20100331 Changing Consumer Behaviour Patterns

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    Changing Consumer

    Behaviour Patterns OfIndian Middle Class

    Prof.Sundaram RajagopalanDean Executive Education

    SP Jain Center of Management Singapore

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    Outline

    Evolution of Indian consumer market in growth phase

    Consumer markets India vs. China

    increasingly affluent Indian Middle class harder to ignore

    Indian middle class as a distinctive segment - profile,dimensions, and location

    Changing patterns of middle class behavior

    How India's rising and unique middle class will reshape

    Indian / Global consumer markets ?Implications to companies thru cases

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    Over the next two decades , Indiasmiddle class will grow from about 5

    percent to more than forty percent

    and create the worlds fifth - largest

    consumer market

    - McKinsey Quarterly 2007

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    Indias economy has been growing rapidly

    What impact has growth had on Indian

    incomes and how quickly will they grow in thefuture?

    How is the distribution of income changing?When will its middle class take off?

    How is income growth effecting urbanversus rural areas?

    How much of rising Indian incomes will be

    spent versus saved?

    What will Indian consumers spend theirnewfound wealth on?

    What does thismean forbusinessand investmentopportunities?

    How shouldcompaniescompete for thenew Indian

    consumer?

    Source : MGI

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    India will emerge as the worlds fifth

    largest consumer economy

    Indian incomes will triple over the next two

    decades, significantly reducing povertyRising household incomes will be the keydriver of consumption growth not changes

    in savings

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    A large urban middle class will develop,but rural areas will benefit too

    Urban India will account for more than two-thirdsof Consumption growth over the next 20 years

    Middle class households will dominate urban

    IndiaLarge cities tend to have highest incomes, butsmall niche cities prospering too.

    Per-household consumption in rural India willreach today's urban levels by 2017

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    Indian Middle class defined

    Source: NCAER The Great Indian Middle Class; McKinsey Global Institute

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    Middle Class Consumer Markets

    Comparison with China

    Capacity to spend in middle class of Chinaand India widely differs.India's consumer driven economy is starklydifferent from China's capital-investment-

    dominated one.The differences go beyond the two countries'rising middle classes.Urban consumers in India will likely drive

    more global business than their Chinesecounterparts while India's rural developmentfar outpaces China's

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    Where is the real

    Indian middle class market ?

    The Indian urban growth story until nowhas been driven largely by metros

    This is now moving beyond metros intosmaller towns.

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    Classification of Cities and TownsSource: The Great Indian Middle Class, NCAER; McKinsey Global Institute

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    Changing patterns of middle classconsumer behavior Trendy lifestyles

    bulk buyingPositive attitude towards western trendsmuch more flexible and experimental in theirapproachesstylish Lifestylesexponential growth of western trend reachingthe Indian consumer by way of the media andIndians working abroad

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    Four Key segments

    Kids / Family

    Mass Niche

    Bread winners

    Home makers

    SEGMENTS

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    Values of Home maker middle

    class

    Want to feel moreproductive ( use

    my talents)

    Embrace Measuredmodernity ( e.g.Jeans + Kuta or

    Salwar )

    Embraceconvenience (slowly)

    Yearn intimatemoments with

    Husbands

    Family Provider(through efforts )-money still got by man

    Kids my world

    Value and Budgetconscious

    Some

    Changing Somesame

    S

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    Some unknowns for middle class( usually bread winners)

    Yet most+ve andhopeful

    of a greatfuture

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    CHANGING MIDDLE CLASS PARENTS

    Kids have anew

    relationshipwith theirparents

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/42366000/jpg/_42366294_india_ap416.jpg&imgrefurl=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/in_pictures/6191162.stm&h=300&w=416&sz=23&hl=en&start=16&tbnid=oOvGSCX1uMr6nM:&tbnh=90&tbnw=125&prev=/images%3Fq%3DIndian%2Bfamily%2Bwith%2Bkids%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Denhttp://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://www.ctsnet.org/images/WHFOnLocIndia0705Figure4.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.world-heart.org/doc/10764&h=575&w=883&sz=147&hl=en&start=11&tbnid=gOSRidCXoPhgAM:&tbnh=95&tbnw=146&prev=/images%3Fq%3DIndian%2Bfamily%2Bwith%2Bkids%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Den
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    The Niche mass

    I Want it Now!

    Time poor, cash rich

    Moving away from traditional values and focusing on

    image and brandingConvenience

    Looking for shopping short cuts are also looking forquick fixes for their looks.

    Attracted by modern retail environments

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    The future .

    Banking, electricity, telecommunications, water, white

    goods & beauty industry sectors would thrive and push

    the middle class into consumerism.

    Industries will see higher cost of doing business.

    The Urban middle class will always dwarf Urban

    Affluent consumers in spending power because of their

    sheer size.

    Health and Education will be key spending areas and

    will even take precedence over consumerism.

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    Trends

    Product will proliferate, consumer will complain of excesschoice although would love the excess choices.

    Consumers will enjoy income levels unmatched by that

    of previous generations. (esp in Metros and large towns)Widening income levels, migration (rural to urban) will

    create new opportunities.

    Most consumers will continue to embrace traditional andmodern values and will be eager for modern products

    with Indian tastes.