industry.

    Assumptions and Definitions

    The following assumptions are implicit in the error models and

    mathematics presented in this paper:

    1. Errors in calculated well position are caused exclusively by the

     presence of measurement errors at wellbore survey stations.

    2. Wellbore survey stations are, or can be modelled as, three-elementmeasurement vectors, the elements being along-hole depth,  D,

    inclination, I , and azimuth A. The propagation mathematics also requires

    a toolface angle, τ, at each station.3. Errors from different error sources are statistically independent.

    4. There is a linear relationship between the size of each measurement

    error and the corresponding change in calculated well position.

    5. The combined effect on calculated well position of any number of 

    measurement errors at any number of survey stations is equal to the

    vector sum of their individual effects.

     No restrictive assumptions are made about the statistical distribution

    of measurement errors.

    Error sources, terms and models. An error source  is a physical phenomenon which contributes to the error in a survey tool

    measurement. An error term describes the effect of an error source on a

     particular survey tool measurement. It is uniquely specified by the

    following data:

    •  a name•  a weighting function, which describes the effect of the error ε onthe survey tool measurement vector p. Each function is referred to by a

    mnemonic of up to four letters.

    •  a mean value, µ.•  a magnitude, σ, always quoted as a 1 standard deviation value.•  a correlation coefficient ρ1 between error values at survey stationsin the same survey leg. (In a survey listing made up of several

    concatenated surveys, a  survey leg   is a set of contiguous surveystations acquired with a single tool or, if appropriate, a single tool type).

    •  a correlation coefficient ρ2 between error values at survey stationsin different survey legs in the same well.

    •  a correlation coefficient ρ3 between error values at survey stations

    in different wells in the same field.

    To ensure that the correlation coefficients are well defined, only f

    combinations are allowed.

    Propagation Mode   ρρ 1   ρρ 2   ρρ 3

    Random (R) 0 0 0

    Systematic (S) 1 0 0

    Per-well (W) 1 1 0

    Global (G) 1 1 1

    ρ1, ρ2 and ρ3 are to be considered properties of the error source, a

    should be the same for all survey legs.

    An error model   is a set of error terms chosen with the aim

     properly accounting for all the significant error sources which affe

    survey tool or service.

    An Error Model for “Basic” MWD

    For the survey specialist in search of a “best estimate” of posit

    uncertainty it is tempting to differentiate minutely between tools typ

    and models, running configurations, BHA design, geographical locat

    and several other variables. While justifiable on technical grounds, su

    an approach is impractical for the daily work of the well planner. T

    time needed to find out this data for historical wells, and for ma

     planned wells, is simply not available.

    The error model presented in this section is intended to

    representative of MWD surveys run according to fairly standard qual

     procedures. Such procedures would include

    •  rigorous and regular tool calibration•  survey interval no greater than 100 ft•  non-magnetic spacing according to standard charts (where no ax

    interference correction is applied)

    •  not surveying in close proximity to existing casing strings or ot

    steel bodies•   passing standard field checks on G-total, B-total and dip.The requirement to differentiate between different services may be m

     by defining a small suite of alternative error models. Examples cove

    in this paper are:

    •  application or not of an axial interference correction•  application or not of a BHA sag correctionAlternative models would also be justified for:

    •  In-field referenced surveys•  In-hole (gyro) referenced surveys•  Depth-corrected surveys

    The model presented here is based on the current state of knowledge a

    experience of a number of experts. It is a starting point for furtresearch and debate, not an end-point.

    Sensor Errors.  MWD sensors will typically show small shifts

     performance between calibrations. We may make the assumption t

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 3

    the shifts between successive calibrations are representative of the shifts

     between calibration and field performance. On this basis, two major 

    MWD suppliers compared the results of successive scheduled

    calibrations of their tools. Paul Rodney examined 288 pairs of 

    calibrations, and noted the change in bias (ie. offset error), scale factor 

    and misalignment for each sensor. Wayne Phillips did the same for 10

     pairs of calibrations, except that sensor misalignments were not

    recorded.

    Andy Brooks has demonstrated that if a sensor is subject to a scale

    error and two orthogonal misalignments, all independent and of similar 

    magnitude, the combination of the three error terms is equivalent to a

    single bias term. This term need not appear explicitly in the error model,

     but may be added to the existing bias term to create a “lumped” error.

    This eliminates the need for 20 extra weighting functions corresponding

    to sensor misalignments.

    The data from the MWD suppliers suggest that in-service sensor 

    misalignments are typically smaller than scale errors. As a result, only a

     part of the observed scale error was “lumped” with the misalignments

    into the bias term, leaving a residual scale error which is modeled

    separately. In this way, four physical errors for each sensor were

    transformed into two modeled terms. The results were as follows:

    Error Source weighting

    function

    magnitude prop.

    mode

    Accelerometer biases ABX,Y,Z 0.0004 g S

    Accelerometer scale factors ASX,Y,Z 0.0005 S

    Magnetometer biases MBX,Y,Z 70 nT S

    Magnetometer scale factors MSX,Y,Z 0.0016 S

    These figures include errors which are correlated between sensors, and

    which therefore have no effect on calculated inclination and azimuth (the

    exception being the effect of correlated magnetometer errors on

    interference corrected azimuths). It could be argued that themagnetometer scale factor errors in particular (which may be influenced

     by crustal anomalies at the calibration sites) should be reduced to

    account for this.

    BHA magnetic interference. Magnetic interference due to steel in

    the BHA may be split into components acting parallel (axial) and

     perpendicular (cross-axial) to the borehole axis.

    Axial Interference.  Several independent sets of surface

    measurements of magnetic pole strengths have now been made.

    Observed root-mean-square values are:

    Item Pin Box Source

    RMS pole strength(sample size)

    Drill collar 505 µWb (8) Grindrod, Wol605 µWb (11) 435 µWb (11) Lotsberg5

    511 µWb (4) McElhinney7

    Stabiliser 177 µWb (6) Grindrod, Wol396 µWb (10) 189 µWb (10) Lotsberg369 µWb (5) 408 µWb (10) McElhinney

    Motor 340 µWb (12) 419 µWb (10) LotsbergOddvar Lotsberg also computed pole strengths for 41 BHAs from

    results of an azimuth correction algorithm. The RMS pole strength w

    369 µWb (micro-Webers).These results suggest that 400 µWb is a reasonable estimate for th

    s.d. pole strength of a steel drill string component where furt

    information is lacking. This is useful information for BHA design, b

    cannot be used for uncertainty prediction without a value for n

    magnetic spacing distance. Unfortunately, there is no “typical” spac

    used in the Industry, and we must find another way to estimate t

    magnitude of this error source.

    A well-established Industry practice is to require non-magne

    spacing sufficient to keep the azimuth error below a fixed toleran

    (typically 0.5°  at 1 s.d.) for assumed pole strengths and a given hdirection. This tolerance may need to be compromised in the le

    favourable hole directions. For a fixed axial interference field, a

    neglecting induced magnetism, azimuth error is strongly dependent

    hole direction, being proportional to sin I sin Am. Thus to model

    azimuth error in uncorrected surveys, we require a combination of er

    terms which

    •   predicts zero error if the well is vertical or magnetic north/south•   predicts errors somewhat greater than the usual tolerance if the wis near horizontal and magnetic east/west

    •   predicts errors near the usual tolerance for other hole directions.These requirements could be met by constructing some artific

    weighting function, but this would violate our restriction to physicameaningful error terms. A constant error of 0.25°  and a directidependent error of 0.6°sin I sin Am is perhaps the best we can achieve way of a compromise. It is legitimate to consider these valu

    representative of 1 standard deviation, since the pole strength valu

    which underlie the non-magnetic spacing calculations are themselv

    quoted at 1 s.d.

    Both error terms may be propagated as systematic, although there

    theoretical and observational evidence4  that this error is asymmetr

    acting in the majority of cases to swing magnetic surveys to the north

    the northern hemisphere. Giving the direction-dependent term a me

    value of 0.33° and a magnitude of 0.5° reproduces this asymmetry (w

    about 75% of surveys being deflected to the north), while leaving

    root-mean-square error unchanged.Axial interference errors are not modelled for surveys which have be

    corrected for magnetic interference.

    Cross-Axi al I nterf erence   Cross-axial interference from the BHA

    indistinguishable from magnetometer bias, and propagates in the sa

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    4 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    way. Anne Holmes8  analysed the magnetometer biases for 78 MWD

    surveys determined as a by-product of a multi-station correction

    algorithm. Once a few outliers - probably due to magnetic “hot-spots”

    and hence classified as gross errors - had been eliminated, the remaining

    observations gave an RMS value of 57nT. This figure is somewhat

    smaller than the 70nT attributable to magnetometer bias alone. The

    conclusion must be that cross-axial interference does not, in the average,

    make a significant contribution to the overall MWD error budget, and

    may be safely left out of the model.

    Tool Misalignment. Misalignment is the error caused by the along-

    hole axis of the directional sensor assembly being out-of-parallel with

    the centre line of the borehole. The error may be modeled as a

    combination of two independent phenomena:

    BHA sag   is due to the distortion of the MWD drill collar under 

    gravity. It is modelled as confined to the vertical plane, and proportional

    to the component of gravity acting perpendicular to the wellbore (ie.

     sinI ). The magnitude of the error depends on BHA type and geometry,

    sensor spacing, hole size and several other factors. Two-dimensional

    BHA models typically calculate inclination corrections of 0.2°  or 0.3°for poorly stabilised BHAs in horizontal hole5. For well stabilisedassemblies the value is usually less than 0.15°. In the absence of better information, 0.2° (at 1 s.d.) may be considered a realistic input into the basic error model.

    Sag corrections, if they are applied, are calculated on the often

    unjustified assumptions of both the hole and stabilisers being in gauge.

    Data comparisons by the author suggest a typical efficiency of 60% for 

    these corrections, leaving a post-correction residual sag error of 0.08°.Assuming similar BHAs throughout a hole section, all BHA sag errors

    may be classified as systematic.

    Radially symmetri c misalignment  is modelled as equally likely to

     be oriented at any toolface angle. John Turvill made an estimate of its

    magnitude based on the tolerances on several concentric cylinders:•  Sensor package in housing. Tolerances on three components are(i) clearance, 0.023°, (ii) concentricity, 0.003°, (iii) straightness of sensor package, 0.031°.•  Sensor housing in drill collar.  For a probe mounted in acentralised, retrievable case, 0.063°.•  Collar bore in collar body. Typical MWD vendors’ tolerance is0.05°.•  Collar body in borehole.  The API tolerance on collar straightness equates to 0.03°. MWD vendors’ specifications aretypically somewhat more stringent.

    The root-sum-square of these figures is 0.094°. Being based onmaximum tolerances, it is probably an over-estimate for stabilised rotary

    assemblies.An analysis by the author of the variation in measured inclination over 

    46 rotation shots produced a root-mean-square misalignment of 0.046°.Simulations show that within this figure, about 0.007° is attributable to

    the effect of sensor errors.

    An additional source of misalignment - collar distortion outside

    vertical plane due to bending forces - may be estimated using

    dimensional BHA models. 0.04° seems to be a typical value. This erdiffers from those above by not rotating with the tool. It sho

    therefore strictly have its own weighting function. Being so small

    seems justifiable on practical (if not theoretical) grounds, to include

    with the other sources of radially symmetric misalignment. This leav

    us with an estimate for the error magnitude of 0.06°. This figure may

    a significant underestimate where there is an aggressive bend in the BH

    or a probe-type MWD tool is in use. This error term may be consider

    systematic.

    Magnetic field uncertainty. For basic MWD surveys, only the va

    assumed for magnetic declination affects the computed azimu

    However, conventional corrections for axial interference requ

    estimates of the magnetic dip and field strength. Any error in th

    estimates will cause an error in the computed azimuth.

    A study commissioned from the British Geological Survey by Ba

    Hughes INTEQ9  investigated the likely error in using a glo

    geomagnetic model to estimate the instantaneous ambient magnetic fi

    downhole. Five sources of error were identified:

    •  Modelled main field vs. actual main field at base epoch•  Modelled secular variation vs. actual secular variation•  Regular (diurnal) variation due to electrical currents in ionosphere

    •  Irregular temporal variation due to electrical currents in magnetosphere

    •  Crustal anomaliesBy making a number of gross assumptions, and by considering typi

    drilling rates, the current author has distilled the results of the study i

    a single table:

    Error Source error magnitude prop.

    declination dip totalfield

    mode

    Main field model 0.012°* 0.005° 3 nT GSecular variation 0.017°* 0.013° 10 nT GDaily variation 0.045°† 0.011°† 11 nT† R/S‡Irregular variation 0.110°† 0.043°† 45 nT† R/S‡Crustal anomaly 0.476°   0.195° 120 nT G

    * below 60° latitude N or S† at 60° latitude N or S‡ daily and irregular variation are partially randomised between surveCorrelations between consecutive stations are approximately 0.95 a0.5 for the two error sources.

    The dominant error source is crustal anomalies, caused by vary

    magnetisation of rocks in the Earth’s crust. The figures shown

    representative of the North Sea. Some areas, particularly those at hig

    latitudes and where volcanic rocks are closer to the surface, will sho

    greater variation. Other areas, where sedimentary rocks dominate, w

    show less.

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 5

    In the absence of any other information, the uncertainty in an estimate

    of the magnetic field at a given time and place provided by a global

    geomagnetic model may be obtained by summing the above terms

    statistically. There is one complication - some account must be taken of 

    the increasing difficulty of determining declination as the horizontal

    component of the magnetic field decreases. This can be achieved by

    splitting this error into two components: one constant and one inversely

     proportional to the horizontal projection of the field, BH. For the

     purposes of the model, the split has been defined somewhat arbitrarily,

    while ensuring that the total declination uncertainty at Lerwick, Shetland

    (BH = 15000nT) is as predicted by the BGS study (0.49°). Beingdominated by the crustal anomaly component, all magnetic field errors

    may be considered globally systematic and summarised thus:

    Error Source weighting

    function

    magnitude prop.

    mode

    Declination (constant) AZ 0.36° GDeclination (BH-dependent) DBH 5000°nT G

    Dip angle MFD 0.20° GTotal field MFI 130nT G

    Along-Hole Depth Errors. Roger Ekseth10

      identified 14 physical

    sources of drill-pipe depth measurement error, wrote down expressions

    to predict their magnitude, and by substituting typical parameter values

    into the expressions predicted the total error for a number of different

    well shapes. He then proposed a simplified model of just four terms,

    and chose the magnitudes of each to match the predictions of the full

    model as closely as possible. The results were as follows.

    Error Source error error magnitude (1 s.d.) prop.

      proportional land rig floating rig mode

    to

    Random ref. 1 0.35 m 2.2 m R  

    Systematic ref. 1 0 m 1 m S

    Scale   D 2.4×10-4 2.1×10-4 SStretch-type   D.V  2.2×10-7 m-1 1.5×10-7 m-1 G

    For the purposes of the basic model, the values for the land rig (or,

    equivalently a jack-up or platform rig) may be chosen. The stretch-type

    error, which dominates the other terms in deep wells, models two

     physical effects - stretch and thermal expansion of the drill pipe. Both

    these effects generally cause the drill string to elongate, so it may be

    appropriate to apply this term as a bias (see below). If this is done, a

    mean value of 4.4×10-7  m-1 should be used, since Ekseth effectivelytreated his estimates of these errors as 2 s.d. values.

    Errors omitted from the Basic MWD Model. Some errors known to

    affect MWD surveys have nonetheless not been included in the basic

    error model.

    Tool electronics and resoluti on.  The overall effect on accuracy

    caused by the limitations of the tool electronics and the resolution of

    tool-to-surface telemetry system is not considered significant. Su

    errors will tend to be randomised over long survey intervals.

    External magnetic in terf erence. Ekseth10

      discusses the influen

    of remanent magnetism in casing strings on magnetic surveys, and giv

    expressions for azimuth error when drilling (a) out of a casing shoe a

    (b) parallel to an existing string. Although certainly not negligible, b

    error sources are difficult to quantify, and equally difficult

    incorporate within error modelling software. It seems preferable

    manage these errors by applying quality procedures designed to lim

    their effect.

    Ef fect of sur vey interval and calcul ation method . The meth

     presented in this paper relies on the assumption that error-f

    measurement vectors p will lead to an error-free wellbore position vec

    r. If minimum curvature formulae are used for survey calculation, t

    assumption will only be true when the well-path between stations is

    exact circular arc. The resulting error may be significant for sparse da

     but may probably be neglected so long as the station interval does

    exceed 100 ft.

    Gravity field uncertain ty . Differences between nominal and actgravity field strengths will typically have no effect on MWD accura

    since only the ratio of accelerometer measurements are used in

    calculation of inclination and azimuth.

    Gross err ors . Any attempt at a comprehensive discussion of MW

    error sources must at least acknowledge the possibility of gross erro

    sometimes called human errors. These errors lack the predictability a

    uniformity of the physical terms discussed above. They are therefo

    excluded from the error model, with the assumption that they

    adequately managed through process and procedure.

    Propagation Mathematics

    The mathematical algorithm by which wellbore positional uncertainty

    generated from survey error model inputs is based on the approaoutlined by Brooks and Wilson

    3. The development of this w

    described here was carried out by the Working Group referred to in

    Introduction.

    A physical error occurring at a survey station will result in an err

    in the form of a vector, in the calculated well position. From ref. 3:

    er

    p

    pi i

    i

    d = σ

      ∂

    ∂ε…..(1)

    where ei is a vector-valued random variable, (a vector error ), σi is

    magnitude of the ith error source, ∂p/∂εi is its “weighting function” adr/dp  describes how changes in the measurement vector affect

    calculated well position. It is sufficient to assume that the calcula

    displacement between consecutive survey stations depends only on

    survey measurement vectors at these two stations. Writing ∆rk  for displacement between survey stations k -1 and k , we may thus expr

    the (1 s.d.) error due to the presence of the ith error source at the k

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 7

    ( ) P B B I B I I  x y= + +sin cos cos   $ sin   $ sin cosτ τ   Θ …(24)

    ( )Q B B x y= − −cos sinτ τ …(25)

     R B I =   $ cos  $ sinΘ 2 …(26)

    The sensitivities of the computed azimuth to errors in the sensor 

    measurements are found by differentiating (23).

    Magnetic F ield Uncertainty . The weighting function for magneticdeclination error is given above. Those for magnetic field strength and

    dip angle, which are required when an axial magnetic interference

    correction is in use, are derived by differentiating (23) with respect to$ B  and $Θ .Misalignment Errors . Brooks and Wilson

    3  model tool axial

    misalignment as two uncorrelated errors corresponding to the x and y

    axes of the tool. Their expressions for the associated inclination and

    azimuth errors lead directly to the following weighting functions

    ∂ε  τ

    τ

    p

     MX  I 

    =−

    0

    sin

    cos / sin

    ∂ε  τ

    τ

    p

     MY  I 

    =

    0

    cos

    sin / sin

    …(27,28)

    Table 2 contains expressions for all the weighting functions not cited in

    this section which are required to implement the error models described

    in this paper.

    Calculation Options

    The method of position uncertainty calculation described here admits a

    number of variations. It can still claim to be a standard, in that selection

    of the same set of conventions should always yield the same results.

    Along-Hole Depth Uncertainty. The propagation model described

    above is appropriate for determining the position uncertainty of the

     points in space at which the survey tool came (or will come) to rest.

    These may be called uncertainties “at survey stations”.Thorogood

    2 argues that it is more meaningful to compute the position

    uncertainties of the points in the wellbore at the along-hole depths

    assigned to the survey stations. These may be called the uncertainties

    “at assigned depths”. This approach allows computation of the position

    uncertainty of points (such as picks from a wireline log) whose depths

    have been determined independently of the survey. Thorogood made

    this calculation by defining a weighting function incorporating the local

     build and turn rates of the well. The approach described in Appendix A

    achieves the same result without the need for a new weighting function.

    The results of the two approaches differ only in the along-hole

    component of uncertainty. The along-hole uncertainty at a survey

    station includes the uncertainty in the station’s measured depth, while

    the uncertainty at an assigned depth does not.

    The correct choice of approach depends on the engineering problem

     being tackled - in many cases it is immaterial. The user of well-designed

    directional software need not be aware of the issue.

    Survey Bias. Not to be confused with sensor biases (which mig

     better be termed offset errors), survey bias is the tendency for the m

    likely position of a well to differ from its surveyed position. The on

     bias term defined by Wolff and deWardt was for magnetic interference

    “poor magnetic” surveys. The claims for stretch and thermal expans

    of drill-pipe to be treated as bias errors are at least as strong.

    Some vendors of directional software have neglected to model surv

     bias on the grounds that (a) such errors should be corrected for and

    engineers don’t like/understand them. The first objection can

    countered by the observation “yes, but they aren’t!”, the second

    careful software design.

    The sign convention for position bias is from survey to most lik

     position (ie. opposite to the direction of the error). Since drill p

    generally elongates downhole, most likely depths are greater than surv

    depths and bias values are positive. For axial drillstring interferen

    most likely azimuths are greater than survey azimuths when

    weighting function, sin I sin Am  is positive, so bias values are ag

     positive (at least in the northern hemisphere). The additio

    mathematics required to model survey bias is included in Appendix A

    Calculation conventions. The calculation of position uncertai

    requires a wellbore survey consisting of discrete stations, each of wh

    has an associated along-hole depth, inclination, azimuth and toolfa

    angle. Clearly, these data will not be available in many cases, and cert

    conventions are required whereby assumed values may be calculat

    The following are suggested.

    Along-hole depth. For drilled wells, actual survey stations sho

     be used. For planned wells, the intended survey interval should

    determined, and stations should be interpolated at all whole multiples

    this depth within the survey interval. Typically, an interval of 100 fe

    or 30 metres should be used.

    I nclination and azimuth. For drilled wells, measured values sho be used. For planned wells, the profile should be interpolated at

     planned survey station depths using minimum curvature.

    Toolface. If actual toolface angles are available, they should be us

    If not, several means of generating them are possible:

    •  Random number generation. Possibly close to reality, but results not repeatable and will tend to be optimistic.

    •  Worst-case. Several variations on this idea are possible, but each wrequire some additional calculation. The principle is questionable, a

    the computational overhead is probably not justified.

    •  Borehole toolface (ie. the up-down-left-right change in borehdirection). This angle bears little relation to survey tool orientation, b

    is at least well-defined, and may be computed directly from inclinat

    and azimuth data. This approach will tend to limit the randomisation

    toolface dependent errors, giving a conservative uncertainty predicti

    This is the convention used in the examples at the end of the pap

    Formulae for borehole toolface are given in Appendix B.

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    8 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    Standard Profiles

    At the 8th meeting of the  ISCWSA  participants were set the task of 

    designing a number of well profiles suitable for:

    •  testing software implementations of the error models and propagation mathematics

    •  studying and highlighting the behaviour of different error models(magnetic and gyroscopic) and individual error sources

    •  demonstrating to a non-specialist audience the uncertainties to beexpected from typical survey programs.

    The ideas generated at the meeting were used to devise a set of three

     profiles:

    ISCWSA#1: an extended reach well in the North Sea

    ISCWSA#2: a “fish-hook” well in the Gulf of Mexico, with a long

    turn at low inclination

    ISCWSA#3: a “designer” well in the Bass Strait, incorporating a

    number of difficult hole directions and geometries.

    Figs. 2, 3  illustrate the test profiles in plan and section. Their full

    definition, given in Table 4, includes location, magnetic field, survey

    stations, toolface angles and depth units.

    Example Results

    The error models for basic and interference-corrected MWD have been

    applied to the standard well profiles to generate position uncertainties in

    each well. The results of several combinations are tabulated in Table 5.

    Examples 1 and 2 compare the basic and interference-corrected models

    in well ISCWSA#1. Being a high inclination well running approximately

    east-north-east, the interference correction actually degrades the

    accuracy. The results are plotted in Fig 4. Examples 3 to 6 all represent

    the basic MWD error model applied to well ISCWSA#2. They differ in

    that each uses a different permutation of the survey station/assigned

    depth and symmetric error/survey bias calculation options. The

    variation of lateral uncertainty and ellipsoid semi-major axis,

    characteristic of a “fish-hook” well, is shown in Fig 5. Finally, example7 breaks well ISCWSA#3 into 3 depth intervals, with the basic and

    interference-corrected models being applied alternately. This example is

    included as a test of error term propagation.

    Taken together, the examples form a demanding test set for 

    implementations of the method and models described in this paper.

    Conclusions and Recommendations

    This paper, and the collaborative work which it describes, establishes a

    common starting point for wellbore position uncertainty modelling. The

    standardised elements are:

    •  a nomenclature (see below)•  a definition of what constitutes an error model•  mathematics of position uncertainty calculation•  an error model for a basic directional MWD service•  a set of well profiles for investigating error models•  a set of results for testing software implementations

    The future work which these standards were designed to facilitate

    includes:

    •  establishment of agreed error models for other survey servicincluding in-field referencing and gyroscopic tools.

    •  interchangeability of calculated position uncertainties betwsurvey vendor, directional drilling company and operator.

    Useful though this work is, it is only a piece in a larger jigsaw. Tak

    a wider view, the collaborative efforts of the extended surv

    community should now be directed towards:

    •  standardisation of quality assurance measures•  strengthening the link between quality assurance specificatio

    and error model parameters

    •   better integration of wellbore position uncertainty with the otaspects of oilfield navigation..

    Acknowledgments

    The author thanks all participants in the ISCWSA for their enthusia

    and support over several years and in the review of this paper.

    Particular contributions to the MWD error model were made by Jo

    Turvill and Graham McElhinney, both now with PathFinder Ener

    Services, formerly Halliburton Drilling Systems; Wayne Philli

    Schlumberger Anadrill; Paul Rodney and Anne Holmes, Sperry-S

    Drilling Services; and Oddvar Lottsberg, formerly of Baker Hugh

    INTEQ.

    Participants in the Working Group on error propagation were Da

    Roper, Sysdrill Ltd; Andy Brooks and Harry Wilson, Baker Hugh

    INTEQ; and Roger Ekseth, formerly of Statoil.The results in Table 5 were checked by Jerry Codling, Landmark.

    The author also wishes to thank BP Amoco for their permission

     publish this paper.

    Nomenclature

    ISCWSA Nomenclature*

     D along-hole depth I  wellbore inclination

     A wellbore azimuth

     Am wellbore magnetic azimuth

    τ toolface angle

     N  north co-ordinate

     E  east co-ordinate

    V  true vertical depth

    δ magnetic declination

    Θ magnetic dip angle

     B magnetic field strength

    G gravity field strength

     X, x, Y, y, Z, z 

    tool reference directions - see fig. 1.

    * adopted by ISCWSA participants as a standard for all technical

    correspondence.

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 9

    Special Nomenclature

    b component of wellbore position bias vector 

    $ B estimated magnetic field strength

    C wellbore position uncertainty covariance matrix

    e 1 s.d. vector error at an intermediate statione 1 s.d. vector error at the station of interest

    E sum of vector errors from slot to station of interestε  particular value of a survey error 

     H,L used in calculation of toolface

    m  bias vector error at an intermediate stationm  bias vector error at the station of interest

    M wellbore position bias vector µ mean of error value

    σ standard deviation of error value, component of wellbore

     position uncertainty

    p survey measurement vector ( D, I , A)

     P,Q,R intermediate calculated quantitiesr wellbore position vector 

    ∆rk  increment in wellbore position between stations k -1 and k ρ correlation coefficient$Θ estimated magnetic dip angle

    v along-hole unit vector 

    w factor relating error magnitude to uncertainty in measurement

    subscripts and counters

    hla  borehole referenced frame

    i a survey error term

    k  a survey station

     K  survey station of interest

     K l  number of stations in l th survey leg

    l  a survey leg L survey leg containing the station of interest

    nev earth-referenced frame

    superscripts

    dep at the along-hole depth assigned to the survey station

    rand  random propagation mode

     svy at the point where the survey measurements were taken

     syst  systematic propagation mode

    well   per-well or global propagation mode

    References

    1. Wolff, C.J.M. and de Wardt, J.P., Borehole Position Uncertainty -

    Analysis of Measuring Methods and Derivation of Systematic Error Model, JPT pp.2339-2350, Dec. 1981

    2. Thorogood, J.L., Instrument Performance Models and their 

    Application to Directional Survey Operations, SPEDE pp.294-298,

    Dec. 1990.

    3. Brooks, A.G. and Wilson, H., An Improved Method for Comput

    Wellbore Position Uncertainty and its Application to Collision a

    Target Intersection Probability Analysis, SPE 36863, EUROPE

    Milan, 22-24 Oct 1996.

    4. Dubrule, O., and Nelson, P.H., Evaluation of Directional Surv

    Errors at Prudhoe Bay, SPE 15462, 1986 ATCE, New Orleans, O

    5-8.

    5.   Minutes of the 7 th  Meeting of the ISCWSA, Houston, 9 O

    1997.

    6. Grindrod, S.J. and Wolff, J.M., Calculation of NMDC Len

    Required for Various Latitudes Developed From Fi

    Measurements of Drill String Magnetisation, IADC/SPE 113

    1983 Drilling Conference, Houston.

    7.  Minutes of the 6 th Meeting of the ISCWSA, Vienna, 24-25 J

    1997.

    8.   Minutes of the 8th Meeting of the ISCWSA, Trondheim, 19 F

    1998.

    9. Macmillan, S., Firth, M.D., Clarke, E., Clark, T.D.G. a

    Barraclough, D.R., “Error estimates for geomagnetic field valu

    computed from the BGGM”, British Geological Survey Techni

    report WM/93/28C, 1993.

    10. Ekseth, R, Uncertainties in Connection with t

     Determination of Wellbore Positions, ISBN 82-471-0218

    ISSN 0802-3271, PhD Thesis no. 1998:24, IPT report 1998:2, T

     Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondhe

     Norway.

    Appendix A    Mathematical Description of Propagati

    Model

    The total position uncertainty at a survey station of interest,  K  

    survey leg  L) is the sum of the contribution from all the active er

    sources. It is convenient computationally to group the error sources

    their propagation type and to sum them separately.

    Vector errors at the station of interest. Recall that the vector er

    due to the presence of error source i at station k  is the sum of the eff

    of the error on the preceding and following survey displacements:

    er

    p

    r

    p

    pi l k i l  

    i

    d , , ,= +

      

         +σ

      ∂

    ∂ε

    ∆ ∆ 1 …(A-1)

    Evaluating this expression using the minimum curvature w

    trajectory model is cumbersome. There is no significant loss of accura

    in using the simpler balanced tangential model:

    ∆r j j j

     j j j j

     j j j j

     j j

     D D  I A I A

     I A I A I I 

    =  −

      +

    ++

    − −

    − −

    11 1

    1 1

    1

    2

    sin cos sin cos

    sin sin sin sincos cos

    …(A-2)

    The two differentials in the parentheses in (A-1) may then

    expressed as:

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    10 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    dD

    dI 

    dI 

     j

     j

     j

     j

    ∆ ∆ ∆ ∆r

    p

    r r r=

     

    where  j = k , k+1 …(A-3)

    and   d 

    dD

     I A I A

     I A I A

     I I 

     j

     j j j j

     j j j j

     j j

    ∆r=

    − −

    − −− −

    − −

    − −

    1

    2

    1 1

    1 1

    1

    sin cos sin cos

    sin sin sin sin

    cos cos

    …(A-4)

    ( )( )

    ( )

    dI 

     D D I A

     D D I A

     D D I 

     j

     j j k k 

     j j k k 

     j j k 

    ∆r=

    −−

    − −

    1

    2

    1

    1

    1

    cos cos

    cos sin

    sin

    …(A-5)

    ( )( )

    dA

     D D I A

     D D I A j

     j j k k 

     j j k k 

    ∆r=

    − −

    −1

    20

    1

    1

    sin sin

    sin cos

    …(A-6)

    For the purposes of computation, the error summation terminates at

    the survey station of interest. Vector errors at this station are therefore

    given by:

    e rp

    pi L K i L

     K 

     K 

     K 

    i

    d d 

    , , ,= σ   ∂∂ε

    ∆ …(A-7)

    The notation ei L K , ,  indicates that a measurement error at this station

    affects only the preceding survey displacement. In what follows we

    reserve the notation ei,l,k  for vector errors at intermediate stations, which

    affect both the preceding and following displacements.

    Undefined weighting functions. For some combinations of weighting

    function and hole direction, a component of the measurement vector 

    (usually azimuth) is highly sensitive to changes in hole direction and the

    vector ∂p/∂εi is apparently undefined. There are two cases:Vertical hole . In this case, dr/dp is zero and the vectors ei,l,k   and

    ei L K , ,   are still finite and well-defined. They may be computed by

    forming the product (A-1) algebraically and evaluating it as a whole.

    Take as an example the weighting function for an x-axis radially

    symmetric misalignment. Substituting the expression for ∂p/∂ε MX   (27)and the well trajectory model equations (A-3 to A-6) into (A-1) and (A-

    7), and setting I equal to zero gives

    ( )  ( )

    ( )e i l k i l k k   D D

      A

     A, ,,

    sin

    cos=  −

      +− +

    + −σ  τ

    τ1 1

    20

    …(A-8)

    and

    ( )  ( )

    ( )ei L K i L K K   D D

      A

     A, ,,

    sin

    cos=  −

      +

    − +

    −σ  τ

    τ1

    20

    …(A-9)

    There are similar expressions for Y-axis axial misalignment and X- and

    Y-axis accelerometer biases. These are given in Table 3. Equivalent

    expressions may be used for evaluating bias vectors in vertical hole, w

    m i l k , , , m i L K , , , and µi,l   substituted for ei l k , , , ei L K , , , and

    respectively.

    Other hol e dir ecti ons. Some error sources really are unbounded

    certain hole directions. The examples in this paper are sensor errors af

    axial interference correction in a horizontal and magnetic east/w

    wellbore - a so-called “90/90” well. In such cases, the assumptionslinearity break down, and computed position uncertainties

    meaningless. Software implementations should include an error-catch

    mechanism for this case.

    Summation of errors.  Vector errors are summed into posit

    uncertainty matrices as follows.

    Random err ors. The contribution to survey station uncertainty fr

    a randomly propagating error source i over survey leg l  (not contain

    the station of interest) is:

    ( ) ( )C e ei l rand 

    i l k i l k  T 

     K l 

    , , , , ,.=

    =

    ∑1

    …(A-10)

    and the total contribution over all survey legs is:

    ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )C C e e e ei K rand 

    i l rand 

     L

    i L k i L k  T 

     K 

    i L K i L K  T 

    , , , , , , , , , ,. .= + +=

    =

    ∑ ∑1

    1

    1

    1

    …(A-11)

    Systematic errors.  The contribution to survey station uncertai

    from a systematically propagating error source i over survey leg l  (

    containing the point-of-interest) is:

    C e ei l  syst 

    i l k k 

     K 

    i l k k 

     K    T l l 

    , , , , ,.=  

     

     

       

     

     

     

       

    = =∑ ∑

    1 1

    …(A-12)

    and the total contribution over all survey legs is:

    C C e e e ei K  syst 

    i l  syst 

     L

    i L k i L K  

     K 

    i L k i L K  

     K T 

    , , , , , , , , , ,.= + + 

     

     

          +

     

     

     

       

    =

    =

    =

    ∑ ∑ ∑1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    …(A-13)

    Per-Well and Global errors. Each of these error types is systema

     between all stations in a well. The individual vector errors can theref

     be summed to give a total vector error from slot to station

    E e e ei K i l k  k 

     K 

     L

    i L k 

     K 

    i L K 

    , , , , , , ,=   

     

     

        + +

    ==

    =

    ∑∑ ∑11

    1

    1

    1…(A-14)

    The total contribution to the uncertainty at survey station K  is

    C E Ei K well 

    i K i K  T 

    , , ,.=…(A-15)

    Total position covariance. The total position covariance at surv

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 11

    station K   is the sum of the contributions from all the types of error 

    source:

    { }

    C C C C K  svy

    i K rand 

    i Ri K 

     syst 

    i S 

    i K well 

    i W G

    = + +∈ ∈ ∈∑ ∑ ∑, , ,

    ,

    …(A-16)

    where the superscript svy indicates the uncertainty is defined at a

    survey station.

    Survey bias. Error vectors due to bias errors are given by expressions

    entirely analogous with (A-1) and (A-7):

    mr

    p

    r

    p

    pi l k i l  

    i

    d , , ,= +

     

     

       

      +µ

    ∂ε

    ∆ ∆ 1 …(A-17)

    mr

    p

    pi L K i L

     K 

     K 

     K 

    i

    d , , ,=  µ

    ∂ε

    ∆…(A-18)

    The total survey position bias at survey station K , M K  svy

    , is the sum

    of individual bias vectors taken over all error sources i, legs l  and

    stations k :

    M m m m K  svy

    i l k k 

     K 

     L

    i L k k 

     K 

    i L K i

     

     

        + +

     

     

     

       

    ==

    =

    ∑∑ ∑∑ , , , , , ,11

    1

    1

    1

    …(A-19)

    Position uncertainty and bias at an assigned depth

    Defining the superscript dep   to indicate uncertainty at an assigned

    depth, it may be shown that:

    e e vi L K dep

    i L K  svy

    i L i L K K  w, , , , , , ,= −σ …(A-20)

    e ei l k dep

    i l k  svy

    , , , ,= …(A-21)

    where wi,L,K   is the factor relating error magnitude to measurement

    uncertainty and v K  is the along-hole unit vector at station  K . Figs. 6, 7

    illustrate these results. Substituting these expressions into (A-12 to A-16) yields the position uncertainty at the along-hole depth assigned to

    each survey station.

    Survey bias at an assigned depth is calculated by substituting the

    following error vectors into (A-19):

    m m vi L K dep

    i L K  svy

    i L i L K K  w, , , , , , ,= − µ …(A-22)

    m mi l k dep

    i l k  svy

    , , , ,= …(A-23)

    Relative uncertainty between wells. When calculating the

    uncertainty in the relative position between two survey stations

    ( K  A, K  B) in wells ( A,B), we must take proper account of the correlation

     between globally systematic errors. The uncertainty is given by:

    [ ]

    ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )

    C r r

    C C E E E E

     svy K K 

     K 

     svy

     K 

     svy

    i K i K  

    i K i K  

    i G

     A B

     A B A B B A

    = + − +

    ∑ , , , ,. .…(A-24)

    The relative survey bias is simply:

    [ ]M r r M M svy  K K K  svy  K  svy A B   A B− = − …(A-25)

    Substitution of equations (A-20) to (A-23) into these expressio

    gives the equivalent results at the along-hole depths assigned to

    stations.

    Transformation into Borehole Reference Frame. The resu

    derived above are in an Earth-referenced frame (North, East, Vertic

    subscript nev). The transformation of the covariance matrices and b

    vectors into the more intuitive borehole referenced frame (Highsi

    Lateral, Along-hole - subscript hla ) is straightforward:

    C T C ThlaT 

    nev= …(A-26)

    b

    b

    b

     H 

     L

     A

    hlaT 

    nev

    = =M T M …(A-27)

    where

    T =−

    cos cos sin sin cos

    cos sin cos sin sin

    sin cos

     I A A I A

     I A A I A

     I I 

     K K K K K 

     K K K K K 

     K K 0

    …(A-28)

    is a transformation matrix. Uncertainties and correlations in the princi

     borehole directions are obtained from:

    [ ]σ H hla= C 1 1, etc. …(A-29)

    [ ]ρ

    σ σ HAhla

     H L

    =C 1 2,

    etc. …(A-30)

    Appendix B    Calculation of Toolface Angle

    The following formulae may be used to calculate a synthetic toolfa

    angle from successive surveys:

    ( ) H I I A A I I  K K K K K K K = − −− − −sin cos cos sin cos1 1 1 …(B-1)

    ( ) L I A A K K K K = −   −sin sin 1 …(B-2)

    If H  K  > 0,   τ K   = tan-1( L K / H  K ) …(B-3)

    If H  K  < 0,   τ K   = tan-1( L K / H  K ) + 180° …(B-4)

    If H  K  = 0,   τ K  = 270°, 0° or 90° as L K  < 0, L K  = 0 or L K  > 0...(B-5)

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    12 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    Table 1—Summary of Basic MWD Error Models

    Weighting

    Function

    Basic

    model

    with axial

    correction

    Prop.

    Mode

    Weight.

    Func.

    Basic model with axial

    correction

    Prop.

    Mode

    Sensors Misalignment  

     ABX 0.0004 g S SAG 0.2° 0.2° S ABY 0.0004 g S MX 0.06° 0.06° S ABZ 0.0004 g S MY 0.06° 0.06° S ASX 0.0005 S

     ASY 0.0005 S Axial magn etic interference 

     ASZ 0.0005 S AZ 0.25° SMBX 70 nT S AMID 0.6° S or B*MBY 70 nT S

    MBZ 70 nT S Declinat ion 

    MSX 0.0016 S AZ 0.36° 0.36° GMSY 0.0016 S DBH 5000°nT 5000°nT GMSZ 0.0016 S

     ABIX 0.0004 g S Total magnet ic f ield and d ip angle 

     ABIY 0.0004 g S MDI 0.20° G ABIZ 0.0004 g S MFI 130 nT G

     ASIX 0.0005 S

     ASIY 0.0005 S Along-hole depth 

     ASIZ 0.0005 S DREF 0.35 m 0.35 m R

    MBIX 70 nT S DSF 2.4 × 10-4 2.4 × 10-4 SMBIY 70 nT S DST 2.2 × 10-7 m-1 2.2 × 10-7 m-1 G or B†MSIX 0.0016 S * when modelled as bias: µ = 0.33°, σ = 0.5°MSIY 0.0016 S † when modelled as bias: µ = 4.4 × 10-7 m-1, σ = 0

    Table 2—Error Source Weighting Functions not Given in the Text

    Sensor Errors (without axial interference correction)

     ABX

    ( )

    10

    G  I 

     I A A I m m

    −− +

    cos sin

    cos sin sin cos cos tan cot cos

    τ

    τ τ τΘ

     ASX

    ( )( )

    02

    sin cos sin

    tan sin cos sin sin cos cos cos cos sin

     I I 

     I I A A I m m

    τ

    τ τ τ τ− − +

    Θ

     ABY

    ( )

    10

    G I 

     I Am   Am   I 

    + −

    cos cos

    cos sin cos cos sin tan cot sin

    τ

    τ τ τΘ

     ASY

    ( )( )

    02

    sin cos cos

    tan sin cos sin cos cos sin cos sin cos

     I I 

     I I A A I m m

    τ

    τ τ τ τ− + −

    Θ

    MBX

    ( )   ( )

    0

    0

    cos cos cos sin sin / cos A I A Bm mτ τ−

    Θ

    MSX

    ( )( )

    0

    0

    cos cos sin tan sin sin sin cos cos cos cos sin sin I A I A A I Am m m mτ τ τ τ τ− + −

    Θ

    MBY

    ( )   ( )

    0

    0

    − +

    cos sin cos sin cos / cos A I A Bm mτ τ   Θ

    MSY

    ( )( )

    0

    0

    − − − +

    cos cos cos tan sin cos sin sin cos sin cos sin cos I A I A A I Am m m mτ τ τ τ τΘ

     AB

    Z

    10

    G I 

     I Am

    sin

    tan sin sinΘ

     ASZ0

    sin cos

    tan sin cos sin

     I I 

     I I AmΘ

    MBZ

    ( )

    0

    0

    sin sin / cos I A Bm   Θ

    MSZ

    ( )

    0

    0

    − +

    sin cos tan cos sin sin I A I I Am mΘ

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 13

    Table 2—Cont.

    Sensor Errors (with axial interference correction)

     ABIX

    ( ) ( )( )   ( )

    10

    1

    2 2 2G

      I 

     I A I I A A I I Am m m m

    + − − −

    cos sin

    cos sin sin tan cos sin cos cos tan cos cot / sin sin

    τ

    τ τΘ Θ

     ABIY

    ( ) ( )( )   ( )

    10

    12 2 2

    G  I 

     I A I I A A I I Am m m m

    + + − −

    cos cos

    cos sin cos tan cos sin cos sin tan cos cot / sin sin

    τ

    τ τΘ Θ

     ASIX

    ( ) ( )( )   ( )

    0

    1

    2

    2 2 2

    sin cos sin

    sin sin cos sin sin tan cos sin cos cos tan sin cos cos / sin sin

     I I 

     I I A I I A I A I I Am m m m

    τ

    τ τ τ− + − − −

    Θ Θ

     ASIY

    ( ) ( )( )   ( )

    0

    1

    2

    2 2 2

    sin cos cos

    cos sin cos sin cos tan cos sin cos sin tan sin cos cos / sin sin

     I I 

     I I A I I A I A I I Am m m m

    τ

    τ τ τ− + + − −

    Θ Θ

    MSIX

    ( )( ) ( )

    0

    0

    12 2− − + − −

    cos cos sin tan sin sin sin cos cos sin sin cos cos / sin sin I A I A I A A I Am m m m mτ τ τ τ τΘ

    MSIY

    ( )( ) ( )

    0

    0

    12 2− − − + −

    cos cos cos tan sin cos sin sin cos sin cos cos sin / sin sin I A I A I A A I Am m m m mτ τ τ τ τΘ

    MBIX

    ( ) ( )( )

    0

    0

    1 2 2− − −

    cos sin sin cos cos / cos sin sin I A A B I A

    m m mτ τ   Θ

     ABIZ

    ( )( )   ( )

    10

    12 2

    G I 

     I I A I I A I Am m m

    + −

    sin

    sin cos sin tan cos sin cos / sin sinΘ

    MBIY

    ( ) ( )( )

    0

    0

    1 2 2− + −

    cos sin cos cos sin / cos sin sin I A A B I A

    m m mτ τ   Θ

     ASIZ

    ( )( )   ( )

    0

    12 2 2

    + −

    sin cos

    sin cos sin tan cos sin cos / sin sin

     I I 

     I I A I I A I Am m mΘ

    Magnetic Field Errors (with axial interference correction)

    MFI

    ( ) ( )( )

    0

    0

    12 2− + −

    sin sin tan cos sin cos / sin sin I A I I A B I A

    m m mΘ

    MDI

    ( ) ( )

    0

    0

    1 2 2− − −

    sin sin cos tan sin cos / sin sin I A I I A I Am m mΘ

    Table 3—Error Vectors in Vertical Hole where Weighting Function is Singular 

    Sensor Errors (with or without axial interference correction)

     ABX

    or  ABIX

    ( )   ( )( )e

    i l k i l  Dk    Dk 

    G

     A

     A, ,

    ,sin

    cos=  +   − −

      − ++

    σ   τ

    τ1 1

    20

     ABY

    or  ABIY

    ( )   ( )( )e

    i l k i l   Dk    Dk 

    G

     A

     A, ,

    ,cos

    sin=   +  − −

      − +− +

    σ  τ

    τ1 1

    2

    0

    Misalignment Errors

    MX   ( )  ( )

    ( )e i l k i l k k   D D

      A

     A, ,,

    sin

    cos=  −

      +− +

    + −σ  τ

    τ1 1

    20

    MY   ( )  ( )

    ( )ei l k i l k k   D D

      A

     A, ,,

    cos

    sin=  −

      ++

    + −σ  τ

    τ1 1

    20

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    14 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    Table 4—Standard Well Profiles

    ISCWSA #1 - North Sea Extended Reach Well

    Lat. 60° N, Long. 2°E, Total Field, 50,000 nT, Dip 72°, Declination4°W, Station interval 30m, VS Azimuth 75°MD Inc Azi North East TVD VS DLS

     m deg deg m m m m °/30m  0.00 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    1200.00 0 .000 0.000 0.00 0.00 1200.00 0.00 0 .00

    2100.00 60.000 75.000 111.22 415.08 1944.29 429.72 2.00

    5100.00 60.000 75.000 783.65 2924.62 3444.29 3027.79 0.00

    5400.00 90.000 75.000 857.80 3201.34 3521.06 3314.27 3.00

    8000.00 90.000 75.000 1530.73 5712.75 3521.06 5914.27 0.00

    ISCWSA #2 - Gulf of Mexico Fish Hook Well

    Lat. 28° N, Long. 90°W, Total Field 48,000nT, Dip 58°, Declination2°E, Station interval 100ft, VS Azimuth 21°MD Inc Azi North East TVD VS DLS

     ft deg deg ft ft ft ft °/100ft  0.00 0 .000 0 .000 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0.00 0.00

      2000.00 0 .000 0.000 0.00 0 .00 2000.00 0.00 0 .00

      3600.00 32.000 2.000 435.04 15.19 3518.11 411.59 2 .00

      5000.0032.000 2.000 1176.48 41.08 4705.37 1113.06 0 .00

      5525.5432.000 32.000 1435.37 120.23 5253.89 1383.12 3.00

      6051.0832.000 62.000 1619.99 318.22 5602.41 1626.43 3.00

      6576.6232.000 92.000 1680.89 582.00 6050.92 1777.82 3.00

      7102.1632.000 122.000 1601.74 840.88 6499.44 1796.70 3.00

      9398.5060.000 220.000 364.88 700.36 8265.27 591.63 3 .00

    12500.00 60.000 220.000-1692.70 -1026.15 9816.02 -1948.01 0.00

    ISCWSA #3 - Bass Strait Designer Well

    Lat. 40°S, Long. 147°E, Total Field 61,000nT, Dip -70°, Declination 13°E, Station interval 30m, VS Azimuth 310°MD Inc Azi North East TVD VS DLS

     m deg deg m m m m °/30m  0.00 0 .000 0.000 0.00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00

      500.00 0 .000 0.000 0.00 0 .00 500.00 0 .00 0 .00

      1100.00 50.000 0.000 245.60 0.00 1026.69 198.70 2.50

      1700.00 50.000 0.000 705.23 0.00 1412.37 570.54 0.00

      2450.00 0.000 0.000 1012.23 0.00 2070.73 818.91 2.00

    MD Inc Azi North East TVD VS DLS

     m deg deg m m m m °/30m  2850.00 0.000 0.000 1012.23 0.00 2470.73 818.91 0.00

      3030.00 90.000 283.0001038.01 -111.65 2585.32 905.39 15.00

      3430.00 90.000283.000 1127.99 -501.40 2585.32 1207.28 0.00

      3730.00110.000193.000 996.08 -727.87 2520.00 1197.85 9.00

      4030.00110.000193.000 721.40 -791.28 2417.40 1069.86 0.00

    Table 5—Calculated Position Uncertainties (at 1 standard deviation)

    • uncertainty at tie-line (MD=0) is zero • stations interpolated at whole multiples of station interval using minimum curvature

    • instrument toolface = borehole toolface

    uncertainties along

    borehole axes

    correlations between

    borehole axes

    survey bias along

    borehole axesNo. Well Depth interval(s) Model Option σ H    σ L   σ A   ρ HL   ρ HA   ρ LA   b H    b L   b A1 #1 0 m - 8000 m basic S, sym 20.11 m 84.33 m 8.62 m -0.015 +0.676 -0.003

    2 #1 0 m - 8000 m ax-int S, sym 20.11 m 196.41 m 8.62 m -0.006 +0.676 +0.004

    3 #2 0 ft - 12500 ft basic S, sym 16.17 ft 29.66 ft 10.12 ft +0.032 -0.609 +0.060

    4 #2 0 ft - 12500 ft basic D, sym 16.17 ft 29.66 ft 9.16 ft +0.032 -0.426 +0.084

    5 #2 0 ft - 12500 ft basic S, bias 15.69 ft 27.41 ft 8.61 ft +0.052 -0.602 +0.157 -6.79 ft -12.41ft +11.70 ft

    6 #2 0 ft - 12500 ft basic D, bias 15.69 ft 27.41 ft 8.50 ft +0.052 -0.569 +0.160 -6.79 ft -12.41ft -4.76 ft

    7 #3

    (1) 0 m - 1380 m

    (2) 1410 m - 3000 m

    (3) 3030 m - 4030 m

    basic

    ax-int

    basic

    S, sym

    S, sym

    S, sym 5.64 m 5.76 m 9.59 m -0.186 -0.588 +0.297

    Key to error models: basic Basic MWD

    ax-int Basic MWD with axial interference correction

    Key to calculation options: S, sym Uncertainty at survey station, all errors symmetric (ie. no bias)

    S, bias Uncertainty at survey station, selected errors modelled as biases (see table 1)D, sym Uncertainty at assigned depth, all errors symmetric (ie. no bias)

    D, bias Uncertainty at assigned depth, selected errors modelled as biases (see table 1)

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    SPE 56702 ACCURACY PREDICTION FOR DIRECTIONAL MWD 15

    Y-axis

    X-axis

    Z-axis(down hole)

    HighSide

    τ

    τ = toolface angle

    Fig.1     Definition of tool sensor axes and toolface angle

    1000m

    -1000m

    -1000m

    1500m

    1000m

    6000m5500m

    1500m1000m

    East

       N  o  r   t   h

    ISCWSA#1

    ISCWSA#2

    ISCWSA#3

    Fig.2    Plan view of standard well profiles

    Vertical Section

       T  r  u  e   V  e  r   t   i  c  a   l   D  e  p   t   h

    2000m

    4000m

    60004000m-1000m 2000m

    ISCWSA#1VS Azi = 75 o

    ISCWSA#3VS Azi = 310o

    ISCWSA#2VS Azi = 21 o

    Fig.3     Vertical section plot of standard well profiles. Note

    different section azimuths.

       1  s .   d .   L

      a   t  e  r  a   l   U  n  c  e  r   t  a   i  n   t  y   (  m   )

    0

    40

    200

    160

    120

    80

    2000 80060004000

    Measured Depth (m)

    6

    4

    2

    1200 210018001500

    Example 1 : Basic MWD

    Example 2 : MWD with axial interference

      correction

    inset

    “corrected” model is

    marginally more

    accurate at low

    inclination

    “corrected” model

    deteriorates rapidly

    near “90/90”

    Fig.4     Comparison of basic and interference corrected MWD

    error models in well ISCWSA#1

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    16 HUGH S. WILLIAMSON SPE 56702

    0 1200080004000

    Measured Depth (ft)

       1  s .   d .

       U  n  c  e  r   t  a   i  n   t  y   (   f   t   )

    10

    40

    30

    20

    0

    lateral uncertainty andellipsoid semi-major 

    axis are equal while

    azimuth is constant

    at mid-turn, lateral

    direction co-incides

    with ellipsoid minor axis

    ellipsoid semi-major axis

    reduces as well returns below surface location

    Example 4 : Ellipsoid semi-major axis

    Example 4 : Lateral uncertainty

    Fig.5     Variation of lateral uncertainty and ellipsoid semi-

    major axis in a fish-hook well - ISCWSA#2

    e ek dep

    k  svy=depth error at

    earlier station

    =   σ i i k w ,

    (2) vector errors for last survey

    station and last assigned depth

    due to depth error at earlier station

    must therefore be the same:

    (1) with no depth error at last station,

    true positions at survey station and

    at its assigned depth coincide

    Recorded (and calculated)

    survey station position

    True position where

    tool came to rest

    True well position at depth

    assigned tosurvey station

    True well path

    Calculated well path

    depth error atlast station

    =

    e K  svye e v K 

    dep K  svy

    i i K K  w= − σ ,

    σi i K w ,

    vector error at last

    assigned depth due todepth error at last station

    =

    vector error at last

    station due to deptherror at last station

    =

    Recorded (and calculated)survey station position

    True position wheretool came to rest

    True well position at depth

    assigned tosurvey station

    True well path

    Calculated well path

    Fig.6     Vector errors at the last station (point of interest) d

    to an along-hole depth error at the last station.

    Fig.7     Vector errors at the last station (point of interest) due to an along-hole depth error at a

    previous station.