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A UPS white paper developed in cooperation with the Economist Intelligence Unit Supply Chain Resilience: How are Global Businesses Doing?

Supply Chain Resilience

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Page 1: Supply Chain Resilience

A UPS white paper developed in cooperationwith the Economist Intelligence Unit

Supply Chain Resilience: How are Global Businesses Doing?

Page 2: Supply Chain Resilience

Preface ................................................................3

Foreword .............................................................4

Executive Summary .............................................5

Research Report ..................................................7

Introduction ....................................................... 7

An issue in need of attention ............................ 7

Current resilience strategies ............................ 11

Sustainability ................................................... 14

Resilience in action ......................................... 15

Conclusion ....................................................... 17

Is the C-Suite whistling in the dark? ..................18

IDS Group provides a global

perspective from Asia ........................................19

Appendix A: Survey Results ...............................20

Appendix B: Advisory Board Participants ...........30

Appendix C: Qualitative Interviews ....................31

Table of Contents

Page 3: Supply Chain Resilience

PrefaceSupply Chain Resilience: How are Global Businesses

Doing? is a UPS report developed in cooperation with

the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). The findings and

views expressed in this report are drawn from three

research initiatives: an advisory board meeting, a global

online survey, and individual interviews.

On Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008, the EIU organized an

advisory board meeting in London consisting of senior

executives with supply chain expertise. The discussion

formed the basis for an online survey used to gauge

supply chain resilience among global businesses.

The quantitative findings presented in this report are

based on the global online survey of 344 senior execu-

tives – over half C-level and above – conducted by the

EIU in June, 2008. The survey asked respondents about

the key evolving risks in a global supply environment,

and the strategies for resilience in the face of them.

To supplement the quantitative survey results, the EIU

also conducted individual interviews with senior execu-

tives and experts in supply chain management.

The report was written in cooperation with the Econo-

mist Intelligence Unit: Kim Andreasson was the editor

and project manager and Dr. Paul Kielstra was the writer.

Our thanks are due to all advisory board participants,

survey respondents, and interviewees for their time

and insights.

3

Page 4: Supply Chain Resilience

4

Today’s complex global supply chains are at the heart

of business strategy, driving bottom-line and top-line

growth, and creating competitive differentiation for

companies. But they are also fraught with risks, in-

cluding product quality concerns, competitive issues,

supplier continuity, natural disasters and rising energy

costs, to name just a few. Across industries, businesses

are vulnerable to supply chain disruptions that can move

a company from leader to laggard in a relatively short

period of time. The companies that will succeed in the

global economy are those that develop successful risk

mitigation strategies, and who use resilience as a com-

petitive advantage.

To help understand how companies are managing

their global supply chains in this environment, UPS, in

cooperation with the Economist Intelligence Unit, has

completed a research program that culminates in the

following white paper, entitled “Supply Chain Resilience:

How are Global Businesses Doing?” As the research

indicates, companies differ in their assessment of supply

chain risks and management of resilience strategies.

Although many companies are taking sensible precau-

tions, there is still much work to be done to ensure that

risk is addressed and competitive advantage maintained.

I trust this document will provide compelling insight into

this important issue.

Dan Brutto

President, International

UPS

Foreword

Page 5: Supply Chain Resilience

5

Global supply chains are the norm for today’s

businesses, both large and small. They allow compa-

nies to source flexibly from a vast network of suppliers.

Their scope and complexity, though, often make them

brittle, increasing the odds that a glitch will cascade

through the network – with dire results for a company’s

finances, stock price, or brand equity. For example, it

took years for the market share of companies like Apple

and Adidas to recover from supply chain problems.

More striking, in the 1990s, such issues pushed US

drug distributor Foxmeyer, a company with $5 billion in

annual sales, into bankruptcy. Building a resilient supply

chain is critical to corporate success.

This UPS report, written in cooperation with the Econo-

mist Intelligence Unit, seeks to go beyond a collection

of anecdotes in assessing the progress of companies in

developing more resilient supply chains and examining

the state of best practices. It is based on the quantitative

findings from a global online survey of 344 senior execu-

tives – over half C-level and above – as well as in-depth

interviews with business leaders and other experts in the

field. Key findings include:

• Rising risks to supply chain resilience are too often

ignored in the rush of day to day business, and

companies know it. Professor Yossi Sheffi, Director of

the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Center for

Transportation and Logistics, says that today’s supply

chains “are more vulnerable. From a company point

of view, this is disconcerting.” In the survey, 47% of

companies say they need to pay more attention to

resilience – against 16% who disagree – and 42%

think that they have globalized their supply chains

faster than risk management can keep up.

• Insufficient monitoring, risk assessment, and

contingency planning are leaving companies

ill-prepared when crises hit. One in 10

companies do not monitor suppliers for

anything. About half of the rest look only at

immediate – so-called Tier 1 – suppliers. The

quality of such assessments varies, some-

times not rising above cursory box checking.

Among the 45% of companies where the

respondents knew the answer, formal risk

assessment takes place only annually or less

frequently. Just half of companies seek to learn from

their own supply chain breakdowns, while a minority

uses other means to improve resilience. Given that an

understanding of the dynamics of the supply chain is

absolutely critical for resilience, this leaves too many

firms open to unanticipated dangers.

• A significant minority of businesses are falling back

on increased inventory to address resilience prob-

lems, an expensive and ineffective approach. Four

in 10 respondents expect their firms to hold addi-

Executive Summary

“Having quick information, and understanding the dynamics of the supply chain is absolutely critical for resilience.”

Page 6: Supply Chain Resilience

6

tional safety stock, ie to increase resilience through

higher inventory levels. And 38% plan to raise in-

ventory even more in the coming years. Sometimes

such increases may be needed to address specific

issues. However, using excess inventory to address

bigger resilience issues is an “expensive and lazy”

approach, says Rolls-Royce EVP of Supply Chain

Development, Steve Churchhouse.

• Relationship building, multi-sourcing, and near-

sourcing to enhance resilience are likely to be-

come part of best practice in the future. Most firms

value good supplier relationships as a way of guar-

anteeing access to high-quality supplies. They are

not looking for exclusive ties but for solid links with

a variety of firms. Choosing partners from a range

of countries to mitigate geopolitical risk, as well as

to ensure that short lead times are available from

some suppliers, are sensible ways to maximize the

benefits of the current wisdom. “Don’t put all your

eggs in one basket, and definitely not in a basket on

the other side of the world,” says Mr. Churchhouse.

• Sustainability is not just a trendy PR requirement:

social and environmental risks to a resilient supply

chain are significant, but receive too little atten-

tion. Some 46% of firms admit they need to do more

to integrate sustainability into their supply chains,

and environmental and social issues are currently

the least-embraced area of supply chain monitoring.

Professor Sheffi warns that “there are all kinds of

ways to get burned by not paying attention and step-

ping on emerging social norms.” Addressing these

issues need not mean simply spending more defen-

sively. With creative thinking, according to

Dr. Gopal Iyengar, Director of the Kirloskar

Insititute of Advanced Management Studies,

near Bangalore, India, the “supply chain can

shift a risk into an opportunity.”

• Low-cost countries are not magic lands

of plenty: sourcing from them without at-

tention to supply chain resilience leads to

potentially expensive failure. Ten percent of those

surveyed intend to reduce sourcing from low-cost

countries (although far more intend to increase it).

In fact, roughly half of all survey respondents said

low-cost sourcing had posed significant problems,

such as the quality received from such suppliers and

even their ability to deliver goods as promised.

• The keys to successful sourcing from low-cost

countries are like those of supply chain resilience

in general: understand the issues, structure the

supply chain appropriately, monitor performance

and work with suppliers to improve operations.

As Doug Gurr, ASDA’s Executive Director, Strategy

and Logistics, advises, “some of the best manufac-

turing in the world is in low-cost countries at the

moment... The way to do it is to get on the airplane

and have people out there.”

“With creative thinking, the supply chain can shift a risk into an opportunity.”

Page 7: Supply Chain Resilience

7

Introduction

We live in a global marketplace. It is not news, but it

is critical for understanding how businesses are meet-

ing – or failing to meet – the challenges of supply chain

resilience. To give just one example, only about a third

of companies overall, and just a quarter of large ones

– those with annual revenues of $5 billion or more –

source primarily from domestic markets. If anything, this

trend is accelerating: 48% of survey respondents expect

to increase the level of least-cost country sourcing in

the next five years. Moreover, 35% expect to increase

purchasing from China alone, and 29% from India.

What was once a strategic choice is now a necessity.

“You’ve got to be over there [in Asia],” says Peter Con-

nelly, CPO of Leggett & Platt, a diversified manufacturer

and Fortune 500 company headquartered in Missouri,

referring to the company’s sourcing strategy. He adds that

in certain developing countries “it’s tough to do busi-

ness, but in some cases it is getting to be one of the only

games in town.” Indeed, a global supply chain is impos-

sible to avoid, even if a company wants to source do-

mestically. One interviewee noted that quality concerns

had made his colleagues reluctant to purchase from a

particular Chinese firm, only to find that their current

supplier was selling them goods manufactured by that

very company. “Whether or not we are doing developing

world sourcing, our suppliers are,” says the executive.

Companies compete fiercely in finding the best sourcing

solutions. Four in ten respondents list competition as a

leading supply chain risk they face, and 58% complained

that it is somewhat or very difficult to find high-quality

suppliers. To some extent this has always been the case;

the difference today is the scale of the competition. A

more complex issue – and one that many firms admit

they are not paying sufficient attention to – is resilience.

An issue in need of attention

Long lines of trucks at the Canada-US border after 9-11;

the specter of fuel shortages after Hurricane Katrina

destroyed a substantial portion of America’s refining

capacity; the triumph of Nokia over Ericsson when the

former responded with greater agility to a fire at

a mutual supplier’s New Mexico facility; pets and

livestock dying from melanin-tainted food across

North America in 2007: these are the oft-repeated

cautionary tales of how the unexpected can de-

bilitate a supply chain. Although only the biggest

stories make the news, such challenges are a part

of normal business. As Steve Churchhouse, EVP

Supply Chain Development at power systems provider

Rolls-Royce, explains “we’ve experienced a number of

significant challenges because of acts of God, fires, and

earthquakes. When you have several hundred suppliers

across the world, occasionally a facility burns down or is

flooded.” As the earlier examples also show, terrorism,

Research Report

“It is hard to compete when you don’t run lean, but you open yourself up to expensive risks in the long run.”

Page 8: Supply Chain Resilience

8

natural disaster, accident, and fraud can hit a nation like

the United States as much as low-cost countries with

notoriously creaky infrastructure.

In the face of such well-known dangers, however, many

businesses worry that they are not doing enough:

• 47%ofsurveyrespondentsbelievethattheyneed

to pay more attention to resilience (versus just 16%

who say they pay an adequate amount of attention);

•42%ofcompaniessaythattheyhaveglobalized

their supply chains faster than risk management can

keep up, against 27% who disagree; and,

• only38%considertheirsupplychainresilience

above average, the aspect of supply chain man-

agement which scored the second-lowest result to

the question.

Professor Yossi Sheffi, Director of the Massachusetts

Institute of Technology Center for Transportation and

Logistics, explains that companies “are getting more

vulnerable. Less inventory, tighter and leaner supply

chains, by nature are more vulnerable. From a com-

pany point of view, this is disconcerting. It is hard to

compete when you don’t run lean, but you open your-

self up to expensive risks in the long run.”

The challenges vary by company, but can be divided

into two types. First are the known risks, on which

many companies focus. When asked for their three

leading supply chain risks, respondents’ top replies

included traditional items such as energy costs (cited

by 53%), competition (40%) and supplier disruption

(36%). Second are the more difficult to quantify risks,

that arise from operating on a global level. The leading

concerns of over a quarter of companies include either

geopolitical instability or terrorism, and over one in eight

mentions natural disasters.

But companies appear to be spending too little time in

assessing what problems might arise. About one in ten

companies do no monitoring at all, and 42% look only

at their own immediate suppliers. A mere 20% try to

keep watch on their entire supply chain. Moreover, this

n 1 Strongly agree n 2 n 3 n 4 n 5 Strongly disagree n Don’t know

0 20 40 60 80 100

My company supply chain has globalized faster than our risk management structures have been able to adapt to the U.S. economic slowdown

My company needs to do more to integrate social and environmental considerations into our supply chain

One of my company’s big sustainability challenges is from activists and consumers who do not actually understand the sustainability impact of what they are demanding

My company is re-assessing its sourcing based on geographic location rather than what is cheapest

My company needs to pay more attention to supply chain resilience

13%

14%

9%

13%

6%

29%

32%

20%

34%

25%

26%

25%

25%

31%

27%

16%

20%

22%

12%

24%

11%

7%

19%

4%

14%

5%

1%

5%

5%

4%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements as they relate to your company?

Page 9: Supply Chain Resilience

9

monitoring tends to focus on product quality – an

important issue – but not resilience: only 35%

of companies place the latter in the two leading

fields which they examine. Finally, monitoring

programs are most often governed at the national

or at best regional levels (37% and 29% of com-

panies respectively) rather than globally (32%),

which makes it more difficult for them to feed into

a comprehensive understanding of global resil-

ience issues.

Worse still, the limited activity that does occur can

be spotty. According to Professor Sheffi, the quality

“varies significantly. If there is something on the

checklist, somebody will check it and say we do

a once-a-year audit. This is the main difference between

companies: those that monitor to check off a box and

those where it is ingrained in the culture.” He adds that

cursory checks are not enough: “the trick is to interview

your suppliers.”

Mr. Connelly of Leggett & Platt agrees on the impor-

tance of going in person – his company visits its largest

suppliers – but there are limits: “if you send somebody

to every supplier, you can’t afford it.” Professor Sheffi

also notes that beyond second tier suppliers, “companies

have no leverage. It gets very dispersed and diffused.

In many cases there is no data; companies don’t know.”

Dr. Gopal Iyengar, Director of the Kirloskar Insititute of

Advanced Management Studies, adds that suppliers can

be stifled by excessive monitoring from too many com-

panies as well. To overcome the difficulties, and maxi-

mize the benefits of expending resources in this field,

he suggests that, rather than focusing mechanistically

on particular supply chain levels, “one needs to look

at which points add real value. It doesn’t matter which

tier.” Monitoring at these key points will give companies

in-depth knowledge in the most crucial areas of the sup-

ply chain.

The information gleaned from monitoring should be

fed into processes to promote a stronger supply chain.

This is not always the case. “A better understanding of

risk assessment strategies is a starting point in dealing

with resilience and globalization,” says Dr. Iyengar. But,

he continues, “quite often supply chains do not have a

strong framework for this.” The survey supports his view.

Of respondents who knew the answer, just under a third

n Monitor immediate (Tier 1) suppliers only (rely on them to monitor their suppliers)

n Monitor immediate (Tier 1) suppliers and their immediate suppliers

n Monitor the entire supply chain

n Do not monitor

n Don’t know

42%

20%

20%

9%

9%

How closely does your company monitor its suppliers?

Page 10: Supply Chain Resilience

10

engage in formal supply chain risk management exercis-

es only once a year and about 10% never bother at all.

The situation is unlikely to improve: just 9% list improve-

ment of risk mitigation practices as their leading supply

chain priority over the next five years, the least popular

choice to the question.

Even with the best intelligence, things will go wrong.

And again too few companies are actively preparing

for the worst. Only 51% benchmark their own supply

chain breakdowns for lessons learned and a mere 29%

seek to gain knowledge from the mistakes of others,

both obvious things to do and relatively inexpensive as

the costly mistakes being studied have already oc-

curred. Going further, just 20% do crisis simulations.

The interviews suggest that these tend to occur in

industries with a tradition of holding such exercises

for other reasons, such as safety. And executives differ

on their utility. On the one hand, Mr. Churchhouse

at Rolls-Royce, which uses them extensively, says

“How do you value business continuity? If you want

the highest level, you need to run live exercises.” He

acknowledges that “they are very difficult and time

consuming. It costs real money,” but adds that it is “all

very well to have a plan written down, but you need

to do a drill [to know if it will work].”

On the other hand, Doug Gurr, Executive Director,

Strategy and Logistics at the retailer ASDA, says that his

company’s sophisticated crisis management structure

does extensive planning but few simulations because

“there seems a world of difference between what you

can simulate and what goes wrong.” For him, the key

is having in place “people who’ve been there and done

that. Planning is great, but when you do have a problem,

your ability to manage your way out is 90% down to the

ability of the people on the ground to deal with it.”

In either case, although disagreeing on the means, the

goal is to have tested people and processes available in

a crisis. This takes conscious effort. Only a minority of

companies are working toward this goal.

Internal benchmarking of supply chain breakdowns and lessons learned

Hold additional safety stock

Do joint planning with channel partners on such a situation

External benchmarking of supply chain breakdowns and lessons learned

Conduct crisis simulation exercises

Collaborate with local governments on contingency planning

Collaborate with competitor firms

Other

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

51%

40%

31%

29%

20%

16%

4%

16%

Which of the following steps is your company taking to improve its supply chain resilience to potential crisis? Select all that apply.

Page 11: Supply Chain Resilience

11

Current resilience strategies

Companies know that they are not doing enough on sup-

ply chain resilience. They are not, however, ignoring the

issue completely, but some of the techniques they are

using are problematic.

Inventory: In the future, 40% of companies expect

to hold additional inventory – so-called safety

stock – to increase their supply chain resilience.

And 38% intend to increase inventory levels more

broadly. In very specific circumstances, this may

be important to resilience. “If it is a critical item

that only one supplier makes, the only solution

is to have plenty of inventory around,” notes Mr.

Connelly. According to Mr. Churchhouse, holding an

appropriate level of extra supplies at the right level

in the supply chain to mitigate against a “likely

disturbance” is sound strategy.

In general, however, the effectiveness of increasing

supplies is limited. The economics driving inven-

tory reductions have not changed. Professor Sheffi says

that “holding more inventory is good for small disrup-

tions. When you talk about resilience, it is not these

fluctuations: it is ‘how am I going to bounce back from

the things that can endanger my company’s survival?’

A little more inventory doesn’t cover this.” Mr. Gurr

agrees: inventory is expensive, and although “it feels

comfortable, it just doesn’t work” in enhancing reliabil-

ity. Mr. Churchhouse goes even further: using excess

inventory to address bigger resilience issues is simply

“an expensive and lazy approach.”

Relationship building: About 56% of respondents place

a high importance on building lasting, solid relationships

as the best way to maintain the quality of their supply

chains, and a further 38% think it is moderately impor-

tant. In the Asia-Pacific region, where a larger number

of developing economies have sometimes unpredictable

legal environments, the equivalent figures are 66%

and 34%.

This may seem at odds with the image of companies

constantly seeking the best deals worldwide, but it

makes sound business sense. Indeed, in some cases,

trustworthy relationships are not just desirable but

critical. In Mr. Connelly’s experience, for certain com-

modities, if a company “shops price, you can’t get the

n Increase greatly

n Increase slightly

n Stay roughly the same

n Decrease

n Don’t know

27%

40%

18%

11%5%

Over the next five years, how do you expect your company’s inventory levels to change?

Page 12: Supply Chain Resilience

12

product. We’ve had barges in the port with our name on

them and never got the steel.”

This emphasis should not be misconstrued. Companies

do not want to get married so much as to have a lot of

very good friends. Six in ten firms expect their pool of

high-quality suppliers to grow in the next five years: only

12% foresee a decrease. Mr. Connelly says

that Leggett & Platt, although reducing the

total number of suppliers overall for other

strategic reasons, still aims to have three for

each important input, rewarding the best

value producer with the lion’s share of pur-

chases. For him, the key to making this work

well is transparency with all involved, which

fosters competition.

Professor Sheffi goes further. He notes that,

while analysts tend now to “exalt” the just-

in-time, lean supply chains often associated

with Toyota, they forget that these require a

very specific cultural environment to work.

“Having a single supplier without mutual

respect and trust is dangerous.”

Relationships do have costs, but companies believe that

the benefits outweigh them. Mr. Churchhouse notes that

Rolls-Royce has “moved quite determinedly in the direc-

tion of dual sourcing for critical components” in order

to increase resilience, sacrificing some of the potential

leverage of having a single source. Mr. Gurr points to

ASDA’s Lamb Link program. It pays farmers extra to raise

animals to the company’s specifications which “makes a

massive difference to production costs and quality. It is

worth our while to pay a premium.” For reliability and

resilience in this type of sourcing, “the thing we have

found key is getting people tied into a long term rela-

tionship,” Mr. Gurr says.

Multi-sourcing, near-sourcing and supply chain

structure: In enhancing resilience it is not only the

number of suppliers that matters, but also their locations.

Half of survey respondents expect to engage more in

multi-sourcing – consciously purchasing from suppliers

in multiple geographies. Although slightly less popu-

lar, near-sourcing (purchasing inputs from companies

closer to the final consumer) will also grow: 35% plan

to deploy it more, against just 16% who will do it less.

Over the next five years, how do you expect your potential pool of high-quality manufacturing suppliers to change?

n Increase greatly

n Increase somewhat

n Neither increase nor decrease

n Decrease somewhat

Decrease greatly 0%

51%

10%

26%

12%

Page 13: Supply Chain Resilience

13

More broadly, 31% of companies are reas-

sessing their sourcing based on geography

rather than pure cost, a figure which rises

to 45% in North America.

Although conceptually different, both

strategies can help answer the same

question: how to maximize the benefits

of having a good relationship with several

suppliers. If dual sourcing makes sound

business sense, then having suppliers from

different parts of the world to reduce geo-

political or environmental risk makes even

more sense. Mr. Connelly, for example,

says that although Leggett & Platt is

increasing its presence in China – for both

sourcing and sales considerations – it is also looking to

Vietnam and Indonesia “as a backup to China, partly to

balance risk.” Similarly, Mr. Churchhouse advises, “don’t

put all your eggs in one basket, and definitely not in a

basket on the other side of the world.” Mr. Gurr, mean-

while, sees near-sourcing as a way to overcome the

problem of lead time with global sourcing. For example,

while a European firm could get its supplies of certain

goods from India or China, it could also be useful to have

a secondary supplier in Eastern Europe in order to be

able to respond quickly to consumer demand, such as

for fashion or Christmas season toys.

Such thinking can be part of a broader approach to sup-

ply chain resilience which turns it into an asset rather

than a partial liability. According to Mr. Churchhouse,

Rolls-Royce’s efforts in this area have involved “looking

across all of our processes, internal and external, in order

to make them more capable.” ASDA has built the major-

ity of its warehousing as identical, cookie cutter mirror

sites that can take over for other locations that go down.

Mr. Gurr says it is difficult to afford “redundant infrastruc-

ture, but you can build the supply chain in a way that

you can use other parts if some fail, and so that there are

people to call on if you have to scramble.”

Over the next five years, how will your company’s supply chain strategy change in the following areas?

n 1 Increase greatly

n 2

n 3

n 4

n 5 Decrease greatly

n Don’t know

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Least-cost country sourcing

Near sourcing

Multi-sourcing strategy

In-house manufacturing

13%

5%

7%

12%

35%

14%

28%

38%

34%

30%

42%

32%

9%

23%

1%

16%

8%

8%

7%

3%

13%

7%

1%

11%

Page 14: Supply Chain Resilience

14

Sustainability

Although building a range of strong relationships and

purchasing from a variety of sources bolsters continuity,

it does not fully address the underlying (and often poorly

monitored) risks of global sourcing. A case in point is

how firms are dealing with the issue of sustainability in

their supply chains.

Regulators, consumers, and investors are increasingly

demanding that corporate activity yield positive environ-

mental and social outcomes as well as

financial profits. Firms are only begin-

ning to address supply chains in this

context. Environmental impact and em-

ployment conditions, for example, are

the two least closely monitored areas,

cited as leading concerns by only 9%

and 6% of survey respondents respec-

tively. And businesses realize that they

are not doing enough in this regard:

46% believe they must do more to

integrate sustainability into the supply

chain, against just 27% who disagree.

Moreover, long-term sustainability is,

after cost, the area where most compa-

nies expect their chains to focus in the

next five years (cited by 19% of respondents). Asia-

Pacific and North America firms are even more likely to

do so (23% and 22%) than European ones (16%). The

latter have the reputation of being more advanced on

sustainability, so the others may be playing catch-up.

Enhancing sustainability, however, will require the kind

of attention to and monitoring of both suppliers and

global conditions that many companies are failing to do.

Inattention can damage reputations. ASDA’s Mr. Gurr

considers the need to engage in ethical sourcing one

of key new global supply chain challenges. If you do

not know what is happening among suppliers, “you can

get caught out.” Similarly, Professor Sheffi notes that

“there are all kinds of ways to get burned by not paying

attention and stepping on emerging social norms. For

example, you don’t want your suppliers’ supplier to use

sweat shops.” Globalization creates a double-edged

problem: the growth in the number of businesses world-

wide makes it harder to monitor the entire supply chain,

but modern communication technology also makes any

Over the next five years, which will be the key focus for your company’s supply chain?

n Cost containment/reduction

n Long-term sustainability (economic, social, environmental)

n Process innovation

n Technology innovation

n Inventory optimization

n Improving risk mitigation practices

28%

19%

9%

18%

10%

16%

Page 15: Supply Chain Resilience

15

environmental or social derogations by suppliers likely to

be broadcast widely.

Sustainability goes beyond reputational damage: an en-

vironmental or social disaster can wreak havoc with how

a company operates. When the Grand Banks fisheries off

North America collapsed, for example, Highliner Foods,

the Canadian fish processor and marketer, had to sell its

own fleet and buy catches from other sources.

Sustainability represents an opportunity for supply

chains, not just another complication. Dr. Iyengar notes

that it will not help if you apply environmental and so-

cial criteria in a way that is merely “legalistic.” He cites

Wal-Mart as an example of a company that is strength-

ening its resilience by insisting that its suppliers use

recyclable materials. In this way the company’s “sup-

ply chain can shift a risk into an opportunity” to attract

environmentally conscious consumers. Reaping these

benefits once again requires thinking through the issues.

Resilience in action: low-cost country sourcing

Supply chains are not only globalizing but they have

also been heading for suppliers in least-cost countries.

Although this trend will continue, a small but significant

percentage of companies are turning away from the

strategy. Some 10% of the entire survey group are set

to decrease their use of least-cost country sourcing – a

number which would increase if those who have not yet

adopted the practice are taken from the total.

For China in particular, 11% of all respondents, or 15%

of those who currently source there, expect to decrease

purchasing from the country, or even stop altogether. This

is on top of 8% of all respondents indicating that they

already had done so. China is not alone: 6% have signifi-

cantly reduced sourcing from India. Yet, far more plan to

increase buying in these markets – 30% expect China to

be among the top three countries seeing the biggest in-

crease in sourcing for their company, and 29% think the

same of India – but they do indicate that supply chain

success has not been universal in low-cost countries.

The reason is the perennial tension between cost and

quality which has always dictated much of supply chain

strategy, and which led to least-cost country sourcing in

the first place. On the one hand, when selecting a new

If your company sources products from China, what are your plans for the next five years?

n Increase sourcing from China

n Keep sourcing levels from China about the same

n Decrease sourcing from China

n Stop sourcing from China altogether

n My company does not source from China

33%

26%

10%

29%

1%

Page 16: Supply Chain Resilience

16

supplier, 61% of survey respondents consider quality a

leading factor, and 31% call it significant. The equivalent

figures for cost, 42% and 38% respectively, indicate less

emphasis. On the other hand, when asked about the

primary supply chain focus for the next five years, cost

reduction was the leading answer (given by 28%), and

inventory optimization – often a specific way to reduce

spending – was cited by a further 10%.

The draw of low-cost country sourcing is that it can

square this circle. Mr. Gurr says that “some of the best

manufacturing in the world is in low-cost countries at

the moment. If you put in the effort, you can find higher

quality for some products than nearer to home.”

But some firms have had mixed success in finding these

high-quality producers. According to the survey, qual-

ity issues have been a significant challenge for 52% of

companies in low-cost countries, making it the lead-

ing challenge. Dr. Iyengar notes that, for these places,

“one of the reasons for companies withdrawing is that a

resilient supply chain needs to be able to respond with

consistent output. If you look exclusively to low-cost

country sourcing, consistency of quality is a problem.”

Not far behind in the survey was another crucial ele-

ment of resilience: the ability of suppliers even to deliver

what they promise (cited by 47%). Length of travel time

(34%) is an almost inevitable issue for global sourc-

ing, but rule of law considerations such as difficulties

with contract enforcement and intellectual property

rights (IPR) protection also affect more than three in ten

respondents. For firms that said they were reducing ac-

tivities in China, IPR concerns were an issue, along with

corruption. The challenges of low-cost country sourcing

are clearly significant.

According to those interviewed for this report, the envi-

ronment may be complex, but the key to success is not:

build in resilience, understand the issues, monitor and

structure the supply chain to avoid problems, and work

with suppliers to improve output.

Mr. Connelly, for example, says that Leggett &

Platt builds up trust over an extended period.

It first orders small quantities which it inspects

closely. It takes about a year to a year and a half

before the company feels secure enough “to

make a decent order.” The firm also sends executives to,

or even establishes local offices in, low-cost countries.

As a result, Mr. Connelly has great confidence in his

company’s ability to operate in China, “because we have

been there awhile,” and have been working closely with

their suppliers from a supply chain hub in Shanghai.

Mr. Gurr agrees that it is a matter of doing the work.

“You need to invest in finding the right companies,

and need to be incredibly vigilant about from whom

they purchase. You can get fantastic quality at decent

price, but you have to put the effort in. As the econom-

ics swing around, you also have to be aware about the

next country coming around and have people on the

ground who know how to do business there.” Once

found, Dr. Iyengar adds, educating and working with

“A resilient supply chain needs to be able to respond with consistent output.”

Page 17: Supply Chain Resilience

17

suppliers is key: companies need “to introduce powerful

performance management systems, make clear what is

required, and make sure that it takes place.”

Resilience is also about structuring the supply chain

intelligently. In a low-cost country context, for example,

if IPR issues are a problem, Mr. Churchhouse says that

“the answer is that we might put finished machining

processes there, but not complex special processes,

which is where the higher technology is. We just have to

be careful in our make/buy analysis.”

Building a resilient supply chain in low-cost countries is

not rocket science or anything particularly new. As Mr.

Connelly points out, “we’ve been through this before

over the last twenty years. China is just like Korea was,

and before that Japan was. The suppliers learn, and they

get better.” Doing the legwork is, however, essential if

a company wants to realize the same savings that its

competitors are. Notes Mr. Gurr, “if you switch supplier

without actually getting out there, without putting in the

effort to visit the factory, you come unstuck. The way to

do it is to get on the airplane and have people out there.”

Conclusion

In seeking the benefits of global supply chains, few com-

panies are paying sufficient attention to the resilience

of these networks. Business is vulnerable, and although

many firms are taking sensible precautions, such as

increasing the number of suppliers, much more needs to

be done in areas like monitoring and using the resultant

understanding to build structures that coherently address

the risks which firms face. Current challenges, such as

integrating sustainability into supply chains or getting

the greatest advantage out of sourcing from low-cost,

less developed countries, demand such an approach.

The dangers of not doing so are stark. As Professor Sheffi

points out, although companies are at much higher risk

because of complex, global supply chains, “it doesn’t

mean that consumers or countries are more vulnerable.

There are many more companies now. It may mean dev-

astation for one if a plant goes down, but there are lots

of suppliers.” Other suppliers may be more resilient, and

are sure to be ready to service the market instead.

Educating and working with suppliers is key: companies need “to introduce powerful performance management systems, make clear what is required, and make sure that it takes place.”

Page 18: Supply Chain Resilience

18

Professor Yossi Sheffi says of working with companies:

“when we have public events, they usually make coura-

geous statements. When you start drilling down, when

you start asking more penetrating questions – how do

you know you are better? – at the end of the day they

say, ‘we have to take another look’. They often don’t ask

themselves the tough questions.”

The split in perceptions between supply chain profession-

als and corporate executives suggests the latter should

start asking such tough questions. In fact, those who

actually work in the field are far more concerned about

the problems discussed in this report than their bosses.

Looking at the situation overall:

• 63%ofsupplychainprofessionalsthinkthattheir

company needs to pay more attention to resilience.

Among corporate executives, this is a concern to

only 46%.

• 65%ofthoseworkingwithinthesupplychainbe-

lieve it has globalized faster than risk management

has kept up, a worry for only 41% in the C-suite.

• 29%ofsupplychainprofessionalsconsidertheir

resilience above average, while this is the case for

38% of corporate leaders.

• Nearlytwiceasmanysupplychainprofessionalsas

corporate executives (20% to 11%) think it very

difficult to obtain high-quality suppliers.

Many of these questions are at the level of percep-

tion, and individuals often believe that their own jobs

are more fraught than they may actually be. A deeper

analysis reveals that those with the best knowledge of

their supply chains are seeing a lot more problems in,

for example, least-cost country sourcing than corporate

executives seem to realize. This is especially the case for

some key elements of resilience, such as product quality

and the ability of suppliers to deliver what they promise

(see chart).

Finally, if corporate executives are not hearing about

the risks from their supply chain professionals, the latter

may not be fully taking on board strategic

priorities. For example, in assessing a new

supplier, 63% of supply chain profession-

als believe cost is a leading consideration,

a higher figure than for quality. Corporate

executives instead focus on quality, with

only 35% giving a primary place to cost.

Looking forward, about half of supply chain

professionals think the coming focus in

the next five years will be cost, or inven-

tory optimization – which has significant

cost implications. The equivalent figure for

corporate leaders is 36%. Meanwhile, only

14% of supply chain professionals expect to

focus on sustainability, a concern for 20%

of corporate leaders. The split in percep-

tions indicates that it may be time for the

two groups to talk.

Is the C-Suite whistling in the dark?

Quality of goods 53% 61% 8%

Ability of suppliers to deliver what they promise 46% 61% 15%

Length of time for goods to arrive from suppliers 31% 45% 14%

Total landed cost 22% 37% 15%

Ability to enforce contracts 32% 37% 5%

Difficulty communicating expectations across cultural differences 29% 35% 6%

Unpredictability of travel time for goods to arrive 24% 33% 9%

Border security/customs issues 23% 31% 8%

Ability to maintain supply chain visibility 27% 31% 4%

Energy/transportation expense 21% 29% 8%

Top ten problems with LCCS (percentage of companies in each category which have experienced significant challenges with issue) C-Suite Supplychain Difference professionals

Page 19: Supply Chain Resilience

19

Low-cost Asian economies have become the world’s

manufacturing powerhouse. But the region’s business

executives make clear that the basics of supply chain

best practice are universal. Indeed, one of the most strik-

ing findings from the survey results is how little answers

varied by region.

Joseph Phi is President and Executive Director of IDS

Group, a member of the Hong Kong-based Li & Fung

Group of companies, one of the world’s biggest export-

ers. IDS provides integrated distribution and logistics

services, or in Mr. Phi’s words, “supply chain manage-

ment, from factory to delivery” for leading multinational

and local companies, including Li & Fung.

Mr. Phi notes that the biggest challenge for supply

chain management anywhere is “how do you cope with

changes, unpredictability, and volatility? One of the key

determinants of a good supply chain is how flexible and

agile you are, because volatility does not go away.” Just

as the problems are common around the globe, so are

the requirements for success. They include good people,

well-designed facilities, as well as various technology

systems that create an overview of the entire supply

chain, so called end-to-end visibility.

But according to Mr. Phi, companies also have to “look

at the total cost of doing business. People neglect the

hidden costs,” especially in low-cost countries. This has

implications in a number of areas. The first is contin-

gency planning. Says Mr. Phi: “crisis and contingency

planning is not even a ‘nice to have’, it is a ticket to the

game. In the supply chain business, if something can

go wrong, it already did. While there is a temptation to

do business based on expense alone, the risk is humon-

gous.”

Another area where true and apparent costs may differ

is in dealing with partners. “You can’t be in every part of

the chain,” notes Mr. Phi. “There is always a temptation

to say, for an x% cost reduction I’ll shift from provider A

to provider B, but it is very important for us to consider

the holistic picture. You can’t squeeze on every transac-

tion. If your partners are not profitable, it is hard to have

a resilient supply chain,” he adds. Two other essential

elements of resilience are predictability and repeatabil-

ity. For the latter, Mr. Phi points out that “you can’t work

with new partners all the time. You have to work with

people who understand your process.”

There is also a need for proper investment in any country

where one does business. Just as other firms interviewed

for this report are finding it valuable to have people on

the ground in their Chinese operations – where Mr. Phi

says IDS Group enjoys “home court advantage” – he

notes that “in the Philippines, for example, you need

Filipinos, who understand the local market and will be

able to make swift changes. As you go global you need

to put more emphasis on the local.”

Although supply chain investments may seem to in-

crease costs, in the long run they save money. Mr. Phi

notes, for example, that the presence of a robust contin-

gency plan does not simply help in a crisis, but it also

reduces insurance premiums. “A resilient supply chain

does not only generate value, but also reduces cost in

the long run.”

IDS Group provides a global perspective from Asia

Page 20: Supply Chain Resilience

20

Where are most of your company’s key suppliers located?

What impact have the following events had on your company?

How difficult is it to obtain high-quality suppliers for your company’s most important products?

At which level does your company set the governance of the following elements of your supply chain?

Appendix A: Survey Results

n Domestically

n Abroad

n Both equally

36%

29%

35%

n 1 Strong Impact n 2 n 3 n 4 n 5 No impact n Don’t know n 1 Global n 2 Regional n 3 National n Don’t know

Overall strategy

Purchasing decisions

Monitoring/compliance

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

59%

30%

32%

21%

37%

29%

19%

33%

37%

1%

1%

2%

n Very difficult

n Somewhat difficult

n Neither difficult nor easy

n Somewhat easy

n Very easy

49%

33%

7% 9%

1%

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

25%

29%

12%

14%

31%

31%

28%

39%

21%

22%

27%

24%

12%

12%

19%

15%

10%

5%

14%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

A weaker U.S. dollar

The U.S. economic slowdown

A slowing global economy

Rising energy costs

Page 21: Supply Chain Resilience

21

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements as they relate to your company?

In your opinion, how does your company compare to its closest competitors in the following areas?

What level of importance does your company place on building lasting, solid, long-term relationships as the best way to maintain the quality and value of the goods it gets from its supply chain?

When evaluating a potential supplier, how important are the following factors to your company?

n 1 Strongly agree n 2 n 3 n 4 n 5 Strongly disagree n Don’t know

0 20 40 60 80 100

My company supply chain has globalized faster than our risk management structures have been able to adapt to the U.S. economic slowdown

My company needs to do more to integrate social and environmental considerations into our supply chain

One of my company’s big sustainability challenges is from activists and consumers who do not actually understand the sustainability impact of what they are demanding

My company is re-assessing its sourcing based on geographic location rather than what is cheapest

My company needs to pay more attention to supply chain resilience

13%

14%

9%

13%

6%

29%

32%

20%

34%

25%

26%

25%

25%

31%

27%

16%

20%

22%

12%

24%

11%

7%

19%

4%

14%

5%

1%

5%

5%

4%

0 20 40 60 80 100

Supply chain management

Quality of suppliers

Resilience

Risk awareness and management

Ability to find and exploit new opportunities

Awareness of corporate social responsibility issues

End to end visibility

Profitability

10%

11%

9%

11%

15%

8%

13%

13%

38%

42%

29%

35%

30%

24%

34%

36%

38%

40%

48%

36%

35%

47%

36%

32%

10%

6%

12%

16%

17%

17%

14%

18%

3%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

1%

n 1 We are much stronger

n 2

n 3

n 4

n 5 We are much weaker

n High importance

n Moderate importance

n Low importance

n No importance

56%38%

4%

2%

n 1 Most important n 2 n 3 n 4 n 5 Not at all important

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Speed

Quality

Cost

Reputation

19%

22%

61%

42%

52%

43%

31%

38%

23%

24%

6%

19%

5%

9%

1%

3%

2%

1%

Page 22: Supply Chain Resilience

22

In your experience with global supply chains in low-cost countries, which of the following issues have presented significant challenges for your company? Select all that apply.

At your company, how frequently does the supply chain function engage in formal risk management to assess the possibility of and consider strategies to reduce risk?

How closely does your company monitor its suppliers?

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Quality of goods

Ability of suppliers to deliver what they promise

Length of time for goods to arrive from suppliers

Ability to enforce contracts

Intellectual property protection

Difficulty communicating expectations across cultural differences

Unpredictability of travel time for goods to arrive

Ability to maintain supply chain visibility

Border security/customs issues

Total landed cost

Energy/transportation expense

Ability to return goods

Other rule of law issues

Finding secure transport for goods/loss of goods in transit

Adverse reaction in home markets

No experience

52%

47%

34%

32%

31%

29%

26%

25%

25%

24%

22%

20%

20%

15%

11%

12%

n Annually

n Quarterly

n Monthly

n Weekly

n Never

n Don’t know

29%

28%

18%

13%

8%

4%

n Monitor immediate (Tier 1) suppliers only (rely on them to monitor their suppliers)

n Monitor immediate (Tier 1) suppliers and their immediate suppliers

n Monitor the entire supply chain

n Do not monitor

n Don’t know

42%

20%

20%

9%

9%

Page 23: Supply Chain Resilience

23

In its supply chain, which of the following reputational aspects does your company monitor most closely? Select up to two.

Where are your company’s technology investments primarily directed?

Which of the following steps is your company taking to improve its supply chain resilience to potential crisis? Select all that apply.

Over the next five years, how do you expect your company’s inventory levels to change?

Product quality

Resilience/ability to deliver what is promised

Compliance with legal standards (anti-corruption, anti-money laundering, etc)

Product safety

Respect for your own intellectual property

Respect for intellectual property of other companies to prevent potential litigation for abuse

Environmental impact

Employment conditions

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

64%

35%

27%

20%

16%

13%

6%

9%

Internal benchmarking of supply chain breakdowns and lessons learned

Hold additional safety stock

Do joint planning with channel partners on such a situation

External benchmarking of supply chain breakdowns and lessons learned

Conduct crisis simulation exercises

Collaborate with local governments on contingency planning

Collaborate with competitor firms

Other

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

51%

40%

31%

29%

20%

16%

4%

16%

n Managing internal processes

n Combination of internal and external process management

n Managing processes of suppliers and other supply chain partners

n We do not invest in technology

43%

40%

12%

5% n Increase greatly

n Increase slightly

n Stay roughly the same

n Decrease

n Don’t know

27%

40%

18%

11%5%

Page 24: Supply Chain Resilience

24

Over the next five years, which will be the key focus for your company’s supply chain?

Over the next five years, how will your company’s supply chain strategy change in the following areas?

Over the next five years, which factors are most likely to pose the greatest risk to your company’s global supply chain? Select up to three.

Over the next five years, how do you expect your potential pool of high- quality manufacturing suppliers to change?

n Cost containment/reduction

n Long-term sustainability (economic, social, environmental)

n Process innovation

n Technology innovation

n Inventory optimization

n Improving risk mitigation practices

28%

19%

9%

18%

10%

16%

n Increase greatly

n Increase somewhat

n Neither increase nor decrease

n Decrease somewhat

Decrease greatly 0%

51%

10%

26%

12%

n 1 Increase greatly

n 2

n 3

n 4

n 5 Decrease greatly

n Don’t know

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Least-cost country sourcing

Near sourcing

Multi-sourcing strategy

In-house manufacturing

13%

5%

7%

12%

35%

14%

28%

38%

34%

30%

42%

32%

9%

23%

1%

16%

8%

8%

7%

3%

13%

7%

1%

11%

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Energy costs

Competition

Supplier disruption

Logistics failure (port strike, etc.)

Strategic failure (incorrect shipments, defective products)

Geopolitical instability

Corruption

Natural disaster

Export restrictions

Nationalization

Terrorism

53%

40%

36%

26%

25%

21%

13%

13%

9%

8%

6%

Page 25: Supply Chain Resilience

Preface

25

Are there any countries where your company has ceased/significantly reduced your sourcing because of risk? Select up to three.

Afghanistan 9% 0% 0% Aland Islands 1% 0% 0% Albania 1% 0% 0% Angola 1% 1% 0% Argentina 0% 1% 5% Armenia 1% 0% 0% Australia 1% 0% 2% Azerbaijan 0% 3% 0% Bahrain 0% 0% 2% Bangladesh 2% 1% 2% Belarus 0% 0% 4% Belgium 0% 0% 2% Bermuda 1% 0% 0% Bhutan 0% 1% 0% Bolivia 1% 3% 0% Bosnia and

Herzegovina 0% 3% 2% Brazil 1% 3% 4% Bulgaria 0% 3% 2% Burkina Faso 0% 1% 0% Cambodia 0% 1% 2% Cameroon 0% 0% 2% Canada 1% 1% 0% China 16% 7% 0% Colombia 0% 3% 0% Congo 1% 0% 0% Cuba 1% 0% 0% Ecuador 1% 0% 0% Egypt 0% 0% 2% Eritrea 0% 0% 2% Ethiopia 0% 1% 0% France 1% 0% 2% Germany 3% 1% 0% Ghana 1% 0% 0% Greece 1% 0% 0%

Countries 1 2 3 Countries 1 2 3 Countries 1 2 3

Guinea 0% 1% 0% Honduras 1% 0% 0% Hungary 1% 0% 0% Iceland 0% 1% 0% India 10% 4% 5% Indonesia 5% 1% 5% Iran 4% 1% 4% Iraq 1% 8% 0% Israel 1% 1% 2% Italy 1% 0% 0% Japan 0% 0% 2% Kenya 1% 0% 0% Kuwait 1% 0% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 0% 2% Latvia 0% 0% 2% Libya 1% 0% 2% Lithuania 1% 0% 0% Madagascar 0% 1% 0% Malaysia 1% 1% 0% Malta 0% 0% 2% Mexico 0% 1% 0% Moldova 0% 1% 0% Morocco 0% 1% 0% Myanmar 1% 3% 0% New Zealand 0% 0% 2% Nicaragua 1% 0% 0% Niger 1% 0% 0% Nigeria 1% 3% 2% Norway 1% 0% 0% Pakistan 4% 1% 4% Papua New Guinea 1% 0% 0% Philippines 1% 1% 2% Poland 1% 0% 5% Romania 2% 1% 0% Russia 5% 7% 4%

Serbia 1% 1% 2% Slovakia 0% 1% 0% Somalia 0% 0% 2% South Africa 1% 3% 0% South Korea 0% 1% 0% Spain 0% 0% 2% Sri Lanka 1% 0% 0% Sudan 1% 0% 2% Taiwan 0% 3% 0% Tajikistan 1% 0% 0% Thailand 0% 1% 5% Tunisia 1% 0% 0% Turkmenistan 0% 1% 2% Ukraine 1% 1% 2% United Kingdom 0% 3% 0% United States

of America 4% 1% 0% Uzbekistan 0% 1% 0% Venezuela 1% 0% 4% Vietnam 0% 1% 2% Zimbabwe 0% 3% 4% Total 100% 100% 100%

Page 26: Supply Chain Resilience

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26

If your company sources products from China, what are your plans for the next five years?

If you plan to reduce or stop sourcing from China, what is your primary reason why?

When your company is looking for suppliers in new markets, which factors are considered most important? Select up to three.

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Nationalism, corruption or intellectual property concerns

Inflation

Labor costs

Transportation expense

Infrastructure issues

Other

No plan to reduce or stop sourcing from China

My company does not source from China

7%

7%

5%

4%

2%

3%

32%

40%

n Increase sourcing from China

n Keep sourcing levels from China about the same

n Decrease sourcing from China

n Stop sourcing from China altogether

n My company does not source from China

33%

26%

10%

29%

1%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Product safety

Intellectual property protection

Shipping cost

Rule of law issues

Labor cost

Shipping time

Visibility

Shipping security

Cultural differences

Corruption

Other

38%

31%

31%

30%

29%

26%

14%

18%

13%

12%

9%

Page 27: Supply Chain Resilience

Preface

27

Five years from now, from which country does your company expect to increase its sourcing the most? Select up to three.

Afghanistan 0% 1% 0% Algeria 0% 1% 0% Anguilla 0% 0% 1% Argentina 0% 1% 0% Armenia 0% 0% 0% Australia 3% 1% 1% Austria 0% 1% 1% Azerbaijan 0% 0% 1% Bahamas 0% 0% 1% Bahrain 0% 1% 0% Bangladesh 0% 0% 1% Belarus 0% 1% 1% Belgium 0% 1% 0% Bhutan 0% 0% 0% Bolivia 0% 1% 0% Bosnia and

Herzegovina 0% 0% 2% Botswana 0% 0% 0% Brazil 2% 4% 4% Bulgaria 0% 0% 0% Cambodia 0% 1% 1% Canada 2% 1% 1% Cape Verde 0% 1% 0% Chile 0% 1% 0% China 29% 12% 4% Colombia 0% 1% 1% Comoros 0% 0% 1% Czech Republic 1% 1% 0% Denmark 0% 0% 0% Ecuador 0% 1% 0% Egypt 0% 0% 1% Ethiopia 0% 0% 1% Fiji 0% 1% 0% France 0% 1% 2% Germany 2% 2% 3%

Countries 1 2 3 Countries 1 2 3 Countries 1 2 3

Greece 0% 0% 1% Guinea-Bissau 0% 1% 0% Hong Kong 0% 0% 1% Hungary 0% 2% 1% Iceland 0% 1% 0% India 21% 18% 8% Indonesia 2% 3% 4% Iran 0% 1% 0% Iraq 0% 0% 0% Ireland 1% 1% 1% Israel 0% 1% 0% Italy 0% 1% 1% Japan 0% 1% 1% Kazakhstan 0% 0% 0% Kenya 0% 1% 1% Lithuania 0% 0% 1% Luxembourg 0% 1% 0% Macedonia 0% 0% 0% Madagascar 0% 1% 0% Malaysia 2% 3% 0% Mauritania 0% 0% 0% Mexico 1% 1% 2% Montenegro 0% 1% 0% Netherlands 0% 1% 1% New Zealand 0% 0% 0% Nigeria 0% 1% 0% Pakistan 0% 1% 0% Peru 0% 1% 3% Philippines 1% 1% 2% Poland 0% 1% 2% Portugal 0% 1% 0% Romania 2% 1% 2% Russia 3% 5% 10% Saudi Arabia 0% 0% 0% Serbia 0% 2% 0%

Singapore 2% 2% 2% Slovakia 0% 1% 0% Somalia 0% 0% 1% South Africa 1% 1% 1% South Korea 1% 2% 2% Spain 0% 1% 2% Sri Lanka 0% 1% 0% Sweden 0% 0% 1% Switzerland 0% 1% 1% Taiwan 0% 0% 2% Thailand 1% 1% 7% Tunisia 0% 0% 0% Turkey 1% 1% 3% Ukraine 2% 1% 3% United Arab Emirates 1% 2% 1% United Kingdom 2% 3% 1% United States

of America 7% 6% 7% Venezuela 0% 0% 1% Vietnam 2% 6% 2% Zambia 0% 0% 1% Total 100% 100% 100%

Page 28: Supply Chain Resilience

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28

In which country are you personally located? In which region are you personally based??

What is your primary industry?

n Western Europe

n Asia-Pacific

n North America

n Eastern Europe

n Latin America

n Middle East and Africa

46%

26%

20%

7%

1% 1%

Financial services 19%

Manufacturing 10%

Professional services 9%

IT and technology 9%

Consumer goods 6%

Energy and natural resources 6%

Healthcare, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology 6%

Telecoms 4%

Chemicals 3%

Construction and real estate 3%

Transportation, travel and tourism 3%

Automotive 3%

Retailing 3%

Aerospace and defence 2%

Education 2%

Entertainment, media and publishing 2%

Logistics and distribution 2%

Agriculture and agribusiness 2%

Other, please specify 4%

Total 100%

United States of America 16%

United Kingdom 12% India 8% Italy 5% Spain 4% Canada 4% Germany 4% Australia 3% Netherlands 3% Singapore 3% Belgium 3% Russia 3% France 2% Switzerland 2% China 2% Malaysia 2% New Zealand 2% Poland 2% Japan 2% Austria 1% Ireland 1% Philippines 1% Finland 1% Hong Kong 1% Indonesia 1% Norway 1% Romania 1% Sweden 1% Crotia 1% Cyprus 1% Czech Republic 1% Denmark 1% Greece 1% Lithuania 1%

Taiwan 1% United Arab Emirates 1% Albania 0% Bosnia and

Herzegovina 0% Georgia 0% Gibraltar 0% Grenada 0% Hungary 0% Kazakhstan 0% Luxembourg 0% Macedonia 0% Malta 0% Moldova 0% Monaco 0% Portugal 0% Slovenia 0% Sri Lanka 0% Thailand 0% Turkey 0% Uzbekistan 0% Venezuela 0% Total 100%

Page 29: Supply Chain Resilience

Preface

29

What are your organization’s global annual revenues in US dollars?

Which of the following best describes your title?

What are your main functional roles? Please choose no more than three functions.

n $500m or less

n $500m to $1bn

n $1bn to $5bn

n $5bn to $10bn

n $10bn or more

44%

14%

16%

6%

20%

0 5 10 15 20 25

Board member

CEO/President/Managing director

CFO/Treasurer/Comptroller

CIO/Technology director

Other C-level executive

SVP/VP/Director

Head of Business Unit

Head of Department

Manager

Other

4%

25%

8%

5%

9%

13%

9%

6%

15%

7%

Strategy and business development 36%

General management 34%

Finance 25%

Marketing and sales 18%

IT 16%

Operations and production 15%

Supply chain management 15%

Risk 10%

Procurement 10%

Customer service 8%

Information and research 8%

R&D 7%

Human resources 4%

Legal 3%

Other 2%

Page 30: Supply Chain Resilience

30

Airbus Thierry Caillard Senior Vice President, Supply Chain and Quality Procurement

ASDA Doug Gurr Executive Director, Strategy and Logistics

Boots Keith Younger Director of Retail Supply

BP Tim Bass Director of Procurement and Supply Chain Management, Projects & Engineering, E&P

BT Group Neil Rogers Chief Procurement Officer

Centrica Heather Rodgers Head of Group Procurement and Supply Management

Economist Intelligence Unit Robin Bew Editorial Director and Chief Economist

Electrolux Paul Dunne Supply Chain Director

GE Seaco Services John Hatton Vice President, Operations

McDonald’s Kate Allum Head of Supply Chain, Europe

Rolls-Royce Steve Churchhouse Executive Vice President, Supply Chain Development

Sony Ericsson Justin Bushby Head of Supply Chain Development

United Biscuits Jeff van der Eems Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer

UPS Dan Brutto President, International

Appendix B: Advisory Board Participants

Page 31: Supply Chain Resilience

31

Steve Churchhouse Executive Vice President, Supply Chain Development Rolls-Royce

Peter Connelly CPO Leggett & Platt

Doug Gurr Executive Director, Strategy and Logistics ASDA

Dr. Gopal Iyengar Director Kirloskar Insititute of Advanced Management Studies Bangalore

Joseph Phi President and Executive Director IDS Group

Professor Yossi Sheffi Director Massachusetts Institute of Technology Center for Transportation and Logistics

Appendix C: Qualitative Interviews

Page 32: Supply Chain Resilience

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