Living with Risk

Preliminary version

Geneva, July 2002

A major achievement of the ISDR Secretariat

in the last sixmonths

24 October 2002IATF-6

Living with Risk

Launch and outreach- preliminary version

-5 August: Press conference in Geneva

-9 August: Launch ceremony and press conference in Tokyo

2000 printed books, 1000 CD roms, Web-site Sent to: UN country offices and agencies, all missions, national platforms, contributors, and experts

Dissemination at meetings and conferences such as WSSD; Wilton Park; AUDMP in Bali; COP8

Living with Risk

Disaster impacts

0

1

2

3

1970-79 1980-89 1990-99

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Dead Affected population

in million in million

Dea

d

Aff

ecte

d p

op

ula

tio

n0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1970-79 1980-89 1990-99

0100200300400500600700800

Number of disasters Economic losses

in million

Economic losses related to number of disasters

Eco

no

mic

lo

sses

Nu

mb

er o

f d

isas

ters

Less people dead by disasters, but increased number of disasters, economic losses and affected population.

Current trends in impact of disasters

Source: OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database

Living with Risk

CONTEXTSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

• Social-cultural• Political•Economic•Ecosystems

RISK FACTORS- Vulnerability

•Social•Economic•Physical•Environmental

- Hazards•Geological •Hydrometeological•Biological•Environmental•Technological

DISASTERIMPACTS

APPLICATION OFRISK REDUCTION MEASURES•Environmental management •Land use planning•Protection of critical facilities

- Structural Measures•Application science & technology•Financial and economic toolsEARLY WARNINGPREPAREDNESS

Hazard analysis

Vulnerability/capabilities analysis

AWARENESSfor change in behaviour

KNOWLEDGE DEVELOPMENT•Education, training•Research•Information•Networking

PUBLIC COMMITMENTGlobal, regional, national, local•Institutional framework •Policy development•Legislation and codes•Community actionsRISK ASSESSMENT

RESPONSE

RECOVERY

ISDR global review of disaster reduction, 2002

FRAMEWORK FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

Living with Risk

Learning risk reduction from practices in the past – some examples

Terraces built 500 years ago by the Incas, on steep slopes to conserve the scarce soil and water. Similar millennary constructions in the mountain provinces of Indonesia and the Philippines

Protection from floods, like the embankments in Shanghai and Singapore, and sea dykes in the Netherlands

In Viet Nam, strengthen irrigation channels and sea dykes prior to the start of every annual cyclone season

Traditional housing building techniques to withstand floods in coastal areas, in the Pacific and elsewhere

Living with Risk

Chapter 1 Living with risk - focus on disaster risk reduction

1.1 Setting the scene - understanding disaster risk reduction1.2 Contexts and processes linked to disaster risk reduction: sustainable development

Chapter 2 Risk awareness and assessment

2.1 Understanding the nature of risk2.2 Emerging trends in disaster impact, hazards and vulnerability patterns2.3 Risk assessment

Living with Risk

Chapter 3 Policy and public commitment: the foundation of disaster risk reduction

3.1 Institutional frameworks: Policy, legislation and organizational development for national and local decision-making3.2 Regional cooperation, interaction and experience3.3 Community action

Chapter 4 Building understanding: development of knowledge and information sharing

4.1 Information management and communication of experience4.2 Education and training4.3 Public awareness

Living with Risk

Chapter 5 A selection of disaster reduction applications5.1 Environmental management5.2 Land use planning5.3 Protection of critical facilities5.4 Networking and partnerships5.5 Financial and economic tools5.6 Early warning systems

Chapter 6 Related international commitments and the UN role in disaster risk reduction6.1 Selected international development agendas and commitments6.2 UN agencies and scope of activities

Living with Risk

Chapter 7 Challenges for the future

Current development practices do not necessarily reduce communities’ vulnerability to disasters.

• Proposes a monitoring framework to assess progress over time.

• To be further developed into a monitoring, review and assessment tool for all actors.

As conditions change, so can attitudes. New thinking must provide the solution.

Crisis =threat +

opportunity

The Chinese characters:

Living with Risk

Preliminary version

Final version and expert meeting on monitoring methodology

Integrated global review process (support Yokohama ten year review)

Receiving feedback >200 replies. Additional info, and thematic index under development

Early 2003 with UNDP, WB, ProVention, WMO, regional collaborators

With UNDP, and others 2003 and 2004

Next steps

Living with Risk

Snapshots from feedback

Very positive reception and welcomed as unique compilation of overview of the complete disaster reduction sphereMany training institutions and universities asking permission to useAdd section on “how to use”Balance between trend analysis, explanation and examples – could be more clearSuggestion to add dimension of human security, local authorities, enhance climate change part, wider geographical coverage of examples, include section on research.

Living with Risk

NEXT STEPS: Enhance ISDR information clearinghouse and monitoring, review and assessment function

Final version for wide dissemination before mid 2003, plus targeted- thematic booklets

Elaboration of executive summary for decision makers and awareness purpose

Translation in several languages

Backbone for continued and systematic monitoring, review and assessment function – support the Yokohama review process