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Telehealth User Adoption: Blackholes and Bullseyes Douglas Shinsato Anthill Ventures, Pte. Ltd. December 4, 2016

Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

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Page 1: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Telehealth User Adoption:

Blackholes and BullseyesDouglas Shinsato

Anthill Ventures, Pte. Ltd.December 4, 2016

Page 2: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Telehealth Adoption

Feb 1925 Cover of Science and Invention

Page 3: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug Adams

Page 4: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug Adams10th Anniversary MIT Media Labs

• "For years, people would come up and ask me, ‘What is the effect of the coming of computers going to have on my business?’”

Page 5: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug Adams10th Anniversary MIT Media Labs

• "The answer is, it's the wrong question.

Page 6: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Medical Science—Only as Good as Properly Applied to Patients Who Need It

Page 7: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Medical Science—Only as Good as Properly Applied to Patients Who Need It

• Telehealth—21st Century Information and Telecommunications Technologies

Page 8: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Medical Science—Only as Good as Properly Applied to Patients Who Need It

• Telehealth—21st Century Information and Telecommunications Technologies

• ICT Can Redistribute Health Care Knowledge and Expertise Where and When Needed

Page 9: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Healthcare Expenditures and GDP

• UK 10%• Germany 10%• Japan 10%• USA 17%

Page 10: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Sources of Failure and

Lessons Learned

Page 11: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #1

Define the User

Page 12: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Islands of Healthcare-- Who Is the User?

Page 13: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #2

Success and PrideCome Before the

Fall

Page 14: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Kodak

DEC

Page 15: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #3

Many Are Called, Few Are Chosen

Page 16: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Correct Direction, Wrong Turn

• Good vs. Bad Ideas

Page 17: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Correct Direction, Wrong Turn

• Good vs. Bad Ideas• Wrong Path to Success• Wrong Resource Allocation• Wrong Management Team

Page 18: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #4

Correct Destination, Really Wrong Turn

Page 19: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lying, Cheating and Putting Lives at Risk—Do Not Work

Page 20: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #5

Timing is Everything …Everything

Page 21: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Timing is Everything

• Bad--Too Much Investment, Too Early• Bad--Too Little Investment, Too Late• Good--Just Enough at Just the Right Time

Page 22: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lesson #6 Transform the Business Model

Page 23: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Physician Shortage

Page 24: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Physician Shortage• Distribution of

Expertise

Page 25: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Physician Shortage• Distribution of

Expertise• Aging Population

Page 26: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Physician Shortage• Distribution of

Expertise• Aging Population• Cost Savings

Page 27: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Why Telehealth?

• Physician Shortage• Distribution of

Expertise• Aging Population• Cost Savings• Patients Like It

Page 28: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Transform Business Model

Telehealth Objectives

Page 29: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Transform Business ModelChange Patient Behavior

Telehealth Objectives

Page 30: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Transform Business ModelChange Patient BehaviorFocus on Health vs. Illness

Telehealth Objectives

Page 31: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Transform Business ModelChange Patient BehaviorFocus on Health vs. IllnessLower Cost of Chronic Disease

Telehealth Objectives

Page 32: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Transform Business ModelChange Patient BehaviorFocus on Health vs. IllnessLower Cost of Chronic DiseaseImprove Patient Satisfaction

Telehealth Objectives

Page 33: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Focus Is on Patient Care

• Mobile Health (mHealth)• Patient Education• Remote Patient Monitoring• Outsource Specialty Services

Telehealth and Patient Care

Page 34: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People

Page 35: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People• 70% of Population Live in Villages

Page 36: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People• 70% of Population Live in Villages• 30% Live in Cities and Towns

Page 37: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People• 70% of Population Live in Villages• 30% Live in Cities and Towns• 90% of Secondary and Tertiary Care Facilities

in Cities and Towns

Page 38: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People• 70% of Population Live in Villages• 90% of Secondary and Tertiary Care Facilities

in Cities and Towns• Inadequate Medical Facilities in Villages

Page 39: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from India

• 1.3 Billion People• 70% of Population Live in Villages• 90% of Secondary and Tertiary Care Facilities

in Cities and Towns• Inadequate Medical Facilities in Villages• Acute Shortage of Specialist Doctors in Towns

and Villages—75% of Specialists Live in 6 Cities

Page 40: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from IndiaPath to Success

• Currently 980+ Million Unique Identity Numbers Issued

Page 41: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from IndiaBlackhole or Bullseye?

• Currently 980+ Million Unique Identity Numbers Issued

• Telehealth Startups Launched B2C– To Patients– To Retailers

Page 42: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Lessons from IndiaBlackhole or Bullseye?

• Currently 980+ Million Unique Identity Numbers Issued

• Telehealth Startups Launched B2C– To Patients– To Retailers

• Telehealth Startups Launched B2B– To Hospitals– To Medical Doctors– To Insurance Companies

Page 43: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Artificial IntelligenceAccelerator or Blockage?

• Significant Reduction of Time to Diagnose

• Access to Global Expert Database

• Reduce Volume of Counterfeit Drugs

Page 44: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Marvin Minsky

Page 45: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

Barriers and Challenges

Page 46: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

• Insurance/Reimbursement System

Barriers and Challenges

Page 47: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

• Insurance/Reimbursement System

• Legal and Privacy Issues

Barriers and Challenges

Page 48: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

• Insurance/Reimbursement System

• Legal and Privacy Issues• Inertia of “Stable System”

Barriers and Challenges

Page 49: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

• Insurance/Reimbursement System

• Legal and Privacy Issues• Inertia of “Stable System” • Device Interoperability

Barriers and Challenges

Page 50: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

• Healthcare Industry is Late Adopter

• Insurance/Reimbursement System

• Legal and Privacy Issues• Inertia of “Stable System” • Device Interoperability• Generational Attitude

Barriers and Challenges

Page 51: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug OsheroffNobel Physics Laureate 1996

Page 52: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug OsheroffNobel Laureate Physics 1996

• Use the Best Technologies Available

Page 53: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug OsheroffNobel Laureate Physics 1996

• Use the Best Technologies Available• Don’t Reinvent—Borrow What You Can

Page 54: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug OsheroffNobel Laureate Physics 1996

• Use the Best Technologies Available• Don’t Reinvent—Borrow What You Can• Failure Might Be an Invitation to Try

Something New

Page 55: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Doug OsheroffNobel Laureate Physics 1996

• Use the Best Technologies Available• Don’t Reinvent—Borrow What You Can• Failure Might Be an Invitation to Try

Something New• Be Aware of Subtle Unexplained Behavior

Page 56: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Blackholes and Bullseyes

• What Lessons Are the Most Important?

Page 57: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Blackholes and Bullseyes

• What Lessons Are the Most Important?

• All of Them—The Key Being That Timing is Everything

Page 58: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Blackholes and Bullseyes

• What Lessons Are the Most Important?

• All of Them—The Key Being That Timing is Everything

• And the Time is NOW!

Page 59: Telehealth user adoption: Blackholes & bullseyes - Douglas Shinsato, Anthill Ventures - TFSS Keynote

Telehealth: The Future of Starts Today