шийдвэрийн модны шинжилгээ

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1. 1. : . . . 0. .
2. 2. * * * , * *
3. 3. , . . , , . , .
4. 4. , . . , ,
5. 5. : , ? , ? , , ? : ? ? ? ? : ? ? , ? ? : ? ? ?
6. 6. : , , , . , , , . : , . , , . , . . 2 .
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9. 9. Tasks This is an example text. Go ahead and replace it with your own text.
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13. 13. 1.1 , 2 0.9 50% 50% 50% 50% 1.1 -0.5 0.9 -0.2 50%*1.1+50%*(-0.5)=0.3 50%*0.9+50%*(-0.2)=0.35
14. 14. * *
15. 15. * /decision node/ . /chance node/
16. 16. 1 2 3
17. 17. . . 1,000,000\$ 400,000\$ . . . 100,000\$ 10,000\$ . 50% 80% . ?
18. 18. \$100,000 \$10,000 (0.5) (0.5) \$1,000,000 \$900,000 \$0 -\$100,000 -\$10,000 \$0 \$390,000 \$400,000 \$0 (0.2) (0.8) EV=0.5x\$900,000+0.5x(-\$100,000)=\$400,000 EV=\$400,000 EV=\$310,000 EV=\$400,000 EV=\$0
19. 19. 75 (80 ) . ( 20) 2 . 20 , 15 . 50% 75% . ?
20. 20. 20 15 (0.5) (0.5) Success Failure 20 95 0 75 75 0 90 15 (0.25) (0.75) EV=85 EV=86,25 EV=86,25 Success Failure