Automotive 2016: New Insights and System Refresher

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  • AUTOMOTIVE 2016: NEW INSIGHTS AND SYSTEM REFRESHER

  • Global light vehicles sales: Key findings KEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDSVolume CAGR 2000-2015+3.4%Mature markets back to pre-crisis levels and saturated. Demand growth cooling in emerging markets, especially in ChinaVolume CAGR 2015-2031+2.7%

  • Light vehicles sizes: Top 10 markets, 2015 and CAGR to 2031KEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDS

    Country:Share of MarketGrowth to 2031China27.2%4.1%US20.1%1.2%Japan5.7%-0.9%Germany4.0%0.3%India3.5%4.1%United Kingdom3.5%1.1%Brazil2.9%2.6%France2.6%1.7%Canada2.2%1.2%South Korea2.1%2.0%

  • Light vehicles sizes: Top 10 segments, 2015 and CAGR to 2031KEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDS

    Note: Arrows and images denote top 5 fastest segment risers by volume 2015-30

    Segment:Share of MarketGrowth to 2031 (top 5 risers)SUVs22.9%4.8%Lower Medium Cars19.4%2.4%Small Cars15.0%2.9%Upper Medium Cars10.3%0.0%Pick-Ups6.3%2.4%Mini MPVs5.0%2.1%Mini Cars4.7%1.1%Executive Cars2.3%-1.8%Small Vans2.2%2.4%Full Size MPVs1.9%-1.6%

  • Light vehicles shares: Top five global playersKEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDS

    Note: Arrow indicates direction of growth/decline in share between 2014-2015

    Companys leading brand 2015 (world ranking) (1) (3) (5) (7) (2)

    World Light Vehicles company share 2015 (% volume) 11.4% 11.3% 9.1% 9.0% 7.5%

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  • Light vehicles measures: Premium vs mainstreamKEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDSv

    Chart1

    55759187655447847757261489312460102392463115212892

    592186460002799247984108696051262442814397360

    2005

    2010

    2015

    2020

    2025

    2030

    World Light Vehicles Premium vs Mainstream 2005-30(% volume)

    Sheet1

    200520102015202020252030

    Mainstream55759187655447847757261489312460102392463115212892

    Premium592186460002799247984108696051262442814397360

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Sum of 2005Sum of 2006Sum of 2007Sum of 2008Sum of 2009Sum of 2010Sum of 2011Sum of 2012Sum of 2013Sum of 2014Sum of 2015Sum of 2016Sum of 2017Sum of 2018Sum of 2019Sum of 2020Sum of 2021Sum of 2022Sum of 2023Sum of 2024Sum of 2025Sum of 2026Sum of 2027Sum of 2028Sum of 2029Sum of 2030

    5575918757656184609437745835325156550381655447846759395971386192745192407691388377572614787344288062142683648453865432408931246091933088946275399728746399845580102392463104861854107421968109982544112589482115212892

    592186461521526415634580623850375776000279665602271441117698860844549592479849561628976238010146092105062291086960511215480115775451193434012278858126244281295882713309762136633641402798114397360

    616810516380833667359408641594896158795871545063742499817853030382218100853593788682059888296056903838069379454597049469100182065103148568106205084109221803112124438115016891117820681120731730123645908126617463129610252

    Chart1

    703722406593

    1578941443421

    345553026986

    187406821734505

    216454815310334

    2428114732980

    1688171630761

    2868462007419

    10089492430818

    7756472229686

    Premium

    Mainstream

    Light Vehicles Premium vs Mainstream Splits by Country 2015(% volume)

    Sheet1

    PremiumMainstreamMainstreamPremium

    Brazil703722406593240659370372240659370372

    Russia157894144342114434211578941443421157894

    India345553026986302698634555302698634555

    China187406821734505217345051874068217345051874068

    US216454815310334153103342164548153103342164548

    Japan242811473298047329802428114732980242811

    S. Korea168817163076116307611688171630761168817

    France286846200741920074192868462007419286846

    Germany100894924308182430818100894924308181008949

    UK775647222968622296867756472229686775647

    Germany9457722315604

    UK6729182125203

    France2346261930570

    South Korea1237001481501

  • Light vehicles measures: Sales by brand originKEY FINDINGS: AUTOS LATEST TRENDSJapanese brands dominate - facing challengesUS brands recoverGerman brands benefit from premiumisation

    Chinese brands emergeKorean brands gainFrench and Italian brands stagnate

    World Light Vehicles: Volumes by Brand Origin (2006-15)

    Chart1

    130904653601978853448221896720502083421350015088595

    257806554586689269594249328521467203440277014979715

    269269152058548992602244022721079715447054612762819

    431507049572628751238250551818740089512617510774834

    693581254624419843394240134620724188605754712249063

    6557733541592911135926242073720178724714902113714261

    6893391491520611882067220502122926913748488714325469

    7985063490350512515522212742523828057766205615266114

    8107008505866813163164209160324979071811074115790530

    9247154507859113365186184816925154196811951216018637

    China

    France

    Germany

    Italy

    Japan

    S. Korea

    US

    Sheet1

    Brand Origin2006200720082009201020112012201320142015

    China1309046257806526926914315070693581265577336893391798506381070089247154

    France5360197545866852058544957262546244154159294915206490350550586685078591

    Germany885344892695948992602875123898433941113592611882067125155221316316413365186

    Italy2218967249328524402272505518240134624207372205021212742520916031848169

    Japan20502083214672032107971518740089207241882017872422926913238280572497907125154196

    S. Korea4213500440277044705465126175605754771490217484887766205681107418119512

    US15088595149797151276281910774834122490631371426114325469152661141579053016018637

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

    Australia190980159677158866140825126942141379134684124947124125120054117108

    Austria17027331002401114551422634

    Brazil11861052127214801802172416401374145718482483

    China8797721309046257806526926914315070693581265577336893391798506381070089247154

    Czech Republic48517051965758444564302670824778368387431291748192112910388491067804

    France54405555360197545866852058544957262546244154159294915206490350550586685078591

    Germany8280844885344892695948992602875123898433941113592611882067125155221316316413365186

    India10006691174428133552912878871491233195200119564132275747207026819643712035598

    Indonesia00040000000

    Iran007383511746811900000

    Italy19487352218967249328524402272505518240134624207372205021212742520916031848169

    Japan1971844320502083214672032107971518740089207241882017872422926913238280572497907125154196

    Malaysia344038314698312510331998332953361046352769340453339458314643316996

    Netherlands8125587407138

    North Korea2670167258253288648494324208268

    Norway1002623022866614150

    Other7685468079698625569916851417508188980313640141293216144213914622951292751

    Poland59923027141321813041862431

    Portugal00000000000

    Romania165028195231230178257397309177348291343285359315428966511574544994

    Russia1030693123022012627601138033590566813001909308826142712676601078436241

    Serbia001083200000

    Slovakia00000000000

    South Korea40560354213500440277044705465126175605754771490217484887766205681107418119512

    Spain409791421708412328362503342832340100352073319071354843391513402138

    Sweden579672570388588962471692382025417359473735431816437631466114520835

    Switzerland163162161769980221919158

    Taiwan199351483713222868314568233553173148454478468453095223

    Turkey46347513906344893593175300000

    Ukraine00000987510786920625241080

    United Kingdom905919839675923631860613687341779021865424946096104589211013361156663

    US1544289315088595149797151276281910774834122490631371426114325469152661141579053016018637

    Vietnam1153214956148936772279686453333999400

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