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International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship September 13, 2012 Nordic Growth Entrepreneurship Helsinki, Finland Karen Wilson Structural Policy Division Science, Technology & Industry Directorate, OECD

International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

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Page 1: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

International Perspectives

on High Growth

Entrepreneurship

September 13, 2012

Nordic Growth Entrepreneurship

Helsinki, Finland

Karen Wilson

Structural Policy Division

Science, Technology & Industry Directorate, OECD

Page 2: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Agenda

• Overview of current OECD work on HGFs

• Importance of High Growth Entrepreneurship

• Framework conditions and selected data

• Financing HGFs

• The Role of Policy?

2

Page 3: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Overview of selected OECD work

• High growth firms and entrepreneurship

– What Drives the Dynamics of Business Growth (Criscuolo and Menon, 2012)

– Role of High-Growth Firms in Catalysing Entrepreneurship and Innovation (Criscuolo and Wilson, 2012)

– Financing High Growth Firms: The Role of Angel Investors (Wilson, 2011)

– Entrepreneurship Indicators Programme (EIP): Entrepreneurship at a Glance, 2012

• Other work related to “New Sources of Growth” agenda – Knowledge-based capital/intangible assets

– Intellectual property rights/patents

– Big data analytics

– OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard (2011, 2013)

3

Page 4: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

High Growth Firms are a small share of the firm

population but contribute a greater proportion of

employment growth

Source: OECD, What Drives the Dynamics of Business Growth (Criscuolo and Menon, 2012)

Page 5: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Dynamism of Young Businesses

No matter their size, young firms are more dynamic than older firms

Source: OECD, What Drives the Dynamics of Business Growth (Criscuolo and Menon, 2012)

Page 6: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Young firms contribute more

proportionally to job creation

Source: OECD, What Drives the Dynamics of Business Growth (Criscuolo and Menon, 2012)

Page 7: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Patenting activity of young firms 2007-2009

Source: OECD STI Scoreboard 2011 based on the Worldwide Patent Statistical Database, EPO, April 2011; and ORBIS©

Database, Bureau van Dijk Electronic Publishing, December 2010; matched using algorithms in the Imalinker system

developed for the OECD by IDENER, Seville, 2011.

0

10

20

30

40

50

%Share of patenting firms under 5 years old Share of patents filed by firms under 5 years old

Page 8: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Economies Differ in their Dynamism

05

1015

20

Sh

are

of

firm

s

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11Growth interval

(a) European countries average

05

1015

20

Sh

are

of

firm

s

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11Growth interval

(b) United States

-40

-20

020

40

Rel

ativ

e d

iffe

ren

ce in

%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Growth interval

(c) Europe-US Gap

Growth distribution in Europe and the US

European Countries vs US gap along the growth distribution

More in European Countries

More in the US

-100 -20 -15 -10 -5 -1 +1 +5 +10 +20 ∞

Fast Shrinking Firms Static firms Fast Growing Firms

Source: Bravo-Biosca, 2010

Policies can be key drivers behind these differences

Page 9: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Framework Conditions

(NGER categories)

• The Nordic countries rank relatively well in most areas, particularly the first two

– Regulatory framework

– Market conditions

– Creation and diffusion of knowledge

– Entrepreneurial culture

– Entrepreneurial capabilities

– Access to finance

9

Page 10: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Regulatory & Administrative Barriers to

Entrepreneurship (2008)

10

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Index Regulatory and administrative opacity Administrative burdens on startups Barriers to competition

Source: OECD, Product Market Regulation Database, May 2011.

(Scale from 0 to 6 from least to most restrictive)

Page 11: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Source: OECD, STI Outlook 2010 based on OECD Main Science and Technology Indicators (MSTI) database, December 2009.

Australia

Austria

Belgium

Canada

Chile

Czech Republic

Denmark

Finland

FranceGermany

Greece

Hungary

Iceland

Ireland

Italy

Japan

Korea

Luxembourg

Mexico

Netherlands

New Zealand

Norway

Poland

Portugal

Slovak Republic

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

Turkey

United Kingdom

United States

China

Russian Federation

Slovenia

South Africa

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

% s

har

e o

f h

igh

er e

du

cati

on

in p

ub

licly

pe

rfo

rme

d R

&D

(200

8)

% share of firms in total R&D spending (2008)

In bold are countries that have been already subject of an OECD Review of Innovation Policy

Public research-centeredinnovation system

Firm-centeredinnovation system

University-centered

public research

Public lab-centered

public research

A university-based, firm-centered innovation system…

Page 12: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Business investment in intangible and tangible capital, 2009 (% GDP)

12

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Tangible

KBC

Source: Corrado et al. (2012, forthcoming)

Page 13: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Change by type of business investment, 2006-2009 (percentage points of GDP)

13 Source: Corrado et al. (2012, forthcoming)

-3.0%

-2.5%

-2.0%

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

KBC

Tangible capital

Page 14: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Perceptions of Opportunities vs Capabilities

14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Perceived opportunities Perceived capabilities Fear of failure

Source: OECD Entrepreneurship at a Glance, 2012

Entrepreneurial perceptions (2011 or latest year)

Page 15: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Facilitating the Entrepreneurial

Ecosystem

15

- Strong links between the different types of organizations

- People, trusted networks, connectors

- Local but connected globally

Page 16: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

The Role of Financial Development

Access to finance and financial development are key for firms that grow fast especially in sectors that are more dependent on external finance

– A developed financial market is associated with higher growth at the top of the employment distribution and an increase in the share of high growth firms in the economy.

Source: OECD, What Drives the Dynamics of Business Growth (Criscuolo and Menon, 2012)

Page 17: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Venture Capital: Not for all Firms

• VC is an important source of financing for high growth firms, however, it is only appropriate for a small proportion of start-ups

– High growth firms which are usually technology or science based companies with scalable, high growth business models.

• VCs invest in a portfolio of firms, knowing that a large percentage of young high growth firms fail.

– On average 65% of a VC investment portfolio generates 3.8% of the returns, while 4% of the portfolio generates more than 60% of the returns (Nanda 2010).

17

Page 18: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Venture Capital differs Significantly

across and within Countries

• Differences still exist between the US and European VC industries (experience, investment amounts, etc.)

• Tends to cluster in entrepreneurial ecosystems (Silicon Valley, Cambridge, London, Munich, etc.)

• Very sensitive to market cycles not only in terms of the amounts invested but also in terms of the stages of investment (Lerner 2010).

– In the current market environment, most venture capital funds are investing in the later stages rather than seed and early stages where profit expectations are less clear and investment risk is much higher.

18

Page 19: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Venture Capital Investments U.S., Canada and Europe in 2009

(USD million)

19 Source: OECD based on industry statistics by EVCA/PEREP Analytics and

PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree Report data.

Page 20: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Exits Remain a Key Challenge

20

European Venture Capital Exits in 2010

Source: EVCA/PEREP Analytics 2011

Page 21: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Why Angel Investment is Important

• In the U.S. and Europe, currently the largest markets for both VC and angel investment, the estimated amount of angel investment is significantly larger than seed and early stage VC.

– Existing government programs, however, focus on VC.

• While VCs have moved to later stages of financing, angel investors have been filling the growing seed & early stage funding gap through the creation of syndicates, groups and networks.

21 Financing Gap

INFORMAL INVESTORS FORMAL INVESTORS

Founders, Friends and Family

Angel Investors

(typical investment size: 25-500K USD)

Venture Capital Funds

(typical investment size: 3-5M USD)

Seed Stage investments Early Stage Investments Later Stage Investments

Equity Investors at the Seed, Early and Later Stage of Firm Growth

Page 22: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

OECD Angel Financing Publication

www.oecd.org/sti/angelinvestors

Chapter 1: Overview of financing for seed and early-stage companies

Chapter 2: Angel investment: Definitions, data and processes

Chapter 3: Trends and developments in the angel market around the world

Chapter 4: The role of policy in facilitating angel investment

22

Page 23: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Benefits of Angel Finance

• In addition to the money provided, angel investors play a key role in providing strategic and operational expertise for new ventures as well as social capital.

• Angel investors traditionally invest locally (within a few hours’ drive) and in a wider range of sectors than venture capitalists. This means there is broader investment coverage than for venture capital investment.

• Companies backed by angel investments have been important contributors to jobs and economic growth.

– In the US, estimates suggest that approximately 250 000 new jobs were created in 2009 by firms supported by angel investment, representing 5% of new jobs in the United States. (Sohl 2010).

– Young firms in the US with angel financing have an increased probability of survival and improved performance and growth of 30 to 50% on average (Kerr, Lerner and Schoar, 2010).

23

Page 24: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Differences between Angels and VCs Characteristics Angel Investors Venture Capitalists

Background Former entrepreneurs Finance, consulting, some from industry

Investment approach Investing own money Managing a fund and/or investing other people’s money

Investment stage Seed and early stage Range of seed, early stage and later stage but increasingly later stage

Investment instruments Common shares Preferred shares

Deal Flow Through social networks and/or angel groups/networks.

Through social networks as well as proactive outreach

Due Diligence Conducted by angel investors based on their own experience.

(more cost efficient)

Conducted by staff in VC firm sometimes with the assistance of outside firms (law firms, etc.)

(more costly)

Geographic proximity of investments

Most investments are local (within a few hours drive).

Invest nationally and increasingly internationally with local partners

Post investment role Active, hands-on Board seat, strategic

Return on Investment Important but not the main reason for angel investing

Critical. The VC fund must provide decent returns to existing investors to enable them to raise a new fund (and therefore stay in business)

Source: OECD, adapted from EBAN 2006 referencing Wong 2002 and Ibrahim 2010 24

Page 25: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

25

Data Issues & Market Size Estimates

• Definitions – Definitions of angel investors can vary,

which complicates data analysis.

– It is generally understood that angel investment excludes investments made by family and friends.

• Lack of data – The majority of data available is that

collected by angel associations from angel groups and networks.

– It can be supplemented with additional data obtained through tax and co-investment programmes.

– However, this data only represents a fraction of the market termed the “visible” market.

– The “invisible” market, which is estimated to be much greater than the “visible” market, is extremely difficult to measure.

Visible Market

(BBAA BANs)

Rest of Visible

Market

Inv isible Market

Source: Harrison & Mason 2010

Page 26: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Market Estimates vs “Visible” Data

• This table is meant to demonstrate the magnitude of difference between

total estimated market size and what is currently measurable.

• Methods for estimating total market size vary tremendously and currently are

more art than science.

“Visible” angel market size

(share of total market) in 2009

in USD million

Estimated size of angel

market in 2009

in USD million

Total VC* market in 2009

in USD million

United States 469 (3%) 17 700 18 275

Europe 383 (7%) 5 557 5 309

United Kingdom 74 (12%) 624 1 087

Canada 34 (9%) 388 393

*Note: VC market size includes VC investments in all stages: i) seed, ii) start-up, iii) early, iv) expansion, and v) later stage.

Source: OECD based on estimates by the Centre for Venture Research (CVR), EBAN (The European Trade Association for Business Angels, Seed Funds,

and other Early Stage Market Players), and Canada's National Angel Capital Organisation (NACO). VC data based on industry statistics by EVCA/

PEREP_Analytics andPricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree Report and Canada's National Angel Capital Organization.

Page 27: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

BAN and VC Seed Investments in

Europe: 2005-09 (EUR Million)

Source: OECD based on industry statistics by EVCA/PEREP Analytics for 2007-2009; EVCA/Thomson Reuters/PwC for previous years; and business networks surveyed by EBAN (The European Trade Association for Business Angels, Seed Funds, and other Early Stage Market Players)

27

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Business angel network VC seed

Page 28: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Equity Financing Cycle

Institutional Investors

(LPs: private and public)

Funds & investors (GPs:

VCs, angels)

High growth firms

(Portfolio Companies)

Entrepreneurial Ecosystem (growth

& exit/returns)

Regulatory Environment

Financial Instruments

What is the role of policy?

Page 29: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Range of Policy Financing

Instruments

• Grants, Loans and Guarantees – Grants (including SBIR type) – Loans – Guarantee schemes

• Fiscal/tax incentives – Young innovation company schemes (YIC) – Tax incentives on investment (“front-end”) – Tax incentives on capital gains (“back-end”)

• Equity funds (VC and angel) – Public – Fund of funds – Public/private co-investment funds

Page 30: International Perspectives on High Growth Entrepreneurship

Financing Policy Caveats

• Often the issue is the demand side, not the supply side. – Yet most government action is focused on supplying finance.

• Policy should focus on leveraging (not replacing) private funding.

– Creating incentives for institutional investors, funds, firms and individuals to invest in high growth firms.

– Ensuring that investment decisions are made by experienced professional investors.

– Public money should never be more than 50%.

• Policy financing instruments are difficult to structure appropriately.

– Creating the proper incentives (and avoiding unintended consequences) and for the targeted stage of investment.

– Time lags 30

The OECD is conducting further work on financing instruments