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5 th IHIF Strategy Challenge Challenge Accepted

IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

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Within the context of the Strategy Course of the Ecole hôtelière de Lausanne, our team, composed of 3 students, had the chance to defend our investment project in Berlin, at the world famous International Hotel Investment Forum (IHIF) in 2012. We had to develop a project based in the resort industry, and after a deep analysis of the world economic and environment context, we chose to invest in China. Our project won the title of best investment strategy.

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Page 1: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

5th IHIF Strategy Challenge

Challe

nge Accepted

Page 2: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

that if the population of China walked past you in single file, the line would

never end because of the rate of reproduction

Did you know

?

Page 3: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Water based

Mainland Urban Mountains

 National brands

 

International brands

Lu

xu

ry  

Bu

dg

et    

Resort industry in China

Page 4: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

114 million YoungMiddle classUrban

(BCG, 2011 ; Euromonitor, 2012)

Page 5: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

(Euromonitor, 2012)

33 million travelers

Page 6: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

81 million non-customers

Page 7: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Evaluation of the potential market

Forecast annual growth of the GDP of 7.2% (IMF, 2012)

Forecast annual growth of the tourism: + 15% outbound tourism (UNTWO, 2011)

+ 16% domestic tourism (BCG, 2011)

Forecast to increase: 450 mio (2010) – 650 mio (2020) (Euromonitor, 2012)

CAGR disposable income 2008-2020: 8.1% (Thayer Lodging Group, 2011)

Shortfall of midscale supply (Deloitte, 2010)

The new generation lives in the now and does not save money (UNWTO,

2011)

Young travellers often spend more and are responsibility free (UNWTO, 2011)

Young Chinese have demonstrated a higher interest in leisure travel (TLG,

2011)

Accessibility to transportation infrastructures

China

Urban

Young

Middle class

Page 8: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

What do they want?

A European experience

Page 9: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

What do they want?

DesignThe Place

to be City centres

China

we offer ?

Wellness centre & activities

Wine Bar & wine activitiesBanquet facilities

Page 10: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

What do they want?

DesignThe place to be

City centres

China

we offer ?

Wellness centre &

activities

Wine bar and wine activities

Banquet facilities

“A relaxing and trendy European oasis in the heart of city centres,

at an affordable price”

Page 11: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Water based

Mainland Urban Mountains

 National brands

 

International brands

Lu

xu

ry  

Bu

dg

et    

Resort industry in China

Page 12: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

National brands

 

International brands

Competitors

--

 

 

Price

 

 

++ 

 

Attractive to the Young segment

Gloria Aloft

Silka

Holiday Inn

Ibis

Jin Jiang Inn

Park Plaza

++ 

 

--

 

 

Page 13: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

One signature amenity

Provide 5 secondary experiences

Provide one full-service F&B outlet

Short-term overnight lodging

Minimum of 25 rooms

Emphasize a leisure or retreat-environment experience

Criterias of a resort(University of Memphis, 2009)

Page 14: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Seasonality

Main challenge of a traditional resort (Panel: Profitability of Resorts Hotels, 2011)

Overcome by being an

urban resort

Page 15: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

How do we overcome barriers in China ?

Local partnerships

Management company

Asian Investors

Page 16: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Development of the 50 resorts

BeijingYantaiGuangzhouChengduNingboShanghaiQingdaoXianShenzhenHuangshanHangzhouGuilinKunmingDalianXiamen

Page 17: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Investment per resort

Land: 1’041’000 €

Building: 24’500’000 €

Equipment: 872’000 €

Liquidities: 890’000 €

27’300’000 €

90’000 € / room

Page 18: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Revenues (€)

13%

10%

44%

23%

10%

Food

Beverage

Room

Wellness + activities

Wedding + banquets

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Revenues 7,886,000 8,585,000 9,188,300 9,680,000 10,000,400

RevPAR 38 42 45 47 48

Page 19: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 100% TO

Operational profit for 16 rooms (€)

372,592 406,464 433,562 453,865 460,659

677,440

Operational wedding profit (€) 574,000 609,000 644,000 679,000 728,000

728,000

% Variation 54% 50% 49% 50% 58% 7%

BANQUETS ROOM

Profitable activities (in m2)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 100% TO

Operational profit for 4 rooms (€) 93,148 101,616 108,390 113,471 115,165 211,700

Operational wine profit (€) 274,939 286,272 297,158 307,519 316,927 316,927

% Variation 195% 182% 174% 171% 175% 50%

WINE BAR

Page 20: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Net Profit/Loss (€)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 -

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

Page 21: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

2013 2014 2015 2016 20170

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Reimbursable Fee

Incentive Fee

Base Fee

Management Fees (€)

Page 22: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

T

  2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Dividends 68,570 309,770 519,740 744,800 904,180

Net cash position 2,234,076 3,424,494 3,038,368 2,525,237 1,887,058

Internal Rate of Return

19 %

Expected ROE 16%

WACC 9.44%

Economic Value 31,399,000

- Net Asset (27,262,000)

Net Present Value 4,063,000

Finance (€)

Total Equity 10,900,000

Page 23: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

SWOT

• Urban resort locations

• Few international competitors

• European style

• Growth of :• Domestic tourism• Chinese middle-class • Wellness demand• Wine demand

• Government investment in

favor of domestic tourism

• Lack of mid-scale supply

• Non captive customers

• Lack of qualified labour

• High taxes on imported wine

• Entry barriers of Chinese

government

• Entrance of international

competitors

• Ease of access to Visas for

Chinese

Str

en

gt

hs

Weakn

ess

es

Opp

ort

un

itie

sTh

reat

s

Page 24: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

Thank you for your attention.

Page 25: IHIF Strategy Challenge (investment strategy student project)

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