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MING LIU / TARO INOUE ARCH.751.001 NOV.26.2013

Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

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ARCH751 | Fall 2013 | University of Pennsylvania

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Page 1: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

MING LIU / TARO INOUE ARCH.751.001

NOV.26.2013

Page 2: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans
Page 3: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans
Page 4: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

5000

10000

15000

20000

1945

1948

1959

1995

2011

6062

| M

ikaw

a Ea

rthq

uake

+ M

akur

azak

i Typ

hoon

4897

| F

ukui

Ear

thqu

ake

5098

| I

sew

an T

ypho

on (

Vera

)

6482

| G

reat

Han

shin

Ear

thqu

ake

1913

7 |

Eart

hqua

ke +

Tsu

nam

i

Death Toll (1945-2011)

Page 5: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Tohoku/Sanriku Earthquakes

Page 6: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

869 貞観地震 Jogan Earthquake 8.3-8.6 30.0 1,000

742 1611 慶長三陸地震 Keicho Sanriku Earthquake 8.1-8.5 20.0 5,000

66 1677 延宝八戸沖地震 Eiho Hachinohe Earthquake 7.4-7.9 6.0 -

86 1763 宝暦八戸沖地震 Houreki Hachinohe Earthquake 7.4-7.9 5.0 -

30 1793 寛政地震 Kansei Earthquake 8.0-8.4 7.0 100

63 1856 安政八戸沖地震 Ansei Hachinohe Earthquake 7.5-7.7 7.0 38

40 1896 明治三陸地震 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake 7.2-8.6 38.2 21,959

1 1897 7.7 3.0 -

36 1933 昭和三陸地震 Showa Sanriku Earthquake 8.1-8.4 28.7 3,064

35 1968 十勝沖地震 Offshore Tokachi Earthquake 7.9 6.0 52

26 1994 三陸はるか沖地震 Offshore Sanriku Earthquake 7.6 0.6 3

17 2011 東北地方太平洋沖地震 Tohoku Earthquake and Tsunami 9.0 40.1 18,800

MagnitudeDead

+MissingMax. Tsunami

Height (m)Intervals

37

78

285

NameYear

Tsunami

1 / 133.3 yrsEarthquake

1 / 40 yrs

Page 7: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

where and how many should we build:

Page 8: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Kamaishi釜石市

Page 9: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

2013

2011

2009

2007

2005

2003

2001

1999

37,003people

17,098households

2011.3.11

Kamaishi

Page 10: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

Agriculture

Forestry

Fishery

Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Infrasctructure

IT

Transportation

Retail

Finance

Real Estate

Restaurants

Medical

Education

Integrated Services

Other Services

Government

Other

2005

2010

What Kamaishi People Do

Page 11: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

9.3 - 19.3 m

14:46

15:21

35 min

Page 12: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Death Toll Population % Dead Missing Victim % vs population

0-14 4004 10% 15 3 18 0.45%

15-64 21867 55% 269 68 337 1.54%

65+ 13716 35% 471 104 575 4.19%

Total 39587 100% 755 175 930 2.35%

Damage by# of housings

(originally)Totally Destroyed Mostly Destroyed Half Destroyed Partly Damaged Total

Earthquake 2 0 11 116 129

Tsunami 1003 180 108 92 1383

Total 1005 180 119 208 1512

3291

0 500 1000 1500# of Damaged Houses

92% by Tsunami

8% by Earthquake

Page 13: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

I do not want to return

I want to return but I cannot

I have already returned but I will leave

I want to return and stay there

I have already returned & will stay here

What are obstacles of your return?

Debris

Housing

53%

Loss ofship/sea port

33%

Contamination

20%

Road/BuildingInfrastructure

18%11%

Page 14: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

3building types

Wood House

4.31 Unit (3 people)38 square meter/unit

Emergy of each unit

x10 SeJ16

Emergency Pod / 7.5 kg

Page 15: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Wood House

4.31 Unit (3 people)38 square meter/unit

Emergy of each unit

x10 SeJ16

Emergency Pod / 7.5 kg

Page 16: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Escape Shelter Noah7.5kg (16.5 lbs)φ1200mm (3.9 ft)www.newcosmopower.com

Page 17: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Artifical Ground

19.320 Units (60 people)38-45 square meter/unit

Emergy of each unit

x10 SeJ16

Artifical Ground

Page 18: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Hillside Housing

20.416 Units (48 people)38 square meter/unit

Emergy of each unit

x10 SeJ16

Parking

Page 19: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Hillside Housing

20.416 Units (48 people)38 square meter/unit

Emergy of each unit

x10 SeJ16

Parking

Tohoku

Community/Neighbourhood

Wood House + Escape Pod

Artificial Ground + Multi-Housing

Hillside Multi-Housing

Trans-portationFactory

Factory

Recovery

Fuels Minerals Goods Services

Fuels Minerals Goods Services WorldEconomy

JapaneseEconomy

LaborServices

LaborServices

Waste

Ecosystem

Waste

Sun

Wind

Elec(No Nuke) WaterGas

Rain

OutputWaste

BioMass

MegaSolar

WindTurbine

WaterMill

Elec(No Nuke)

Page 20: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

3scenarios

Page 21: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Scenario 1

6.5Rebuild 1512 Damaged Houses

Emergy Required

x10 SeJ19

Next Time

Page 22: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Scenario 2

29.4Rebuild 64 Artificial Grounds+15 Hillside Housings

Emergy Required

x10 SeJ19

HillsideHousing

Artifical Ground

Page 23: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

Scenario 3

10.2Rebuild 1268 Damaged Houses+EmergencyPods+15 Hillside Housings

Emergy Required

x10 SeJ19

EmergencyPod

Page 24: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

2x10 SeJ19

2011 2061 2111 22112161

4x10 SeJ19

6x10 SeJ19

8x10 SeJ19

10x10 SeJ19

12x10 SeJ19

14x10 SeJ19

16x10 SeJ19

5.4x10 SeJ19

29.4x10 SeJ19

Tsunami

MaintenanceScenario 1

Tsunami

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Page 25: Tsunami Reconstruction Plans

2x10 SeJ19

2011 2061 2111 22112161

4x10 SeJ19

6x10 SeJ19

8x10 SeJ19

10x10 SeJ19

12x10 SeJ19

14x10 SeJ19

16x10 SeJ19

5.4x10 SeJ19

29.4x10 SeJ19

Tsunami

MaintenanceScenario 1

Tsunami

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Ise Jingu Grand ShrineVicennial Reconstructionsince 690AD